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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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4795142189 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for arbitrage strategies

We introduce the concept of spontaneous symmetry breaking to arbitrage modeling. In the model, the arbitrage strategy is considered as being in the symmetry breaking phase and the phase transition between arbitrage mode and no-arbitrage mode is triggered by a control parameter. We estimate the control parameter for mom…

2011-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Generalized statistical arbitrage concepts are introduced corresponding to trading strategies which yield positive gains on average in a class of scenarios rather than almost surely. The relevant scenarios or market states are specified via an information system given by a σσ-algebra and so this notion contains classi…

2019-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Strict local martingales may admit arbitrage opportunities with respect to the class of simple trading strategies. (Since there is no possibility of using doubling strategies in this framework, the losses are not assumed to be bounded from below.) We show that for a class of non-negative strict local martingales, the s…

2008-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We construct and study market models admitting optimal arbitrage. We say that a model admits optimal arbitrage if it is possible, in a zero-interest rate setting, starting with an initial wealth of 1 and using only positive portfolios, to superreplicate a constant c>1. The optimal arbitrage strategy is the strategy for…

2013-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Hidden Markov model predicts profitable statistical arbitrage in Shanghai crude oil futures.

problem Statistical arbitrage opportunities in international crude oil futures markets.
method Hidden Markov model for cointegration spread, mean-reverting regime-switching process.
result Statistical arbitrage strategies involving Shanghai crude oil futures are profitable.

Study evaluates discretized arbitrage strategies in fractional financial markets.

problem Serial correlation in financial markets with fractional Brownian motion.
method Revisit and transfer Shiryaev and Salopek's strategies to a real-world setting, distretizing dynamics and introducing transaction costs.
result Both strategies are promising with respect to terminal portfolio values and loss probabilities.

In a continuous-time model with multiple assets described by càdlàg processes, this paper characterizes superhedging prices, absence of arbitrage, and utility maximizing strategies, under general frictions that make execution prices arbitrarily unfavorable for high trading intensity. Such frictions induce a duality bet…

2015-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A new trading strategy using reinforcement learning for statistical arbitrage.

problem Traditional statistical arbitrage models rely on model assumptions and price deviations from a long-term mean.
method Empirical reversion time metric, reinforcement learning framework, and state space optimization.
result Optimal mean reversion strategy identified through reinforcement learning.

Neural networks can find financial arbitrage opportunities without needing market models.

problem Finding arbitrage opportunities in financial markets without using market models.
method Used neural networks to solve convex semi-infinite programs and detect arbitrage opportunities.
result Neural networks can detect model-free static arbitrage strategies in financial markets.

Deep neural networks identify robust arbitrage strategies in financial markets.

problem Identifying profitable trading strategies under model ambiguity.
method Data-driven deep neural networks considering high-dimensional financial markets.
result Empirical investigations show profitable trading performances in various market conditions.

We present a new framework for Hermite fractional financial markets, generalizing the fractional Brownian motion and fractional Rosenblatt markets. Considering pure and mixed Hermite markets, we introduce a strategy-specific arbitrage tax on the rate of transaction volume acceleration of the hedging portfolio as the pr…

2017-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper applies thermodynamics to financial markets to prove no-arbitrage constraints.

problem No arbitrage in financial markets under price impact.
method Stochastic thermodynamics applied to financial trading cycles.
result Proves any round-trip trading strategy yields non-positive expected profit.

An arbitrage strategy allows a financial agent to make certain profit out of nothing, i.e., out of zero initial investment. This has to be disallowed on economic basis if the market is in equilibrium state, as opportunities for riskless profit would result in an instantaneous movement of prices of certain financial ins…

2010-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

There is vast empirical evidence that given a set of assumptions on the real-world dynamics of an asset, the European options on this asset are not efficiently priced in options markets, giving rise to arbitrage opportunities. We study these opportunities in a generic stochastic volatility model and exhibit the strateg…

2010-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops a continuous-time framework for financial markets without stochastic calculus.

problem Developing continuous-time financial models without stochastic calculus.
method A general framework using conditional topologies and pseudo-distance topologies.
result No-arbitrage conditions hold in continuous time if and only if they hold in discrete time.

In a Markovian model for a financial market, we characterize the best arbitrage with respect to the market portfolio that can be achieved using nonanticipative investment strategies, in terms of the smallest positive solution to a parabolic partial differential inequality; this is determined entirely on the basis of th…

2010-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes BESS for cross-market energy arbitrage to boost revenues.

problem Charging and discharging BESS at optimal times to maximize profits.
method Developed a generic framework, backtest engine, and optimization strategy.
result Boosted revenues by 10% through strategic BESS operation.

This paper studies the concept of instantaneous arbitrage in continuous time and its relation to the instantaneous CAPM. Absence of instantaneous arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of a trading strategy which satisfies the CAPM beta pricing relation in place of the market. Thus the difference between the arbitrag…

2019-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We have embedded the classical theory of stochastic finance into a differential geometric framework called Geometric Arbitrage Theory and show that it is possible to: --Write arbitrage as curvature of a principal fibre bundle. --Parameterize arbitrage strategies by its holonomy. --Give the Fundamental Theorem of Asset …

2009-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Statistical arbitrage is a class of financial trading strategies using mean reversion models. The corresponding techniques rely on a number of assumptions which may not hold for general non-stationary stochastic processes. This paper presents an alternative technique for statistical arbitrage based on online learning w…

2018-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study identifies Bitcoin arbitrageurs and their trading strategies.

problem Detecting and understanding Bitcoin arbitrageurs on Mt. Gox.
method Analyzing historical trade data from Mt. Gox (2011-2014) to identify and categorize arbitrageurs.
result Expert arbitrageurs have a positive profit margin, while novice users do not.

We use an adversarial expert based online learning algorithm to learn the optimal parameters required to maximise wealth trading zero-cost portfolio strategies. The learning algorithm is used to determine the relative population dynamics of technical trading strategies that can survive historical back-testing as well a…

2019-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider an infinite dimensional optimization problem motivated by mathematical economics. Within the celebrated "Arbitrage Pricing Model", we use probabilistic and functional analytic techniques to show the existence of optimal strategies for investors who maximize their expected utility.

2015-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a strictly pathwise setting for Delta hedging exotic options, based on Föllmer's pathwise Itō calculus. Price trajectories are dd-dimensional continuous functions whose pathwise quadratic variations and covariations are determined by a given local volatility matrix. The existence of Delta hedging strategie…

2015-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian inference identifies model parameters from financial data to detect arbitrage opportunities.

problem Identifying model parameters from financial data to detect arbitrage opportunities.
method Bayesian inference approach using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm.
result Bayesian inference can estimate unknown trend and volatility coefficients from measured data.

Paper solves PDEs for optimal investment strategies in volatile markets.

problem Finding optimal investment strategies in volatile markets.
method Numerical methods using time-changed Bessel bridges.
result Solves PDEs for relative arbitrage opportunities in volatility-stabilized markets.

Paper analyzes arbitrage in uncertain markets, providing quantitative asset pricing.

problem Dealing with model uncertainty in markets that allow small arbitrage.
method Quantitative analysis of arbitrage, focusing on asset price processes close to martingales.
result Quantitative version of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and Super-Replication Theorem.

No universal trading strategy exists due to mathematical impossibilities.

problem The impossibility of universally winning trading strategies in competitive markets.
method Three mathematical paradigms: measure-theoretic, No-Free-Lunch theorem, and adversarial Cantor diagonalization.
result No-arbitrage and free-lunch principles are mathematically precluded in competitive markets.

New method finds profitable investment opportunities by considering additional financial variables.

problem Finding trading strategies that outperform the market with high probability.
method Generalizing functionally generated portfolios to include continuous-path semimartingales.
result Inclusion of additional processes can reduce time horizons for profitable arbitrage opportunities.

The paper investigates cyclic arbitrage opportunities in decentralized exchanges.

problem Price discrepancies in decentralized exchanges lead to arbitrage opportunities.
method Theoretical framework and analysis of transaction-level data.
result Traders have executed over 292,606 cyclic arbitrages over eleven months, exploiting more than 138 million USD in revenue.

We study arbitrage opportunities, market viability and utility maximization in market models with an insider. Assuming that an economic agent possesses from the beginning an additional information in the form of a random variable G, which only becomes known to the ordinary agents at date T, we give criteria for the No …

2016-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Study develops a multi-pair trading strategy using graph clustering and machine learning.

problem Improving risk-adjusted returns and reducing transaction costs in US equities market.
method Statistical arbitrage, graph clustering algorithms, Kelly criterion, machine learning classifiers.
result Optimal signal detection and risk management techniques outperformed benchmarks.

The paper analyzes statistical arbitrage using a factor model of equity returns.

problem Analyzing and trading statistical arbitrage strategies in equity markets.
method Conditional factor model, state space framework, online risk premia estimation, mean reversion trades.
result The model outperforms other methods in statistical arbitrage trading strategies over a 29-year period.

This paper analyzes how multiple investors can exploit relative arbitrage opportunities.

problem Analyzing how multiple investors can exploit relative arbitrage opportunities.
method Constructing a well-posed market dynamical system of McKean-Vlasov type, deriving optimal strategies, and finding Nash equilibrium.
result The conditions for relative arbitrage opportunities among competitive investors are derived.