We design a new algorithm for the Euclidean k-means problem that operates in the local model of differential privacy. Unlike in the non-private literature, differentially private algorithms for the k-means objective incur both additive and multiplicative errors. Our algorithm significantly reduces the additive erro…
A fast Monte Carlo method for additive processes and option pricing.
problem Efficiently pricing path-dependent options with additive processes.
method Developed a fast Monte Carlo scheme for additive processes, analyzing and reducing numerical error sources.
result Shows significant reduction in error (1 bp or below) for pricing path-dependent options.
Multiplicative noise models are often used instead of additive noise models in cases in which the noise variance depends on the state. Furthermore, when Poisson distributions with relatively small counts are approximated with normal distributions, multiplicative noise approximations are straightforward to implement. Th…
Passive investing can incur hidden costs due to market timing inefficiencies.
problem Hidden costs in passive investing due to market timing inefficiencies.
method Analysis of passive investing strategies, including gradual share acquisition and post-announcement trading.
result Post-announcement trading can earn significant profits, often exceeding 1%.
Inexact subgradient methods work well for semialgebraic functions with additive errors.
problem Approximate gradients in machine learning and optimization.
method Inexact subgradient methods with persistent additive errors in semialgebraic functions.
result Iterates eventually fluctuate near the critical set with a proximity of O(ερ), where ε is the magnitude of subgradient evaluation errors. First order discretizations of Langevin diffusion can achieve better generalization error with additional smoothness assumptions.
problem Analyzing generalization error for first order discretizations of Langevin diffusion.
method Providing a sufficient smoothness condition to show that first order methods can achieve arbitrarily runtime complexity for a given expected generalization error.
result First order methods can achieve arbitrarily runtime complexity with additional smoothness assumptions.
Efficient classifier error estimation without re-training.
problem Estimating classifier error without re-training.
method Generalized resubstitution based on empirical measures.
result Consistent and asymptotically unbiased error estimation.
Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a fully Bayesian approach to modeling with ensembles of trees. BART can uncover complex regression functions with high dimensional regressors in a fairly automatic way and provide Bayesian quantification of the uncertainty through the posterior. However, BART assumes IID nor…
LSTM Networks accurately forecast COVID-19 cases in Turkey with lower error than other methods.
problem Forecasting total COVID-19 cases in Turkey using machine learning.
method Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks for forecasting.
result LSTM Networks outperform other methods in forecasting accuracy.
The paper develops a minimax optimal method for high-dimensional regression using auxiliary data.
problem High-dimensional additive regression with heavy-tailed errors and transfer learning.
method Smooth backfitting estimator with local linear smoothing, followed by a two-stage estimation method.
result The method achieves the minimax optimal rate under certain conditions.
One-pass algorithm finds small subset for ℓp subspace approximation with additive error.
problem Finding a small subset of data points for ℓp subspace approximation. method One-pass subset selection with additive approximation guarantee for p∈[1,∞). result First one-pass algorithm with additive error for ℓp subspace approximation. Tensors are becoming prevalent in modern applications such as medical imaging and digital marketing. In this paper, we propose a sparse tensor additive regression (STAR) that models a scalar response as a flexible nonparametric function of tensor covariates. The proposed model effectively exploits the sparse and low-ra…
This work studies scaling laws for low-precision training in high-dimensional linear regression.
problem Optimizing trade-off between model quality and training costs in high-dimensional linear regression.
method Theoretical study of scaling laws for low-precision training within a high-dimensional sketched linear regression framework, analyzing multiplicative and additive quantization.
result Multiplicative quantization maintains full-precision model size, while additive quantization reduces effective model size.
Gradient-free optimization for additive models achieves optimal error.
problem Optimizing noisy functions with zero-order information.
method Proposed a randomized gradient estimator for gradient-free optimization.
result Achieves minimax optimal error of order dT−(β−1)/β. HARFE approximates sparse additive functions using random features and ridge regression.
problem Approximating high-dimensional sparse additive functions.
method Hard-ridge random feature expansion with sparse ridge regression and hard-thresholding pursuit.
result HARFE method converges with a given error bound and achieves lower error than other algorithms.
Study high-dimensional logistic regression with missing data, providing exact error characterizations.
problem High-dimensional logistic regression with missing or corrupted covariates.
method Exact characterizations of prediction and estimation errors under independence and moment conditions.
result Characterizations are universal and hold for various imputation strategies.
New estimators improve sparse semiparametric additive modeling.
problem Sparse semiparametric additive modeling with structured sparsity.
method Combines group subset selection with shrinkage for nonconvex optimization.
result New estimators outperform alternatives in synthetic and real-world data.
This paper examines fundamental error characteristics for a general class of matrix completion problems, where the matrix of interest is a product of two a priori unknown matrices, one of which is sparse, and the observations are noisy. Our main contributions come in the form of minimax lower bounds for the expected pe…
This work finds a point with small test error in polynomial time for mildly overparameterized neural nets.
problem Achieving small test error in mildly overparameterized neural networks.
method The work shows that the landscape of loss functions with explicit regularization has a property that all local minima and certain stationary points achieve small test error. It also proves the existence of polynomial time algorithms for finding such points in convolutional and fully connected neural nets.
result Polynomial time algorithms exist for finding points with small test error in mildly overparameterized neural nets.
Bayesian Additive Regression Networks use neural networks for regression tasks.
problem Regression tasks with small neural networks and ensemble learning.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Tree principles applied to small neural networks, Gibbs sampling for ensemble learning.
result BARN provides more consistent and often more accurate results than shallow neural networks, BART, and ordinary least squares.
Robust variable selection for high-dimensional data with missing and measurement errors.
problem Missing data and measurement errors confound data distribution.
method Exponential loss function with inverse probability weighting and additive error models.
result The Atan punishment method improves robust variable selection.
The paper introduces a new model to correct bias in treatment effect estimates due to sample selection.
problem Bias in treatment effect estimates due to sample selection.
method Type 2 Tobit Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (TOBART-2) with Dirichlet Process Mixture distribution and soft trees.
result Corrects bias in treatment effect estimates by accounting for nonlinearities and model uncertainty.
We consider the problem of estimating the class prior in an unlabeled dataset. Under the assumption that an additional labeled dataset is available, the class prior can be estimated by fitting a mixture of class-wise data distributions to the unlabeled data distribution. However, in practice, such an additional labeled…
Paper develops Euler scheme for fractional delay diff. eqs with additive noise.
problem Developing a consistent Euler-Maruyama scheme for fractional stochastic delay diff. eqs.
method Euler-Maruyama scheme for fractional Brownian motion with additive noise.
result Achieved convergence rate of H+1/2 for smooth delays when H>1/2.
We consider general non-Euclidean distance measures between real world objects that need to be classified. It is assumed that objects are represented by distances to other objects only. Conditions for zero-error dissimilarity based classifiers are derived. Additional conditions are given under which the zero-error deci…
The main aim of this paper is to provide an analysis of gradient descent (GD) algorithms with gradient errors that do not necessarily vanish, asymptotically. In particular, sufficient conditions are presented for both stability (almost sure boundedness of the iterates) and convergence of GD with bounded, (possibly) non…
Gaussian graphical model is a graphical representation of the dependence structure for a Gaussian random vector. It is recognized as a powerful tool in different applied fields such as bioinformatics, error-control codes, speech language, information retrieval and others. Gaussian graphical model selection is a statist…
In this paper, we obtain asymptotic formulas with error estimates for the implied volatility associated with a European call pricing function. We show that these formulas imply Lee's moment formulas for the implied volatility and the tail-wing formulas due to Benaim and Friz. In addition, we analyze Pareto-type tails o…
Study on natural actor-critic for POMDPs with finite memory.
problem Learning in partially observed Markov decision processes with noisy observations.
method Finite actor-critic method with multi-step temporal difference learning.
result First non-asymptotic global convergence for POMDPs with function approximation.
Study selective classification with halfspaces, achieving error bounds under Gaussian distributions.
problem Modeling relationships in subsets of data defined by selection rules.
method Sparse linear classifiers for subsets defined by halfspaces, focusing on Gaussian feature distributions.
result First PAC-learning algorithm for homogeneous halfspace selectors with error guarantee $\bigO*{\sqrt{\mathrm{opt}}}$.
Paper improves MRI reconstruction by separating target labels and prediction error.
problem Improving MRI reconstruction accuracy by estimating prediction error.
method Proposes a novel method to estimate target labels and prediction error separately.
result Significantly better MRI reconstruction results achieved compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Method detects errors in numerical data using regression models.
problem Noise and errors in numerical datasets.
method Introduced veracity scores and a filtering procedure for error detection.
result Method outperforms other approaches in identifying incorrect values.
TCE measures calibration error with a test-based approach.
problem Measuring calibration error of probabilistic binary classifiers.
method TCE uses a novel loss function based on a statistical test.
result TCE offers clear interpretation, consistent scale, and enhanced visual representation.
This paper improves entropy bounds for ranking time-series complexity.
problem Ranking the complexity of time series processes.
method Building on information theoretic bounds, the paper improves the upper bound of conditional differential entropy using Hadamard's inequality and covariance matrix properties.
result The improved bounds can be used to rank the complexity of time series processes.
The paper analyzes CycleGAN's error components for unpaired data generation.
problem Analyzing approximation and estimation errors in CycleGAN for unpaired data.
method Decomposes risk into approximation and estimation errors, analyzing each separately and considering their trade-offs.
result Theoretical insights into CycleGAN's performance through error analysis.
Algorithm learns decision trees from noisy data.
problem Learning stochastic decision trees from corrupted samples.
method Quasipolynomial-time algorithm for adversarial noise.
result Returns a hypothesis with error within 2η+ε of optimal. Uniform stability of a learning algorithm is a classical notion of algorithmic stability introduced to derive high-probability bounds on the generalization error (Bousquet and Elisseeff, 2002). Specifically, for a loss function with range bounded in [0,1], the generalization error of a γ-uniformly stable learning a…
Proposes a model combining difference-attention and error-correction LSTMs for improved time series prediction.
problem Improving accuracy in time series prediction.
method Combines difference-attention LSTM and error-correction LSTM in a cascade approach.
result Improves prediction accuracy in time series.
The sigma-point filters, such as the UKF, which exploit numerical quadrature to obtain an additional order of accuracy in the moment transformation step, are popular alternatives to the ubiquitous EKF. The classical quadrature rules used in the sigma-point filters are motivated via polynomial approximation of the integ…
Improved sampling in generative models using CLDs with a hyperparameter.
problem Improving sampling performance in generative models.
method Extending Critically-damped Langevin Diffusions with a hyperparameter to control noise.
result Derivation of a novel upper bound on Wasserstein sampling error.
We present a nonparametric method for selecting informative features in high-dimensional clustering problems. We start with a screening step that uses a test for multimodality. Then we apply kernel density estimation and mode clustering to the selected features. The output of the method consists of a list of relevant f…
New online learning algorithm combines PA and TER for binary classification.
problem Binary classification with non-separable data and data imbalance.
method Online Passive-Aggressive (PA) and Total-Error-Rate (TER) learning combined into PATER algorithm.
result PATER algorithms outperform existing online learning algorithms in efficiency and effectiveness.
In this paper, we prove that some Gaussian structural equation models with dependent errors having equal variances are identifiable from their corresponding Gaussian distributions. Specifically, we prove identifiability for the Gaussian structural equation models that can be represented as Andersson-Madigan-Perlman cha…
HarDNN detects and protects CNNs from hardware errors.
problem Hardware errors in CNNs can corrupt inference output.
method Statistical error injection and heuristic vulnerability assessment.
result HarDNN improves CNN resilience with minimal additional computation.
In the regression setting, given a set of hyper-parameters, a model-estimation procedure constructs a model from training data. The optimal hyper-parameters that minimize generalization error of the model are usually unknown. In practice they are often estimated using split-sample validation. Up to now, there is an ope…
In this paper, we study the problem of approximately computing the product of two real matrices. In particular, we analyze a dimensionality-reduction-based approximation algorithm due to Sarlos [1], introducing the notion of nuclear rank as the ratio of the nuclear norm over the spectral norm. The presented bound has i…
We present a new method for high-dimensional linear regression when a scale parameter of the additive errors is unknown. The proposed estimator is based on a penalized Huber M-estimator, for which theoretical results on estimation error have recently been proposed in high-dimensional statistics literature. However, t…
A new sampling method called Restart improves both speed and quality of generative processes.
problem Balancing speed and quality in generative processes involving differential equations.
method Alternates between adding noise and following ODE, improving both speed and quality.
result Surpasses previous SDE and ODE samplers in both speed and accuracy.