The family of translation surfaces constructed by Arnoux and Yoccoz from self-similar interval exchange maps encompasses one example from each genus greater than or equal to . We triangulate these surfaces and deduce general properties they share. The surfaces converge to a surface $(X_\i…
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The paper introduces horizon saddle connections to study dilation surfaces.
We study the ergodic properties of compositions of interval exchange transformations and rotations. We show that for any interval exchange transformation T, there is a full measure set of αin [0, 1) so that T composed with R_α is uniquely ergodic, where R_α is rotation by α.
A natural generalization of interval exchange maps are linear involutions, first introduced by Danthony and Nogueira. Recurrent train tracks with a single switch which we call non-classical interval exchanges, form a subclass of linear involutions without flips. They are analogs of classical interval exchanges, and are…
A natural generalization of interval exchange maps are linear involutions, first introduced by Danthony and Nogueira. Recurrent train tracks with a single switch provide a subclass of linear involutions. We call such linear involutions non-classical interval exchanges. They are related to measured foliations on orienta…
In [Mas82] and [Vee78] it was proved independently that almost every interval exchange transformation is uniquely ergodic. The Birkhoff ergodic theorem implies that these maps mainly have uniformly distributed orbits. This raises the question under which conditions the orbits yield low-discrepancy sequences. The case o…
Book explores infinite translation surfaces, challenging traditional geometry.
Interval exchange maps are related to geodesic flows on translation surfaces; they correspond to the first return maps of the vertical flow on a transverse segment. The Rauzy-Veech induction on the space of interval exchange maps provides a powerful tool to analyze the Teichmueller geodesic flow on the moduli space of …
Study of SL(2,R) representations on a once-punctured torus, showing Cantor set spectrum.
We show that there exists an interval exchange and a point so that the orbit of the point equidistributes for a measure that is not ergodic.
This paper presents quantitative shrinking target results for rotations and interval exchange transformations. To do this a quantitative version of a unique ergodicity criterion of Boshernitzan is established.
Foam cobordism groups linked to interval exchange automorphisms.
We study relations between Rauzy classes coming from an interval exchange map and the corresponding connected components of strata of the moduli space of Abelian differentials. This gives a criterion to decide whether two permutations are in the same Rauzy class or not, without actually computing them. We prove a simil…
Constructs tail-specific prediction intervals for financial applications
It is known since 40 years old paper by M. Keane that minimality is a generic (i.e. holding with probability one) property of an irreducible interval exchange transformation. If one puts some integral linear restrictions on the parameters of the interval exchange transformation, then minimality may become an "exotic" p…
Develops efficient time series prediction intervals.
An online framework optimizes efficiency in conformal prediction with a target miscoverage rate.
The study examines distortion in specific homeomorphisms of Cantor sets.
Novel method for time-series prediction with tighter confidence intervals.
Changes (returns) in stock index prices and exchange rates for currencies are argued, based on empirical data, to obey a stable distribution with characteristic exponent for short sampling intervals and a Gaussian distribution for long sampling intervals. In order to explain this phenomenon, an Ehrenfest model…
Study of flows on circle bundles over translation surfaces, showing decay of correlations.
We prove the existence of "half-plane differentials" with prescribed local data on any Riemann surface. These are meromorphic quadratic differentials with higher-order poles which have an associated singular flat metric isometric to a collection of euclidean half-planes glued by an interval-exchange map on their bounda…
Method constructs prediction intervals for time-varying individual treatment effects.
We prove a computable version of de Finetti's theorem on exchangeable sequences of real random variables. As a consequence, exchangeable stochastic processes expressed in probabilistic functional programming languages can be automatically rewritten as procedures that do not modify non-local state. Along the way, we pro…
Graphs from van der Corput sequence embed into Chamanara surface.
The ordinary (or classical) Birman-Wenzl-Murakami algebras were initially conceived as an algebraic framework for the Kauffman link invariant. They also appear as centralizer algebras for representations of quantum universal enveloping algebras of orthogonal or symplectic types. It was shown by Morton and Wassermann th…
A new algorithm for time series prediction intervals.
Introduces mobility algebra for modeling geodesics on n-spheres.
In this paper, we describe a newly discovered statistical property of time series data for daily price changes. We conducted quantitative investigation of the {\it calm-time intervals} of price changes for 800 companies listed in the Tokyo Stock Exchange, and for the Nikkei 225 index over a 27-year period from January …
In this paper we consider convex improper affine maps of the 3-dimensional affine space and classify their singularities. The main tool developed is a generating family with properties that closely resembles the area function for non-convex improper affine maps.
Let be a non-degenerate permutation on at least symbols. We show that the set of uniquely ergodic interval exchange transformations with permutation is path-connected.
Universal approximation for ODENet and ResNet with a single activation function.
Affine maps reveal higher rank structures in certain spaces.
We introduce a class of maps from an affine flat into a Riemannian manifold that solve an elliptic system defined by the natural second order elliptic operator of the affine structure and the nonlinear Riemann geometry of the target. These maps are called affine harmonic. We show an existence result for affine harmonic…
In this paper we introduce a natural definition for the affine maps between two Finsler manifolds and and we give some geometrical properties of these affine maps. Starting from the equations of the affine maps, we construct a natural Berwald-Riemann-Lagrange geometry on the 1-jet space $J^1(TM;…
The classical Fundamental Theorem of Affine Geometry states that for , any bijection of -dimensional Euclidean space that maps lines to lines (as sets) is given by an affine map. We consider an analogous characterization of affine automorphisms for compact quotients, and establish it for tori: A bijection o…
We propose an approach to explain fluctuations in time intervals of financial markets data from the view point of the Gini index. We show the explicit form of the Gini index for a Weibull distribution which is a good candidate to describe the first passage time of foreign exchange rate. The analytical expression of the…
Paper proves certain closed affine manifolds without invariant lines don't exist.
A new method combines conformal prediction with Super Learner for interval predictions.
Two methods for quantile regression are compared and found to produce tighter intervals.
Flexible method for estimating frequencies in large datasets using sketching.
New invariants found for mappings between non-symmetric affine spaces.
Arguably the most important problem in quantitative finance is to understand the nature of stochastic processes that underlie market dynamics. One aspect of the solution to this problem involves determining characteristics of the distribution of fluctuations in returns. Empirical studies conducted over the last decade …
Practical or scientific considerations often lead to selecting a subset of parameters as ``important.'' Inferences about those parameters often are based on the same data used to select them in the first place. That can make the reported uncertainties deceptively optimistic: confidence intervals that ignore selection g…
Revisits Jarrow & Turnbull model for credit and liquidity risk.
Study finds GBM model accurately predicts stock prices on Ghana Stock Exchange.
Solitons are special polygon midpoints under affine transformations.
New algorithm reveals piecewise affine structure of neural networks.