The use of ensembles of neural networks (NNs) for the quantification of predictive uncertainty is widespread. However, the current justification is intuitive rather than analytical. This work proposes one minor modification to the normal ensembling methodology, which we prove allows the ensemble to perform Bayesian inf…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “anchored ensembling”
Bayesian neural networks with functional priors improve surrogate modeling in mechanics.
problem Challenges in integrating prior knowledge and quantifying uncertainties in high-dimensional NN parameter spaces.
method Anchored ensembling to integrate a priori information and learn low-rank correlations between NN parameters.
result Effective transfer of knowledge between function-space and parameter-space priors improves surrogate model accuracy and uncertainty estimation.
A neural network solves Black-Scholes PDE for option pricing with uncertainty quantification.
problem Solving the Black-Scholes equation for option pricing with uncertainty.
method Physics-informed neural network (PINN) that embeds BS operator and conditions, handles early exercise via relaxation, and uses anchored-ensemble fine-tuning for uncertainty quantification.
result The method achieves low errors and accurate predictions for European and American options, outperforming data-driven baselines.
LoRA-Curve connects independent LoRA optima through continuous low-loss valleys, improving Bayesian model averaging.
problem Challenges in estimating epistemic uncertainty in LoRA-based Bayesian inference.
method Introduces LoRA-Curve, a segmented Bézier curve parameterization in the LoRA space, with free and anchored configurations.
result Empirically shows that connecting independent LoRA optima through continuous low-loss valleys improves mutual information of the predictive distribution.
Adaptive anchor methods improve multi-modal learning by balancing intra-modal and inter-modal information.
problem Fixed anchor methods limit multi-modal learning by over-reliance on a single modality and inadequate cross-modal correlation.
method Adaptive anchor methods using centroid-based anchors from all modalities.
result Adaptive anchor methods like CentroBind consistently outperform fixed anchor methods across various datasets.
Private Languagesecon.TH
Private anchors affect how information is communicated and can improve or distort transmission.
problem How private anchors influence strategic communication and information transmission.
method Analyzed a sender-receiver game with costly reports and privately observed anchors.
result Small positive reporting costs can lead to full revelation, even with zero costs.
Anchors explain text model decisions by highlighting key words.
problem Explaining neural network decisions for text data.
method Formalized Anchors for text classification, analyzing different models.
result Neural network words with highest partial derivatives are selected by Anchors.
LargeMvC-Net improves scalability of multi-view clustering.
problem Scalability issues in multi-view clustering.
method Deep unfolding of multi-view clustering into a network architecture with three modules.
result LargeMvC-Net consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods in scalability and effectiveness.
A scalable system detects price anomalies in online marketplaces to improve customer experience.
problem Inaccurate prices on online marketplaces lead to poor customer experience and revenue loss.
method MoatPlus uses unsupervised statistical features and an ensemble of models to generate upper price bounds.
result Our approach improves precise anchor coverage by up to 46.6% in high-vulnerability item subsets.
DTE uses tree leaf means to embed data, balancing accuracy and speed.
problem High variance in decision tree splits and computational inefficiency of ensembles.
method DTE constructs an interpretable feature representation using leaf means of a trained tree.
result DTE strikes a balance between accuracy and computational efficiency, outperforming ensembles.
Anchoring is a term used in psychology to describe the common human tendency to rely too heavily (anchor) on one piece of information when making decisions. A trading algorithm inspired by biological motors, introduced by L. Gil\cite{Gil}, is suggested as a testing ground for anchoring in financial markets. An exact so…
Separable Non-negative Matrix Factorization (SNMF) is an important method for topic modeling, where "separable" assumes every topic contains at least one anchor word, defined as a word that has non-zero probability only on that topic. SNMF focuses on the word co-occurrence patterns to reveal topics by two steps: anchor…
Δ-UQ uses anchoring to estimate uncertainty in models.
problem Estimating uncertainty in predictive models.
method Anchoring input into a tuple for uncertainty estimation.
result Δ-UQ outperforms baselines in various use-cases.
Paper explores anchoring for vision models, improving generalization and safety.
problem Anchoring can lead to undesirable shortcuts, limiting generalization.
method Introduced a new anchored training protocol with a regularizer to mitigate undesirable shortcuts.
result Significant performance gains in generalization and safety metrics.
Language is dynamic, constantly evolving and adapting with respect to time, domain or topic. The adaptability of language is an active research area, where researchers discover social, cultural and domain-specific changes in language using distributional tools such as word embeddings. In this paper, we introduce the gl…
Market stability depends on a fundamental value anchor, not price crashes.
problem Stability of order-book markets under fundamental anchoring.
method Analytical model and empirical analysis of six transmission channels.
result Fundamental anchoring stabilizes markets by mean-reverting prices and refilling books; removing the anchor leads to market failure.
This work merges 3-anchored bundles into 3-Lie algebroids.
problem Combining two 3-anchored bundles into a unified structure.
method Develops algebraic framework for merging bundles with mutual actions and cocycle terms.
result Unified setting for 3-Lie algebroids and special cases.
A new noise model for preferential Bayesian optimization using user anchors.
problem Inadequate assumption of homoscedastic noise in human-in-the-loop settings.
method Proposes a heteroscedastic noise model with anchors and a KDE uncertainty map.
result Risk-adjusted performance improvement and clarified anchor placement effects.
The formalism of anchor words has enabled the development of fast topic modeling algorithms with provable guarantees. In this paper, we introduce a protocol that allows users to interact with anchor words to build customized and interpretable topic models. Experimental evidence validating the usefulness of our approach…
In this article, we continue the classification of finite type Gauss map surfaces in the Euclidean 3-space E3 with respect to the first fundamental form by studying a subclass of tubes, namely the anchor rings. We show that anchor rings are of infinite type Gauss map.
A new method resolves non-identifiability in reward modeling using anchor labels.
problem Non-identifiability in reward modeling from pairwise preferences alone.
method Anchor-guided Variance-aware Reward Modeling (AVRM) framework.
result AVRM resolves non-identifiability and improves reward modeling performance.
A pre-Lie algebroid is an anchored bundle provided with an almost Lie bracket such that the anchor is compatible with the Lie bracket of vector fields. We firstly show how most geometrical structures intensively studied in the framework of Lie algebroid can easily be extended in the pre-Lie algebroid context. The princ…
Anchor PCAstat.ML
Anchor PCA improves robustness in multi-domain PCA.
problem PCA on pooled data can focus on spurious directions.
method Anchor PCA focuses on shared directions of variation.
result Anchor PCA outperforms pooling and worst-case alternatives.
New method improves continual learning by anchoring past knowledge.
problem Catastrophic forgetting in continual learning.
method Bilevel optimization to update current task knowledge while keeping past task predictions.
result Improves accuracy and forgetting metrics compared to experience replay.
Paper proposes an alternative to anchor points for learning with noisy labels.
problem Learning with noisy labels is challenging due to inaccurate labels.
method Estimates transition matrix using clusterability condition and noisy labels.
result Estimation of transition matrix is more accurate and efficient than anchor points.
A new method for efficient inference in sequential latent-variable models.
problem Computational challenges in integrating subject-specific random effects.
method Anchored variational inference framework to approximate posterior distributions.
result The method achieves accurate estimation with significant computational gains.
Anchor-TS uses median anchoring to improve online decision-making from offline data with distribution shift.
problem Improving online decision-making from offline data with distribution shift.
method Sample-Mean Anchored Thompson Sampling (Anchor-TS) with median anchoring.
result Anchor-TS safely leverages offline data to accelerate online learning and reduces regret.
In label-noise learning, \textit{noise transition matrix}, denoting the probabilities that clean labels flip into noisy labels, plays a central role in building \textit{statistically consistent classifiers}. Existing theories have shown that the transition matrix can be learned by exploiting \textit{anchor points} (i.e…
In topic modeling, many algorithms that guarantee identifiability of the topics have been developed under the premise that there exist anchor words -- i.e., words that only appear (with positive probability) in one topic. Follow-up work has resorted to three or higher-order statistics of the data corpus to relax the an…
Study improves predictive models for ICU data across hospitals.
problem Degradation of predictive model performance in new hospitals.
method Anchor regression and anchor boosting for domain generalization.
result Anchor regularization enhances out-of-distribution performance.
ADA augments data using AR replicas for robust regression.
problem Improving robustness in nonlinear over-parametrized regression.
method Extends Anchor regression (AR) for data augmentation, using replicas of modified samples.
result ADA provides more robust regression predictions compared to state-of-the-art solutions.
Develops a new framework for temporal anchoring in deep embedding spaces.
problem Temporal anchoring in deep embedding spaces, especially drift and convergence issues.
method Operator-theoretic framework with drift maps and event-indexed blocks, proving convergence theorems and equivalence theorems.
result Proves convergence theorems and equivalence theorems for the proposed framework.
Predicting human behavior is a difficult and crucial task required for motion planning. It is challenging in large part due to the highly uncertain and multi-modal set of possible outcomes in real-world domains such as autonomous driving. Beyond single MAP trajectory prediction, obtaining an accurate probability distri…
FALL improves local model training with anchor regularization.
problem Efficient local model training in regression tasks.
method Regularization with precomputed anchor models, closed-form solution.
result FALL outperforms network Lasso in accuracy with significantly less training time.
New method shows spectral clustering is consistent with theoretical guarantees.
problem Lack of theoretical support for anchor-based spectral clustering.
method Defined and analyzed a specific anchor-based algorithm.
result Theoretical consistency of the method in asymptotic settings.
A framework visualizes embedding spaces of neural survival analysis models using anchor directions.
problem Visualizing complex embeddings in neural survival analysis models.
method Estimating anchor directions through clustering or user-supplied concepts, revealing relationships with raw inputs and survival times.
result Visualization strategies reveal how anchor directions relate to raw clinical features and survival time distributions.
Banach Lie algebroidsmath.DG
First, we extend the notion of second order differential equations (SODE) on a smooth manifold to anchored Banach vector bundles. Then we define the Banach Lie algebroids as Lie algebroids structures modeled on anchored Banach vector bundles and prove that they form a category.
A new multi-view clustering method that is fast, scalable, and easy to use.
problem High computational complexity, one-stage fusion, and dataset-specific hyperparameter tuning in multi-view clustering.
method Random view groups, hybrid early-late fusion, diversified base clusterings, and unified bipartite graph.
result Almost linear time and space complexity, no dataset-specific tuning required.
Anchors explains text classifiers by highlighting key words.
problem Interpreting machine learning models, especially for text classifiers.
method Formalizes Anchors' algorithm and analyzes its behavior on linear text classifiers.
result Anchors produces meaningful results on linear text classifiers.
AutoAnchor uses cross-attention to improve text-to-image model unlearning.
problem Mitigating harmful or copyrighted content in text-to-image models.
method Two-stage framework that automatically synthesizes manifold-proximal anchors using cross-attention consistency loss.
result Effective robust and unbiased unlearning across various baselines.
Paper refines InfoNCE for accurate mutual information estimation.
problem Indirect connection of InfoNCE to mutual information estimation.
method Introduces InfoNCE-anchor with an auxiliary anchor class for consistent density ratio estimation.
result InfoNCE-anchor yields a plug-in MI estimator with significantly reduced bias.
Some tasks, such as surface normals or single-view depth estimation, require per-pixel ground truth that is difficult to obtain on real images but easy to obtain on synthetic. However, models learned on synthetic images often do not generalize well to real images due to the domain shift. Our key idea to improve domain …
Transformers improve Alzheimer's disease progression prediction by accounting for irregular biomarker histories.
problem Difficult prediction of medium-horizon Alzheimer's disease progression due to tied clinical scores and irregular biomarker observations.
method Developed a residual gap-aware transformer that combines statistical reference with transformer-based residual learning.
result The proposed model reduces mean error and improves prediction-observation correlation compared to baseline models.
This paper is devoted to the framework of direct limit of anchored Banach bundles over a convenient manifold which is a direct limit of Banach manifold. In particular we give a criterion of integrability for distributions on such convenient manifolds which are locally direct limits of particular sequences of Banach anc…
Results describing Lie ideals and maximal finite-codimensional Lie subalgebras of the Lie algebras associated with Lie algebroids with non-singular anchor maps are presented. It is also proved that every isomorphism of such Lie algebras induces a diffeomorphism of base manifolds respecting the generalized foliations de…
Recent studies have highlighted that deep neural networks (DNNs) are vulnerable to adversarial examples. In this paper, we improve the robustness of DNNs by utilizing techniques of Distance Metric Learning. Specifically, we incorporate Triplet Loss, one of the most popular Distance Metric Learning methods, into the fra…
Under appropriate assumptions, we generalize the concept of linear almost Poisson struc- tures, almost Lie algebroids, almost differentials in the framework of Banach anchored bundles and the relation between these objects. We then obtain an adapted formalism for mechanical systems which is illustrated by the evolution…
3D RadViz improves 3D data visualization of multidimensional datasets.
problem Tackles the challenge of visualizing multidimensional datasets in 3D.
method Develops RadViz3D, a 3D radial visualization tool with uniform anchor points.
result Improves the display of multidimensional datasets, especially for uncorrelated variables.