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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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74148222296 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for average detection delay

Non-parametric estimators improve quickest changepoint detection under irregular sequence lengths.

problem Limited and irregular sequence lengths hinder application of ARL and ADD in QCD.
method Analogies with survival analysis to model detection probabilities under truncation.
result KM-ARL and KM-ADD non-parametric estimators are asymptotically unbiased.

The paper analyzes MACD using operator theory.

problem Understanding the mathematical foundation of MACD.
method Developed a functional-analytic framework interpreting MACD as a phase-corrected, smoothed derivative operator.
result MACD is structurally equivalent to a band-pass filter and can be expressed as a finite difference of delayed and doubly averaged signals.

The paper analyzes real-time methods to detect rapidly varying liquidity in markets.

problem Increased trade execution price uncertainty due to rapid price variations by high-frequency traders.
method A four-state Markov switching model to identify volatile liquidity states.
result The model can generate a signal to delay orders, reducing price volatility for market participants.

Reduces change detection to estimation using confidence sequences.

problem Detecting changes in data streams with minimal delay and false alarms.
method Reduction from sequential change detection to sequential estimation using confidence sequences.
result Change detection scheme with minimal structural assumptions and strong guarantees.

Federated learning technique improves convergence speed with communication delays.

problem Communication delays between edge nodes and aggregator in federated learning.
method Developed FedDelAvg, a technique that generalizes federated averaging to incorporate a weighting between current local model and delayed global model.
result FedDelAvg achieves a significant improvement in convergence speed, especially when optimizing the weighting scheme to account for delays.

A new algorithm tackles delayed combinatorial semi-bandit with causal relations.

problem Optimizing decisions in a non-stationary environment with delayed and causally related rewards.
method Formalized as a non-stationary delayed combinatorial semi-bandit problem, the approach models causal relations with a directed graph in a stationary structural equation model. The agent learns these relations from delayed feedback to optimize decisions.
result Proved a regret bound for the proposed algorithm's performance.

Simulates patient pathways to detect delayed rare disease diagnoses.

problem Delayed rare disease diagnoses in France, causing health system and patient harm.
method Probabilistic modelling of patient pathways to create an alert system.
result Alert system detects and refers wandering patients to CRMRs.

We study the problem of detecting an abrupt change to the signal covariance matrix. In particular, the covariance changes from a "white" identity matrix to an unknown spiked or low-rank matrix. Two sequential change-point detection procedures are presented, based on the largest and the smallest eigenvalues of the sampl…

2017-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

KQT-EWMA monitors multivariate data streams online with flexible and practical change detection.

problem Online monitoring of multivariate data streams for detecting changes.
method Combines Kernel-QuantTree histogram and EWMA statistic for non-parametric monitoring.
result Controls Average Run Length (ARL0) while achieving comparable detection delays.

We study sequential change-point detection procedures based on linear sketches of high-dimensional signal vectors using generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) statistics. The GLR statistics allow for an unknown post-change mean that represents an anomaly or novelty. We consider both fixed and time-varying projections, deri…

2015-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we consider backward stochastic differential equations with time-delayed generators of a moving average type. The classical framework with linear generators depending on (Y(t),Z(t))(Y(t),Z(t)) is extended and we investigate linear generators depending on (1t0tY(s)ds,1t0tZ(s)ds)(\frac{1}{t}\int_0^tY(s)ds, \frac{1}{t}\int_0^tZ(s)ds). We…

2010-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive anomaly detection for IoT data reduces delay without sacrificing accuracy.

problem Real-time anomaly detection for IoT data in distributed edge computing systems.
method Adaptive anomaly detection approach using contextual bandit and reinforcement learning.
result Significantly reduces detection delay (e.g., 71.4% for univariate data) without sacrificing accuracy.

EviTrack improves sequential prediction in delayed disambiguation scenarios.

problem Challenges in sequential prediction with delayed disambiguation where early observations are ambiguous.
method EviTrack operates over latent trajectories, applying evidence- and likelihood-ratio-based selection to delay commitment until supported by data.
result EviTrack outperforms sampling-based baselines in a controlled synthetic benchmark, achieving faster post-disambiguation recovery.

Advances in deep neural networks (DNN) greatly bolster real-time detection of anomalous IoT data. However, IoT devices can barely afford complex DNN models due to limited computational power and energy supply. While one can offload anomaly detection tasks to the cloud, it incurs long delay and requires large bandwidth …

2020-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved online changepoint detection for autocorrelated data.

problem Changepoint detection in autocorrelated data with false positives or delays.
method Generalized Likelihood Ratio (GLR) statistic for AR(p) processes, online focus algorithm.
result AR(p)-focus algorithm achieves high detection power in correlated data.

New algorithm for decentralized online convex optimization with unknown delays.

problem Decentralized online convex optimization with unknown, time-varying feedback delays.
method Proposes a novel algorithm that incorporates adaptive learning rates and gossip-based delay estimation.
result Achieves improved regret bounds of O(N √d tot + N √T (1-σ^2)^(1/4)) and O(N δmax ln T α) for different settings.

AUCRSS detects change points in partially observed multivariate autocorrelated data.

problem Detecting change points in multivariate autocorrelated data with limited sensing resources.
method Adaptive Upper Confidence Region (AUCRSS) with state space model (SSM), adaptive sampling policy, and generalized likelihood ratio test.
result The method outperforms existing approaches in detecting change points efficiently.

A new method reduces communication costs in distributed learning.

problem Reduces communication bottlenecks in distributed learning.
method Local SGD with communication-computation overlap and delay-corrected sparse model averaging.
result Theoretical convergence guarantees for smooth non-convex objectives.

We develop a mixture procedure for multi-sensor systems to monitor data streams for a change-point that causes a gradual degradation to a subset of the streams. Observations are assumed to be initially normal random variables with known constant means and variances. After the change-point, observations in the subset wi…

2015-09-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a method to detect changes in linear systems with temporal correlations.

problem Detect abrupt changes in time series data with temporal correlations.
method Data-dependent threshold for online change point detection in linear dynamical systems.
result Achieves a pre-specified upper bound on the probability of false alarms and provides a finite-sample-based bound for detection probability.

The study reveals fundamental limits of fraud detection in card payment networks.

problem Fraud detection in card payment networks is challenging due to structural information impairments.
method Formalized card authorization as a sequential decision problem with delayed feedback, derived minimax regret lower bound.
result Improving issuer reporting quality or reducing censorship can yield larger reductions in the regret floor than increasing model complexity.

New method detects and locates changes in spatio-temporal point processes.

problem Detecting and localizing changes in spatio-temporal data.
method Score-based, likelihood-free approach estimating change time and region.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees on detection and localization accuracy.

We present new algorithms for detecting the emergence of a community in large networks from sequential observations. The networks are modeled using Erdos-Renyi random graphs with edges forming between nodes in the community with higher probability. Based on statistical changepoint detection methodology, we develop thre…

2014-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a model of inter-bank lending and borrowing which takes into account clearing debt obligations. The evolution of log-monetary reserves of NN banks is described by coupled diffusions driven by controls with delay in their drifts. Banks are minimizing their finite-horizon objective functions which take into a…

2016-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

New asynchronous algorithms improve speed in decentralized optimization networks.

problem Hard convergence analysis for asynchronous decentralized optimization.
method Continuized framework to analyze heterogeneous delays in event-driven updates.
result Achieves asynchronous speedup with convergence rate controlled by eigengap weighted by local delays.

Classifiers and beamforming algorithms improved audio surveillance detection accuracy.

problem Detecting surveillance sound events with high accuracy and efficiency.
method Evaluated seven classifiers and two beamforming algorithms; used data augmentation and tested with varying SNR levels.
result SVM and Delay-and-Sum (DaS) combination achieved the highest accuracy (86.0%), but had high computational cost.

ERDMD discovers sparse, nonuniformly timed DMD models from chaotic attractors.

problem Discovering high-fidelity, nonuniformly timed DMD models from chaotic data.
method Entropic regression for nonlinear information flow detection, combined with multi-step DMD.
result ERDMD produces highly efficient and robust models with minimal complexity.

Optimizes latency and false alarm probability in change detection problems.

problem Balancing latency and false alarms in non-stationary environments.
method Develops order-optimal change detectors under specified latency and false alarm levels.
result Derives a universal lower bound on latency and develops order-optimal detectors.

Gradient descent and its many variants, including mini-batch stochastic gradient descent, form the algorithmic foundation of modern large-scale machine learning. Due to the size and scale of modern data, gradient computations are often distributed across multiple compute nodes. Unfortunately, such distributed implement…

2018-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Change detection (CD) in time series data is a critical problem as it reveal changes in the underlying generative processes driving the time series. Despite having received significant attention, one important unexplored aspect is how to efficiently utilize additional correlated information to improve the detection and…

2016-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗