This paper introduces constrained mixtures for continuous distributions, characterized by a mixture of distributions where each distribution has a shape similar to the base distribution and disjoint domains. This new concept is used to create generalized asymmetric versions of the Laplace and normal distributions, whic…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,657 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “asymmetric distributions”
In recent years, correntropy has been seccessfully applied to robust adaptive filtering to eliminate adverse effects of impulsive noises or outliers. Correntropy is generally defined as the expectation of a Gaussian kernel between two random variables. This definition is reasonable when the error between the two random…
Paper proposes GAS-ALD model for financial risk prediction.
problem Skewed distribution of financial return data.
method Generalized autoregressive score (GAS) framework with asymmetric Laplace distribution (ALD).
result GAS-ALD model predicts VaR and ES more accurately than traditional models.
A mixture of shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions is introduced and used for clustering and classification. A variant of the EM algorithm is developed for parameter estimation by exploiting the relationship with the general inverse Gaussian distribution. This approach is mathematically elegant and relatively comput…
Local asymptotic minimax risk bounds in a locally asymptotically mixture of normal family of distributions have been investigated under asymmetric loss functions and the asymptotic distribution of the optimal estimator that attains the bound has been obtained.
New HMC method uses asymmetrical momentum distributions and improves performance.
problem Rigorous convergence guarantees for HMC with Gaussian momentum distributions.
method New convergence analysis for HMC with general asymmetrical momentum distributions, proposing AD-HMC.
result AD-HMC exhibits geometric convergence in Wasserstein distance under certain conditions.
Mixtures of multivariate contaminated shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions are developed for handling asymmetric clusters in the presence of outliers (also referred to as bad points herein). In addition to the parameters of the related non-contaminated mixture, for each (asymmetric) cluster, our model has one param…
This paper applies Thompson Sampling to asymmetric -stable bandits for financial and wireless data.
problem Optimizing exploration-exploitation in multi-armed bandits with asymmetric -stable distributions.
method Thompson Sampling applied to unknown asymmetric -stable reward distributions.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of Thompson Sampling for asymmetric -stable bandits.
Bayesian VI copula models capture asymmetric intraday equity dependence.
problem Modeling asymmetric and extreme tail dependence in financial data.
method Bayesian variational inference for skew-t copula models in high dimensions.
result The copula captures substantial heterogeneity in asymmetric dependence over equity pairs and time.
The generalized correlation approach, which has been successfully used in statistical radio physics to describe non-Gaussian random processes, is proposed to describe stochastic financial processes. The generalized correlation approach has been used to describe a non-Gaussian random walk with independent, identically d…
Innovative Extensions to Option Pricing: Asymmetric Brownian Motion and Random Walk Approachesq-fin.MF
Innovative extensions to option pricing models using asymmetric Brownian motion and random walk approaches.
problem Capturing empirical phenomena like return skewness, heavy tails, and volatility asymmetry in option pricing models.
method Developing the Geometric Asymmetric Brownian Motion (GABM) within the Bachelier--Black--Scholes--Merton framework.
result Deriving closed-form option pricing formulas and a discrete-time binomial tree algorithm that converges to the GABM limit.
COMET Flows model multivariate extremes with heavy tails and asymmetric dependence.
problem Normalizing flows struggle with multivariate extremes and asymmetric tail dependence.
method COMET Flows decomposes modeling into marginal and copula parts; uses tail belief and kernel density for marginals, and low-dimensional manifold for tail dependence.
result COMET Flows outperform other models in capturing heavy-tailed marginals and asymmetric tail dependence.
A family of parsimonious shifted asymmetric Laplace mixture models is introduced. We extend the mixture of factor analyzers model to the shifted asymmetric Laplace distribution. Imposing constraints on the constitute parts of the resulting decomposed component scale matrices leads to a family of parsimonious models. An…
ASK-NN: An Asymmetric Nearest-Neighbor Test that detects Distribution Drifts in Natural Languagecs.LG
ASK-NN detects distribution drifts in LLM-generated text.
problem Hallucinations and artificial text in LLM-generated outputs.
method Asymmetric two-sample test based on directed k-nearest-neighbor graph.
result ASK-NN is competitive with baselines on various benchmarks.
TSVQR captures heterogeneous and asymmetric data using quantile regression.
problem Capturing heterogeneous and asymmetric information in modern data.
method Twin Support Vector Quantile Regression (TSVQR) with two nonparallel planes for quantile levels.
result TSVQR outperforms previous methods in capturing and learning from data.
This work models financial market returns with asymmetric Tsallis distributions, improving fit over symmetric q-Gaussians.
problem Non-symmetric behavior of stock market returns over time scales.
method Linear combination of two independent normalized half q-Gaussians with different parameters.
result Asymmetric distributions provide better fits to stock market returns than symmetric q-Gaussians, especially over longer time scales.
Tsallis Relative entropy from asymmetric distributions as a risk measure for financial portfoliosq-fin.ST
New method uses asymmetric Tsallis relative entropy for better risk assessment in financial portfolios.
problem Improving risk assessment for financial portfolios using asymmetric data.
method Generalized Tsallis relative entropy (ATRE) for asymmetric distributions of returns.
result ATRE shows better risk-return profiles, especially during market crashes.
Domain adaptation addresses the common problem when the target distribution generating our test data drifts from the source (training) distribution. While absent assumptions, domain adaptation is impossible, strict conditions, e.g. covariate or label shift, enable principled algorithms. Recently-proposed domain-adversa…
Study of asymmetric rank-one tensor models with non-Gaussian noise.
problem Analyzing maximum-likelihood estimators for asymmetric rank-one tensor models.
method Spectrally separated branch analysis, resolvent methods, cumulant expansions, Efron-Stein-type variance bounds.
result Asymptotic singular value and mode-wise alignments are robust to non-Gaussian noise.
New method optimizes portfolios with options, addressing asymmetry, dimensionality, and dependence.
problem Optimizing portfolios with options, especially when distributions are asymmetric, dimensions are high, and payoffs are dependent.
method Developed a new dependency matrix based on conditional probabilities of options' payoffs, computed using copula structures.
result Empirical evidence shows the approach is efficient, fast, and scalable to large portfolios of options.
Implementation of an Asymmetric Adjusted Activation Function for Class Imbalance Credit Scoringcs.LG
A new activation function improves credit scoring accuracy for imbalanced datasets.
problem Imbalanced datasets in credit scoring lead to underestimation of misclassification costs.
method Introduces ASIG, an asymmetric adjusted Sigmoid function.
result ASIG-embedded classifier outperforms traditional classifiers across various imbalance ratios.
We examine random variables in the power law/regularly varying class with stochastic tail exponent, the exponent having its own distribution. We show the effect of stochasticity of on the expectation and higher moments of the random variable. For instance, the moments of a right-tailed or right-asymmetric varia…
In regression tasks, aleatoric uncertainty is commonly addressed by considering a parametric distribution of the output variable, which is based on strong assumptions such as symmetry, unimodality or by supposing a restricted shape. These assumptions are too limited in scenarios where complex shapes, strong skews or mu…
Bottlenecks of binary classification from positive and unlabeled data (PU classification) are the requirements that given unlabeled patterns are drawn from the test marginal distribution, and the penalty of the false positive error is identical to the false negative error. However, such requirements are often not fulfi…
The price impact for a single trade is estimated by the immediate response on an event time scale, i.e., the immediate change of midpoint prices before and after a trade. We work out the price impacts across a correlated financial market. We quantify the asymmetries of the distributions and of the market structures of …
Study of geometric analysis on asymmetric metric spaces, including heat flow and Sobolev spaces.
problem Analysis of geometric properties on asymmetric metric measure spaces.
method Introduction of upper gradients, -Laplacian, and -heat flow in asymmetric settings.
result Extension of concepts from symmetric to asymmetric metric measure spaces.
A new PU classifier PUAL tackles trifurcate data issues.
problem Training classifiers on trifurcate data containing only labeled-positive instances and unlabeled instances.
method PUAL classifier with asymmetric loss and kernel-based algorithm.
result PUAL achieves satisfactory classification on trifurcate data.
A new method for CT-DCEGs simplifies inference for asymmetric processes.
problem Inference in asymmetric state space problems with continuous time evolution.
method An extension of CEG propagation for CT-DCEGs, employing junction tree inference.
result CT-DCEGs are preferred over DBNs and continuous time BNs for asymmetric processes.
New Classes of the Greedy-Applicable Arm Feature Distributions in the Sparse Linear Bandit Problemcs.LG
New distributions allow greedy arm selection in sparse bandit problems.
problem Sparse contextual bandit problem with sparse parameters and feature distributions.
method Introduced new distribution classes and demonstrated that mixtures of these distributions are also greedy-applicable.
result Greedy algorithm applicable to a wider range of arm feature distributions, including those with origin-asymmetric support.
This paper analyzes ETFs with Taiwan exposure, finding heavy tails and asymmetric volatility.
problem Heavy tails and asymmetric volatility in Taiwan-related ETFs.
method Tail-risk diagnostics, asymmetric volatility modeling, and portfolio optimization under mean--variance and CVaR criteria.
result CVaR optimization produces more concentrated allocations, favoring SMH during the post-COVID AI-driven expansion.
New metrics for Anosov representations defined from Thurston's asymmetric metrics.
problem Defining metrics for Anosov representations.
method Generalizing Thurston's asymmetric metric to Anosov representations.
result Provides a (possibly asymmetric) Finsler distance in some cases.
Generalizes Thurston's asymmetric metric to flat metrics.
problem Defining an asymmetric metric on flat metrics.
method Defined an asymmetric metric on the space of unit-area flat metrics.
result Discussed two different topologies from the asymmetry.
Generalized Earthquake Frequency-Magnitude Distribution Described by Asymmetric Laplace Mixture Modellingphysics.geo-ph
The complete part of the earthquake frequency-magnitude distribution (FMD), above completeness magnitude mc, is well described by the Gutenberg-Richter law. The parameter mc however varies in space due to the seismic network configuration, yielding a convoluted FMD shape below max(mc). This paper investigates the shape…
This paper develops a new methodology for studying continuous-time Nash equilibrium in a financial market with asymmetrically informed agents. This approach allows us to lift the restriction of risk neutrality imposed on market makers by the current literature. It turns out that, when the market makers are risk averse,…
This study examines asymmetric cross-correlations in cryptocurrency markets using fractal analysis.
problem Exploring asymmetric multifractal cross-correlations in cryptocurrency markets.
method Fractal analysis and MF-ADCCA method to investigate asymmetric volatility dynamics.
result Cross-correlations are stronger in downtrend markets than in uptrend markets for maturing BTC and ETH.
Theoretical justification for asymmetric actor-critic algorithms in reinforcement learning.
problem Lack of precise theoretical justification for asymmetric actor-critic algorithms in reinforcement learning.
method Adapting a finite-time convergence analysis to the asymmetric actor-critic setting with linear function approximators.
result A finite-time bound reveals that the asymmetric critic eliminates aliasing errors in the agent state.
This work presents deep asymmetric networks with a set of node-wise variant activation functions. The nodes' sensitivities are affected by activation function selections such that the nodes with smaller indices become increasingly more sensitive. As a result, features learned by the nodes are sorted by the node indices…
We consider the problem of designing locality sensitive hashes (LSH) for inner product similarity, and of the power of asymmetric hashes in this context. Shrivastava and Li argue that there is no symmetric LSH for the problem and propose an asymmetric LSH based on different mappings for query and database points. Howev…
Characterizing asymmetric and bimodal long-term financial return distributions through quantum walksq-fin.ST
Quantum walk model captures asymmetry and bimodality in long-term financial returns.
problem Inadequate classical models for long-term financial return distributions.
method Discrete-time quantum walk model.
result Captures bimodal and asymmetric probability distributions.
New asymmetric kernel methods improve feature learning.
problem Improving feature learning with asymmetric kernels.
method Coupled covariance eigenproblem and Nyström method.
result Empirical evaluations show benefits of KSVD.
Uncovering symmetric and asymmetric species associations from community and environmental datastat.ML
Framework uncovers symmetric and asymmetric species associations from data.
problem Retrieving bidirectional species associations from co-occurrence data.
method Machine learning framework modeling latent embeddings and joint generative model.
result Framework successfully recovers known symmetric and asymmetric associations.
We develop an empirical behavioural order-driven (EBOD) model, which consists of an order placement process and an order cancellation process. Price limit rules are introduced in the definition of relative price. The order placement process is determined by several empirical regularities: the long memory in order direc…
In latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA), topics are multinomial distributions over the entire vocabulary. However, the vocabulary usually contains many words that are not relevant in forming the topics. We adopt a variable selection method widely used in statistical modeling as a dimension reduction tool and combine it wi…
The article confirms two quasi-alternating surgeries for 9 asymmetric L-space knots.
problem Understanding quasi-alternating surgeries on asymmetric L-space knots.
method Using the Montesinos trick to confirm known surgeries.
result Confirmation of two quasi-alternating surgeries for each of 9 asymmetric L-space knots.
The paper improves asymmetric causality tests by addressing inefficiencies and statistical significance issues.
problem Inefficiencies and statistical significance issues in asymmetric causality tests.
method Improved asymmetric causality tests via partial cumulative sums for positive and negative components, explicitly testing differences between causal parameters.
result Efficiently tested hypotheses on asymmetric causal interaction between financial markets.
We propose a Bayesian non-parametric approach for modeling the distribution of multiple returns. In particular, we use an asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation (ADCC) model to estimate the time-varying correlations of financial returns where the individual volatilities are driven by GJR-GARCH models. The ADCC-GJR-…
Stein discrepancy improves UDA performance in low-data scenarios.
problem Improving model performance on unlabeled target domains with limited data.
method Proposes a novel UDA framework using Stein discrepancy, an asymmetric measure that depends on the target distribution through its score function.
result Consistently outperforms prior UDA approaches under limited target data across multiple benchmarks.
We propose Deep Asymmetric Multitask Feature Learning (Deep-AMTFL) which can learn deep representations shared across multiple tasks while effectively preventing negative transfer that may happen in the feature sharing process. Specifically, we introduce an asymmetric autoencoder term that allows reliable predictors fo…