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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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116232348464 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for adversarial random forests

A new imputation method MissARF uses adversarial random forests for fast and accurate missing value imputation.

problem Handling missing values in biostatistical analyses.
method Adversarial Random Forests (ARF) for density estimation and data synthesis.
result MissARF performs comparably to state-of-the-art methods in imputation quality and runtime.

Novel unsupervised random forests improve density estimation and data synthesis.

problem Density estimation and data synthesis for complex tabular data.
method Recursive unsupervised random forests with alternating generation and discrimination rounds.
result Provable consistency and smooth densities with fast execution.

ARFs generate plausible counterfactuals for models, improving model understanding.

problem Creating realistic counterfactuals for model analysis.
method Adversarial Random Forests (ARFs) for generating plausible counterfactuals.
result ARFs efficiently generate plausible counterfactuals in a model-agnostic way.

A new method for measuring conditional feature importance using generative models.

problem Challenges in evaluating feature importance given other feature values.
method Adversarial Random Forest (ARF) for generating on-manifold data points.
result cARFi method yields robust importance scores adaptable for various feature importance notions.

This work uses adversarial learning to detect and correct feature shifts in various datasets.

problem Detecting and correcting feature shifts in real-world datasets.
method Adversarial learning applied to multiple discriminators to detect and correct feature shifts.
result Mainstream classifiers can effectively localize and correct feature shifts, outperforming existing techniques.

Proposes a new algorithm for accurate tree-based models with guaranteed recourse actions.

problem Ensuring recourse actions for models optimized for predictive performance.
method Formulates and solves an optimization task to ensure reasonable actions for as many instances as possible, using adversarial training techniques.
result Successfully provided reasonable actions to more instances than baselines without significantly degrading accuracy and computational efficiency.

ARF synthesizes epidemiological data to match original findings.

problem Synthetic data quality and privacy in epidemiology.
method Adversarial Random Forests (ARF) for efficient data synthesis.
result ARF-generated synthetic data consistently matches original epidemiological findings.

Ensembles of randomized decision trees, usually referred to as random forests, are widely used for classification and regression tasks in machine learning and statistics. Random forests achieve competitive predictive performance and are computationally efficient to train and test, making them excellent candidates for r…

2014-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

New random forest method provides optimal rates and confidence bands.

problem Improving random forest regression rates and constructing confidence bands.
method Proposed Ehrenfest centered purely random forests achieve optimal rates; used Gaussian approximation for supremum of empirical processes.
result Explicit asymptotic uniform confidence bands constructed for both random forest types.

We propose random hinge forests, a simple, efficient, and novel variant of decision forests. Importantly, random hinge forests can be readily incorporated as a general component within arbitrary computation graphs that are optimized end-to-end with stochastic gradient descent or variants thereof. We derive random hinge…

2018-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Random forests reduce bias and variance, especially in low SNR settings.

problem Reducing bias and variance in machine learning models, particularly in low SNR scenarios.
method Empirical study of random forests and bagging ensembles, focusing on the importance of mtrymtry tuning.
result Random forests reduce both bias and variance, outperforming bagging ensembles in high SNR settings.

This paper is a comment on the survey paper by Biau and Scornet (2016) about random forests. We focus on the problem of quantifying the impact of each ingredient of random forests on their performance. We show that such a quantification is possible for a simple pure forest , leading to conclusions that could apply more…

2016-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

RFpredInterval package builds prediction intervals for random forests and boosted forests.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in random forest and boosted forest point predictions.
method 16 methods to build prediction intervals with random forests and boosted forests.
result The proposed method outperforms existing methods in building prediction intervals.

Enhances random forest performance with exogenous randomness.

problem Improving random forest performance through exogenous randomness.
method Developed non-asymptotic MSE expansions for individual trees and forests, identified two types of randomness, and conducted simulations.
result Exogenous randomness, particularly feature subsampling, reduces both bias and variance of random forests.

We improve random forest consistency and performance with DMRF, a new variant.

problem Improving the consistency and performance of random forest models.
method Developed DMRF, a data-driven multinomial random forest, by modifying proof methods and improving data utilization.
result DMRF achieves strong consistency with probability 1, surpassing previous models in classification tasks.

We provide an approach for learning deep neural net representations of models described via conditional moment restrictions. Conditional moment restrictions are widely used, as they are the language by which social scientists describe the assumptions they make to enable causal inference. We formulate the problem of est…

2018-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Random forests have proven to be reliable predictive algorithms in many application areas. Not much is known, however, about the statistical properties of random forests. Several authors have established conditions under which their predictions are consistent, but these results do not provide practical estimates of ran…

2014-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Theoretical study of random forests for nonlinear time series.

problem Theoretical justification for using random forests in time series modeling.
method Uniform concentration inequality for regression trees and random forests consistency proof.
result Consistency of random forests for nonlinear autoregressive processes.

We propose an algorithm named best-scored random forest for binary classification problems. The terminology "best-scored" means to select the one with the best empirical performance out of a certain number of purely random tree candidates as each single tree in the forest. In this way, the resulting forest can be more …

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Alpha-trimming prunes trees in random forests to improve predictive performance.

problem Improving predictive performance of random forests by locally adaptive tree pruning.
method Alpha-trimming is a fast pruning algorithm that prunes trees in a random forest based on signal-to-noise ratio, controlled by a tuning parameter.
result Alpha-trimming often lowers mean squared prediction error compared to fully grown random forests.

New methods improve prediction performance and reduce computation time in boosting and random forest models.

problem Improving prediction performance and reducing computation time in boosting and random forest models.
method Random tree depth injection approach for Boosting and Random Forests.
result The new methods can improve prediction performance and reduce computation time by up to 40%.

Classifier evasion consists in finding for a given instance xx the nearest instance xx' such that the classifier predictions of xx and xx' are different. We present two novel algorithms for systematically computing evasions for tree ensembles such as boosted trees and random forests. Our first algorithm uses a Mixe…

2015-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Random forests are a type of ensemble method which makes predictions by combining the results of several independent trees. However, the theory of random forests has long been outpaced by their application. In this paper, we propose a novel random forests algorithm based on cooperative game theory. Banzhaf power index …

2015-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A random forest is a popular tool for estimating probabilities in machine learning classification tasks. However, the means by which this is accomplished is unprincipled: one simply counts the fraction of trees in a forest that vote for a certain class. In this paper, we forge a connection between random forests and ke…

2018-12-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Despite widespread interest and practical use, the theoretical properties of random forests are still not well understood. In this paper we contribute to this understanding in two ways. We present a new theoretically tractable variant of random regression forests and prove that our algorithm is consistent. We also prov…

2013-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a new random forest method for clustered data with improved prediction and inference.

problem Improving prediction and inference accuracy for clustered data with within-cluster dependence.
method Clustered Random Forests, using weighted least squares estimators for leaf predictions.
result Optimal prediction and inference weights vary under covariate shift, necessitating user-chosen weights.

Shapelet is a discriminative subsequence of time series. An advanced shapelet-based method is to embed shapelet into accurate and fast random forest. However, it shows several limitations. First, random shapelet forest requires a large training cost for split threshold searching. Second, a single shapelet provides limi…

2019-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper explains CART random forests using stochastic control theory.

problem Understanding the inner workings of CART random forests.
method Developed a stochastic-control perspective on CART random forests, interpreting feature subsampling as a random feasible action set and the split rule as a policy.
result Established that the CART policy is locally stabilizing but globally suboptimal for the forest objective.

As a testament to their success, the theory of random forests has long been outpaced by their application in practice. In this paper, we take a step towards narrowing this gap by providing a consistency result for online random forests.

2013-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Random forest is widely exploited as an ensemble learning method. In many practical applications, however, there is still a significant challenge to learn from imbalanced data. To alleviate this limitation, we propose a deep dynamic boosted forest (DDBF), a novel ensemble algorithm that incorporates the notion of hard …

2018-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A weighted random survival forest is presented in the paper. It can be regarded as a modification of the random forest improving its performance. The main idea underlying the proposed model is to replace the standard procedure of averaging used for estimation of the random survival forest hazard function by weighted av…

2019-01-01abs ↗pdf ↗