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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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171343514685 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for adaptive risk bounds

We provide two main contributions in PAC-Bayesian theory for domain adaptation where the objective is to learn, from a source distribution, a well-performing majority vote on a different, but related, target distribution. Firstly, we propose an improvement of the previous approach we proposed in Germain et al. (2013), …

2017-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Data-driven method for error estimation without needing class complexity.

problem Constructing confidence intervals for a class of estimates.
method Data-driven approach to derive high-probability upper bounds on maximum error.
result Method naturally adapts to unknown correlation structures and works for finite and infinite classes.

New framework improves model reliability under distribution shifts.

problem Lack of formal guarantees connecting shift magnitude to prediction reliability in TTA methods.
method Develops a PAC-Bayesian framework interpreting MMD-balls as credal sets.
result Establishes generalization bounds and provides epistemic uncertainty quantification.

New approach to adaptively select bandwidths in nonparametric regression.

problem Adaptive bandwidth selection in nonparametric regression.
method Inspired by 2\ell_2-norms of interval projections, introduces a new bandwidth selection procedure.
result Obtains non-asymptotic risk bounds for local polynomial regression methods that adapt to local Hölder exponent.

Meta-learning bounds derived using PAC-Bayes theory for improved generalization.

problem Uncertainty in generalization performance for meta-learning with new tasks.
method PAC-Bayes relative entropy bounds and empirical risk minimization (ERM) method.
result Competitive generalization performance and rapid convergence with data-dependent prior.

A new method trains deep neural networks for open set domain adaptation without negative open set difference.

problem Training deep neural networks for open set domain adaptation without negative open set difference.
method Proposes a new upper bound of target-domain risk, including source-domain risk, ε-open set difference (ΔεΔ_ε), distributional discrepancy, and constant. Uses gradient descent for source-domain risk and ΔεΔ_ε, and adversarial training for distributional discrepancy. Trains DNNs via minimizing the new upper bound.
result Shows state-of-the-art performance on benchmark datasets.

A framework is introduced for actively and adaptively solving a sequence of machine learning problems, which are changing in bounded manner from one time step to the next. An algorithm is developed that actively queries the labels of the most informative samples from an unlabeled data pool, and that adapts to the chang…

2018-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The aim of unsupervised domain adaptation is to leverage the knowledge in a labeled (source) domain to improve a model's learning performance with an unlabeled (target) domain -- the basic strategy being to mitigate the effects of discrepancies between the two distributions. Most existing algorithms can only handle uns…

2019-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework for domain adaptation using pseudo-labels from unlabeled data.

problem Improving prediction accuracy in target domain with covariate shift.
method Kernel GLMs with labeled and pseudo-labeled data, using imputation model for target data.
result Non-asymptotic excess-risk bounds for effective labeled sample size.

Noise-ignorant empirical risk minimization achieves state-of-the-art performance on noisy data.

problem Learning with noisy labels in multi-class classification problems.
method Introducing relative signal strength (RSS) to quantify transferability and applying Noise Ignorant Empirical Risk Minimization (NI-ERM).
result NI-ERM achieves state-of-the-art performance on CIFAR-N data challenge.

The study optimizes distribution estimation from samples with relative entropy error, adapting to sparse distributions.

problem Estimating discrete distributions with high-probability accuracy in relative entropy.
method Analysis of Laplace estimator and confidence-dependent smoothing techniques, including data-dependent smoothing.
result Optimal high-probability risk bounds for various estimators, including a new data-dependent smoothing method.

A new one-step method for covariate shift adaptation.

problem Real-world data often violates the assumption of same distribution for training and test samples.
method Proposes a one-step optimization approach to jointly learn the model and weights.
result The proposed method achieves a generalization error bound and is empirically effective.

Paper tackles linear models with missing values, achieving minimax optimal results.

problem Missing values in real-world data complicate linear model learning.
method Proposes a rigorous setting and a new algorithm leveraging missing data distribution.
result Derives minimax optimal adaptive risk bounds for predictions with missing values.

This paper introduces AdaSDCA: an adaptive variant of stochastic dual coordinate ascent (SDCA) for solving the regularized empirical risk minimization problems. Our modification consists in allowing the method adaptively change the probability distribution over the dual variables throughout the iterative process. AdaSD…

2015-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The problem of adaptive noisy clustering is investigated. Given a set of noisy observations Zi=Xi+εiZ_i=X_i+ε_i, i=1,...,ni=1,...,n, the goal is to design clusters associated with the law of XiX_i's, with unknown density ff with respect to the Lebesgue measure. Since we observe a corrupted sample, a direct approach as the popular …

2013-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We formulate the notion of minimax estimation under storage or communication constraints, and prove an extension to Pinsker's theorem for nonparametric estimation over Sobolev ellipsoids. Placing limits on the number of bits used to encode any estimator, we give tight lower and upper bounds on the excess risk due to qu…

2015-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New findings link causal models to strategic classification, improving robustness and alignment.

problem Strategic adaptation by users in classification tasks.
method Causal models to bound worst-case out-of-distribution risk.
result Causal classification optimizes classification error after adaptation under certain noise conditions.

We study the issue of PAC-Bayesian domain adaptation: We want to learn, from a source domain, a majority vote model dedicated to a target one. Our theoretical contribution brings a new perspective by deriving an upper-bound on the target risk where the distributions' divergence---expressed as a ratio---controls the tra…

2015-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces localized discrepancy theories for unsupervised domain adaptation.

problem Improving generalization bounds for unsupervised domain adaptation.
method Localized discrepancies defined on the hypothesis space after localization, leading to smaller and asymmetric values.
result Improved generalization bounds and sample complexity reduction.

Paper improves DP-ERM for binary linear classification with large-margin subsets.

problem Differentially private binary linear classification with large-margin subsets.
method Efficient (ε,δ)(\varepsilon,δ)-DP algorithm with empirical zero-one risk bound.
result Improved empirical zero-one risk bound for binary linear classification.

PAC-Bayes bounds for Gibbs posteriors derived via singular learning theory.

problem Generalization bounds for overparameterized models with data-dependent priors.
method Explicit non-asymptotic PAC-Bayes bounds using singular learning theory.
result Explicit posterior-averaged risk bounds for overparameterized models.

In this paper we revisit the risk bounds of the lasso estimator in the context of transductive and semi-supervised learning. In other terms, the setting under consideration is that of regression with random design under partial labeling. The main goal is to obtain user-friendly bounds on the off-sample prediction risk.…

2016-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

DRDA robustly adapts models across domains with mismatched distributions.

problem Vulnerability of DA methods to noise and inability to generalize to unseen samples.
method DRDA uses distributionally robust optimization (DRO) with MMD metric to learn robust decision functions.
result DRDA outperforms existing robust learning approaches in experiments.

In adaptive data analysis, the user makes a sequence of queries on the data, where at each step the choice of query may depend on the results in previous steps. The releases are often randomized in order to reduce overfitting for such adaptively chosen queries. In this paper, we propose a minimax framework for adaptive…

2016-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved sample complexity for identifying best policies in risk-sensitive reinforcement learning.

problem Identifying approximately optimal policies in risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with exponential horizon dependence.
method Forward-model based algorithm with KL-based exploration bonuses adapted for entropic criterion, leveraging smoothness properties of exponential utility and a new stopping rule.
result Achieved sample complexity matching the lower bound, closing the gap between upper and lower bounds.

This paper analyzes M-estimators under infinite-variance noise in high dimensions.

problem High-dimensional M-estimation with infinite-variance noise.
method Study of the Fenchel conjugate domain and its impact on risk.
result Exact risk of M-estimators under infinite-variance noise is derived.

Stochastic optimization problems often involve the expectation in its objective. When risk is incorporated in the problem description as well, then risk measures have to be involved in addition to quantify the acceptable risk, often in the objective. For this purpose it is important to have an adjusted, adapted and eff…

2012-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This study analyzes prediction risk for PCR method in latent factor regression models.

problem Prediction risk analysis in latent factor regression models.
method Adaptive PCR method with risk bounds established under factor regression model.
result Unified framework for analyzing various linear prediction methods under factor regression.

Dynamic risk measures follow law invariance principles over time.

problem Tackles dynamic risk measurement principles.
method Shows equivalence between adapted law invariance and recursive one-step conditional-law representation for time-consistent risk measures.
result Identifies adapted law invariance as the dynamic counterpart of ordinary law invariance.

We build a theoretical framework for designing and understanding practical meta-learning methods that integrates sophisticated formalizations of task-similarity with the extensive literature on online convex optimization and sequential prediction algorithms. Our approach enables the task-similarity to be learned adapti…

2019-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Research shows minimal communication limits adaptive function estimation rates.

problem Adaptive estimation of a smooth function under minimal communication constraints.
method Investigates the LL_\infty-risk and L2L_2-risk under different numbers of servers.
result For LL_\infty-risk, optimal rates cannot be achieved under minimal communication. For L2L_2-risk, adaptivity is possible but depends on server number and sample size.

This guide simplifies high-probability regret bounds in empirical risk minimization.

problem High-probability regret bounds in empirical risk minimization.
method Modular presentation, three-step recipe, localized Rademacher complexity, local maximal inequalities, metric-entropy integrals.
result Recover familiar rates for various function classes and derive regret bounds for nuisance components.