The paper improves the robustness of approximate randomization tests.
problem Noisy data limits the robustness of approximate randomization tests.
method Derives non-asymptotic bounds and novel conditions for approximate randomization tests.
result Valid approximate randomization tests under data invariances can be derived.
Test log-likelihood comparisons can be misleading.
problem Misinterpretation of test log-likelihood in model comparison.
method Simple examples of model comparison and forecast accuracy.
result Test log-likelihood does not always correlate with model accuracy.
A new test method improves goodness-of-fit tests for copulas.
problem Developing robust tests for copula goodness-of-fit.
method Binary Expansion Approximation of UniformiTY (BEAUTY) and Binary Expansion Adaptive Symmetry Test (BEAST).
result The BEAST method improves empirical power against various alternatives.
The study analyzes group testing algorithms for identifying defective items with high confidence.
problem Identifying defective items from a population using group testing with high confidence.
method Formulated as a function learning problem using the PAC framework, analyzed three algorithms: column matching, combinatorial basis pursuit, and definite defectives.
result Derived bounds on the number of tests needed for approximate set identification, comparing with existing bounds and simulating performance.
CTT compresses samples to test distributions near-linearly, outperforming existing methods.
problem Efficiently testing distributions with high power and near-linear runtime.
method Sample compression followed by permutation testing.
result CTT achieves near-linear runtime while maintaining high statistical power.
Efficiently tests two distributions using Nyström approximation of MMD.
problem Testing whether two sets of data are from the same distribution in large-scale scenarios.
method Nyström approximation of maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) for scalable testing.
result Finite-sample bound on power of the test for sufficiently separated distributions.
New test assesses probabilistic model calibration without expensive approximations.
problem Assessing calibration of probabilistic models with scores.
method Kernel Calibration Conditional Stein Discrepancy (KCCSD) test using new score-based kernels.
result Control over type-I error with improved scalability and efficiency.
In this paper, we propose a way to combine two acceleration techniques for the ℓ_1-regularized least squares problem: safe screening tests, which allow to eliminate useless dictionary atoms; and the use of fast structured approximations of the dictionary matrix. To do so, we introduce a new family of screening …
Single tree outperforms random forest in testing accuracy.
problem The challenge of improving single decision tree performance.
method Gradient-based entire tree optimization framework, scaled sigmoid approximation, numerical stability algorithm, subtree polish strategy.
result Optimized single tree outperforms classic random forest by 2.03% on average.
Constraint-based causal discovery (CCD) algorithms require fast and accurate conditional independence (CI) testing. The Kernel Conditional Independence Test (KCIT) is currently one of the most popular CI tests in the non-parametric setting, but many investigators cannot use KCIT with large datasets because the test sca…
New tests detect high-order interactions without permutations.
problem Scalability issues in kernel-based tests for high-order interactions.
method Permutation-free high-order tests using V-statistics and cross-centring.
result Tests yield standard normal distribution under null hypothesis.
We present an extension of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) two-sample test, which can be more sensitive to differences in the tails. Our test statistic is an integral probability metric (IPM) defined over a higher-order total variation ball, recovering the original KS test as its simplest case. We give an exact representer…
New test for conditional independence using GNNs avoids estimating conditional distributions.
problem Testing conditional independence of X and Y given Z. method Proposes a non-parametric testing procedure using GNNs to sample from marginal conditional distributions.
result Test statistic is doubly robust against GNN approximation errors.
A martingale framework for concept change detection based on testing data exchangeability was recently proposed (Ho, 2005). In this paper, we describe the proposed change-detection test based on the Doob's Maximal Inequality and show that it is an approximation of the sequential probability ratio test (SPRT). The relat…
Computable Stein discrepancies have been deployed for a variety of applications, ranging from sampler selection in posterior inference to approximate Bayesian inference to goodness-of-fit testing. Existing convergence-determining Stein discrepancies admit strong theoretical guarantees but suffer from a computational co…
New exact tests detect changepoints in binary and count data, especially when normal approximations fail.
problem Detecting changepoints in multichannel binary and count data.
method Exact tests combining two-sample conditional tests with multiplicity correction.
result Exact tests are much more powerful than asymptotic tests in various settings.
A neural network-based two-sample test improves classification accuracy.
problem Differentiating between two sub-exponential densities.
method Difference of logit function from trained classification neural network.
result Network complexity scales with intrinsic dimensionality for low-dimensional manifolds.
A method uses neural networks to approximate sampling distributions of test statistics.
problem Accurate modeling of p-value functions or cdfs for correct confidence set coverage.
method Uses neural networks to model the cdf of test statistics, approximating sampling distributions.
result Neural network approximations of sampling distributions are effective and simple.
New method uses CDMs to improve CI testing without distributional assumptions.
problem Testing conditional independence when the conditional distribution is unknown.
method Uses conditional diffusion models (CDMs) to approximate X∣Z and a classifier-based CMI estimator. result Proposed method performs better than GAN-based CI tests and controls type I and II errors.
It is widely accepted that optimization of medical imaging system performance should be guided by task-based measures of image quality (IQ). Task-based measures of IQ quantify the ability of an observer to perform a specific task such as detection or estimation of a signal (e.g., a tumor). For binary signal detection t…
Paper presents a machine learning method to improve significance tests for misspecified linear models.
problem Misspecification of linear assumptions in social science models leads to inaccurate significance levels.
method Apply machine learning to fit ground truth function, calculate linear approximation, and adjust the estimator.
result The method significantly outperforms linear regression for non-linear ground truth functions.
The paper provides Gaussian approximations for decentralized Federated Learning.
problem Lack of asymptotic statistical guarantees for local SGD in Federated Learning.
method Two generalized Gaussian approximation results for local SGD trajectories.
result Valid multiplier bootstrap procedures and Gaussian bootstrap-based tests for detecting adversarial attacks.
Simplified screening tests for data points in optimization.
problem Discarding irrelevant data points in empirical risk minimization.
method Designing loss functions and regularizing convex losses to induce sparsity, using ellipsoidal approximations.
result Automatic discarding of data samples without losing optimization guarantees.
Conditional independence testing is a fundamental problem underlying causal discovery and a particularly challenging task in the presence of nonlinear and high-dimensional dependencies. Here a fully non-parametric test for continuous data based on conditional mutual information combined with a local permutation scheme …
Improved predictive posterior density estimation through optimized importance sampling.
problem Low signal-to-noise ratio in posterior predictive densities.
method Optimized importance sampling using a test-time variational proxy.
result Significantly improved estimates of predictive posterior densities.
We develop a novel computationally efficient and general framework for robust hypothesis testing. The new framework features a new way to construct uncertainty sets under the null and the alternative distributions, which are sets centered around the empirical distribution defined via Wasserstein metric, thus our approa…
Improved MMD test for two-sample testing with random Fourier features.
problem Quadratic-time complexity of MMD test for large-scale analysis.
method Approximated MMD test using random Fourier features, investigating time-power trade-off.
result Sub-quadratic time complexity with same minimax separation rates as MMD test.
Three DP variants linked, improving SGD privacy bounds.
problem Relating different DP variants for tighter privacy bounds.
method Developed machinery to relate approximate DP to RDP and hypothesis test DP.
result Improved privacy guarantees for noisy SGD.
State2vec improves RL by learning state embeddings that generalize across policies.
problem Inefficient generalization across policies in RL.
method Extends node2vec to learn state embeddings accounting for discounted future state transitions.
result Captures the geometry of the state space, leading to sample-efficient value function approximation.
New sampling and identity-testing methods for mixtures of distributions that don't satisfy approximate tensorization of entropy.
problem Sampling and identity-testing for mixtures of distributions that don't satisfy approximate tensorization of entropy.
method Fast mixing of Glauber dynamics and efficient identity-testers in the coordinate-conditional sampling access model.
result Efficient identity-testers for mixtures of ATE distributions in the coordinate-conditional sampling access model.
We consider the hypothesis testing problem of detecting conditional dependence, with a focus on high-dimensional feature spaces. Our contribution is a new test statistic based on samples from a generative adversarial network designed to approximate directly a conditional distribution that encodes the null hypothesis, i…
We investigate the problem of testing whether d random variables, which may or may not be continuous, are jointly (or mutually) independent. Our method builds on ideas of the two variable Hilbert-Schmidt independence criterion (HSIC) but allows for an arbitrary number of variables. We embed the d-dimensional joint …
As a crucial problem in statistics is to decide whether additional variables are needed in a regression model. We propose a new multivariate test to investigate the conditional mean independence of Y given X conditioning on some known effect Z, i.e., E(Y|X, Z) = E(Y|Z). Assuming that E(Y|Z) and Z are linearly related, …
The paper presents an approximate formula for European mortgage options pricing.
problem Pricing European mortgage options with accuracy and efficiency.
method Approximation of the underlying price distribution using lognormal distributions and matching moments.
result The proposed formula provides a good approximation with high accuracy compared to Monte Carlo simulations.
We present an approximation scheme for support vector machine models that use an RBF kernel. A second-order Maclaurin series approximation is used for exponentials of inner products between support vectors and test instances. The approximation is applicable to all kernel methods featuring sums of kernel evaluations and…
A new test for comparing distributions is proposed, balancing optimality and efficiency.
problem Comparing distributions defined over non-Euclidean domains.
method Spectral-regularized two-sample test based on random Fourier features.
result The proposed test is minimax optimal under certain conditions.
New KSDs control moments in approximations, improving diagnostics and tests.
problem Inability of standard KSDs to control moment convergence.
method Developed alternative diffusion KSDs under sufficient conditions.
result First KSDs to exactly characterize q-Wasserstein convergence.
L-C2ST improves local diagnostics for SBI approximations.
problem Evaluating trustworthiness of posterior approximations in SBI.
method Local evaluation of posterior estimators at any observation.
result Offers better statistical power and interpretability.
The paper proves a non-asymptotic test error approximation for KRR.
problem Understanding the test error of Kernel Ridge Regression.
method Established a non-asymptotic deterministic approximation for test error of KRR.
result The test error of KRR can be approximated by a closed-form estimate derived from the spectrum of the kernel operator.
Hypothesis testing in the linear regression model is a fundamental statistical problem. We consider linear regression in the high-dimensional regime where the number of parameters exceeds the number of samples (p>n). In order to make informative inference, we assume that the model is approximately sparse, that is th…
This research designs a data-driven partition to test independence between continuous variables.
problem Testing independence between continuous random variables.
method Empirical log-likelihood statistic and data-driven tree-structured partition.
result Strongly consistent test of independence over probability families.
Proposes tests for comparing high-dimensional manifold samples.
problem Determining if two manifold samples come from the same distribution.
method Integral Probability Metric (IPM) with neural network approximations.
result Tests achieve type-II risk in specific orders of n. Quantum neural networks can approximate noisy functions accurately.
problem Approximating noisy functions with quantum neural networks.
method Universal approximation theorem with error bounds for noisy quantum neural networks.
result Quantum neural networks can approximate noisy functions with precise error bounds.
New test identifies specific biological parameters for personalized CVD detection.
problem Ineffectual pathology tests fail to consider platelet activation and inter-individual variability.
method Stochastic platelet deposition model and approximate Bayesian computation with discriminative summary statistics.
result Inferred parameters help identify specific biological parameters for personalized CVD detection.
Proposes second-order influence functions for identifying influential groups in test-time predictions.
problem Identifying influential groups in test-time predictions for black-box models.
method Second-order approximations of the effect of removing a group of training samples on model predictions.
result Improves the correlation between computed influence values and ground truth values for linear models.
A method for efficient approximate inference on discrete distributions.
problem Applying SVGD to discrete distributions.
method Transforming discrete distributions to piecewise continuous distributions for SVGD application.
result Outperforms traditional algorithms and ensemble methods on discrete graphical models.
Study provides selective inference method for latent block models.
problem Challenges in constructing a test on a block structure selected by clustering algorithms.
method Developed a selective inference method for latent block models using squared residue minimization and simulated annealing.
result Proposed tests effectively handle selective bias in block structures compared to naive tests.
New framework for robust hypothesis testing using Sinkhorn uncertainty sets.
problem Non-convex robust hypothesis testing problem.
method Exact mixed-integer exponential conic reformulation and convex approximation.
result Satisfactory testing performance and computational efficiency.