Clusters of highly correlated stocks are identified for better asset selection.
problem Identifying a small set of stocks to approximate the diversification of the whole stock universe.
method Data-driven correlation blockmodel clustering approach.
result The algorithm effectively detects clusters of highly correlated stocks.
Study BSΔE on lattices for asset price analysis.
problem Optimal investment and market equilibrium analysis in asset price models.
method Backward stochastic difference equations on lattices.
result Applications to optimal investment and market equilibrium analysis.
This paper examines cryptocurrency integration with traditional markets, showing how network structure and turbulence influence cross-asset spillovers.
problem Understanding how cryptocurrencies integrate with traditional financial markets and the impact of market stress on cross-asset spillovers.
method Combining rolling correlation networks, community structure, market-specific and system-wide Turbulence Indices, and VAR-based connectedness analysis.
result Cross-asset integration is episodic, with network structure and turbulence playing a role in transmission during stress periods.
The value of an asset in a financial market is given in terms of another asset known as numeraire. The dynamics of the value is non-stationary and hence, to quantify the relationships between different assets, one requires convenient measures such as the means and covariances of the respective log returns. Here, we dev…
The economic life of an asset is the optimum length of its usefulness, which is the moment that the asset's expenses are minimum. In this paper, the economic life of physical assets, such as industry machine and equipment, can be interpreted as the moment that the minimum is reached by its equivalent property cost func…
We employ perturbation analysis technique to study multi-asset portfolio optimisation with transaction cost. We allow for correlations in risky assets and obtain optimal trading methods for general utility functions. Our analytical results are supported by numerical simulations in the context of the Long Term Growth Mo…
Enhanced synthetic dataset improves asset allocation analysis.
problem Lack of realistic synthetic data for fixed income portfolio construction.
method Improved CorrGAN model for synthetic correlation matrices and Encoder-Decoder model for additional data conditioning.
result Synthetic dataset enhances portfolio construction and asset allocation analysis.
Proposes a Structural Matrix Autoregressive model for joint analysis of asset returns, realized volatility, and trading volume.
problem Joint analysis of asset returns, realized volatility, and trading volume
method Structural Matrix Autoregressive model
result Volatility is primary driver of trading activity, with informational shocks incorporated through price variability.
New method uses VAEs to generate financial correlation matrices for credit portfolio VaR analysis.
problem Quantifying credit portfolio sensitivity to asset correlations.
method Employing Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) to generate synthetic financial correlation matrices.
result The VAE latent space captures crucial factors impacting portfolio diversification, especially in credit portfolio sensitivity to asset correlations.
This paper analyzes crypto white papers under MiCAR, highlighting NLP's role.
problem Regulatory changes in crypto white papers under MiCAR.
method Survey of existing NLP applications, analysis of MiCAR changes.
result NLP can assist in regulatory compliance and white paper analysis.
We employ a wavelet approach and conduct a time-frequency analysis of dynamic correlations between pairs of key traded assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily data. We show that heterogeneity in correlations across a number of investmen…
The paper studies derivative asset analysis in structural credit risk models where the asset value of the firm is not fully observable. It is shown that in order to compute the price dynamics of traded securities one needs to solve a stochastic filtering problem for the asset value. We transform this problem to a filte…
This paper creates a comprehensive BTC transaction network dataset spanning 15 years.
problem Lack of a full-history BTC graph and network property dataset.
method Thorough analysis of BTC transaction network, creating a dataset and investigating decentralization.
result First systematic investigation of BTC's asset decentralization and design of decentralization degrees.
We analyze a simple asset transfer model in which the transfer amount is a fixed fraction f of the giver's wealth. The model is analyzed in a new way by Laplace transforming the master equation, solving it analytically and numerically for the steady-state distribution, and exploring the solutions for various values o…
Develops a method to estimate the shadow riskless rate from empirical data.
problem No risky asset in market, need for a shadow riskless rate.
method PCA, SVD, regularization to estimate SRR from correlated geometric Brownian motion.
result Estimates the shadow riskless rate from empirical datasets.
We investigate the use of Kelly's strategy in the construction of an optimal portfolio of assets. For lognormally distributed asset returns, we derive approximate analytical results for the optimal investment fractions in various settings. We show that when mean returns and volatilities of the assets are small and ther…
The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability periods. In the case of asset prices, such scaling behaviour can be used for risk…
KAN-PCA improves asset return analysis by capturing more variance than classical PCA during market crises.
problem Inefficient classical PCA during market crises when correlations between assets change dramatically.
method KAN-PCA uses KAN (Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks) with B-spline functions to learn nonlinear projections.
result KAN-PCA achieves a higher reconstruction R^2 (66.57%) compared to classical PCA (62.99%) on 20 S&P 500 stocks.
AAMDRL uses DRL to manage assets in noisy, changing environments.
problem Learning in noisy, self-adapting environments with sequential data.
method Augmented state information, one-period lag, walk forward analysis.
result AAMDRL outperforms traditional methods in asset management.
The paper identifies the minimum mean-variance spanning set and its importance in asset evaluation.
problem Estimating the minimum subset of assets that span the efficient frontier.
method Established identification conditions and developed a novel procedure for MSS estimation and inference.
result The MSS estimator accurately covers the true MSS and converges to it at any desired confidence level.
Digital transformation boosts corporate financial asset allocation, especially short-term.
problem Understanding how digital transformation affects corporate financial decisions.
method Fixed-effects models and staggered DID design using A-share listed companies data.
result Digital transformation significantly promotes corporate financial asset allocation, more pronounced in short-term.
We analyze linear factor models for asset pricing panels.
problem Characterizing cross-sectional and inter-temporal properties of returns and factors.
method Conditional means and covariances, review of Kozak and Nagel (2024) conditions.
result Low-dimensional factor portfolios can span efficient portfolios in unbalanced panels.
We investigate connectedness within and across two major groups or assets: i) five popular cryptocurrencies, and ii) six major asset classes plus two commonly employed risk factors. Granger-causality tests uncover six direct channels of causality from the elements of the mainstream assets/risk factors group to digital …
We provide a critical analysis of the proof of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing given in the paper "Arbitrage and approximate arbitrage: the fundamental theorem of asset pricing" by B. Wong and C.C. Heyde (Stochastics, 2010) in the context of incomplete Itô-process models. We show that their approach can only w…
Study shows SEC crypto classification led to significant market reactions.
problem Impact of SEC classification of crypto assets as securities.
method Event study methodology focusing on explicitly named crypto assets.
result Significant adverse market reactions, with returns plummeting 12% over one week.
The paper refutes standard asset pricing models and introduces new theories.
problem Inaccuracies in standard asset pricing models.
method Introduces new theories and empirical tests to explain asset pricing anomalies.
result New theories explain why standard models are inaccurate and provide insights.
The portfolio optimization problem in which the variances of the return rates of assets are not identical is analyzed in this paper using the methodology of statistical mechanical informatics, specifically, replica analysis. We define two characteristic quantities of an optimal portfolio, namely, minimal investment ris…
This study examines non-performing assets and cryptocurrencies in Japan.
problem Economic downturn led to non-performing loans, affecting financial institutions.
method Literature analysis to summarize development, issuance, supervision, etc.
result Cryptocurrencies are being regulated in Japan despite non-performing loans.
An analytic solution for asset allocation with Laplace distribution.
problem Asset allocation with multivariate Laplace distribution.
method Specialization of elliptically symmetric distribution theory to Laplace distribution, accounting for dimensionality and variance rescaling.
result A result consistent with conjecture but with differences due to omitted term and rescaling.
Randomized control methods improve asset pricing and performance analysis.
problem Challenges in drawing inferences from traditional random portfolios in performance evaluation.
method Geometric random walks and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to construct flexible control groups.
result Captured premia associated with size, value, quality, and momentum in a constrained setting.
This paper presents a numerical model to solve the problem of cash accumulation strategies for products with an unknown future price, like assets. Stock prices are modeled by a discretized Wiener Process, and by the means of ordinary integrals this Wiener Process will be exactly matched at a preset terminal time. Three…
In this paper we present a novel approach for firm default probability estimation. The methodology is based on multivariate contingent claim analysis and pair copula constructions. For each considered firm, balance sheet data are used to assess the asset value, and to compute its default probability. The asset pricing …
This study diversifies stock and crypto portfolios using network analysis.
problem Balancing returns and volatility in diversified portfolios.
method Community detection in network representations of assets, using Louvain and Affinity propagation algorithms.
result Opposite trends in crypto and traditional asset markets.
The investment risk minimization problem with budget and return constraints has been the subject of research using replica analysis but there are shortcomings in the extant literature. With respect to Tobin's separation theorem and the capital asset pricing model, it is necessary to investigate the implications of a ri…
RL agents outperform baselines in asset allocation.
problem Optimizing asset allocation using reinforcement learning.
method Model-free deep RL agents trained on real-world stock prices.
result RL agents significantly outperformed random and uniform allocation.
Paper uses news data to model asset correlations without market data.
problem Traditional risk models rely on market data; this paper offers an alternative.
method Uses encoder-only language models to embed news data, then calculates asset return distributions and covariance through Energy Distance.
result Established connections between distributional differences and excess returns co-movements using Energy Distance.
Paper proposes real-time risk metrics for stablecoin protocols.
problem Lack of risk management frameworks for stablecoins.
method Developed two risk metrics: capitalization and liquidity.
result Demonstrated practical benefits of real-time on-chain data.
In this paper, motivated by the celebrated work of Kelly, we consider the problem of portfolio weight selection to maximize expected logarithmic growth. Going beyond existing literature, our focal point here is the rebalancing frequency which we include as an additional parameter in our analysis. The problem is first s…
Paper analyzes arbitrage in uncertain markets, providing quantitative asset pricing.
problem Dealing with model uncertainty in markets that allow small arbitrage.
method Quantitative analysis of arbitrage, focusing on asset price processes close to martingales.
result Quantitative version of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and Super-Replication Theorem.
Hedge funds have long been viewed as a veritable "black box" of investing since outsiders may never view the exact composition of portfolio holdings. Therefore, the ability to estimate an informative set of asset weights is highly desirable for analysis. We present a compositional state space model for estimation of an…
New method improves conditional covariance estimation using targeted groups of assets.
problem Improving conditional covariance estimation in financial time series.
method Introduces targeting in BEKK and DCC models for financial time series analysis.
result Encouraging results from empirical case study, especially with fewer assets.
This paper develops a pricing model for data assets from the buyer's perspective.
problem Insufficient research on pricing data assets from the buyer's perspective.
method Develops a pricing model based on the informational value of data assets from the buyer's perspective, using an implicit function derived from value functions in investment-consumption problems under ambiguity markets.
result Derives general expressions and explicit pricing formulas for data assets under various conditions.
Paper proposes a CNN model for improved multi-asset portfolio risk prediction.
problem Challenges in risk management of multi-asset portfolios due to limited correlation capture.
method Uses CNN and image processing to convert financial data into images for enhanced feature extraction.
result CNN model significantly outperforms traditional methods in risk prediction accuracy.
Study shows how COVID-19 pandemic affected China's crude oil futures market efficiency.
problem Impact of COVID-19 on China's crude oil futures market efficiency.
method Multifractal analysis to compare market efficiency before and during the pandemic.
result Market efficiency of SC and its cross-correlations with other assets increased significantly after the outbreak of COVID-19.
The paper simplifies hedging and portfolio allocation in markets without a risk-free asset.
problem Optimal hedging and portfolio allocation in markets without a risk-free asset.
method Establishes equivalence between hedging with and without numeraire change, uses oblique projections.
result Explicit expressions for optimal strategies and efficient frontier computation.
Study develops sector rotation models using factor and fundamental analysis.
problem Understanding and predicting sector shifts in financial markets.
method Systematic sector classification, factor analysis, and fundamental metrics evaluation.
result Developed predictive models with notable predictive capabilities.
Empirical study of CAPM and Fama-French model in Chinese A-share market.
problem Testing and validating CAPM and Fama-French model in Chinese A-share market.
method Used Fama-MacBeth regression and Fama-French three-factor model to analyze Chinese A-share trading data from 2000 to 2019, adjusting for IPO shell value contamination.
result Fama-French model captures most of A-share market returns, with adjusted R-squared > 0.88.
A new method simulates implied volatility surfaces for multiple assets.
problem Generating consistent market scenarios for multiple asset implied volatilities.
method Combining functional data analysis and neural SDEs with a penalty for model misspecification.
result Simulated market scenarios are consistent with historical features and lie within the sub-manifold of essentially free static arbitrage.