A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This paper presents a novel adaptive-filter approach for predicting assets on the stock markets. Concepts are introduced here, which allow understanding this method and computing of the corresponding forecast. This approach is applied, as an example, through the prediction over the actual valuation of the PETR3 shares …
Recent breakthrough results in compressed sensing (CS) have established that many high dimensional objects can be accurately recovered from a relatively small number of non- adaptive linear projection observations, provided that the objects possess a sparse representation in some basis. Subsequent efforts have shown th…
Paper develops a hybrid DNN approach for RUL prediction with adaptive drift.
problem RUL estimation challenges in practice, especially online update and uncertainty quantification.
method Hybrid DNN approach with Wiener-based-degradation model and adaptive drift. LSTM-CNN for trajectory prediction and Bayesian inference for adaptive drift.
result Superior accuracy in RUL prediction demonstrated on turbofan engines data.
We propose two sparsity-aware normalized subband adaptive filter (NSAF) algorithms by using the gradient descent method to minimize a combination of the original NSAF cost function and the l1-norm penalty function on the filter coefficients. This l1-norm penalty exploits the sparsity of a system in the coefficients upd…
This paper presents an infinite variational autoencoder (VAE) whose capacity adapts to suit the input data. This is achieved using a mixture model where the mixing coefficients are modeled by a Dirichlet process, allowing us to integrate over the coefficients when performing inference. Critically, this then allows us t…
We adapt Thistlethwaite's alternating tangle decomposition of a knot diagram to identify the potential extreme terms in its bracket polynomial, and give a simple combinatorial calculation for their coefficients, based on the intersection graph of certain chord diagrams.
Basis adaptation in Homogeneous Chaos spaces rely on a suitable rotation of the underlying Gaussian germ. Several rotations have been proposed in the literature resulting in adaptations with different convergence properties. In this paper we present a new adaptation mechanism that builds on compressive sensing algorith…
This paper establishes non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for the prediction error and estimation accuracy of the LASSO in stationary vector autoregressive models. These inequalities are used to establish consistency of the LASSO even when the number of parameters is of a much larger order of magnitude than the sample …
We consider the problem of efficiently approximating and encoding high-dimensional data sampled from a probability distribution ρ in RD, that is nearly supported on a d-dimensional set M - for example supported on a d-dimensional Riemannian manifold. Geometric Multi-Resolution Analysis (GM…
In this work, we study the problem of aggregating a finite number of predictors for nonstationary sub-linear processes. We provide oracle inequalities relying essentially on three ingredients: (1) a uniform bound of the ℓ1 norm of the time varying sub-linear coefficients, (2) a Lipschitz assumption on the predict…
We consider the generic regularized optimization problem β^(λ)=argminβL(y,Xβ)+λJ(β). Efron, Hastie, Johnstone and Tibshirani [Ann. Statist. 32 (2004) 407--499] have shown that for the LASSO--that is, if L is squared error loss and J(β)=∥β∥1 is the ℓ1 norm of β--the opti…
The Newman-Penrose-Perjes formalism is applied to smooth contact structures on riemannian 3-manifolds. In particular it is shown that a contact 3-manifold admits an adapted riemannian metric if and only if it admits a metric with a divergence-free, constantly twisting, geodesic congruence. The shear of this congruence …
Graph neural networks can be adapted to new graphs with a limit object called graphon NNs.
problem Transferability of graph neural networks across different graphs.
method Introduced graphon NNs as limit objects of GNNs and proved a bound on the difference between GNN and graphon-NN outputs.
result The bound on the difference between GNN and graphon-NN outputs vanishes with growing number of nodes if the graph convolutional filters are bandlimited.
We consider the optimal control problem for a linear conditional McKean-Vlasov equation with quadratic cost functional. The coefficients of the system and the weigh-ting matrices in the cost functional are allowed to be adapted processes with respect to the common noise filtration. Semi closed-loop strategies are intro…
Locally adaptive interpretable regression improves linear regression's predictability.
problem Linear regression's predictability is limited; it lacks adaptability.
method Locally adaptive interpretable regression (LoAIR) uses neural networks to predict percentile of a Gaussian distribution for regression coefficients.
result LoAIR achieves comparable or better predictive performance than state-of-the-art baselines.
Global information is essential for dense prediction problems, whose goal is to compute a discrete or continuous label for each pixel in the images. Traditional convolutional layers in neural networks, initially designed for image classification, are restrictive in these problems since the filter size limits their rece…
Given a compact smooth manifold M with non-empty boundary and a Morse function, a pseudo-gradient Morse-Smale vector field adapted to the boundary allows one to build a Morse complex whose homology is isomorphic to the (absolute or relative to the boundary) homology of M with integer coefficients. Our approach simp…
We present a theoretical and empirical study of the gradient dynamics of overparameterized shallow ReLU networks with one-dimensional input, solving least-squares interpolation. We show that the gradient dynamics of such networks are determined by the gradient flow in a non-redundant parameterization of the network fun…
Various factorization-based methods have been proposed to leverage second-order, or higher-order cross features for boosting the performance of predictive models. They generally enumerate all the cross features under a predefined maximum order, and then identify useful feature interactions through model training, which…
We adapt to an infinite dimensional ambient space E.R. Reifenberg's epiperimetric inequality and a quantitative version of D. Preiss' second moments computations to establish that the set of regular points of an almost mass minimizing rectifiable G chain in ℓ2 is dense in its support, whenever the group G of …