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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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5099149198 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for autoregressive transformers

Linear attention in Transformers can be interpreted as dynamic VAR models.

problem Misalignment between Transformers and autoregressive forecasting objectives.
method Interpreting linear attention as VAR, rearranging MLP, attention, and flow.
result SAMoVAR improves performance, interpretability, and efficiency.

Proposes a non-autoregressive Transformer for time series forecasting.

problem Autoregressive errors and spatial-temporal dependencies in time series forecasting.
method Introduces a Non-Autoregressive Transformer with a learned temporal influence map.
result Demonstrates state-of-the-art performance on time series forecasting datasets.

This work proposes an efficient autoregressive model for text generation.

problem The challenge of generating high-quality text with autoregressive models.
method Introduces a cascaded decoding approach using Markov transformers to achieve sub-linear parallel time generation.
result Shows competitive accuracy/speed tradeoff compared to existing methods on five machine translation datasets.

Transformers become faster by linearizing self-attention.

problem Quadratic complexity of transformers makes them slow for long sequences.
method Expressed self-attention as a linear dot-product and used matrix product associativity to reduce complexity.
result Linear transformers are up to 4000x faster on long sequences.

This paper explores how Transformers predict next tokens in autoregressive tasks.

problem Understanding the success of Transformers in autoregressive learning.
method Trained a Transformer on a next-token prediction task, focusing on commuting orthogonal matrices.
result Trained Transformers can be seen as implementing gradient descent for a specific objective function.

Transformers learn a mesa-optimizer to implement in-context learning.

problem Understanding the convergence of autoregressive training to a mesa-optimizer.
method Investigated a one-layer linear causal self-attention model autoregressively trained by gradient flow.
result Proved that autoregressive training converges to a gradient descent step for an OLS problem, validating the mesa-optimizer hypothesis.

Efficiently combines autoregressive and set-based models for joint distributions.

problem Joint distributions over multiple predictions from set-based models.
method Causal autoregressive buffer that caches context and captures dependencies.
result Up to 20x faster joint sampling and density evaluation, up to 7x lower memory usage.

Normalizing flows and autoregressive models have been successfully combined to produce state-of-the-art results in density estimation, via Masked Autoregressive Flows (MAF), and to accelerate state-of-the-art WaveNet-based speech synthesis to 20x faster than real-time, via Inverse Autoregressive Flows (IAF). We unify a…

2018-04-03abs ↗pdf ↗

The framework of normalizing flows provides a general strategy for flexible variational inference of posteriors over latent variables. We propose a new type of normalizing flow, inverse autoregressive flow (IAF), that, in contrast to earlier published flows, scales well to high-dimensional latent spaces. The proposed f…

2016-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

A normalizing flow models a complex probability density as an invertible transformation of a simple density. The invertibility means that we can evaluate densities and generate samples from a flow. In practice, autoregressive flow-based models are slow to invert, making either density estimation or sample generation sl…

2019-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformers can simulate MLE for Bayesian network sequences.

problem Understanding transformers' capabilities in Bayesian network sequence generation.
method In-context maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for autoregressive sequence generation.
result A simple transformer model can estimate Bayesian network probabilities and generate new samples.

A normalizing flow models a complex probability density as an invertible transformation of a simple base density. Flows based on either coupling or autoregressive transforms both offer exact density evaluation and sampling, but rely on the parameterization of an easily invertible elementwise transformation, whose choic…

2019-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The fundamental task of general density estimation p(x)p(x) has been of keen interest to machine learning. In this work, we attempt to systematically characterize methods for density estimation. Broadly speaking, most of the existing methods can be categorized into either using: \textit{a}) autoregressive models to estim…

2018-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformers can generalize to a large task family with only a few demonstrations.

problem Can learning from a small set of tasks generalize to a large task family?
method Investigating autoregressive compositional structure where each task is a composition of TT operations, each from a finite family of DD subtasks.
result Transformers can generalize to DTD^T tasks with only O~(D)\widetilde{O}(D) demonstrations.

Transformers encode latent distributions in text, improving performance in out-of-distribution cases.

problem What should embeddings from language models represent?
method Connecting autoregressive prediction to sufficient statistics, identifying three settings.
result Transformers encode latent generating distributions, improving performance.

Flow-based generative models are a family of exact log-likelihood models with tractable sampling and latent-variable inference, hence conceptually attractive for modeling complex distributions. However, flow-based models are limited by density estimation performance issues as compared to state-of-the-art autoregressive…

2019-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Monotonic neural networks have recently been proposed as a way to define invertible transformations. These transformations can be combined into powerful autoregressive flows that have been shown to be universal approximators of continuous probability distributions. Architectures that ensure monotonicity typically enfor…

2019-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Normalising flows (NFS) map two density functions via a differentiable bijection whose Jacobian determinant can be computed efficiently. Recently, as an alternative to hand-crafted bijections, Huang et al. (2018) proposed neural autoregressive flow (NAF) which is a universal approximator for density functions. Their fl…

2019-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

New approaches improve uncertainty quantification in autoregressive models for sequence data.

problem Uncertainty quantification in autoregressive models for exchangeable sequences.
method Study of inferential and architectural biases for autoregressive models, focusing on multi-step inference.
result Custom architectures are necessary for multi-step inference to ensure exchangeability.

Improved flow-based models capture dependencies better with multi-scale autoregressive priors.

problem Limited expressiveness of flow-based models for long-range data dependencies.
method Introducing channel-wise dependencies through multi-scale autoregressive priors (mAR) in split coupling flow layers (mAR-SCF).
result Achieves state-of-the-art density estimation results on MNIST, CIFAR-10, and ImageNet.

AutoGraph uses transformers to efficiently generate graphs as sequences.

problem Efficiently generating large, sparse graphs without expensive node features.
method Flattening graphs into sequences and using decoder-only transformers.
result AutoGraph achieves state-of-the-art performance on synthetic and molecular benchmarks.

Paper proposes LATC for multivariate time series prediction and missing data imputation.

problem Large-scale, incomplete, and corrupted multivariate time series data.
method Transforms multivariate time series into a tensor structure, models global and local trends, and uses autoregressive norm.
result Integration of global and local trends improves missing data imputation and rolling prediction.

The study explores how Transformers predict the next token in a sequence.

problem Understanding the mechanism behind Transformers' autoregressive learning ability.
method Exploring the approximation ability of Transformers for next-token prediction through specific instances and a causal kernel descent method.
result Transformer models can learn context-dependent functions ff for next-token prediction based on past and current observations.

Flow-based deep generative models learn data distributions by transforming a simple base distribution into a complex distribution via a set of invertible transformations. Due to the invertibility, such models can score unseen data samples by computing their exact likelihood under the learned distribution. This makes fl…

2019-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Most machine translation systems generate text autoregressively from left to right. We, instead, use a masked language modeling objective to train a model to predict any subset of the target words, conditioned on both the input text and a partially masked target translation. This approach allows for efficient iterative…

2019-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Flow models have recently made great progress at modeling ordinal discrete data such as images and audio. Due to the continuous nature of flow models, dequantization is typically applied when using them for such discrete data, resulting in lower bound estimates of the likelihood. In this paper, we introduce subset flow…

2020-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Simple tabular event prediction model outperforms existing methods.

problem Predicting events from tabular data with historic events.
method Standard autoregressive LLM-style transformers with elementary positional embeddings and causal language modeling.
result Simple model outperforms existing approaches across various datasets and use-cases.

MPP trains a transformer to predict multiple physical systems, improving accuracy across various tasks.

problem Training models for specific physical systems is inefficient and requires fine-tuning.
method MPP trains a shared transformer on multiple heterogeneous physical systems, projecting fields into a shared embedding space.
result A single MPP-pretrained transformer outperforms task-specific models on all pretraining sub-tasks and downstream tasks.

New language model shows context length impacts generation quality and reasoning ability.

problem Analyzing the impact of context length and reasoning on autoregressive generation.
method Introduced synthetic hierarchical languages, used an exact k-gram ansatz, derived asymptotic predictions, and validated empirically.
result Reasoning models with limited context can generate sequences from the true language, improving exponentially over standard models.

PolyGen models 3D meshes directly, predicting vertices and faces sequentially.

problem Efficiently modeling 3D geometry for computer graphics, robotics, and games.
method Transformer-based autoregressive model for predicting mesh vertices and faces.
result PolyGen produces high-quality, usable 3D meshes and competitive conditional performance.

AR CI framework handles complex confounders and sequential actions.

problem Low-dimensional confounders and singleton actions in causal inference.
method Sequencification to transform data into sequences, enabling CI with complex confounders and sequential actions.
result AR model can estimate multiple causal quantities using a single model, simplifying inference and improving outcome prediction.

New study finds best language model architecture and pretraining objective for zero-shot tasks.

problem Evaluating which language model architectures and pretraining objectives best enable zero-shot generalization.
method Compared three model architectures and two pretraining objectives across 170 billion tokens, with and without finetuning.
result Causal decoder-only models trained on autoregressive language modeling exhibit strongest zero-shot generalization.

The paper explores how LLMs with CoT improve performance on complex tasks.

problem Understanding the mechanisms behind LLMs' improved performance with CoT.
method Using circuit complexity theory, the paper examines LLMs' expressivity in solving mathematical and decision-making problems.
result LLMs with CoT can generate correct solutions step-by-step, even for complex tasks.

Reinforcement learning after next-token prediction aids in learning from diverse sequence lengths.

problem Learning from sequences of varying lengths and complexity.
method Introducing a framework to study reinforcement learning with autoregressive transformers, focusing on next-token prediction and mixture distributions of short and long sequences.
result Reinforcement learning after next-token prediction enables autoregressive transformers to generalize from long sequences, even when they are rare.