A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This paper explores how combining quantitative factors and news from LLMs improves stock return prediction.
problem Improving stock return prediction using quantitative factors and news.
method Introduces a fusion learning framework to learn unified representations from factors and LLM-generated newsflow, comparing combination, summation, and attentive methods. Explores mixture models and decoupled training approaches.
result Effective multimodal modeling of factors and news improves stock return prediction and selection.
We aim to better understand attention over nodes in graph neural networks (GNNs) and identify factors influencing its effectiveness. We particularly focus on the ability of attention GNNs to generalize to larger, more complex or noisy graphs. Motivated by insights from the work on Graph Isomorphism Networks, we design …
In this paper, we generalize the parametric delta-VaR method from portfolios with normally distributed risk factors to portfolios with elliptically distributed ones. We treat both the expected shortfall and the Value-at-Risk of such portfolios. Special attention is given to the particular case of a multivariate t-distr…
In this paper, we generalize the parametric Delta-VaR methods from portfolios with elliptic distributed risk factors to portfolios with mixture of elliptically distributed ones. We treat both the Expected Shortfall and the Value-at-Risk of such portfolios. Special attention is given to the particular case of the mixtur…
We address some computational issues that may hinder the use of AMP chain graphs in practice. Specifically, we show how a discrete probability distribution that satisfies all the independencies represented by an AMP chain graph factorizes according to it. We show how this factorization makes it possible to perform infe…
Recommender systems (RS), which have been an essential part in a wide range of applications, can be formulated as a matrix completion (MC) problem. To boost the performance of MC, matrix completion with side information, called inductive matrix completion (IMC), was further proposed. In real applications, the factorize…
The complex world around us is inherently multimodal and sequential (continuous). Information is scattered across different modalities and requires multiple continuous sensors to be captured. As machine learning leaps towards better generalization to real world, multimodal sequential learning becomes a fundamental rese…
Traditional sequence-to-sequence (seq2seq) models and other variations of the attention-mechanism such as hierarchical attention have been applied to the text summarization problem. Though there is a hierarchy in the way humans use language by forming paragraphs from sentences and sentences from words, hierarchical mod…
Transformers are powerful sequence models, but require time and memory that grows quadratically with the sequence length. In this paper we introduce sparse factorizations of the attention matrix which reduce this to O(nn). We also introduce a) a variation on architecture and initialization to train deeper net…
Financial time series prediction, especially with machine learning techniques, is an extensive field of study. In recent times, deep learning methods (especially time series analysis) have performed outstandingly for various industrial problems, with better prediction than machine learning methods. Moreover, many resea…
Social-based recommendation systems exploit the selections of friends to combat the data sparsity on user preferences, and improve the recommendation accuracy of the collaborative filtering strategy. The main challenge is to capture and weigh friends' preferences, as in practice they do necessarily match. In this paper…
Inspired by the adaptation phenomenon of neuronal firing, we propose the regularity normalization (RN) as an unsupervised attention mechanism (UAM) which computes the statistical regularity in the implicit space of neural networks under the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle. Treating the neural network optimiz…
The problem of portfolio allocation in the context of stocks evolving in random environments, that is with volatility and returns depending on random factors, has attracted a lot of attention. The problem of maximizing a power utility at a terminal time with only one random factor can be linearized thanks to a classica…