A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study shows human advisors use context to improve student outcomes in algorithm-assisted advising.
In mutual fund, an investment adviser gives advice to clients about investing in securities such as stocks, bonds, mutual funds, or exchange traded funds. Some investment advisers manage portfolios of securities. In this paper, we analyze advisor portfolio for each advisor so as to recognize the pattern in each adviser…
Researchers study how teachers' advising relationships influence their perceptions of satisfaction and students, not policy influence.
Robo-advisor learns investor's risk preference through portfolio choices.
Designs algorithms to assist humans without affecting their decisions.
Robo-advisors use MPC to create dynamic investment strategies.
Robo-advisor uses ML to optimize investment performance.
We consider the learning of multi-agent Hawkes processes, a model containing multiple Hawkes processes with shared endogenous impact functions and different exogenous intensities. In the framework of stochastic maximum likelihood estimation, we explore the associated risk bound. Further, we consider the superposition o…
New simulations advise caution in choosing principal components for multivariate functional data.
Adversarial policies beat superhuman Go AI systems.
We explore the problem of learning under selective labels in the context of algorithm-assisted decision making. Selective labels is a pervasive selection bias problem that arises when historical decision making blinds us to the true outcome for certain instances. Examples of this are common in many applications, rangin…
A new method for student-initiated action advice using novelty detection.
Artificial intelligence, or AI, enhancements are increasingly shaping our daily lives. Financial decision-making is no exception to this. We introduce the notion of AI Alter Egos, which are shadow robo-investors, and use a unique data set covering brokerage accounts for a large cross-section of investors over a sample …
We assume that an agent's rate of consumption is {\it ratcheted}; that is, it forms a non-decreasing process. Given the rate of consumption, we act as financial advisers and find the optimal investment strategy for the agent who wishes to minimize his probability of ruin.
Study shows fiduciary duty reduces municipal bond yields by 9% after SEC rule.
Modeling investor behavior from financial advisor notes using NLP.
Study on predictable forward processes in trading without frequent evaluations.
Fund2Persona creates personalized financial advisor personas from fund data, improving investment advice.
Selecting the most appropriate data examples to present a deep neural network (DNN) at different stages of training is an unsolved challenge. Though practitioners typically ignore this problem, a non-trivial data scheduling method may result in a significant improvement in both convergence and generalization performanc…
Fund2Persona creates personalized financial advisor personas from fund data, improving investment advice and manager interpretation.
A model integrates CNN and LSTM with LLM for better stock forecasting.
We consider in this paper some structured financial products, known as reverse convertible notes, that resulted in substantial losses to certain buyers of these notes in recent years. We shall focus on specific reverse convertible notes known as "Autocallable Optimization Securities with Contingent Protection Linked to…
Algorithm of multicurrency trading at the market of Forex is realized on the basis of nonlinear stochastic wavelets. The distinctive feature of the algorithm is the possibility of weakly- and strongly connected horizontal self-assemblies, as well as use of nested structures. On-line trading with eight currency couples …
New method detects data distribution changes and retraining is advised.
With the breakthrough of computational power and deep neural networks, many areas that we haven't explore with various techniques that was researched rigorously in past is feasible. In this paper, we will walk through possible concepts to achieve robo-like trading or advising. In order to accomplish similar level of pe…
This paper introduces a deep-learning based efficient classifier for common dermatological conditions, aimed at people without easy access to skin specialists. We report approximately 80% accuracy, in a situation where primary care doctors have attained 57% success rate, according to recent literature. The rationale of…
LLMs can identify tax strategies, potentially revolutionizing tax enforcement.
A/B testing refers to the task of determining the best option among two alternatives that yield random outcomes. We provide distribution-dependent lower bounds for the performance of A/B testing that improve over the results currently available both in the fixed-confidence (or delta-PAC) and fixed-budget settings. When…
This note explains Ricci flow method for Kähler-Einstein metrics.
The study analyzes how large language models form and express investor risk profiles.
Autonomous systems can substantially enhance a human's efficiency and effectiveness in complex environments. Machines, however, are often unable to observe the preferences of the humans that they serve. Despite the fact that the human's and machine's objectives are aligned, asymmetric information, along with heterogene…
New method tackles unknown unknowns in machine learning.
Stock exchanges are considered major players in financial sectors of many countries. Most Stockbrokers, who execute stock trade, use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in trying to predict stock prices, so as to advise clients. However, these strategies do not usually guarantee good returns because they gui…
Deep learning improves portfolio management by optimizing asset weights.
We proposed the agent-based model of financial markets where agents (or traders) are represented by three-state spins located on the plane lattice or social network. The spin variable represents only the individual opinion (advice) that each trader gives to his nearest neighbors. In the model the agents can be consider…
Neuroimaging datasets keep growing in size to address increasingly complex medical questions. However, even the largest datasets today alone are too small for training complex machine learning models. A potential solution is to increase sample size by pooling scans from several datasets. In this work, we combine 12,207…
Risk Advisor predicts and mitigates ML deployment failures.
A brisk building boom of hydropower mega-dams is underway from China to Brazil. Whether benefits of new dams will outweigh costs remains unresolved despite contentious debates. We investigate this question with the "outside view" or "reference class forecasting" based on literature on decision-making under uncertainty …
Modeling price-mediated contagion in financial systems with capital requirements.
Robo-advisor improves investment advice through client interaction.
In this work, we investigate the use of three information-theoretic quantities -- entropy, mutual information with the class variable, and a class selectivity measure based on Kullback-Leibler divergence -- to understand and study the behavior of already trained fully-connected feed-forward neural networks. We analyze …
Estimating the log-likelihood gradient with respect to the parameters of a Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) typically requires sampling using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. To save computation time, the Markov chains are only run for a small number of steps, which leads to a biased estimate. This bias ca…
Study evaluates scikit-learn regularization frameworks for machine learning models.
New PU ratio predicts long-term Bitcoin returns better than other methods.
A model for human-machine decision-making with private info and opacity.
FinGPT is an open-source financial LLM for democratizing financial data.
The financial crisis of 2008, which started with an initially well-defined epicenter focused on mortgage backed securities (MBS), has been cascading into a global economic recession, whose increasing severity and uncertain duration has led and is continuing to lead to massive losses and damage for billions of people. H…
Grade prediction for future courses not yet taken by students is important as it can help them and their advisers during the process of course selection as well as for designing personalized degree plans and modifying them based on their performance. One of the successful approaches for accurately predicting a student'…