This note provides an error bound for the Hartman-Watson integral's leading term.
problem Bounding the error of the leading term of the Hartman-Watson integral.
method Asymptotic expansion analysis focusing on the regime rt=ρ constant. result The error term is bounded uniformly as ∣ϑ(t,ρ)∣≤701t. Study on error probability for classification of heavy-tailed renewal processes.
problem Error probability in classification of heavy-tailed renewal processes.
method Asymptotic expressions for Bhattacharyya bound on misclassification error probabilities.
result Obtained asymptotic expressions for misclassification error probabilities.
Recent works have derived non-asymptotic upper bounds for convergence of underdamped Langevin MCMC. We revisit these bound and consider introducing scaling terms in the underlying underdamped Langevin equation. In particular, we provide conditions under which an appropriate scaling allows to improve the error bounds in…
In this paper, we obtain generic bounds on the variances of estimation and prediction errors in time series analysis via an information-theoretic approach. It is seen in general that the error bounds are determined by the conditional entropy of the data point to be estimated or predicted given the side information or p…
This paper analyzes error bounds for biased SMC samplers in conditional sampling.
problem Analyzing error bounds for biased SMC samplers in conditional sampling.
method Develops a non-asymptotic error analysis for SMC samplers with biased mutation kernels.
result Derives the first non-asymptotic error bound for conditional sampling with score-based diffusion models.
New bounds show current methods overestimate system parameter errors.
problem Current bounds overestimate parameter errors in system identification.
method Utilized asymptotic normality and second-order decomposition.
result Obtained finite-sample bounds matching optimal rates up to constants.
Study non-asymptotic bounds for robust estimators under misspecified models.
problem Evaluate performance of robust estimators under adversarial conditions.
method Propose a general approach to adversarial risk analysis, including investigations on generalization and approximation errors.
result Establish non-asymptotic upper bounds for adversarial excess risk under Lipschitz loss functions.
Sharp bounds derived for test error of finite-rank kernel ridge regression.
problem Loose bounds on test error for finite-rank kernels in machine learning.
method Sharp non-asymptotic upper and lower bounds for KRR test error.
result Tighter bounds on finite-rank KRR test error, valid for any regularization parameters.
The paper analyzes methods for estimating linear functionals from observational data, proving upper bounds and showing optimal procedures.
problem Estimating linear functionals from observational data in causal inference and bandit literature.
method Two-stage procedures that first estimate treatment effect function, then use it to estimate the linear functional.
result Proves non-asymptotic upper bounds on mean-squared error for two-stage procedures and shows instance-dependent optimality.
Derives error bounds for stochastic iterative algorithms using Stein's method.
problem Bounding errors in stochastic iterative algorithms like SGD and SGLD.
method Uses infinite-dimensional Stein's method of exchangeable pairs to derive functional approximation error bounds.
result Establishes non-asymptotic error bounds for algorithm sample paths and variance of iterate averages.
Asymptotic error distribution for approximation of a stochastic integral with respect to continuous semimartingale by Riemann sum with general stochastic partition is studied. Effective discretization schemes of which asymptotic conditional mean-squared error attains a lower bound are constructed. Two applications are …
Study stability thresholds of big line bundles, proving bounds and generalizing results.
problem Stability thresholds of big line bundles and their asymptotic behavior.
method Explicit bounds on error terms, using quasi-monomial valuations to compute stability thresholds.
result Proves Jin--Rubinstein--Tian's questions affirmatively.
The paper provides a non-asymptotic error bound for linear system identification under nonlinear policies.
problem System identification for linear systems with nonlinear and/or time-varying policies under i.i.d. random excitation noises.
method Least square estimation with non-asymptotic error bound for bounded state and action trajectories.
result The error bound is consistent with linear policies and generalizes existing guarantees.
Study tightens bounds for interpolating noisy data using minimum l1-norm.
problem Predicting noisy data with minimum l1-norm interpolation.
method Provided matching upper and lower bounds for prediction error.
result Tight consistency up to negligible terms for d≫n. New algorithm reduces neural net error in contextual bandits.
problem Neural contextual bandits with general activation functions.
method Proposed an efficient algorithm with sublinear regret bound.
result Demonstrated provably sublinear regret bound in finite regime.
This study analyzes LTS in sparse models with finite sample error bounds.
problem Robust regression in high-dimensional sparse models with limited data.
method Non-asymptotic analysis of LTS error bounds.
result Established finite sample error bounds for LTS in sparse models.
This paper improves non-asymptotic bounds for denoising diffusions, focusing on the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
problem Improving non-asymptotic bounds for denoising diffusions, especially for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
method Explicit non-asymptotic bounds on forward diffusion error in total variation, considering multi-modal data distributions.
result The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process cannot be significantly improved in terms of reducing terminal time T for multi-modal data distributions. DALMC provides non-asymptotic error bounds for generative models.
problem Efficiently generating samples from complex data distributions.
method Analysis of diffusion paths and Langevin Monte Carlo.
result Theoretical guarantees for a class of generative models.
Study error bounds in evaluating distributional computational graphs.
problem Error analysis in evaluating graphs with inputs as probability distributions.
method Establish non-asymptotic error bounds using Wasserstein-1 distance.
result Non-asymptotic error bounds for discretization errors in distributional computational graphs.
Study optimizes prediction error for growing-dimensional PFLM models.
problem Optimizing prediction error for growing-dimensional PFLM models.
method Penalized least-squares approach in RKHS with effective dimension consideration.
result Shows exact upper bound for excess prediction risk in non-asymptotic form.
Paper improves off-policy evaluation for reinforcement learning with asymptotically efficient estimators.
problem Estimating target policy performance using offline data collected by a different policy.
method Developed a modified marginalized importance sampling (MIS) estimator that achieves asymptotically efficient error bounds.
result Proved that a simple modification to the MIS estimator can achieve a Cramer-Rao lower bound in mean square error.
New sampling algorithms for complex distributions without log-concavity.
problem Efficient sampling from complex, high-dimensional distributions.
method Randomized splitting Langevin Monte Carlo (RSLMC) algorithm.
result Uniform-in-time error bounds for RSLMC and RLMC algorithms.
The paper provides bounds on estimation error in a distributed online learning setting.
problem Estimating an unknown parameter in a distributed and online manner with finite sample guarantees.
method Proposes a distributed online estimation algorithm that improves accuracy through communication, providing non-asymptotic bounds on estimation error.
result Demonstrates a trade-off between estimation error and communication costs, and determines a stopping time for communication based on desired accuracy.
In this paper, we derive generic bounds on the maximum deviations in prediction errors for sequential prediction via an information-theoretic approach. The fundamental bounds are shown to depend only on the conditional entropy of the data point to be predicted given the previous data points. In the asymptotic case, the…
New bounds for M-SGD show its error distribution is nearly Gaussian.
problem Understanding the error distribution of M-SGD.
method Proved non-asymptotic bounds for M-SGD in Wasserstein distance.
result Error distribution of M-SGD is approximately Gaussian.
Data-driven models are subject to model errors due to limited and noisy training data. Key to the application of such models in safety-critical domains is the quantification of their model error. Gaussian processes provide such a measure and uniform error bounds have been derived, which allow safe control based on thes…
Study on Transfer Elastic Net error bounds and grouping effect.
problem Estimation error and grouping effect in Transfer Elastic Net.
method Derives non-asymptotic error bound and examines grouping effect scenarios.
result Effective error bounds and grouping effect observed in Transfer Elastic Net.
New oracles improve stochastic optimization with noisy or biased measurements.
problem Optimizing functions with noisy or biased measurements.
method Introduced biased gradient oracles for stochastic optimization, analyzed RSG and SGD algorithms with these oracles.
result Derived non-asymptotic bounds for convergence rates of algorithms with biased gradient oracles.
In this paper, we bound the error induced by using a weighted skeletonization of two data sets for computing a two sample test with kernel maximum mean discrepancy. The error is quantified in terms of the speed in which heat diffuses from those points to the rest of the data, as well as how at the weights on the refere…
This paper addresses error bounds and posterior variance for Gaussian process regression.
problem Deriving performance guarantees for Gaussian process regression without prior knowledge.
method Lipschitz continuity and analysis of posterior variance function.
result Uniform error bounds for Gaussian process regression are derived.
Optimizes shortfall risk using gradient-based methods.
problem Optimizing utility-based shortfall risk measures.
method Gradient-based stochastic optimization, non-asymptotic bounds derivation.
result Non-asymptotic convergence rate for optimizing UBSR.
Using elementary arguments, we show how to derive Lp-error bounds for the approximation of frictionless wealth process in markets with proportional transaction costs. For utilities with bounded risk aversion, these estimates yield lower bounds for the frictional value function, which pave the way for its as…
Sharp bounds on uniform generalization errors in binary linear classification.
problem Understanding the uniform generalization errors in binary linear classification.
method Isoperimetric arguments, Poincaré and log-Sobolev inequalities for joint distributions.
result Sharp concentration bounds on uniform generalization errors, almost sure convergence in broad settings.
New bounds derived for KG algorithm's performance in finite time.
problem Best arm identification problem in multi-armed bandit.
method Theoretical analysis of finite-time performance, deriving bounds for sample allocation, error probability, and regret.
result Upper and lower bounds for the probability of error and simple regret of the KG algorithm.
Proves error bounds for PGD, extending log-Sobolev and Talagrand inequalities.
problem Maximum likelihood estimation of large latent variable models.
method Extending log-Sobolev and Talagrand inequalities to models with strongly concave log-likelihoods.
result Non-asymptotic error bounds for PGD in models satisfying LSI and PŁI.
Non-asymptotic tail bounds for Kostlan-Shub-Smale field on sphere
problem Estimating rank-R symmetric signal tensor from Gaussian observation
method Profile maximum likelihood estimator
result Finite-(k,d) error bound recovers asymptotically optimal rate
Paper analyzes LSA algorithm bias and error bounds with RR extrapolation.
problem Analyzing bias and high-order error bounds of LSA with Markovian noise.
method Polyak-Ruppert averaging, linearization, Richardson-Romberg extrapolation.
result RR extrapolation effectively cancels the leading bias term.
FQE with deep neural networks achieves asymptotic normality and finite-sample bounds.
problem Theoretical understanding of FQE with general differentiable function approximators.
method Z-estimation theory applied to FQE with deep neural networks.
result FQE estimation error is asymptotically normal with explicit variance.
New bounds for kernel regression under non-Gaussian noise.
problem Uncertainty quantification for function estimates from noisy observations.
method Novel non-asymptotic probabilistic uniform error bounds for kernel-based regression.
result Proposed bounds apply to a broad class of non-Gaussian noise distributions.
New geometric SDEs and discretizations on Riemannian manifolds with error bounds.
problem Modeling diffusion processes on Riemannian manifolds with geometric SDEs.
method Introduced a new construction of geometric SDEs and provided non-asymptotic error bounds.
result First non-asymptotic error bound for geometric Euler-Murayama discretization.
In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without external inputs. The objective is to recover the system parameters as well as the Kalm…
Study best arm identification with limited precision sampling in bandits.
problem Limited precision sampling in multi-armed bandit problems.
method Proposed a modified tracking-based algorithm to handle non-unique optimal allocations and presented non-asymptotic bounds.
result Asymptotically optimal tracking-based algorithm for best arm identification.
New methods bound estimation error in high-dimensional statistical problems.
problem Fundamental limits of first order methods in high-dimensional estimation.
method Introduces general first order methods for high-dimensional regression and low-rank matrix estimation.
result Derives optimal lower bounds on estimation error for these methods.
New bounds for generative models under weaker assumptions.
problem Establishing convergence guarantees for generative models under weak assumptions.
method Non-asymptotic 2-Wasserstein distance bounds for probability flow ODEs under weak log-concavity and Lipschitz continuity.
result Concrete convergence rates for generative models, including non-log-concave distributions.
The study provides error bounds for the generalized Lasso with sub-exponential data.
problem Analyzing the generalized Lasso under sub-exponential data distributions.
method Non-asymptotic analysis using generic chaining-based proof strategy.
result Error bounds for the generalized Lasso can be controlled by two complexity parameters.
We introduce a computationally effective algorithm for a linear model selection consisting of three steps: screening--ordering--selection (SOS). Screening of predictors is based on the thresholded Lasso that is l_1 penalized least squares. The screened predictors are then fitted using least squares (LS) and ordered wit…
New bound matches exact generalization error for quadratic Gaussian problem.
problem Understanding generalization error in quadratic Gaussian problems.
method Information-theoretic approach with new ingredients.
result Exact tight bound for generalization error.
Sharp asymptotic lower bounds of the expected quadratic variation of discretization error in stochastic integration are given. The theory relies on inequalities for the kurtosis and skewness of a general random variable which are themselves seemingly new. Asymptotically efficient schemes which attain the lower bounds a…