A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New algorithm estimates eigenspace with faulty nodes, matching performance of existing methods.
Paper introduces SDM for detecting LLM hallucinations, improving on entropy tests.
Group model selection is the problem of determining a small subset of groups of predictors (e.g., the expression data of genes) that are responsible for majority of the variation in a response variable (e.g., the malignancy of a tumor). This paper focuses on group model selection in high-dimensional linear models, in w…
In experimental design, we are given a large collection of vectors, each with a hidden response value that we assume derives from an underlying linear model, and we wish to pick a small subset of the vectors such that querying the corresponding responses will lead to a good estimator of the model. A classical approach …
We consider the problem of sparsity-constrained -estimation when both explanatory and response variables have heavy tails (bounded 4-th moments), or a fraction of arbitrary corruptions. We focus on the -sparse, high-dimensional regime where the number of variables and the sample size are related through $…
A new model for latent class analysis with weighted responses.
ERAPS builds prediction sets for time-series data.
Proposes a new method to explain model predictions for consumer recourse.
We study contextual search, a generalization of binary search in higher dimensions, which captures settings such as feature-based dynamic pricing. Standard formulations of this problem assume that agents act in accordance with a specific homogeneous response model. In practice, however, some responses may be adversaria…
This article considers algorithmic and statistical aspects of linear regression when the correspondence between the covariates and the responses is unknown. First, a fully polynomial-time approximation scheme is given for the natural least squares optimization problem in any constant dimension. Next, in an average-case…
In the regression problem, L1 and L2 are the most commonly used loss functions, which produce mean predictions with different biases. However, the predictions are neither robust nor adequate enough since they only capture a few conditional distributions instead of the whole distribution, especially for small datasets. …
We show that for a certain class of dynamics at the nodes the response of a network of any topology to arbitrary inputs is defined in a simple way by its response to a monotone input. The nodes may have either a discrete or continuous set of states and there is no limit on the complexity of the network. The results pro…
Paper studies zero-sum games with noisy observations and identifies equilibrium conditions.
New methods for private statistical inference under local differential privacy.
Information in neural networks is represented as weighted connections, or synapses, between neurons. This poses a problem as the primary computational bottleneck for neural networks is the vector-matrix multiply when inputs are multiplied by the neural network weights. Conventional processing architectures are not well…
New algorithm extracts features from superpositions in machine learning models.
We introduce a novel paradigm for learning non-parametric drift and diffusion functions for stochastic differential equation (SDE). The proposed model learns to simulate path distributions that match observations with non-uniform time increments and arbitrary sparseness, which is in contrast with gradient matching that…
Experiments that study neural encoding of stimuli at the level of individual neurons typically choose a small set of features present in the world --- contrast and luminance for vision, pitch and intensity for sound --- and assemble a stimulus set that systematically varies along these dimensions. Subsequent analysis o…
The article compares predictor importance in classification problems with categorical outcomes.
New method infers unknown parameters in quantum sensing with high probability.
Method fuses low and high-resolution data for better health estimates.
A new neural network model uses polynomial chaos theory to improve neural signal processing.
MHVAE learns cross-modality inference inspired by human cognition.
Quantile regression is a method to estimate the quantiles of the conditional distribution of a response variable, and as such it permits a much more accurate portrayal of the relationship between the response variable and observed covariates than methods such as Least-squares or Least Absolute Deviations regression. It…
We provide a novel -- and to the best of our knowledge, the first -- algorithm for high dimensional sparse regression with constant fraction of corruptions in explanatory and/or response variables. Our algorithm recovers the true sparse parameters with sub-linear sample complexity, in the presence of a constant fractio…
This paper simplifies complex game dynamics by using a recursive representation.
Flexible tree ensemble learning framework supports arbitrary loss functions and multi-task learning.
There are non-vanishing price responses across different stocks in correlated financial markets. We further study this issue by performing different averages, which identify active and passive cross-responses. The two average cross-responses show different characteristic dependences on the time lag. The passive cross-r…
Extends knockoff filter for composite null hypotheses in variable selection.
Automated scoring engines are increasingly being used to score the free-form text responses that students give to questions. Such engines are not designed to appropriately deal with responses that a human reader would find alarming such as those that indicate an intention to self-harm or harm others, responses that all…
Differential privacy formalises privacy-preserving mechanisms that provide access to a database. We pose the question of whether Bayesian inference itself can be used directly to provide private access to data, with no modification. The answer is affirmative: under certain conditions on the prior, sampling from the pos…
An important task in structural design is to quantify the structural performance of an object under the external forces it may experience during its use. The problem proves to be computationally very challenging as the external forces' contact locations and magnitudes may exhibit significant variations. We present an e…
Previous studies of the stock price response to individual trades focused on single stocks. We empirically investigate the price response of one stock to the trades of other stocks. How large is the impact of one stock on others and vice versa? -- This impact of trades on the price change across stocks appears to be tr…
Although deep convolutional networks have achieved improved performance in many natural language tasks, they have been treated as black boxes because they are difficult to interpret. Especially, little is known about how they represent language in their intermediate layers. In an attempt to understand the representatio…
We consider high dimensional sparse regression, and develop strategies able to deal with arbitrary -- possibly, severe or coordinated -- errors in the covariance matrix . These may come from corrupted data, persistent experimental errors, or malicious respondents in surveys/recommender systems, etc. Such non-stochas…
BELIEF framework interprets GLMs using binary linear models.
Study evaluates different price response definitions for NASDAQ stocks.
Interpretable text-response modelling for structured outcomes
Previous studies of the stock price response to trades focused on the dynamics of single stocks, i.e. they addressed the self-response. We empirically investigate the price response of one stock to the trades of other stocks in a correlated market, i.e. the cross-responses. How large is the impact of one stock on other…
LaRT models LLMs' response accuracy and CoT length to evaluate reasoning ability and speed.
New method handles correlated responses and interaction effects in multi-response regression.
Study analyzes price response and spread impact in foreign exchange markets.
PEER tackles multi-response regression with incomplete outcomes efficiently.
New method for explaining dialogue response generation models.
An important, yet largely unstudied, problem in student data analysis is to detect misconceptions from students' responses to open-response questions. Misconception detection enables instructors to deliver more targeted feedback on the misconceptions exhibited by many students in their class, thus improving the quality…
Enhances traditional MV model for socially responsible investors.
In this study we present a kernel based convolution model to characterize neural responses to natural sounds by decoding their time-varying acoustic features. The model allows to decode natural sounds from high-dimensional neural recordings, such as magnetoencephalography (MEG), that track timing and location of human …
Active learning suffers from biased non-response, which this paper addresses.