Method models other agents' behaviors without requiring direct observation.
problem Understanding and interacting effectively with other agents in reinforcement learning.
method Extracts representations from local observations of the controlled agent using encoder-decoder architectures.
result The method achieves higher returns than baseline methods in multi-agent environments.
We propose a method for modeling and learning turn-taking behaviors for accessing a shared resource. We model the individual behavior for each agent in an interaction and then use a multi-agent fusion model to generate a summary over the expected actions of the group to render the model independent of the number of age…
Agents need world models to generalize multi-step tasks.
problem The necessity of world models for flexible, goal-directed behavior.
method Formal analysis and demonstration of the necessity of world models for agents to generalize multi-step tasks.
result World models are necessary for agents to generalize to multi-step goal-directed tasks.
The ability of modeling the other agents, such as understanding their intentions and skills, is essential to an agent's interactions with other agents. Conventional agent modeling relies on passive observation from demonstrations. In this work, we propose an interactive agent modeling scheme enabled by encouraging an a…
This paper proposes using variational autoencoders to model opponents in multi-agent systems.
problem Understanding and interacting with opponents in multi-agent systems.
method Variational autoencoders for opponent modeling, with a modification to use local information.
result Our opponent modeling methods achieve equal or greater episodic returns.
A financial market model uses spin variables to represent and predict agent behavior.
problem Predicting and understanding financial market behavior.
method Agent-based model with Potts model interpretation, focusing on spin variables representing opinions and actions.
result Model accurately predicts market behavior and statistical properties of financial returns.
Reduced models derived from agent-based systems using Koopman theory.
problem Time-consuming simulations of large agent-based systems.
method Koopman operator theory applied to simulation data.
result Derived reduced models match known analytical results.
Study improves online learning with adaptable agents in various settings.
problem Learning with improving agents in online settings.
method Extensive analysis of combinatorial dimensions, multiclass setup, bandit feedback, and agent cost.
result Characterization and analysis of online learnability in the model.
Many learning agents impact a financial market model, showing complex dynamics.
problem Understanding the dynamics of financial markets with multiple learning agents.
method Agent-based model of financial market with multiple reinforcement learning agents interacting.
result Inclusion of learning agents changes market dynamics to match empirical data.
A simple learning agent learns to trade in an agent-based market model.
problem Optimal execution of trades in an agent-based financial market model.
method Asynchronous trading through a matching engine, varying initial order sizes and state spaces, calibration of empirical stylized facts and price impact curves.
result Smaller state space agents converge faster in learning and can trade intuitively using spread and volume states.
In mix-game which is an extension of minority game, there are two groups of agents; group1 plays the majority game, but the group2 plays the minority game. This paper studies the change of the average winnings of agents and volatilities vs. the change of mixture of agents in mix-game model. It finds that the correlatio…
A novel framework uses goal-conditioned reinforcement learning to generate diverse samples.
problem Generating high-quality, diverse samples from generative models.
method Two agents: GC-agent learns to reconstruct the training set, S-agent learns to imitate GC-agent without knowing the goals.
result Empirically, the method generates diverse and high-quality samples in image synthesis.
Novel approach models opponent learning dynamics in multi-agent reinforcement learning.
problem Adaptation and learning of other agents in multi-agent settings cause non-stationarity, challenging existing algorithms.
method Develops a novel approach called Learning to Model Opponent Learning (LeMOL) to accurately model opponent learning dynamics.
result Structured opponent model is more accurate and stable than naive baselines.
The behavioral dynamics of multi-agent systems have a rich and orderly structure, which can be leveraged to understand these systems, and to improve how artificial agents learn to operate in them. Here we introduce Relational Forward Models (RFM) for multi-agent learning, networks that can learn to make accurate predic…
We present an effective technique for training deep learning agents capable of negotiating on a set of clauses in a contract agreement using a simple communication protocol. We use Multi Agent Reinforcement Learning to train both agents simultaneously as they negotiate with each other in the training environment. We al…
Study models crypto markets using multi-agent reinforcement learning.
problem Emulating crypto market dynamics and behaviors.
method Multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) with RL techniques.
result Model accurately emulates crypto market microstructure and behaviors.
MagNet uses neural networks to predict multi-agent dynamics from observations.
problem Predicting the evolution of complex multi-agent systems.
method Formulated a coupled non-linear network with ODE-based state evolution, trained a neural network to discover dynamics from observations.
result Orders of magnitude improvement in prediction accuracy over traditional models.
Agent-based modeling is a powerful simulation technique to understand the collective behavior and microscopic interaction in complex financial systems. Recently, the concept for determining the key parameters of the agent-based models from empirical data instead of setting them artificially was suggested. We first revi…
Agents learn social skills from each other, improving performance.
problem Independent RL agents fail to use social learning.
method Imposed constraints, model-based auxiliary loss, mixed training.
result Agents trained with social learning outperform solo-trained agents.
The study classifies and imitates trading agents in financial markets.
problem Classifying and imitating trading agents in continuous double auctions.
method Developed an agent-based model for trading, applied opponent modeling for classification, and used behavioral cloning for imitation.
result Techniques for classification and imitation were experimentally compared and evaluated.
RL agents outperform baselines in asset allocation.
problem Optimizing asset allocation using reinforcement learning.
method Model-free deep RL agents trained on real-world stock prices.
result RL agents significantly outperformed random and uniform allocation.
Adversarial attacks have exposed a significant security vulnerability in state-of-the-art machine learning models. Among these models include deep reinforcement learning agents. The existing methods for attacking reinforcement learning agents assume the adversary either has access to the target agent's learned paramete…
RD-Agent(Q) automates quantitative finance research and development.
problem Challenges in asset return prediction due to high dimensionality and volatility.
method Data-centric multi-agent framework for automated research and development of quantitative strategies.
result Up to 2X higher annualized returns with 70% fewer factors.
Develops methods to create consistent surrogate models for agent-based simulators.
problem High computational costs and misjudgment of interventions in agent-based models.
method Causal abstractions to learn interventionally consistent surrogate models.
result Surrogates trained for interventional consistency closely mimic the agent-based model's behavior under interventions.
We are looking for the agent-based treatment of the financial markets considering necessity to build bridges between microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, phenomenological modeling. The acknowledgment that agent-based modeling framework, which may provide qualitative and quantitative understanding of the financial…
A major challenge in cognitive science and AI has been to understand how autonomous agents might acquire and predict behavioral and mental states of other agents in the course of complex social interactions. How does such an agent model the goals, beliefs, and actions of other agents it interacts with? What are the com…
We formulate and analyze a multi-agent model for the evolution of individual and systemic risk in which the local agents interact with each other through a central agent who, in turn, is influenced by the mean field of the local agents. The central agent is stabilized by a bistable potential, the only stabilizing force…
Study uses AI agents to improve equity portfolio management.
problem Improving stock selection and portfolio management efficiency.
method Role-based multi-agent systems for equity research.
result Multi-agent approach outperforms benchmarks in stock selection.
This paper introduces stylized facts and agent-based modeling in finance.
problem Replicating stylized facts in financial markets.
method Agent-based computational economic market models.
result Introduction of universal building blocks for agent-based models.
A computational theory reduces agent evaluation errors and speeds up processes.
problem Efficient evaluation of mini agents at reduced cost.
method Developed a computational theory and a meta-learner to handle heterogeneous agents.
result Reduced evaluation errors by 24.1% to 99.0% across various scenarios.
Efficiently models agent dependencies in large social networks.
problem Challenges in incorporating inter-agent dependencies in social reinforcement learning models.
method Clusters users based on payoff and contribution, combines cluster-level policies with personalized agent-level policies, and uses dynamic clustering.
result Our approach learns more accurate policy estimates and converges more quickly than existing methods.
Market equilibrium price proven in a large-agent model.
problem Proving market equilibrium in a large-agent setting.
method Proved existence of equilibrium price in a complete, continuous time market with infinite agents.
result The equilibrium price dynamics decouple as the number of agents increases.
Study proposes a multi-agent system using LLMs for REIT trading, outperforming benchmarks.
problem Low-volatility Chinese REIT market, low risk-adjusted returns.
method Multi-agent framework with four types of agents, prediction model pathways, fine-tuning.
result Multi-agent strategies outperform buy-and-hold in terms of return, Sharpe ratio, and drawdown.
This paper presents an analytical treatment of economic systems with an arbitrary number of agents that keeps track of the systems' interactions and agents' complexity. This formalism does not seek to aggregate agents. It rather replaces the standard optimization approach by a probabilistic description of both the enti…
New bounds on predicting agent behavior from behavior alone.
problem Predicting agent beliefs and intentions from observed behavior.
method Derivation of bounds on agent behavior in new environments under assumption of world model.
result Theoretical limits on predicting intentional agents from behavioral data.
This paper considers a statistical signal processing problem involving agent based models of financial markets which at a micro-level are driven by socially aware and risk- averse trading agents. These agents trade (buy or sell) stocks by exploiting information about the decisions of previous agents (social learning) v…
We propose a lifelong learning architecture, the Neural Computer Agent (NCA), where a Reinforcement Learning agent is paired with a predictive model of the environment learned by a Differentiable Neural Computer (DNC). The agent and DNC model are trained in conjunction iteratively. The agent improves its policy in simu…
A multi-agent system improves crypto portfolio management by processing diverse data types.
problem Managing cryptocurrency portfolios requires processing various data types under high volatility.
method A multi-agent system with three specialized agents for market dynamics, news sentiment, and signal fusion.
result The best configuration, Hierarchical (Skill), achieved a 133.52% cumulative return and 1.502 Sharpe ratio.
TradingAgents uses LLM-powered multi-agent framework for financial trading.
problem Lack of collaborative dynamics in multi-agent financial trading systems.
method Inspired by real-world trading firms, TradingAgents features specialized LLM-powered agents and a risk management team.
result Framework outperforms baseline models in trading performance metrics.
PettingZoo library accelerates multi-agent reinforcement learning research.
problem Challenges in multi-agent reinforcement learning, especially conceptual models of games.
method Developed PettingZoo library with AEC games model to address multi-agent reinforcement learning challenges.
result AEC games model addresses conceptual issues in multi-agent reinforcement learning environments.
AGENTICAITA uses AI agents to autonomously trade markets without human intervention.
problem Inability of traditional trading systems to adapt to market complexity.
method Introduces an agentic AI framework with specialized LLM agents reasoning, negotiating, and acting.
result Demonstrated operational correctness and non-trivial inter-agent negotiation in live market conditions.
Complex behaviors are often driven by an internal model, which integrates sensory information over time and facilitates long-term planning. Inferring an agent's internal model is a crucial ingredient in social interactions (theory of mind), for imitation learning, and for interpreting neural activities of behaving agen…
New algorithms optimize decision rules in strategic scenarios, minimizing prediction risk and incentivizing better outcomes.
problem Strategic agents manipulate features to improve outcomes, complicating decision-making models.
method Efficient algorithms for learning decision rules that minimize prediction risk, incentivize better outcomes, and estimate true model coefficients.
result Optimal decision rules can be learned through testing and observing agent responses, circumventing hardness results.
We consider a set of learning agents in a collaborative peer-to-peer network, where each agent learns a personalized model according to its own learning objective. The question addressed in this paper is: how can agents improve upon their locally trained model by communicating with other agents that have similar object…
Most previous studies on multi-agent reinforcement learning focus on deriving decentralized and cooperative policies to maximize a common reward and rarely consider the transferability of trained policies to new tasks. This prevents such policies from being applied to more complex multi-agent tasks. To resolve these li…
We consider a financial market model which consists of a financial asset and a large number of interacting agents classified into many types. Different types of agents are heterogeneous in their price expectations. Each agent can change its type based on the current empirical distribution of the types and the equilibri…
Survey examines LLMs in financial trading.
problem Using LLMs to outperform professional traders in finance.
method Comprehensive review of current research on LLMs in financial trading.
result LLMs can potentially outperform professional traders in backtesting.
A model for collaborative learning with principal-agent interaction.
problem Optimizing parameter estimates in a collaborative learning setting.
method Decision-theoretic model with aggregation coefficients and Langevin dynamics.
result Advantages in stability and generalization due to cooperative behavior.