We propose a new NFT price index to track the digital art market.
problem Lack of a comprehensive NFT price index.
method Developed a new methodology to create a NFT Price Index.
result Demonstrated the dynamics and performances of NFT markets.
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48 results for “art pricing”
Computer graphics techniques improve art pricing by measuring painting effort.
problem Traditional art pricing models lack measures for conceptual and painting efforts.
method Applied image recognition to measure line and color variances as proxies for effort.
result Painting effort (line and color variances) significantly positively correlates with sales price.
The paper evaluates and benchmarks electricity price forecasting models.
problem Lack of rigorous evaluation methods and open datasets.
method Literature review, cross-market comparison, open datasets, and python toolbox.
result Best practices for electricity price forecasting are proposed.
This paper introduces a new financial metric for the art market. The metric is based on the price per unit of area and is applicable to two-dimensional art objects such as paintings.
We propose a deep neural network framework for computing prices and deltas of American options in high dimensions. The architecture of the framework is a sequence of neural networks, where each network learns the difference of the price functions between adjacent timesteps. We introduce the least squares residual of th…
Study uses deep learning to predict asset prices, finds complex target processes lead to meaningless predictions.
problem Complexity of successful price prediction models hinders understanding.
method Deep learning models for high-frequency price prediction, focusing on volatility and directional prediction.
result Inadequately defined target price process renders predictions meaningless.
We offer new formulas for European option pricing under tempered stable processes.
problem Pricing European options under tempered stable processes.
method Series expansions for tempered stable densities and European option prices.
result Our formulas are hyperparameter-free and competitive with traditional methods.
Optimistic pricing algorithm handles online dynamic pricing with censored demand.
problem Online dynamic pricing with censoring of potential demand.
method Optimistic estimates of derivatives for pricing algorithm.
result Achieves optimal regret against adversarial inventory series.
This paper measures the information quantity in paintings using entropy.
problem Traditional art pricing models lack variables capturing painting content.
method Extends Shannon entropy to measure painting information using pixel-level variances of line, color, value, shape/form, and space.
result Variance measurements significantly explain sales prices, improving traditional models.
Quantum algorithm speeds up pricing of financial derivatives.
problem Pricing autocallable options efficiently.
method Integration-based exponential amplitude loading technique.
result 50x reduction in circuit depth for payoff component.
Paper proposes a new method for demand forecasting in pricing contexts.
problem Demand forecasting in pricing contexts, especially in a profit optimal manner.
method Combines Double Machine Learning for causal inference and transformer-based forecasting models.
result Our method outperforms other forecasting methods in off-policy settings.
DeepFolio uses neural networks to predict stock price movements from LOB data.
problem Predicting price movements from LOB data.
method Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for portfolio management.
result DeepFolio outperforms state-of-the-art models in various scenarios.
New method uses SVD entropy to price artworks.
problem Lack of fine measurements in traditional art pricing models.
method SVD entropy of painting images for content measurement.
result SVD entropy positively affects sales price at 1% significance level.
Deep model predicts Bitcoin price movements without retraining.
problem Stationary modelling of high-frequency Bitcoin price movements.
method Deep recurrent model based on order flow.
result Model maintains stability during volatile periods.
Novel neural network predicts electricity prices with higher moments.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of volatile electricity prices.
method Distributional neural network with a probability layer.
result Significantly outperforms benchmarks in forecasting.
Transformers predict price movements from limit order books.
problem Predicting price movements from limit order books.
method Causal convolutional network with masked self-attention.
result Significantly outperforms existing architectures on FI-2010 dataset.
Paper introduces Arte-Blue Chip Index for diversifying portfolios with art investments.
problem Evaluating blue-chip art as a viable asset class for diversification.
method Developed Arte-Blue Chip Index tracking top-performing artists over 24 years.
result 20% allocation of blue-chip art in a diversified portfolio increases risk-adjusted returns by 20%.
Notwithstanding almost forty years of efforts, the market for paintings still lacks a widely accepted price index. In this paper, we introduce a simple and intuitive metric to construct such index. Our metric is based on the price of a painting divided by its area. This formulation rests on a solid mathematical foundat…
The paper compares advanced deep learning models for Indian stock price forecasting.
problem Complexity of stock price forecasting due to numerous influencing factors.
method Utilizes historical data from national banks in India, combines deep learning models and sentiment analysis.
result Achieved higher accuracy in stock price forecasting compared to traditional methods.
Generative model improves intraday electricity price forecasting.
problem Intraday electricity price forecasting for improved trading strategies.
method Generative neural network model for probabilistic path forecasts.
result Generative model leads to higher profit gains than benchmark methods.
Transfer learning improves electricity price forecasting accuracy.
problem Accurate day-ahead electricity price prediction using available data.
method Pre-train a neural network on source markets and fine-tune for target market.
result Transfer learning significantly improves forecasting performance.
THieF improves day-ahead electricity price prediction accuracy by reconciling hourly and block forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy in predicting day-ahead electricity prices.
method Temporal hierarchy forecasting (THieF) reconciling hourly and block forecasts.
result THieF significantly improves accuracy (up to 13%) at all levels of prediction.
The paper forecasts Bitcoin prices using statistical and machine learning models.
problem Forecasting Bitcoin's daily closing prices.
method Used statistical SLR and MLR models, and machine learning MLP and LSTM neural networks.
result The proposed models outperformed benchmarks and demonstrated efficacy.
Machine learning models outperform traditional CAPM in forecasting financial asset prices.
problem Predicting and forecasting financial asset prices and returns.
method Comparison of modern Machine Learning algorithms with the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) on U.S. equities data.
result Implemented Machine Learning models significantly outperform the CAPM on out-of-sample test data.
Predicts cryptocurrency prices with deep state-space model.
problem Predicting day-ahead crypto-currency prices.
method Proposes a deep state-space model combining state-space formulation and deep neural networks.
result The deep state-space model outperforms state-of-the-art and classical methods in accuracy.
Two methods for pricing swing contracts using neural networks or explicit functions.
problem Evaluating optimal energy purchases in swing contracts with firm constraints.
method Two approaches: explicit parametric function and neural network approximation.
result Neural network approach provides better prices in shorter computation time.
New loss functions optimize pricing policies using transaction data, ensuring expected revenue guarantees.
problem Optimizing pricing policies with transaction data where valuation data is not directly observed.
method Introducing convex loss functions for contextual pricing, focusing on log-concave valuation distributions.
result Proved expected revenue bounds for generalized hinge and quantile pricing loss functions.
Study shows GRU model with dropout outperforms in Bitcoin price prediction.
problem Predicting Bitcoin price and volatility using machine learning.
method Advanced machine learning methods including GRU with recurrent dropout, feature engineering, and RMSE evaluation.
result Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) model with recurrent dropout outperforms traditional models in Bitcoin price prediction.
HLOB predicts mid-price changes in L.O.Bs using deep learning.
problem Forecasting mid-price changes in Limit Order Books.
method HLOB uses a deep learning model with an Information Filtering Network and Homological Convolutional Neural Networks.
result HLOB outperforms state-of-the-art models in real-world datasets.
Crude oil is a major component in most advanced economies of the world. Accurately predicting and understanding the behavior of crude oil prices is important for economists, analysts, forecasters, and traders, to name a few. The price of crude oil has declined in the past decade and is seeing a phase of stability; but …
Study predicts electricity prices using LSTM models with feature selection, considering market coupling.
problem Accurate day-ahead electricity price forecasting in coupled markets.
method Hybrid LSTM-based deep learning models with feature selection algorithms.
result Proposed models achieve considerably accurate results in Nordic market.
Deep learning models struggle with new data in stock price trend prediction.
problem Stock price trend prediction using Deep Learning models.
method Examination of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models on LOB data, using LOBCAST framework.
result All models show significant performance drop with new data, questioning their market applicability.
Deep network optimizes ad bidding for first-price auctions.
problem Optimizing bid prices for first-price auctions in online advertising.
method Introduced a deep distribution network for optimal bidding.
result Algorithm outperforms previous methods in terms of surplus and eCPX metrics.
Paper proposes a new dynamic pricing method with always-valid online statistical learning.
problem Designing dynamic pricing policies that adapt to online uncertainty and maintain validity.
method Regularized online statistical learning with theoretical guarantees and three major advantages.
result Proposed OORMLP pricing policy secures logarithmic regret in decision horizon.
New method improves probabilistic electricity price predictions.
problem Improving point forecasts to probabilistic distributions for better decision-making.
method Isotonic Distributional Regression combined with other postprocessing methods.
result Isotonic Distributional Regression outperforms other methods in combining probabilistic distributions.
Paper tackles BNSL with IP, improving quality of solutions.
problem Bayesian Network Structure Learning (BNSL) with IP formulations.
method Inexact column generation using difference-of-submodular optimization.
result Improved solutions quality compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
Paper uses DRL for dynamic pricing on e-commerce platforms.
problem Dynamic pricing on e-commerce platforms.
method Deep reinforcement learning, Markov Decision Process (MDP), continuous price sets, difference of revenue conversion rates (DRCR).
result DRCR is a more appropriate reward function than revenue.
Game-theoretic model captures investor interactions for stock price forecasting.
problem Complex market dynamics driving stock price movements.
method Game-theoretic modeling of heterogeneous investor interactions in a dynamic graph structure.
result Our method outperforms state-of-the-art stock price forecasting methods.
ReVol normalizes stock price features to mitigate distribution shifts, improving prediction accuracy.
problem Distribution shifts in stock price data hinder accurate prediction.
method ReVol uses normalization, attention-based estimation, and geometric Brownian motion.
result ReVol achieves an average improvement of more than 0.03 in IC and over 0.7 in SR.
Model predicts stock price changes and forecasts using tokenized data.
problem Challenges in stock price forecasting and prediction due to dynamic data and statistical differences.
method Introduces PCIE model with tokenization to handle both forecasting and prediction.
result PCIE model outperforms state-of-the-art models in forecast and prediction tasks.
This paper contributes a new machine learning solution for stock movement prediction, which aims to predict whether the price of a stock will be up or down in the near future. The key novelty is that we propose to employ adversarial training to improve the generalization of a neural network prediction model. The ration…
At present, cryptocurrencies have become a global phenomenon in financial sectors as it is one of the most traded financial instruments worldwide. Cryptocurrency is not only one of the most complicated and abstruse fields among financial instruments, but it is also deemed as a perplexing problem in finance due to its h…
TSFMs outperform traditional models in electricity price forecasting.
problem Accurate electricity price forecasting for effective decision-making.
method Benchmarking several TSFMs against traditional models using real-world data.
result MSTL model consistently outperforms TSFMs across countries and metrics.
FutureQuant Transformer predicts price ranges and volatility for futures trading.
problem Complex futures trading with real-time LOBs and vast data.
method FutureQuant Transformer model using attention mechanisms.
result Significantly improved trading performance with an average gain of 0.1193%.
Stock market volatility forecasting is a task relevant to assessing market risk. We investigate the interaction between news and prices for the one-day-ahead volatility prediction using state-of-the-art deep learning approaches. The proposed models are trained either end-to-end or using sentence encoders transfered fro…
A novel method uses blockchain transaction graphs for Bitcoin price prediction.
problem Insufficient effectiveness of manually designed features for Bitcoin price prediction.
method Mining patterns from Bitcoin transactions using k-order transaction graphs and proposing a novel prediction method.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art Bitcoin price prediction methods.
Doubly High-Dimensional Contextual Bandits: An Interpretable Model for Joint Assortment-Pricingstat.ML
Jointly tackles assortment and pricing in retail, using bandit models.
problem Maximizing revenue or profit in retail through optimal assortment and pricing.
method Contextual bandits with a flexible, interpretable model for high-dimensional contexts and actions.
result Proves lower regret compared to state-of-the-art methods in various bandit and pricing models.
Pricing assets has attracted significant attention from the financial technology community. We observe that the existing solutions overlook the cross-sectional effects and not fully leveraged the heterogeneous data sets, leading to sub-optimal performance. To this end, we propose an end-to-end deep learning framework t…