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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,982 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for argument shift method

Constructs integrable systems for Lie-Poisson structures at nilpotent elements.

problem Integrability of transverse Lie-Poisson structures at nilpotent elements.
method Using the argument shift method to construct families of functions in involution.
result Provides a uniform construction of completely integrable systems for an infinite family of nilpotent elements.

The paper analyzes the generalization error of min-norm interpolators in transfer learning with limited test samples.

problem Characterizing the generalization error of min-norm interpolators in transfer learning with limited test samples.
method Characterizes the bias and variance of pooled min-2\ell_2-norm interpolation under covariate shift and model shift.
result Shows that adding data can hurt when SNR is low and is beneficial at higher SNR levels under certain conditions.

Corrects distribution shift in target shift scenarios using importance weighting.

problem Analyzes importance weighting for correcting distribution shift under target shift.
method Analyzed importance-weighted kernel ridge regression under target shift.
result Shows that importance weighting corrects the train-test mismatch without altering input-space complexity.

New method exploits independence in instrumental variable models for better causal inference.

problem Identify causal functions in the presence of unobserved confounders.
method HSIC-X method that exploits independence between response, hidden confounders, and instruments.
result The method provides better finite sample results and is invariant to distributional shifts.

Unified analysis of KL divergence using shifted composition for sampling.

problem Sampling from target distributions with KL divergence guarantees.
method Shifted composition rule applied to KL divergence, combining local error analysis and Girsanov's theorem.
result Unified KL guarantees for strongly log-concave, weakly log-concave, and log-Sobolev distributions.

The first eigenfunction of a specific domain in hyperbolic space is log-concave.

problem Proving the log-concavity of the first eigenfunction on horoconvex domains in hyperbolic space.
method Proof by contradiction, using properties of Killing derivatives and nodal domains.
result The first eigenfunction is log-concave throughout the domain.

New theorem shows curvature concentration depends linearly on volume ratio.

problem Gap theorem for nonnegative Ricci curvature manifolds with small curvature concentration.
method Exhibited Ricci flow solution with faster than 1/t curvature decay.
result Curvature concentration depends linearly on asymptotic volume ratio.

The history of research in finance and economics has been widely impacted by the field of Agent-based Computational Economics (ACE). While at the same time being popular among natural science researchers for its proximity to the successful methods of physics and chemistry for example, the field of ACE has also received…

2018-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose nonparametric methods for individual calibration in regression models.

problem Uncertainty quantification and individual calibration for regression models.
method Nonparametric methods agnostic of the underlying model, combining nonparametric and covering number arguments.
result Established matching upper and lower bounds for calibration error.

STAD adapts models to evolving time-based data shifts.

problem Gradual distribution shifts over time challenge existing test-time adaptation methods.
method Bayesian filtering method that learns time-varying dynamics in hidden features.
result STAD excels in handling small batch sizes and label shift on real-world data.

New research shows LLMs can't be explained by statistical generalization alone.

problem Understanding why large language models (LLMs) perform well despite statistical generalization limitations.
method Examined the non-identifiability of AR probabilistic models and their implications for LLMs.
result Non-identifiability of LLMs leads to different behaviors and requires a separate theoretical explanation.

In this paper, we study how the mean shift algorithm can be used to denoise a dataset. We introduce a new framework to analyze the mean shift algorithm as a denoising approach by viewing the algorithm as an operator on a distribution function. We investigate how the mean shift algorithm changes the distribution and sho…

2016-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Study evaluates methods for improving model robustness to various real-world distribution shifts.

problem Improving model robustness to real-world distribution shifts like geographic changes.
method Introduced new datasets and evaluated existing methods on four types of shifts (style, blurriness, location, camera operation).
result Data augmentations and larger models can improve robustness on real-world distribution shifts, contrary to prior claims.

RLSbench benchmarks domain adaptation under label proportion shifts, revealing widespread failures and proposing a two-step meta-algorithm.

problem Domain adaptation under label proportion shifts is poorly understood and inconsistent across methods.
method RLSbench introduces a large-scale benchmark with 500 distribution shift pairs. It proposes a two-step meta-algorithm to improve domain adaptation methods under label proportion shifts.
result The two-step meta-algorithm improves domain adaptation methods by 2-10% accuracy points under large label proportion shifts.

Proposes SGShift to identify shifted features causing model performance degradation under concept shift.

problem Concept shift leading to miscalibration in ML models across domains.
method SGShift method for identifying sparse set of shifted features using feature selection and statistical tools.
result SGShift identifies shifted features more accurately than baseline methods, requires few samples in the shifted domain, and is robust to complex cases.

Proposes a method to improve regression model performance with limited target data using fused-regularizer.

problem Model shifts and covariate shifts in high-dimensional regression.
method Two-step method with fused-regularizer to leverage source data for target task.
result Robust to covariate shifts, minimax-optimal under certain conditions, and validated by numerical tests.

Combines adversarial and interventional robustness for machine learning models.

problem Designing robust models for distribution shifts in machine learning.
method RISe formulation using distributionally robust optimization.
result Demonstrates efficacy of RISe approach with synthetic and real-world datasets.

Method identifies shifts leading to large model performance differences.

problem Detecting shifts in distribution that affect model performance.
method Parametric changes in causal mechanisms define robustness sets; worst-case optimization problem approximated as non-convex quadratic.
result Second-order approximation of worst-case loss for small shifts, leading to efficient algorithms.

New CPS model tackles conditional probability shift in machine learning.

problem Discrepancy between source and target distributions in machine learning.
method Conditional Probability Shift Model (CPSM) using multinomial regression and EM algorithm.
result Superior balanced classification accuracy on target data compared to existing methods.

Method improves simulation accuracy by mitigating distribution shift in hybrid systems.

problem Mitigating distribution shift in machine-learning augmented hybrid simulation.
method Tangent-space regularized estimator to control distribution shift.
result Marked improvements in simulation accuracy, especially for systems with high distribution shift.

Paper proposes a new regularization method to prevent model degradation under distribution shifts.

problem Model performance degrades under distribution shifts.
method Supervised contrastive learning with heterogeneous similarity.
result The proposed method outperforms existing regularization methods on benchmark datasets.

Paper develops a new method to improve model calibration under distribution shifts.

problem Challenges in uncertainty quantification with different training and test distributions.
method Develops multi-domain temperature scaling to handle distribution shifts.
result Outperforms existing methods on in-distribution and out-of-distribution test sets.

New risk decompositions clarify domain adaptation issues.

problem Domain adaptation challenges with different training and test distributions.
method Representation Bayesian Risk Decompositions, hybrid argument.
result Clarifies factors (2) and (3) as reasons for generalization failure.

Paper tackles high-dimensional quantile regression with distribution shift using transfer learning.

problem Efficiency of knowledge transfer is severely impacted by distribution shift in high-dimensional regression.
method Proposes a novel transferable set and framework for three types of distribution shift: parameter, covariate, and residual.
result Establishes estimation error bounds and source detection consistency for the proposed method.

A feature-weighted mean shift algorithm improves clustering in high-dimensional data.

problem Clustering high-dimensional data with traditional mean shift algorithms.
method Feature-weighted mean shift algorithm.
result The algorithm outperforms conventional mean shift and preserves computational simplicity.

Paper tackles distribution shifts in prediction models with unobserved confounding.

problem Distribution shifts in prediction models with unobserved confounding.
method Linear structural causal model, invariant covariate representations, data-driven representation learning method.
result Optimizes for a lower-dimensional linear subspace and a prediction model confined to that subspace, achieving nearly ideal gap between target and source risk.

A method corrects feedback shift in predicting conversion rates with delayed feedback.

problem Delayed feedback leads to mislabeling of positive instances in training data.
method Uses importance weight approach to correct feedback shift.
result Proposed method outperforms existing methods in offline and online experiments.

This paper rethinks confidence calibration under covariate shifts.

problem Calibration methods struggle with covariate shifts and unstable importance weighting.
method Derives Expectation consistency condition and proposes Expectation consistency loss (ECL).
result ECL loss is compatible with various types of calibration and has the same sample complexity as ECE.