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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for adherence prediction

OptiLIME improves LIME explanations by balancing stability and adherence.

problem LIME's instability and lack of reliability in explanations.
method OptiLIME uses a deterministic sampling approach and feature selection to maximize stability while retaining predefined adherence.
result OptiLIME provides more reliable and interpretable explanations.

Simulation framework assesses ROI of chronic disease adherence and policy timing.

problem Uncertainty in ROI of adherence-enhancing interventions under heterogeneous patient behavior and socioeconomic variation.
method Simulation-based framework integrating disease progression, time-varying adherence, and policy timing.
result Early and adaptive interventions yield highest ROI, exceeding 20% under certain conditions.

Study finds non-adherence to schizophrenia meds leads to earlier adverse events.

problem Impact of medication non-adherence on adverse outcomes in schizophrenia patients.
method Survival analysis, causal inference methods (T-learner, S-learner, nearest neighbor matching), different amounts of longitudinal information.
result Non-adherence to schizophrenia meds advances adverse events by 1 to 4 months.

New approach tackles non-Markovian behavior in maternal health programs.

problem Improving adherence and engagement in maternal and child healthcare programs.
method Extending RMABs to non-Markovian settings, using time-series forecasting and TARI policy.
result Significant increase in engagement and content listened compared to existing methods.

The paper tackles AI advice giving by considering adherence levels and defer options.

problem Inadequate consideration of human adherence to AI recommendations.
method Sequential decision-making model that considers adherence levels and incorporates a defer option.
result Specialized learning algorithms provide better convergence and empirical performance.

Generative model predicts menstrual cycle lengths accounting for self-tracking artifacts.

problem Uncertainty in self-tracked health data due to user adherence.
method Hierarchical, generative model using machine learning.
result Model yields state-of-the-art performance in predicting menstrual cycle lengths.

Paper tackles inventory management with deep learning, improving performance and adherence to constraints.

problem Managing inventory with limited resources and constraints.
method Proposes a novel method to sample from a distribution of possible constraint paths, extends exo-IDP formulation, introduces neural coordinator, and uses modified DirectBackprop algorithm.
result Deep reinforcement learning policies with a neural coordinator outperform classic baselines in terms of performance and adherence to constraints.

HardCoRe-NAS finds fitting neural networks adhering to hard resource constraints.

problem Finding fitting neural networks that adhere to hard resource constraints.
method Accurate formulation of resource requirement and scalable search method.
result HardCoRe-NAS generates state-of-the-art architectures strictly satisfying hard resource constraints.

PredNet fails to fully adhere to predictive coding principles.

problem Evaluation of PredNet's adherence to predictive coding theory.
method Critical analysis of PredNet's architecture and performance on a video action classification dataset.
result PredNet does not fully follow predictive coding principles but shows potential with top-down conditioning.

Study optimal and equitable encouragement policies for treatment adherence.

problem Optimal treatment adherence policies in the presence of human non-adherence.
method Covariate-conditional no-direct-effect model of encouragement; tractable policy characterizations under constraints.
result Induced treatment take-up is the fairness target, not recommendation rates.

PhysVarMix predicts diverse urban trajectories with physics constraints.

problem Predicting complex urban agent trajectories with multiple plausible scenarios.
method Physics-informed variational mixture model combining learning and physics constraints.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods on benchmark datasets.

Model predicts Mozambique bank failures, aiding risk management.

problem Lack of bankruptcy prediction model in Mozambique banking sector.
method Linear Discriminant Analysis method, using financial indicators.
result Model accurately predicted 84% of bank failures 1 year before Central Bank intervention.

MPC framework reduces execution costs and schedule deviations in trading.

problem Executing large orders in markets under time and liquidity constraints.
method Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework balancing order completion, market impact, and opportunity cost.
result Significant reductions in slippage and schedule shortfall compared to benchmarks.

Proposes a method for neural networks to learn causal relationships and humans to contest and modify them.

problem Neural networks learn relevant causal relationships unclearly and are black-box, making them hard to debug.
method Two-way interaction between neural networks and humans, allowing contestation and modification of causal graphs.
result Improves predictive performance up to 2.4x and produces smaller networks up to 7x compared to SOTA.

Model predicts stock price changes and forecasts using tokenized data.

problem Challenges in stock price forecasting and prediction due to dynamic data and statistical differences.
method Introduces PCIE model with tokenization to handle both forecasting and prediction.
result PCIE model outperforms state-of-the-art models in forecast and prediction tasks.

Unified framework for arbitrary conditional inference using AI and Bayesian methods.

problem Limited flexibility in existing conditional inference methods.
method Bayesian generative modeling with stochastic iterative algorithm.
result Single learned model for universal conditional prediction with uncertainty quantification.

The paper analyzes the convergence of CART under a SID condition, improving previous results.

problem Investigating the convergence rate of CART under a sufficient impurity decrease condition.
method Established an upper bound on prediction error under SID condition, introduced easily verifiable conditions.
result Improved convergence rate of CART under SID condition, demonstrated examples of error bound limitations.

New neural network enforces mass conservation for better ice flow predictions.

problem Reliably project future sea level rise by improving ice sheet model inputs.
method Proposes divergence-free neural networks (dfNNs) enforcing local mass conservation.
result dfNNs yield more reliable ice flux estimates compared to other models.

Optimizes machine learning models while controlling risks.

problem Finding a model configuration that balances multiple conflicting metrics.
method Combines Bayesian Optimization with rigorous risk-controlling procedures.
result Identifies and selects Pareto optimal configurations with guaranteed risk levels.

Develops optimal uncertainty quantification for risk-averse decision makers.

problem Quantifying prediction uncertainty for risk-sensitive domains.
method Decision-theoretic foundations connecting uncertainty quantification with risk-averse decision-making.
result Risk-Averse Calibration (RAC) algorithm provides optimal prediction sets for risk-averse decision makers.

CaTs use DAGs with transformers to enforce causal constraints, improving neural network robustness.

problem Neural networks lack inherent causal structure respect, leading to reliability issues.
method Introducing Causal Transformers (CaTs) that operate under predefined causal constraints specified by DAGs.
result CaTs improve robustness and interpretability of neural networks under causal constraints.

EL framework certifies and flags bias in ML models without distributional assumptions.

problem Systematic performance disparities across sensitive subpopulations in ML models.
method Empirical likelihood-based approach for non-parametric fairness auditing.
result EL framework outperforms bootstrap methods in certification and subpopulation discovery.

Unified framework for output analysis using Monte Carlo sampling.

problem Accurately assess the quality of estimated values in predictive models.
method Unified output analysis framework through Monte Carlo sampling, leveraging fast iterative bootstrap sampling and higher-order influence functions.
result Clear advantage in building more robust confidence intervals with higher coverage probability.

We demonstrate a conditional autoregressive pipeline for efficient music recomposition, based on methods presented in van den Oord et al.(2017). Recomposition (Casal & Casey, 2010) focuses on reworking existing musical pieces, adhering to structure at a high level while also re-imagining other aspects of the work. This…

2018-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to generate text that adheres to logical constraints.

problem Generating text that respects logical constraints is hard for autoregressive models.
method Bayesian conditioning to draw samples subject to a constraint, considering the entire sequence and inducing a local, factorized distribution.
result Our approach generates samples that closely approximate the target distribution and are guaranteed to satisfy the constraints.

This paper analyzes Ethereum's gas fees and their derivatives, providing a comprehensive model.

problem Understanding and predicting gas fees on the Ethereum blockchain.
method Analyzed Ethereum's gas fee structure and used a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to model gas prices.
result A model for pricing and trading gas fee derivatives to hedge against volatility.

TgNN improves neural network accuracy for subsurface flow modeling.

problem Improving accuracy of neural network predictions for subsurface flow.
method Theory-guided Neural Network (TgNN) trained with data and physical constraints.
result TgNN achieves higher accuracy and better generalizability than ANN models.