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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for aggregation strategies

This study examines yield aggregators in DeFi, summarizing strategies and analyzing performance.

problem Understanding and optimizing yield farming strategies in DeFi.
method Summarizes yield farming protocols and tokens, analyzes performance through simulations and empirical data.
result Plausible connection between data anomalies and historical events in yield aggregators.

No fair and strategy-proof automated market maker exists for more than two assets.

problem Designing a fair and strategy-proof automated market maker for multiple assets.
method Analyzing the weighted-product family of aggregation rules and their properties.
result No aggregation rule is both fair and strategy-proof for more than two assets.

This work analyzes aggregation strategies for Bayesian deep learning models in federated learning.

problem Improper aggregation of Bayesian deep learning models in federated learning leads to sub-optimal performance.
method Six aggregation strategies for Bayesian deep learning models are analyzed using CIFAR-10 dataset and a fully variational ResNet-20 architecture.
result Aggregation strategy is a key hyperparameter affecting accuracy, calibration, uncertainty quantification, training stability, and client compute requirements.

Learning algorithms that aggregate predictions from an ensemble of diverse base classifiers consistently outperform individual methods. Many of these strategies have been developed in a supervised setting, where the accuracy of each base classifier can be empirically measured and this information is incorporated in the…

2018-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

This work introduces COLA, a strategy to aggregate conformal prediction sets efficiently.

problem Efficiently combining multiple conformity scores to reduce prediction set size.
method Introduces COnfidence-Level Allocation (COLA) to optimally allocate confidence levels across sets.
result COLA achieves smaller prediction sets than state-of-the-art methods while maintaining valid coverage.

OpenAlpha validates decentralized capital strategies using game theory and market aggregation.

problem Decentralized capital management's lack of trust-minimised, adaptive deployment.
method Game-theoretic validation, adversarial auditing, market-based belief aggregation.
result Confidence scores from validation phases inform capital allocation rules.

We introduce a new class of context dependent, incomplete information games to serve as structured prediction models for settings with significant strategic interactions. Our games map the input context to outcomes by first condensing the input into private player types that specify the utilities, weighted interactions…

2019-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper examines pricing and hedging strategies for cross-currency equity protection swaps.

problem Dynamic requirements from EPS buyers in cross-currency equity protection swaps.
method Detailed analysis of two hedging paradigms, including separate and aggregated returns, with consideration of different types of returns.
result Proposes various hedging strategies with practical implications for EPS providers and investors.

BOA improves financial forecasting by combining expert models.

problem Challenges in choosing between multiple machine learning models for financial forecasting.
method Online aggregation of expert models using Bernstein Online Aggregation (BOA) procedure.
result BOA leads to better portfolio performance, higher Sharpe Ratio, and lower shortfall.

SACP aggregates nonconformity scores from multiple predictors to create more efficient uncertainty sets.

problem Combining predictive uncertainties from multiple models for efficient and reliable uncertainty quantification.
method SACP (Symmetric Aggregated Conformal Prediction) aggregates nonconformity scores using a flexible symmetric aggregation function.
result SACP consistently improves efficiency and often outperforms state-of-the-art model aggregation baselines.

We use an adversarial expert based online learning algorithm to learn the optimal parameters required to maximise wealth trading zero-cost portfolio strategies. The learning algorithm is used to determine the relative population dynamics of technical trading strategies that can survive historical back-testing as well a…

2019-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Turbo-Aggregate reduces secure aggregation time from quadratic to nearly linear.

problem Quadratic overhead in secure model aggregation for federated learning.
method Multi-group circular strategy, additive secret sharing, and coding techniques.
result Achieves O(NlogN)O(N\log{N}) overhead, compared to O(N2)O(N^2), for up to 50% user dropout.

A key aspect of Federated Learning (FL) is the requirement of a centralized aggregator to maintain and update the global model. However, in many cases orchestrating a centralized aggregator might be infeasible due to numerous operational constraints. In this paper, we introduce BAFFLE, an aggregator free, blockchain dr…

2019-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNNs) have been attracting increasing research attention due to its great potential in inference over graph structures. However, insufficient effort has been devoted to the aggregation methods between different convolution graph layers. In this paper, we introduce a graph attribute…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Fishnets improve set and graph learning with scalable, robust aggregation.

problem Learning informative embeddings for sets and graphs with scalable and robust aggregation.
method Proposes Fishnets, a new aggregation strategy for set-based learning.
result Fishnets achieve state-of-the-art performance on graph datasets with fewer parameters and faster training.

A new method aggregates generative classifiers to resist adversarial attacks.

problem Adversarial attacks on deep neural networks.
method Rank-aggregating ensemble of generative classifiers trained on intermediate layer responses.
result The ensemble of generative classifiers shows robustness to adversarial attacks.

The article is devoted to investigating the application of aggregating algorithms to the problem of the long-term forecasting. We examine the classic aggregating algorithms based on the exponential reweighing. For the general Vovk's aggregating algorithm we provide its generalization for the long-term forecasting. For …

2018-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Method aggregates models with different hyper-parameters to adapt to target domain.

problem Choosing hyper-parameters for unsupervised domain adaptation.
method Linear aggregation of models with different hyper-parameters using weighted least squares for vector-valued functions.
result The target error is asymptotically not worse than twice the error of the optimal aggregation.

In this paper, we explore a general Aggregated Gradient Langevin Dynamics framework (AGLD) for the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. We investigate the nonasymptotic convergence of AGLD with a unified analysis for different data accessing (e.g. random access, cyclic access and random reshuffle) and snapshot upd…

2019-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Aggregation defenses improve deep learning models' robustness against data poisoning attacks.

problem Data poisoning attacks manipulate deep learning models with malicious training samples.
method Deep Partition Aggregation, efficiency improvements, data-to-complexity ratio, poisoning overfitting phenomenon.
result Aggregation defenses boost poisoning robustness through the poisoning overfitting phenomenon.

Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have shown very powerful for graph data representation and learning tasks. Existing GCNs usually conduct feature aggregation on a fixed neighborhood graph in which each node computes its representation by aggregating the feature representations of all its neighbors which is biased by…

2019-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Policy-GNN optimizes GNN aggregation for diverse node iterations.

problem Optimizing GNN performance by varying aggregation iterations for different nodes.
method Policy-GNN uses a meta-policy framework with deep reinforcement learning to adaptively determine the number of aggregations for each node.
result Policy-GNN significantly outperforms state-of-the-art alternatives on real-world datasets.

Researchers improve deep ensemble forecast aggregation methods.

problem Aggregating forecast distributions from deep ensembles for better predictive performance.
method Comprehensive analysis of twelve benchmark data sets, comparing probability- and quantile-based aggregation methods for three neural network-based approaches.
result A general quantile aggregation framework for deep ensembles improves predictive performance in various settings.

WildWood improves Random Forest predictions using bootstrap out-of-bag samples.

problem Improving Random Forest predictions for supervised learning.
method Uses bootstrap out-of-bag samples to compute improved predictions by aggregating all possible subtrees with exponential weights.
result WildWood produces faster and more competitive predictions compared to other ensemble methods.

A motif-based framework identifies local spillover structures in financial markets.

problem Aggregate risk spillovers obscure local interaction patterns in systemic risk.
method Develops a motif-based framework using multiscale backbones and colored motifs.
result Motif-based portfolios outperform traditional benchmarks on risk-adjusted returns.

Augments GNNs with diversification to preserve node identity.

problem Current GNNs filter node information, potentially losing node identity.
method Integrates diversification operators with aggregation to enrich node representations.
result Significant performance boost on 9 node classification tasks.

We study minority games in efficient regime. By incorporating the utility function and aggregating agents with similar strategies we develop an effective mesoscale notion of state of the game. Using this approach, the game can be represented as a Markov process with substantially reduced number of states with explicitl…

2011-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper optimizes demand aggregation for low-level electricity markets.

problem Accurate short-term load forecasting at low aggregation levels for market participants.
method Probabilistic portfolio optimization of residential households' demand using ARMA-GARCH models or KDE forecasts.
result Seasonal Residual approach outperforms others in accuracy and efficiency.

New method aggregates Gaussian experts by detecting conditional independence violations.

problem Aggregation of dependent Gaussian experts leads to sub-optimal solutions.
method Uses Gaussian graphical model to detect and correct conditional independence violations.
result Improves aggregation of Gaussian experts, outperforming SOTA DGP approaches.

This paper optimizes retraining models using their own predictions and noisy labels.

problem Improving model performance through optimal retraining of noisy labels.
method Developed a principled framework based on approximate message passing (AMP) to analyze iterative retraining procedures.
result Derivation of the Bayes optimal aggregator function to minimize prediction error.