Deep learning speeds spectral density estimation for large 2D/3D grids.
problem Computational challenges in estimating spectral densities for large grids.
method Deep learning neural network for spectral density estimation.
result Deep learning estimator is a universal approximator and faster than existing methods.
The paper studies convergence of kernel autocovariance operators for stationary processes.
problem Estimating autocovariance operators of stationary processes on Polish spaces.
method Investigates convergence of empirical estimates of autocovariance operators under various conditions.
result Provides consistency results for kernel PCA and spectral analysis methods.
Develops flexible non-parametric ACFs using B-spline kernels.
problem Flexible modelling of the autocovariance function (ACF) in time-series, spatial, and spatio-temporal analysis.
method Derives the inverse Fourier transform of B-spline spectral bases to create a general class of non-parametric ACFs.
result Provides a provably dense, flexible, and general class of non-parametric ACFs for various types of processes.
It is now widely accepted that, to model the dynamics of daily financial returns, volatility models have to incorporate the so-called leverage effect. We derive the asymptotic behaviour of the squared residuals autocovariances for the class of asymmetric power GARCH model when the power is unknown and is jointly estima…
Generalizes memory and forecasting capacities for nonlinear recurrent networks with dependent inputs.
problem Understanding memory and forecasting capabilities in networks with dependent inputs.
method Formulated bounds for memory and forecasting capacities in terms of network size and input properties.
result Proved that memory capacity for linear recurrent networks with independent inputs is given by the rank of the controllability matrix.
Measures mode separation in high-dimensional densities via a reversible diffusion process.
problem Quantifying how sharply a distribution fragments into barrier-separated clusters in high dimensions.
method A unique reversible diffusion process with f as stationary distribution, extracting SSA and DA from its autocovariance matrix.
result Empirical autocovariance spectrum and readouts (SSA, DA) quantify mode separation using only samples and pretrained score-based models.
This work considers the problem of modified portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of FARIMA models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent (i.e. weak FARIMA). We first study the joint distribution of the least squares estimator and the noise empirical autocovariances. …
We construct a new process using a fractional Brownian motion and a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the Second Kind as building blocks. We consider the increments of the new process in discrete time and, as a result, we obtain a more parsimonious process with similar autocovariance structure to that of a FARIM…
The paper examines extreme value statistics of high-dimensional sample covariances, with applications in finance and image analysis.
problem Statistical validation of normal conditions in high-dimensional time series data.
method Generalizes the maximal deviation of sample autocovariances to high dimensions and applies Gumbel-type extreme value asymptotics.
result Gumbel-type extreme value asymptotics holds true for high-dimensional sample covariances.
New k-means method clusters radar image sequences using SPD matrices.
problem Clustering radar image sequences efficiently.
method Developed k-means on SPD matrices for non-Euclidean data. result Effective clustering of radar image sequences via SPD matrices.
Develops inequalities for high-dimensional linear processes with dependent innovations.
problem Estimating high-dimensional VAR(p) systems and HAC covariance estimation.
method Concentration inequalities for l∞ norm of vector linear processes with sub-Weibull, mixingale innovations. result Obtained concentration bounds for the maximum entrywise norm of lag-h autocovariance matrices. In this paper we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving-average (SARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.We relax the standard independence assumption on the error term in order to extend the range …
Estimates volatility of volatility and leverage effect using high-frequency options data.
problem Estimating volatility of volatility and leverage effect from high-frequency options data.
method Model-free estimators using characteristic function of price increments and spot volatility.
result Developed feasible inference methods for estimating volatility of volatility and leverage effect.
Combines physics-based ML with hierarchical Bayesian techniques for better model performance.
problem Lack of physical knowledge in black-box machine learning models.
method Embeds physics-based models into Gaussian Process mean function and uses kernel machines to characterize discrepancies.
result Improved model performance under blind conditions through integration of physics-based knowledge.
We show that univariate and symmetric multivariate Hawkes processes are only weakly causal: the true log-likelihoods of real and reversed event time vectors are almost equal, thus parameter estimation via maximum likelihood only weakly depends on the direction of the arrow of time. In ideal (synthetic) conditions, test…
Two new models for volatility in Markov-switching environments capture financial time-series properties.
problem Modeling volatility in environments with regime switches and exogenous jumps.
method Generalizations of COGARCH and Barndorff-Nielsen-Shephard models using Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes.
result Models inherit properties of original models and capture stylized facts of financial time-series.
We study how the round-off (or discretization) error changes the statistical properties of a Gaussian long memory process. We show that the autocovariance and the spectral density of the discretized process are asymptotically rescaled by a factor smaller than one, and we compute exactly this scaling factor. Consequentl…
Random neural networks with ReLU activations are non-Gaussian processes.
problem Understanding the behavior of neural networks with random initialization and rectified linear units.
method Proving these networks are non-Gaussian processes and deriving their properties.
result These networks can converge to non-Gaussian processes under certain conditions.
Develops a test to distinguish between standard and rough volatility.
problem Determining whether asset volatility follows a standard semimartingale or a rough process.
method Uses sample autocovariance of high-frequency asset return data to detect negative autocorrelation at high frequencies.
result Evidence of rough volatility in SPY high-frequency data.
Novel Bayesian framework for spatio-temporal neuroimaging data.
problem Inference on multi-task sparse hierarchical regression models with complex spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Flexible hierarchical Bayesian framework with Kronecker product covariance structure, majorization-minimization optimization, and Riemannian geometry.
result Improved performance on synthetic and real M/EEG data.
The paper develops a new model for high-dimensional spatial arbitrage pricing.
problem Estimating spatial interactions in high-dimensional asset pricing.
method Integrates spatial interactions with multi-factor analysis using generalized shrinkage Yule-Walker (SYW) estimation.
result Established asymptotic properties for high-dimensional spatial arbitrage pricing models.
In order to improve the efficiency and sustainability of electricity systems, most countries worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures, and in particular household smart meters, in the residential sector. This technology is able to record electricity load time series at a very high frequency rates, info…
Filtered conformal ellipsoids for graph-native time series
problem Joint prediction sets for multivariate time series
method Filtered conformal ellipsoids
result Sharper at-target ellipsoids than static-covariance and non-filter baselines
New neural network models for complex functional data analysis.
problem Complex relations between functional predictors and responses.
method Function-on-Function regression models using neural networks with continuous hidden layers.
result Demonstrated power and flexibility in handling complex functional models.
Distance function to a finite set is a topological Morse function.
problem Characterizing the topological Morse function of a finite set.
method Analyzing the distance function to a finite set in \(\mathbb{R}^n\).
result Distance function is a topological Morse function, with precise critical points and indices.
Introduces new weighted floating functions and affine surface areas.
problem Developing new mathematical concepts for convex bodies.
method Introducing weighted floating functions and weighted functional affine surface areas.
result New relations to traditional and classical affine surface areas.
Develops methods for selecting and estimating smooth functional coefficients in high-dimensional multivariate functional data.
problem Functional predictor selection and estimation of smooth functional coefficients in high-dimensional multivariate functional data.
method Functional group-sparse regression methods in a generic Hilbert space of infinite dimension.
result Consistency of estimation and selection (oracle property) under infinite-dimensional Hilbert spaces.
Neural networks can approximate functionals on RKHS with error bounds.
problem Approximating functionals on RKHS using neural networks.
method Interpolating orthogonal projections in RKHS using point evaluations.
result Explicit error bounds for various kernels (inverse multiquadric, Gaussian, Sobolev).
FFBO optimizes functions as inputs and outputs, improving on existing BO methods.
problem Optimizing functions as both inputs and outputs in complex systems.
method Function-on-function Gaussian process (FFGP) model with a separable operator-valued kernel, scalar upper confidence bound (UCB) acquisition function, and scalable functional gradient ascent algorithm (FGA).
result FFBO outperforms existing methods in synthetic and real-world data.
Chirped sinosoids and interferometric phase plots are functions that are not periodic, but are the composition of a smooth function and a periodic function. These functions functions factor into a pair of maps: from their domain to a circle, and from a circle to their codomain. One can easily imagine replacing the circ…
The Fridman function is bounded by the injectivity radius for certain hyperbolic manifolds.
problem Bounding the Fridman function for hyperbolic manifolds.
method Analyzing the relationship between the Fridman function and the injectivity radius function.
result The Fridman function is bounded above by the injectivity radius function for certain hyperbolic manifolds.
Optimally estimates a functional using nuisance function tuning and sample splitting.
problem Estimating optimal rates for a doubly robust functional.
method Combines nuisance function tuning and sample splitting strategies.
result Shows optimal rates of convergence for various estimators.
The paper proves isoparametric functions on Finsler space forms under specific conditions.
problem Understanding isoparametric functions in Finsler space forms.
method Proving transnormal functions as isoparametric functions and constructing global and local isoparametric functions using the distance function.
result Generalization of Theorem B to Finsler space forms.
Paper introduces a nonparametric functional graphical model for random functions.
problem Estimating probabilistic conditional independence in functional graphical models.
method Functional sufficient dimension reduction to relax Gaussian or copula Gaussian assumptions.
result Enhances estimation accuracy and retains probabilistic conditional independence.
Robustifies elicitable functionals to handle small distribution misspecifications.
problem Determining uniquely optimal forecasts under distributional misspecification.
method Integrates statistical robustness into elicitable functionals using Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result Robust elicitable functionals admit unique solutions at the boundary of uncertainty regions.
The paper characterizes strong Hamel functions using symmetries and proves their preservation properties.
problem Characterizing strong Hamel functions and their symmetries in Finsler spaces.
method Analyzing geodesic spray, strong dual symmetries, and strong dynamical symmetries.
result Strong Hamel functions can be characterized in terms of strong dual symmetries and strong dynamical symmetries.
Study biharmonic functions on vector bundles with spherical symmetry.
problem Investigate biharmonic functions on vector bundles with spherically symmetric metrics.
method Analyze vertical lifts and radial functions of functions on vector bundle manifolds.
result Construct an infinite two-parameter family of proper biharmonic functions.
Two new methods improve forecasting of functional time series data.
problem Forecasting of functional time-dependent data.
method Functional Singular Spectrum Analysis (FSFA) based forecasting methods.
result Our methods outperform existing algorithms for periodic stochastic processes.
This paper introduces the concept of functional current as a mathematical framework to represent and treat functional shapes, i.e. sub-manifold supported signals. It is motivated by the growing occurrence, in medical imaging and computational anatomy, of what can be described as geometrico-functional data, that is a da…
Study stabilizers of smooth functions on surfaces, focusing on Morse-Bott functions.
problem Understanding the homotopy type of stabilizers of smooth functions on surfaces.
method Analyzing the homotopy properties of stabilizers for a specific class of smooth functions.
result The homotopy type of the connected component of the identity map of the stabilizer is completely described for Morse-Bott functions.
The paper connects convex functions to p-subharmonic functions and proves their equivalence.
problem Understanding the relationship between convex functions and p-subharmonic functions.
method Average principle, variational methods, and PDE techniques.
result Convex functions on R^n are p-subharmonic for every p > 1.
A new deep neural network tackles nonlinear functional regression with improved dimensionality reduction.
problem Nonlinear functional regression in infinite-dimensional functional data analysis.
method Functional deep neural network with adaptive kernel embedding and projection steps.
result Explicit rates of approximating nonlinear smooth functionals are derived, and the network is shown to be effective in both simulated and real datasets.
New model for network analysis using functional data.
problem Existing network models treat nodes as functions, but this paper introduces functional edges.
method Transform adjacency matrix into functional adjacency tensor, apply Tucker decomposition, regularize basis matrices, and solve tensor completion problem.
result The model effectively captures community structure and handles irregular functional edge data.
The study finds a special type of smooth function on connected sums of manifolds.
problem Finding smooth functions that are Morse on preimages of non-extrema values.
method Investigates internally Morse (I-Morse) and neat with respect to Reeb graph (N-Reeb) functions.
result Constructs an IN-Morse-Reeb function on a connected sum of given manifolds.
Function trees simplify complex ML models for better understanding.
problem Understanding and interpreting machine learning model predictions.
method Representing a multivariate function as a tree of simpler functions.
result Function trees reveal the global internal structure of functions.
We study functions whose truncations are convex or quasiconvex.
problem Understanding functions with specific truncation properties.
method Analyzing C2-smooth functions with positive definite Hessians. result Injectivity of restricted gradient in positive definite region.
NeuTSFlow models continuous functions behind time series forecasting.
problem Forecasting treats time series as discrete sequences, ignoring their continuous nature.
method NeuTSFlow uses Neural Operators to learn the transition between historical and future function families.
result NeuTSFlow outperforms traditional methods in forecasting accuracy and robustness.
New spectral functionals for Dirac operators with inner fluctuations computed.
problem Spectral functionals and Dirac operators with inner fluctuations.
method Extension of spectral functionals for Dirac operators with inner fluctuations.
result Computed spectral Einstein functional for Dirac operator with inner fluctuations on even-dimensional spin manifolds.