Solves optimal stopping problem with Poisson constraints using jumps.
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Paper finds a new principle for optimizing consumption and wealth using Tsallis entropy.
Bayesian units improve speech recognition with minimal parameters.
This paper concerns the recursive utility maximization problem. We assume that the coefficients of the wealth equation and the recursive utility are concave. Then some interesting and important cases with nonlinear and nonsmooth coefficients satisfy our assumption. After given an equivalent backward formulation of our …
A method for calculating multi-portfolio time consistent multivariate risk measures in discrete time is presented. Market models for assets with transaction costs or illiquidity and possible trading constraints are considered on a finite probability space. The set of capital requirements at each time and state is c…
The paper uses LSM to solve complex monetary utility functions.
We determine the variance-optimal hedge when the logarithm of the underlying price follows a process with stationary independent increments in discrete or continuous time. Although the general solution to this problem is known as backward recursion or backward stochastic differential equation, we show that for this cla…
We study a robust maximization problem from terminal wealth and consumption under a convex constraints on the portfolio. We state the existence and the uniqueness of the consumption-investment strategy by studying the associated quadratic backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE in short). We characterize the op…
We propose Episodic Backward Update (EBU) - a novel deep reinforcement learning algorithm with a direct value propagation. In contrast to the conventional use of the experience replay with uniform random sampling, our agent samples a whole episode and successively propagates the value of a state to its previous states.…
Paper introduces IO-NPF for efficient Bayesian experimental design.
Deep learning solves high-dimensional quadratic hedging problems.
We provide a verification and characterization result of optimal maximal sub-solutions of BSDEs in terms of fully coupled forward backward stochastic differential equations. We illustrate the application thereof in utility optimization with random endowment under probability and discounting uncertainty. We show with ex…
FLUID uses flows to unify filtering and smoothing for complex systems.
Clarifies relation for solving control-affine Schrödinger bridge problems.
We propose a novel algorithm which allows to sample paths from an underlying price process in a local volatility model and to achieve a substantial variance reduction when pricing exotic options. The new algorithm relies on the construction of a discrete multinomial tree. The crucial feature of our approach is that -- …
A new asymptotic expansion scheme for backward SDEs (BSDEs) is proposed.The perturbation parameter is introduced just to scale the forward stochastic variables within a BSDE. In contrast to the standard small-diffusion asymptotic expansion method, the dynamics of variables given by the forward SDEs is treated exactly. …
Symplectic groupoids create Poisson integrators for complex systems.
The paper defines and analyzes scalar risk measures in markets with transaction costs.
Study optimizes insurance and investment strategies for risk-averse insurers under ambiguity.
Deep learning schemes solve high-dimensional nonlinear PDEs and variational inequalities.
This study proposes an approach based on a perturbation technique to construct global solutions to dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models (DSGE). The main idea is to expand a solution in a series of powers of a small parameter scaling the uncertainty in the economy around a solution to the deterministic model, i…
Optimal credit and consumption strategies in a switching market with default contagion.
Investment strategy optimization from discrete to continuous models.
New approach solves utility maximization problems using Delta family.
Identifying changes in the generative process of sequential data, known as changepoint detection, has become an increasingly important topic for a wide variety of fields. A recently developed approach, which we call EXact Online Bayesian Changepoint Detection (EXO), has shown reasonable results with efficient computati…
In a market with stochastic investment opportunities, we study an optimal consumption investment problem for an agent with recursive utility of Epstein-Zin type. Focusing on the empirically relevant specification where both risk aversion and elasticity of intertemporal substitution are in excess of one, we characterize…
A variable annuity contract with Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) promises to return the entire initial investment through cash withdrawals during the contract plus the remaining account balance at maturity, regardless of the portfolio performance. Under the optimal(dynamic) withdrawal strategy of a policyh…
Second-order estimator improves continuous-time policy evaluation.
MUSE provides unbiased stopping estimates for optimal problems.
We consider the problem of the optimal trading strategy in the presence of linear costs, and with a strict cap on the allowed position in the market. Using Bellman's backward recursion method, we show that the optimal strategy is to switch between the maximum allowed long position and the maximum allowed short position…
This memoir presents a systematic study of the utility maximization problem of an investor in a constrained and unbounded financial market. Building upon the work of Hu et al. (2005) [Ann. Appl. Probab., 15, 1691--1712] in a bounded framework, we extend our analysis to the more challenging unbounded case. Our methodolo…
In this paper, we consider a discrete time economy where we assume that the short term interest rate follows a quadratic term structure of a regime switching asset process. The possible non-linear structure and the fact that the interest rate can have different economic or financial trends justify the interest of Regim…
Paper solves investment and consumption problem with unknown risk, providing explicit solutions.
The paper studies sub and super-replication price bounds for contingent claims defined on general trajectory based market models. No prior probabilistic or topological assumptions are placed on the trajectory space, trading is assumed to take place at a finite number of occasions but not bounded in number nor necessari…
We propose a new approach to solve optimal stopping problems via simulation. Working within the backward dynamic programming/Snell envelope framework, we augment the methodology of Longstaff-Schwartz that focuses on approximating the stopping strategy. Namely, we introduce adaptive generation of the stochastic grids an…
We study the explicit calculation of the set of superhedging portfolios of contingent claims in a discrete-time market model for d assets with proportional transaction costs. The set of superhedging portfolios can be obtained by a recursive construction involving set operations, going backward in the event tree. We ref…
In this paper, we take up the analysis of a principal/agent model with moral hazard introduced in [17], with optimal contracting between competitive investors and an impatient bank monitoring a pool of long-term loans subject to Markovian contagion. We provide here a comprehensive mathematical formulation of the model …
Dynamic risk measures follow law invariance principles over time.
Deep model improves option pricing for CSI 300 index with sentiment and volatility features.
Adds recursion to deep learning frameworks for better handling of recursive data structures.
Study on inventory management under uncertainty using smooth ambiguity preference.
Paper defines Farey Recursive Functions and explores their properties.
NWoS solves high-dimensional Poisson equations using neural networks.
Defines market-consistent value of insurance liabilities under capital requirements.
The paper addresses time inconsistency in mean-risk optimization.
The paper explores generalizations of Mirzakhani's recursion and computes volumes for physical gravity models.
Paper presents a new backward deep BSDE method for solving nonlinear FBSDE problems.
We study a coupled system of controlled stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by a Brownian motion and a compensated Poisson random measure, consisting of a forward SDE in the unknown process and a \emph{predictive mean-field} backward SDE (BSDE) in the unknowns . The driver of …