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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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199398597796 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for asymptotically linear estimators

New method improves covariance estimation for weighted samples.

problem Improving covariance estimation for weighted sample data.
method Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.
result Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.

The paper analyzes methods for estimating linear functionals from observational data, proving upper bounds and showing optimal procedures.

problem Estimating linear functionals from observational data in causal inference and bandit literature.
method Two-stage procedures that first estimate treatment effect function, then use it to estimate the linear functional.
result Proves non-asymptotic upper bounds on mean-squared error for two-stage procedures and shows instance-dependent optimality.

Extends covariance estimation with multiple targets for better performance.

problem Improving covariance estimation for multiple targets.
method Combines multiple constant matrices with sample covariance matrix, derives estimators and proves convergence.
result The multi-target linear shrinkage estimator outperforms other estimators in various situations.

We address challenges in estimating parameters from adaptively collected data.

problem Estimating parameters from data collected adaptively leads to non-normal asymptotic distributions.
method We develop semi-parametric estimators that account for adaptivity in data collection.
result Our estimators are asymptotically normal under certain conditions.

This work extends Ledoit-Wolf shrinkage to unknown mean covariance estimation.

problem Large dimensional covariance matrix estimation with unknown mean under Kolmogorov asymptotics.
method Extending Ledoit-Wolf linear shrinkage to translation-invariant estimators, proving their convergence properties.
result A new estimator outperforms other standard estimators empirically.

The paper addresses statistical estimation in MDPs with confounders using instrumental variables.

problem Statistical estimation of value functions in MDPs with unobservable confounders.
method Two-stage estimator based on instrumental variables for confounded linear MDPs.
result Established statistical properties of the two-stage estimator, including error bounds and asymptotic normality.

Spectral methods improve signal recovery in mixed GLMs with precise asymptotics.

problem Estimating multiple signals from unlabeled observations in mixed GLMs.
method Developed exact asymptotics for spectral methods in a proportional regime.
result Optimized spectral method combined with a linear estimator minimizes estimation error.

Paper addresses high-dimensional linear regression with missing data, proposing efficient and nearly unbiased estimators.

problem High-dimensional linear regression with blockwise missing covariates and partially observed responses.
method Proposes a computationally efficient estimator and nearly unbiased debiased estimators using blockwise imputation and estimating equations.
result Asymptotically valid confidence intervals and statistical tests constructed based on debiased estimators.

This paper presents the asymptotic behavior of a linear instrumental variables (IV) estimator that uses a ridge regression penalty. The regularization tuning parameter is selected empirically by splitting the observed data into training and test samples. Conditional on the tuning parameter, the training sample creates …

2019-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study asymptotically almost periodic solutions on real hyperbolic manifolds.

problem Existence and asymptotic behavior of solutions to parabolic equations.
method Dispersion and smoothing estimates, fixed point argument.
result Existence and uniqueness of asymptotically almost periodic solutions.

The paper provides a non-asymptotic error bound for linear system identification under nonlinear policies.

problem System identification for linear systems with nonlinear and/or time-varying policies under i.i.d. random excitation noises.
method Least square estimation with non-asymptotic error bound for bounded state and action trajectories.
result The error bound is consistent with linear policies and generalizes existing guarantees.

Study uses deep neural networks for inference in partially linear models with dependent data.

problem Inference in partially linear models with dependent data.
method First stage deep neural network (DNN) estimation followed by n\sqrt{n}-consistent and asymptotically normal estimator.
result The DNN-estimated finite dimensional parameter achieves n\sqrt{n}-consistency and asymptotic normality.

The paper develops a method to create non-asymptotic confidence ellipsoids for linear regression without strong noise distribution assumptions.

problem Constructing reliable confidence regions for linear regression with finite sample sizes and general noise distributions.
method The paper introduces the SPS EOA algorithm to create non-asymptotically guaranteed confidence ellipsoids for linear regression problems.
result The sizes of SPS outer ellipsoids are shown to decrease at the optimal rate for linear regression problems.

The paper analyzes an ensemble of randomly projected linear discriminants for high-dimensional data.

problem Classification issues in small samples of high-dimensional data.
method Asymptotic analysis using random matrix theory.
result The ensemble offers a performance advantage under certain conditions.

Study GLS estimator properties in multivariate regression with heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors.

problem Asymptotic properties of GLS estimator in multivariate regression with specific error structures.
method Derive Wald statistics for linear restrictions and assess their performance.
result Wald statistics remain robust to heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation.

Flexible DNN for survival data, avoiding proportional hazards assumption.

problem Survival analysis with complex interactions and non-proportional hazards.
method Partially linear DNN model with a flexible nonparametric component.
result FLEXI-Haz achieves optimal convergence rates and asymptotic efficiency.

New method for estimating parameters in inverse problems using double robustness.

problem Estimating parameters defined as linear functionals of solutions to linear inverse problems.
method Source condition double robust inference method that uses iterated Tikhonov regularized adversarial estimators.
result Asymptotic normality of the parameter of interest as long as either the primal or dual inverse problem is sufficiently well-posed.

Paper presents a new framework for covariance matrix estimation with geometric insights.

problem Challenges in covariance matrix estimation, especially in finding suitable models and efficient estimation methods.
method General framework for linear restrictions on different transformations of the covariance matrix, including matrix logarithm and its inverse.
result Yields an MM-estimator with MM-estimation allowing for straightforward asymptotic and finite sample analysis.

The paper studies the asymptotic behavior of adversarial training under \ell_\infty-perturbation.

problem Theoretical guarantees for sparsity-recovery in adversarial training.
method Investigation of the asymptotic distribution of the adversarial training estimator in generalized linear models.
result The asymptotic distribution of the adversarial training estimator under \ell_\infty-perturbation could have a positive probability mass at 0 when the true parameter is 0.

Corrects mismatch in consistency of nuisance estimators for doubly robust methods.

problem Mismatch in consistency of nuisance estimators in doubly robust methods.
method Calibrated debiased machine learning (calibrated DML) with isotonic regression adjustment.
result Calibrated DML yields doubly robust asymptotic normality with slower convergence of nuisance estimators.

We provide a pointwise confidence bound for non-linear least-squares with fixed design.

problem Confidence estimation in non-linear 2\ell^2-regularized least squares.
method Pointwise confidence bound for local minimizers, using weighted norm involving inverse-Hessian.
result The proposed confidence bound scales with the test input's similarity to the training data.

Study on linear regression with dependent covariates, proving universality and error characterization.

problem Linear regression with dependent covariates in high-dimensional settings.
method Analysis of ridge regression performance, Gaussian universality theorem, spectral properties of covariance matrices.
result Asymptotic performance of ridge regression is invariant under non-Gaussian covariates with preserved mean and covariance.

This paper consider penalized empirical loss minimization of convex loss functions with unknown non-linear target functions. Using the elastic net penalty we establish a finite sample oracle inequality which bounds the loss of our estimator from above with high probability. If the unknown target is linear this inequali…

2013-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper establishes limits for accurately estimating low-rank matrices from noisy, non-linear data.

problem Estimating low-rank matrices from noisy, non-linear observations.
method Proves strong universality result with equivalent Gaussian model and effective prior parameters.
result Signal-to-noise ratio requirement grows as $N^{ rac 12 (1-1/k_F)}$ for accurate reconstruction.

This paper analyzes divide-and-conquer estimators for functional linear regression without assuming target function in the RKHS.

problem Functional linear regression without target function in RKHS.
method Integral operator approach to establish upper bounds and prove asymptotic optimality.
result Sharp finite sample upper bounds and asymptotic optimality of divide-and-conquer estimators.

The growing size of modern data brings many new challenges to existing statistical inference methodologies and theories, and calls for the development of distributed inferential approaches. This paper studies distributed inference for linear support vector machine (SVM) for the binary classification task. Despite a vas…

2018-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Proves formula for reconstruction performance in generalized linear models.

problem Analyzing reconstruction performance in generalized linear models with arbitrary bounded spectrum.
method Message passing algorithms and dynamical system stability analysis.
result Analytical formula confirms replica method conjecture for convex models.

Paper addresses identifiability and asymptotics of ODE systems from noisy data.

problem Identifying parameters and causal structure of linear ODE systems from discrete observations.
method Developed sufficient conditions for identifiability, proved consistency and asymptotic normality of NLS estimator, constructed confidence sets, and inferred causal structure.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal parameter estimator for linear ODE systems under mild conditions.

Paper extends Chernoff sampling for active testing and parameter estimation, improving neural network and regression models.

problem Reducing sample complexity in hypothesis testing and model parameter estimation.
method Developed an extension of Chernoff sampling for active learning and parameter estimation.
result Non-asymptotic bounds for sample complexity and estimation error in active learning.

The paper addresses statistical inference for online decision-making in a contextual bandit setting.

problem Understanding the performance of reward models in online decision-making with contextual information.
method The paper uses the contextual bandit framework with a linear reward model and the ε\varepsilon-greedy policy to address the exploration-exploitation dilemma. It employs the martingale central limit theorem and inverse propensity score weighting to establish asymptotic normality of parameter estimators.
result The online ordinary least squares estimator and the online weighted least squares estimator are asymptotically normal, providing insights into the performance of the reward model.

Develops privacy-preserving methods for longitudinal linear regression.

problem Protecting individual information in longitudinal data with privacy-preserving statistics.
method Proposes a user-level private regression estimator and a privatized covariance estimator for longitudinal linear regression under user-level differential privacy.
result Establishes theoretical guarantees for practical user-level differential privacy estimation and inference in longitudinal linear regression.

The paper addresses nonconvex penalized LAD estimation in partial linear models using DNNs.

problem Challenges in nonconvex penalized LAD estimation with DNNs in partial linear models.
method Parameterizes nonparametric term with DNNs, formulates penalized LAD problem, introduces proximal subgradient method.
result Establishes consistency, convergence rate, and asymptotic normality of the estimator.

Optimal downsampling improves GLM performance in imbalanced classification.

problem Improving GLM performance in imbalanced classification.
method Proposed a pseudo maximum likelihood estimator for optimal downsampling.
result The introduced estimator outperforms existing alternatives in both synthetic and empirical data.

Improved LDA using a nonlinear covariance estimator for better performance.

problem Inefficient LDA when data covariance is ill-conditioned.
method Regularized LDA with a positive semidefinite ridge-type estimator of the inverse covariance matrix.
result The proposed NL-RLDA classifier outperforms state-of-the-art methods across multiple datasets.

In the setting of high-dimensional linear regression models, we propose two frameworks for constructing pointwise and group confidence sets for penalized estimators which incorporate prior knowledge about the organization of the non-zero coefficients. This is done by desparsifying the estimator as in van de Geer et al.…

2017-06-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved statistical inference for expensive data using machine learning predictions.

problem Statistical inference under adaptive two-phase multiwave sampling with expensive measurements.
method Multiwave Predict-Then-Debias estimator combining proxy information and expensive measurements.
result Valid estimators and confidence intervals for M-estimation under adaptive sampling.