Method for factor analysis in short panels without assuming sphericity or Gaussianity.
problem Factor analysis in short panels without assuming sphericity or Gaussianity.
method Pseudo maximum likelihood method and asymptotically uniformly most powerful invariant test.
result Systematic risk explains a large part of cross-sectional total variance in bear markets but is not spanned by observed factors.
Study suggests variable selection may not significantly reduce power in multivariate tests.
problem The feasibility of parsimonious variable selection in Hotelling's T2-test.
method Investigation of power loss when selecting small subsets of variables from multivariate data.
result Some evidence suggests no significant power loss over a wide range of alternatives.
Robust tests control type I error under data corruption.
problem Effective hypothesis testing under data corruption.
method General permutation tests using kernel MMD and HSIC metrics.
result Robust tests are minimax optimal and outperform private tests.
Uniformly K-stable toric varieties are asymptotically Chow stable if their Futaki-Ono invariant vanishes.
problem Determining asymptotic Chow stability of uniformly K-stable toric varieties.
method Detailed study of triangulations of moment polytope neighborhoods and analysis of Futaki-Ono invariant.
result Every uniformly K-stable polarized smooth toric variety with vanishing Futaki-Ono invariant is asymptotically Chow polystable.
Test partial effects in Frechet regression on Bures-Wasserstein manifolds.
problem Assessing partial effects in Frechet regression on complex manifolds.
method Sample splitting strategy to estimate covariance matrices and test statistic convergence.
result The test statistic converges to a weighted mixture of chi squared components.
Paper develops statistical tests for covariance matrix regression on manifold.
problem Regression with random covariance matrices in Fréchet space.
method Develops Wasserstein F-tests for Bures-Wasserstein manifold.
result Asymptotic null distribution and power of the test.
The paper analyzes the power of MX CI tests and finds likelihood-based statistics most powerful.
problem Testing conditional independence under model-X assumptions.
method Conditional randomization test (CRT) and MX knockoffs.
result Likelihood-based statistics are most powerful in MX CI tests.
Near-optimal private tests for simple and MLR hypotheses developed under Gaussian differential privacy.
problem Developing private tests for simple and MLR hypotheses under Gaussian differential privacy.
method A private mean estimator with data-driven clamping bounds, constructing private test statistics.
result Private tests achieve the same asymptotic relative efficiency as non-private most powerful tests.
We formulate statistical watermarking as hypothesis testing and establish near-optimal bounds.
problem Statistical watermarking in the context of hypothesis testing.
method Formulated as a hypothesis testing problem, using coupling of output tokens and rejection regions.
result Established nearly matching upper and lower bounds on the number of i.i.d. tokens required for small Type I and Type II errors.
The paper advances U-statistics in dependent settings, improving spectral estimation and goodness-of-fit tests.
problem Non-asymptotic analysis of U-statistics in dependent Markov chain settings.
method Proved new concentration and exponential inequalities for U-statistics, applied to spectral estimation, online algorithms, and goodness-of-fit tests.
result Established new results for spectral estimation, online algorithms, and goodness-of-fit tests in Markov chain settings.
Enhances power of covariance matrix tests for high-dimensional data.
problem Testing large covariance matrices in high-dimensional data.
method Proposes a new Fisher's combined probability test for quadratic form and maximum form statistics.
result Boosts power against more general alternatives.
The paper improves confidence intervals for test error using cross-validation.
problem Improving confidence intervals for test error in machine learning.
method Develops central limit theorems and consistent estimators for cross-validation.
result Provides asymptotically-exact confidence intervals and hypothesis tests.
Paper proposes a robust test for high-dimensional models with large covariates and instruments.
problem Testing high-dimensional linear instrumental variable models with large covariates and instruments.
method Introduces a test based on the maximum norm of multiple parameters and a power-enhanced test.
result The proposed test is robust to heteroskedastic errors and has higher power than existing tests.
Develops tests for conditional symmetry under group actions.
problem Testing conditional symmetry in distributions under group actions.
method Nonparametric randomization tests with kernel methods and asymptotic consistency.
result Tests achieve finite-sample Type I error control and power.
A new family of nonparametric statistics, the r-statistics, is introduced. It consists of counting the number of records of the cumulative sum of the sample. The single-sample r-statistic is almost as powerful as Student's t-statistic for Gaussian and uniformly distributed variables, and more powerful than the sign and…
The free energy of a closed 3-manifold is a 2-parameter formal power series which encodes the perturbative Chern-Simons invariant (also known as the LMO invariant) of a closed 3-manifold with gauge group U(N) for arbitrary N. We prove that the free energy of an arbitrary closed 3-manifold is uniformly Gevrey-1. As a …
Nonparametric two sample testing is a decision theoretic problem that involves identifying differences between two random variables without making parametric assumptions about their underlying distributions. We refer to the most common settings as mean difference alternatives (MDA), for testing differences only in firs…
Boosts kernel two-sample test power with multiple kernels.
problem Detecting differences between two distributions over metric spaces.
method Combining MMD estimates over multiple kernels using Mahalanobis distance.
result More powerful in detecting a wide range of alternatives in finite samples.
Two-sample tests using MMD control type I error and achieve optimal power.
problem Developing reliable nonparametric two-sample tests for small sample sizes.
method Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) for constructing novel nonparametric tests, proving non-asymptotic error control and optimality.
result MMDAgg test controls type I error and achieves minimax rate over Sobolev balls, outperforming other tests.
Develops non-parametric tests for group symmetry in data.
problem Lack of statistical tests for group symmetry in data.
method Formulates and implements non-parametric tests for distributional symmetry under specified groups.
result Develops tests for conditional invariance/equivariance and applies them to real-world data.
Semi-supervised method boosts two-sample testing with covariate data.
problem Two-sample testing with covariate information.
method Semi-supervised kernel test with asymptotic normality.
result Higher asymptotic power compared to existing methods.
The study finds a limit on the volume growth of certain 3-manifolds.
problem Volume growth of noncompact 3-manifolds with specific curvature properties.
method Analyzes 3-dimensional complete non-compact Riemannian manifolds with asymptotically nonnegative Ricci curvature and positive scalar curvature.
result Optimal asymptotic volume ratio for manifolds with finite first Betti number and linear volume growth.
We show that the asymptotic dimension of a hyperbolic relatively hyperbolic graph is finite provided that this holds true uniformly for the peripheral subgraphs and for the electrifiation. We use this to show that the asymptotic dimension of the disk graph of a handlebody of genus at least two is at most quadratic in t…
Testing independence is of significant interest in many important areas of large-scale inference. Using extreme-value form statistics to test against sparse alternatives and using quadratic form statistics to test against dense alternatives are two important testing procedures for high-dimensional independence. However…
Optimal tests developed for sequential experiments with asymptotic properties.
problem Performing hypothesis tests after sequential experiments without prior design.
method Analyze asymptotic properties of sequential experiments; develop tests for Gaussian process observations.
result Asymptotic power function of any test can be matched by a specific test in a limit experiment.
Improved KSD test for faster GoF testing.
problem Slow and computationally intractable KSD tests.
method Nyström acceleration for KSD estimation.
result Asymptotic properties preserved by Nyström acceleration.
Throughout the last decade, random forests have established themselves as among the most accurate and popular supervised learning methods. While their black-box nature has made their mathematical analysis difficult, recent work has established important statistical properties like consistency and asymptotic normality b…
GAAVI offers anytime-valid tests for CMF global null and contrasts.
problem Inference on the conditional mean function for high confidence decisions.
method Asymptotic anytime-valid tests for CMF global null and contrasts.
result Achieves asymptotic type-I error guarantees, power one, and optimal sample complexity.
PPAT uses predictions to improve risk estimation in active testing.
problem Exploiting informative predictions from black-box models for efficient risk estimation.
method Combines LURE estimator with prediction-powered control variate.
result PPAT outperforms existing methods in risk estimation and uncertainty quantification.
Detects dense subhypergraphs in heterogeneous random hypergraphs.
problem Testing for the existence of a dense subhypergraph in heterogeneous random hypergraphs.
method Established detection boundaries and constructed asymptotically powerful and adaptive tests.
result Developed tests for distinguishing between null and alternative hypotheses.
It is now widely accepted that, to model the dynamics of daily financial returns, volatility models have to incorporate the so-called leverage effect. We derive the asymptotic behaviour of the squared residuals autocovariances for the class of asymmetric power GARCH model when the power is unknown and is jointly estima…
OmniMatch algorithm perfectly matches graphs without edge correlation.
problem Graph matching in the absence of edge correlation.
method OmniMatch algorithm for seeded multiple graph matching.
result OmniMatch aligns O(sα) unseeded vertices across multiple networks efficiently and perfectly. We presented Bayesian portfolio selection strategy, via the k factor asset pricing model. If the market is information efficient, the proposed strategy will mimic the market; otherwise, the strategy will outperform the market. The strategy depends on the selection of a portfolio via Bayesian multiple testing methodol…
Randomization tests rely on simple data transformations and possess an appealing robustness property. In addition to being finite-sample valid if the data distribution is invariant under the transformation, these tests can be asymptotically valid under a suitable studentization of the test statistic, even if the invari…
This article develops a framework for testing general hypothesis in high-dimensional models where the number of variables may far exceed the number of observations. Existing literature has considered less than a handful of hypotheses, such as testing individual coordinates of the model parameter. However, the problem o…
Study asymptotic behavior of Weingarten surfaces at infinity.
problem Understanding the behavior of Weingarten surfaces at infinity.
method Derive asymptotic expansion and solve Dirichlet problem.
result Established maximum principle and solved Dirichlet problem.
We develop a simple test for deviations from power law tails, which is based on the asymptotic properties of the empirical distribution function. We use this test to answer the question whether great natural disasters, financial crashes or electricity price spikes should be classified as dragon kings or 'only' as black…
Proposes a framework for OOD detection combining multiple statistics.
problem Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) samples reliably during inference.
method Multiple hypothesis testing with conformal p-values.
result Uniformly outperforms threshold-based tests across different datasets and neural networks.
The paper proves scalar curvature decay for uniformly contractible manifolds with finite asymptotic dimension.
problem Proving decay of scalar curvature for uniformly contractible manifolds with finite asymptotic dimension.
method Using index pairing between Dirac operators and compactly supported vector bundles with Lipschitz control, and Lipschitz control for topological K-theory of finite dimensional simplicial complexes.
result The scalar curvature decays to zero at a rate depending only on the contractibility radius and the diameter control of the asymptotic dimension.
We introduce partial secondary invariants associated to complete Riemannian metrics which have uniformly positive scalar curvature outside a prescribed subset on a spin manifold. These can be used to distinguish such Riemannian metrics up to concordance relative to the prescribed subset. We exhibit a general external p…
We provide a geometric construction of the unitary structure which is projectively preserved by the Hitchin connection. We analyze the asymptotic behavior of it and we establish that it is uniformly in the level equivalent to the Hermitian structure induced by the L2 inner product on smooth sections.
Study aggregation of statistical evidence under unknown dependence using group-invariance.
problem Aggregating statistical evidence under unknown and complex dependence structures.
method Develops a framework using group-invariance and permutation-based constructions to aggregate evidence across transformed datasets.
result Shows uniform improvement in critical values for single-batch aggregation over deterministic calibrations, adapting to unknown dependence structures.
New findings on k-NN algorithm's robustness under random data corruption.
problem Impact of random data corruption on k-NN algorithm performance. method Theoretical analysis of k-NN algorithm under random perturbation scenarios. result Phase transition phenomenon in asymptotic regret: small-ω regime vs large-ω regime. Study improves BN TTA under distribution shift using higher-order asymptotics.
problem Improving BN TTA for changing data distributions.
method Integrates Edgeworth expansion and saddlepoint approximation with one-step M-estimation.
result Derives optimal weighting parameter for minimized mean-squared error.
New method selects causal features from diverse data types.
problem Discovering causal relationships from non-continuous data types.
method Transformation-Model (TRAM) based Invariant Causal Prediction (TRAM-ICP) with TRAM-GCM and TRAM-Wald tests.
result Improved power and type I error control for diverse response types.
PEAK tests means of multiple data streams with sequential betting.
problem Testing means of multiple data streams with nonparametric methods.
method Sequential, nonparametric testing using a betting scheme.
result PEAK provides up to 85% reduction in samples for stopping.
A new method for kernel tests without data splitting increases power.
problem Lack of power in kernel-based tests due to data splitting.
method Selective inference framework to learn hyperparameters and test on full sample.
result Empirically larger test power without data splitting, regardless of split proportion.
The statistical analysis of discrete data has been the subject of extensive statistical research dating back to the work of Pearson. In this survey we review some recently developed methods for testing hypotheses about high-dimensional multinomials. Traditional tests like the χ2 test and the likelihood ratio test ca…