We present an adaptive approach to the construction of Gaussian process surrogates for Bayesian inference with expensive-to-evaluate forward models. Our method relies on the fully Bayesian approach to training Gaussian process models and utilizes the expected improvement idea from Bayesian global optimization. We adapt…
Adaptive batching improves Gaussian process surrogates for noisy level set estimation.
problem Learning the level set of noisy simulator responses.
method Developed four novel adaptive batching schemes for Gaussian process metamodels.
result Adaptive batching brings significant computational speed-ups with minimal loss of modeling fidelity.
HR-calculus enables adaptive processing of quaternion signals.
problem Lack of adaptive processing techniques for quaternion-valued signals.
method Introduction and development of HR-calculus for quaternion algebra.
result Derivation of gradient operator, chain and product derivative rules, and Taylor series expansion for quaternion calculus.
Paper optimizes industrial refrigeration using adaptive exploration.
problem Challenges in optimizing real-time industrial processes with unknown characteristics and safety constraints.
method Adaptive and explorative real-time optimization framework with Gaussian process uncertainty quantification.
result Approach increases energy efficiency of refrigeration process, approximating complete information solutions.
The study optimizes wind farm yaw control using Gaussian process regression and high-fidelity simulations.
problem Improving yaw control inputs for maximum power production in wind farms.
method Gaussian process regression and modifier adaptation scheme based on high-fidelity simulation data.
result Both modifier adaptation and Bayesian optimization improve power production with smaller yaw misalignments.
Paper analyzes adaptive Lasso for high-dimensional diffusion processes, improving support recovery and bias.
problem Support recovery for high-dimensional diffusion processes under sparsity constraints.
method Adaptive Lasso estimator for d-dimensional ergodic diffusion process, focusing on linear models.
result Adaptive Lasso achieves support recovery and asymptotic normality for drift parameter under certain conditions.
Adaptive importance sampling for estimating point process statistics.
problem Estimating the expected value of a statistic of a locally stable point process.
method Adaptive importance sampling with Poisson point processes and cross-entropy minimization.
result The proposed estimator converges to the target value almost surely and is asymptotically normal.
A new model predicts spatio-temporal data using adaptive decision trees and point processes.
problem Predicting spatio-temporal data with real-life applications.
method Hawkes process, adaptive decision tree, joint optimization algorithm.
result Significant improvement in predictions compared to standard methods.
Adaptive denoising models adjust the number of steps based on noise level.
problem Generating data with lower intrinsic dimensions.
method Adaptive diffusion models using Doob's h-transform to terminate at a random time.
result Adaptive models simplify termination to a first-hitting rule, enhancing adaptability.
Study adaptive sensing of Cox processes using posterior sampling and positive bases.
problem Adaptive sensing of Cox point processes with intensity function modeling.
method Model intensity function as truncated Gaussian process in positive basis, use Langevin dynamics and posterior sampling.
result Demonstrated improved sensing compared to classical Bayesian experimental design.
Extends DRFGP to make GPs more robust and adaptive for dynamic, noisy data.
problem Limited scalability, static targets, and brittleness to outliers in GPs.
method Introduces robust-filtering update and dynamic adaptation mechanism.
result Enhanced stability and accuracy in modeling dynamic, noisy data.
RAID algorithm detects anomalies in real-time IoT systems.
problem Anomaly detection limitations in multivariate dynamic processes.
method Adapts to non-stationary effects and handles data drift.
result Improved detection accuracy and root cause isolation.
A new adaptive binarization technique using fuzzy integrals improves image quality.
problem Improving image thresholding quality.
method FLAT (Fuzzy Local Adaptive Thresholding) based on fuzzy integrals.
result The proposed FLAT method produces better image quality than traditional algorithms and neural networks.
Proposes a method to improve multi-output Gaussian process for transfer learning.
problem Negative transfer and domain inconsistency in multi-output Gaussian process.
method Regularized MGP with convolution process and domain adaptation.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks in simulation and real-world studies.
Adaptive sparse GP model for non-stationary data.
problem Non-stationary environments require efficient model updates.
method Reformulated variational sparse GP with adaptive forgetting factor and single inducing point update.
result Fast convergence and efficient model update in non-stationary environments.
New scalable variational Bayes methods for Hawkes processes.
problem Computational intractability of Bayesian estimation for generalised nonlinear Hawkes processes.
method Unified variational Bayes framework, adaptive mean-field approximation, sparsity-inducing procedure.
result Adaptive mean-field variational algorithm for sigmoid Hawkes processes is scalable and robust.
This paper provides an existence-and-uniqueness theorem characterizing the stochastic integral with respect to a Wiener process. The integral is represented as a mapping from the space of measurable and adapted pathwise locally integrable processes to the space of continuous adapted processes. It is characterized in te…
New RL algorithms adapt to time limits, improving task performance.
problem Fixed RL behaviors cannot adapt to different time restrictions.
method Introduced two algorithms for time adaptive RL: Independent Gamma-Ensemble and n-Step Ensemble.
result Zero-shot adaptation between different time restrictions.
Proposes a Gaussian process for graph signals using adaptive spectral kernels.
problem Predicting signals on graph nodes with various structures.
method Spectral kernel learning approach that incorporates a polynomial function in the graph spectral domain.
result The model accurately recovers ground truth spectral filters and outperforms in real-world graph data.
Adaptive calibration improves model accuracy with fewer simulations.
problem Inefficient calibration of complex models using fixed designs.
method Bayesian adaptive experimental design to optimize simulation runs.
result The method achieves better parameter estimation with fewer simulations.
Improves Gaussian process regression without bias.
problem Bias in Gaussian process regression estimates.
method Adaptive computation selection to minimize bias.
result Guaranteed small bias in log marginal likelihood estimates.
A neural RNN model adapts time steps for non-stationary time series data.
problem Modeling and forecasting non-stationary time series with sharp changes.
method RNN-ODE-Adap model using neural ODE and adaptive time steps.
result Consistent estimation of intensity function for Hawkes-type data.
Paper optimizes Bayesian optimization for complex functions with macro-actions.
problem Optimizing complex, highly uncertain functions efficiently.
method Generalized GP upper confidence bound with macro-actions for scalable lookahead.
result Asymptotically optimal anytime variant of epsilon-Macro-GPO policy.
We address the issue of knots selection for Gaussian predictive process methodology. Predictive process approximation provides an effective solution to the cubic order computational complexity of Gaussian process models. This approximation crucially depends on a set of points, called knots, at which the original proces…
Algorithm learns diffusion processes with high-dimensional state spaces.
problem Stochastic control of unbounded diffusion processes with high-dimensional state spaces.
method Adaptive partitioning and learning algorithm that refines discretization based on estimation bias and statistical confidence.
result Established regret bounds that depend on problem parameters, extending to unbounded diffusion processes.
In most adaptive signal processing applications, system linearity is assumed and adaptive linear filters are thus used. The traditional class of supervised adaptive filters rely on error-correction learning for their adaptive capability. The kernel method is a powerful nonparametric modeling tool for pattern analysis a…
TIME network simplifies complex physical processes with interpretable models.
problem Challenges in learning coupled dynamic processes from multiple observations.
method Fully convolutional architecture capturing invariant domain structure.
result Robust and transparent in capturing process kernels and anomalies.
ARL and Hawkes processes improve market-making strategies with variable volatility.
problem Enhancing market-making strategies to adapt to varying volatility levels and self-exciting behaviors.
method Integrates ARL, Hawkes processes, and variable volatility levels; shifts from Poisson to Hawkes process.
result 4-action MM trained in low-volatility environment adapts to high-volatility conditions, providing stable performance.
Ada-BKB optimizes black-box functions on continuous domains with adaptive discretization.
problem Optimizing functions with continuous domains using Gaussian process optimization.
method Adaptive discretization of the function domain to avoid non-convex optimization costs.
result Ada-BKB algorithm runs in O(T2dexteff2), significantly faster than existing methods. In this paper, we propose a novel framework to analyze the theoretical properties of the learning process for a representative type of domain adaptation, which combines data from multiple sources and one target (or briefly called representative domain adaptation). In particular, we use the integral probability metric t…
Deep reinforcement learning finds optimal learning policies for adaptive systems.
problem Finding individualized learning plans for learners with unknown latent traits.
method Formulated as a Markov decision process, applied deep Q-learning with a transition model estimator.
result The algorithm efficiently discovers optimal learning policies with small data sets.
We describe a simple model for speculative trading based on adaptive behavior of economic agents.The adaptive behavior is expressed through a feedback mechanism for changing agents' stock-to-bond ratios, depending on the past performance of their portfolios.The stock price is set according to the demand-supply for the …
We present a general framework for classification of sparse and irregularly-sampled time series. The properties of such time series can result in substantial uncertainty about the values of the underlying temporal processes, while making the data difficult to deal with using standard classification methods that assume …
Adaptive replication improves stochastic function optimization.
problem Challenges in accurately estimating functions with high variance.
method Trust-region-based Bayesian optimization with adaptive replication.
result Adaptive replication substantially improves solution accuracy and efficiency.
Study online learning of quantum processes, showing feasibility for certain types.
problem Learning quantum processes adaptively, especially for bounded gate complexity and Pauli channels.
method Online learning, mistake-bounded model, multiplicative weights update algorithm, Bell sampling.
result Online learning feasible for quantum channels of bounded gate complexity and Pauli channels.
Nonparametric adaptive robust control tackles model uncertainty in stochastic processes.
problem Model uncertainty in stochastic processes.
method Adaptive robust control methodology using online learning and uncertainty reduction, empirical distribution, and Lagrangian duality.
result Nonparametric adaptive robust control approach is preferable to traditional robust frameworks.
Adaptive selection of IPs improves online GP performance.
problem Efficiently training GPs in streaming data.
method Adaptive selection of inducing points (IPs) based on GP properties and data structure.
result Adaptive IPs enhance online GP performance.
Adaptive tensor modeling preserves continuity in multidimensional data.
problem Discretization of continuous multidimensional data loses important information.
method Functional Tucker decomposition (FTD) with RKHS modeling.
result FTD enables adaptive and expressive tensor modeling.
Adaptive Bayesian learning aggregates experts to improve performance.
problem Bayesian online learning's performance depends on inferential choices.
method Treat Bayesian update rules as experts and aggregate them based on sequential predictive losses.
result The aggregate competes with the best expert in hindsight at a low aggregation cost.
Extends neural diffusion processes for multi-task regression.
problem Limited to single-task inference, existing formulations cannot capture dependencies across related tasks.
method Introduces a task encoder to condition diffusion model on low-dimensional representations of context observations.
result Improves predictive performance and uncertainty calibration across related functions.
Automation of machine learning model development is increasingly becoming an established research area. While automated model selection and automated data pre-processing have been studied in depth, there is, however, a gap concerning automated model adaptation strategies when multiple strategies are available. Manually…
Sparse Gaussian process quantile regression tackles computational challenges in Bayesian quantile regression.
problem Nonconjugacy and computational cost in Gaussian process quantile regression.
method Sparse Gaussian process framework with Laplace approximation, adaptive inducing-input placement, and sequential data acquisition.
result Accuracy of Laplace approximation and effectiveness of adaptive mechanisms in reducing predictive uncertainty.
pmsims R package uses Gaussian process for flexible sample size estimation in clinical models.
problem Determining adequate sample size for clinical prediction models.
method Simulation-based Gaussian process search for flexible sample size estimation.
result Gaussian process-based method produces more stable sample size estimates, especially in challenging settings.
Enhances DGPs with adaptive RKHS Fourier features for better non-stationary pattern modeling.
problem Capturing complex non-stationary patterns in non-linear dynamical systems.
method Integrates ODE-based RKHS Fourier features into DGPs using convolution operations for adaptive amplitude and phase modulation. Uses a doubly stochastic variational inference framework.
result Improved predictive performance across various regression tasks.
A scalable GP model for online uncertainty quantification over graphs.
problem Scalable uncertainty quantification over graphs with dynamic data.
method Graph-aware parametric Gaussian process model using random features and online conformal prediction.
result Improved coverage and efficient prediction sets over existing methods.
This document investigates the integration of adaptive distinguishing sequences into the process of active automata learning (AAL). A novel AAL algorithm "ADT" (adaptive discrimination tree) is developed and presented. Since the submission of the original thesis, the presented algorithm has been integrated into LearnLi…
Quantum-enhanced metrology aims to estimate an unknown parameter such that the precision scales better than the shot-noise bound. Single-shot adaptive quantum-enhanced metrology (AQEM) is a promising approach that uses feedback to tweak the quantum process according to previous measurement outcomes. Techniques and form…
We present a novel approach for supervised domain adaptation that is based upon the probabilistic framework of Gaussian processes (GPs). Specifically, we introduce domain-specific GPs as local experts for facial expression classification from face images. The adaptation of the classifier is facilitated in probabilistic…