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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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96191287382 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for approximate filtering

Paper uses averaging from many particle filters to approximate posterior predictive distributions.

problem Approximating posterior predictive distributions efficiently and accurately.
method Particle swarm filter algorithm that averages many particle filter approximations.
result Law of large numbers and central limit theorem support the method's effectiveness.

This study uses neural networks to approximate Bayesian filtering problems.

problem Estimating latent time-series signal statistics from observation sequences.
method Formulated a generic recurrent neural network framework to learn recursive mappings directly.
result Approximation error bounds for filtering in non-compact domains and strong time-uniform bounds.

Transformers can approximate Kalman Filtering in linear systems with small error.

problem Approximating Kalman Filtering using Transformers for linear dynamical systems.
method Two-step reduction: 1) Softmax self-attention block approximates Nadaraya-Watson kernel smoothing, 2) This estimator approximates Kalman Filter.
result Constructs a Transformer that implements the Kalman Filter with small additive error, uniformly bounded in time.

A new numerical scheme approximates nonlinear filtering densities for noisy and partial measurements.

problem Approximating nonlinear filtering densities for noisy and partial measurements.
method Deep splitting scheme applied to the Fokker--Planck equation followed by Bayes' formula.
result Convergence rate established for the numerical scheme under parabolic Hörmander condition.

A new method improves Bayesian filtering in nonlinear systems.

problem Bayesian filtering in nonlinear dynamical systems with non-Gaussian posteriors.
method Transport maps with block-triangular structure and gradient flows for MMD minimization.
result Accurate approximation of non-Gaussian posteriors without particle collapse.

A new method for Gaussian filtering using gradient flows and Wasserstein metrics.

problem Approximating Gaussian and mixture-of-Gaussians filtering for complex systems.
method Variational approximation via gradient-flow representation on Wasserstein metric space.
result Competitive performance in posterior representation and parameter estimation for systems with multiplicative noise and multi-modal distributions.

Deep density methods improve filtering in high-dimensional systems.

problem Nonlinear filtering in high-dimensional systems.
method Two deep density methods based on Feynman-Kac formulas and neural networks.
result Logarithmic deep backward stochastic differential equation filter outperforms classical methods in high dimensions.

Combines neural networks with splitting-up method for filtering equations.

problem Approximating the solution of filtering equations for signal processes.
method Combines splitting-up method with neural networks.
result Produces an approximation of the unnormalised conditional distribution.

We provide a method for approximating Bayesian inference using rejection sampling. We not only make the process efficient, but also dramatically reduce the memory required relative to conventional methods by combining rejection sampling with particle filtering. We also provide an approximate form of rejection sampling …

2015-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

FLUID uses flows to unify filtering and smoothing for complex systems.

problem Bayesian filtering and smoothing for high-dimensional nonlinear systems.
method FLUID encodes observation histories into a fixed summary statistic, using flows for filtering and smoothing.
result FLUID provides accurate approximations of filtering and smoothing distributions.

We use GANs and signatures to approximate conditional laws in filtering and prediction of diffusion processes.

problem Approximating conditional laws for diffusion processes with noisy observations.
method Conditional GANs combined with signatures for approximation.
result Efficient approximation of conditional laws for diffusion processes.

The unscented transformation (UT) is an efficient method to solve the state estimation problem for a non-linear dynamic system, utilizing a derivative-free higher-order approximation by approximating a Gaussian distribution rather than approximating a non-linear function. Applying the UT to a Kalman filter type estimat…

2016-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

EnSF improves accuracy in tracking high-dimensional nonlinear systems.

problem Low accuracy in high-dimensional, nonlinear filtering problems.
method Score-based diffusion model, mini-batch Monte Carlo estimator.
result EnSF outperforms state-of-the-art methods in tracking high-dimensional systems.

We seek to learn an effective policy for a Markov Decision Process (MDP) with continuous states via Q-Learning. Given a set of basis functions over state action pairs we search for a corresponding set of linear weights that minimizes the mean Bellman residual. Our algorithm uses a Kalman filter model to estimate those …

2013-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhanced ensemble filters use machine learning to improve accuracy in filtering models.

problem Accuracy limitations of traditional ensemble Kalman filters.
method Introduces a measure neural mapping (MNM) to map joint predicted state and observation to updated state estimates.
result Superior root-mean-square-error performance compared to leading methods in filtering models.

Transformers can solve complex filtering problems for non-Gaussian signals.

problem Non-linear and non-Markovian filtering problems for conditionally Gaussian signals.
method Continuous-time transformer models called filterformers.
result Filterformers can approximate the conditional law of non-Markovian and conditionally Gaussian signal processes.

We present a general probabilistic perspective on Gaussian filtering and smoothing. This allows us to show that common approaches to Gaussian filtering/smoothing can be distinguished solely by their methods of computing/approximating the means and covariances of joint probabilities. This implies that novel filters and …

2010-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a probabilistic approach to the LMS filter. By means of an efficient approximation, this approach provides an adaptable step-size LMS algorithm together with a measure of uncertainty about the estimation. In addition, the proposed approximation preserves the linear complexity of the standard LMS. Numerical…

2015-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A new ensemble filter uses transport maps and MMD optimization for high-dimensional data assimilation.

problem High-dimensional data assimilation challenges in ensemble filtering.
method Optimized Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) for transport map construction.
result Significant improvement in robustness and posterior approximation.

Many nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter, e.g., the extended and the unscented Kalman filter, reduce the state densities to Gaussian densities. This approximation gives sufficient results in many cases. However, this filters only estimate states that are correlated with the observation. Therefore, sequential esti…

2012-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The decentralized particle filter (DPF) was proposed recently to increase the level of parallelism of particle filtering. Given a decomposition of the state space into two nested sets of variables, the DPF uses a particle filter to sample the first set and then conditions on this sample to generate a set of samples for…

2012-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Collaborative filtering (CF) is a popular technique in today's recommender systems, and matrix approximation-based CF methods have achieved great success in both rating prediction and top-N recommendation tasks. However, real-world user-item rating matrices are typically sparse, incomplete and noisy, which introduce ch…

2018-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops ML algorithms for calibrating credit rating transition models for high and low default portfolios.

problem Calibration of credit rating transition models for high and low default portfolios.
method Developed Maximum likelihood (ML) algorithms, including Laplace approximation for high-default portfolios and particle filter with Gaussian process regression for low-default portfolios.
result Both algorithms produce accurate approximations of the likelihood function and ML estimates of model parameters.

This paper focuses on spectral filters on graphs, namely filters defined as elementwise multiplication in the frequency domain of a graph. In many graph signal processing settings, it is important to transfer a filter from one graph to another. One example is in graph convolutional neural networks (ConvNets), where the…

2019-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes CE-BASS for robust Kalman filtering with innovative and additive outliers.

problem Robustness to both innovative and additive outliers in Kalman filtering.
method Particle mixture Kalman filter with re-sampling of past states.
result CE-BASS efficiently handles multi-modality and trend changes in hidden state distributions.

New method improves nonlinear filtering accuracy with reduced computation.

problem Complex nonlinear filtering with small system noise.
method Asymptotic expansion with ordinary differential equations and Edgeworth-type correction.
result Significantly lower computational cost with improved accuracy.

Kernel-based Bayesian filter for nonlinear systems using infinite-dimensional operators.

problem Modeling and predicting nonlinear dynamical systems.
method Functional Bayesian perspective, reproducing kernel Hilbert space, Gaussian kernel.
result Effective approximation and accurate results for nonlinear systems.