New method clusters travel behavior data from 1990-2017.
problem Challenges in analyzing large-scale travel data.
method Divide and Combine K-means clustering on time series data.
result Activity-travel patterns can be grouped into three clusters.
Bayesian calibration improves ABMs for predicting travel patterns.
problem Calibrating ABMs for accurate travel pattern predictions.
method Gaussian Process emulator with deep learning dimensionality reduction for high-dimensional, non-stationary data.
result Improved accuracy in predicting travel patterns using traffic flow data.
Study uses neural networks to predict travel times for public transportation.
problem Inaccurate travel time predictions due to road traffic irregularities.
method Developed two neural network models (MLP and LSTM) using OD travel time matrix.
result Both models can make near-accurate predictions, but LSTM is more susceptible to noise.
Study examines active travel in Chicago communities, revealing mixed perceptions.
problem Transport disadvantage and lack of active mobility in underserved communities.
method Focus groups, qualitative discourse analysis, quantitative text-mining (topic modeling, sentiment analysis).
result Residents view active travel as both necessity and symbol of privilege, influenced by local culture.
A new method optimizes spatial sampling for level set estimation in one dimension.
problem Efficiently localizing regions above/below a threshold function.
method Finite-horizon search procedure balancing estimation error and travel distance.
result Method significantly improves estimation accuracy at lower travel costs.
CTGAN synthesizes population data for travel behavior simulation.
problem Synthesizing population data for agent-based transportation modeling.
method Composite Travel Generative Adversarial Network (CTGAN).
result Consistent and accurate generation of synthetic populations with tabular and sequential mobility data.
A sufficient knowledge of the demographics of a commuting public is essential in formulating and implementing more targeted transportation policies, as commuters exhibit different ways of traveling. With the advent of the Automated Fare Collection system (AFC), probing the travel patterns of commuters has become less i…
Adaptive sampling theory has shown that, with proper assumptions on the signal class, algorithms exist to reconstruct a signal in Rd with an optimal number of samples. We generalize this problem to the case of spatial signals, where the sampling cost is a function of both the number of samples taken and t…
The Euclidean traveller explores various geometric spaces, seeing different places in each.
problem Understanding the Euclidean traveller's itinerary in different geometric spaces.
method Analyzing the geometric spaces and the traveller's paths.
result The traveller sees a variety of places in different geometric spaces, including tori, closed hyperbolic surfaces, and manifolds.
Bayesian framework predicts post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
problem Uncertainty in post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
method Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling framework capturing train interactions and non-Gaussian distributional characteristics.
result The proposed models consistently outperform baseline specifications in point prediction and uncertainty quantification.
This study uses Twitter to analyze traveler behavior in Manhattan.
problem Analyzing traveler behavior using social media data.
method Systematic method to extract displacement information from geo-tagged tweets.
result Twitter reveals unique demographics and travel behavior patterns.
Method estimates travel times on urban roads using Uber data.
problem Estimating travel times on urban roads where data is scarce.
method Graph representation, trip sampling, least-squares optimization.
result Estimates travel times on arterial roads using aggregated Uber data.
Smartphone data shows promise but accuracy issues remain.
problem Inaccurate travel surveys from smartphone data.
method Training algorithms on data quality and validating labels.
result Machine learning methods are limited by data quality.
New proofs confirm travel time data determine simple metrics on a disc.
problem Determining a simple Riemannian metric from travel time data.
method Proofs based on Myers-Steenrod theorem, Lipschitz-type stability estimate.
result Travel time data determine a simple Riemannian metric on a disc up to natural gauge.
Method recovers obstacles from travel times on curved surfaces.
problem Recovering obstacles from travel times on curved surfaces.
method Extending Noakes and Stoyanov's method to Riemannian surfaces with curvature constraints.
result Obstacles can be recovered from travel times on Riemannian surfaces under certain curvature conditions.
Paper addresses travel time tomography stability and statistical inversion.
problem Determining conformal factors of metrics from geodesic lengths.
method Established forward and inverse stability estimates; applied to Bayesian statistical inversion.
result Consistency of statistical inversion technique for travel time tomography.
This paper distills a complex travel mode choice model into simpler, interpretable models.
problem Lack of interpretability in complex machine learning models for travel behavior.
method Model distillation combined with market segmentation.
result Generated interpretable models that closely match the predictions of the original complex model.
Study highlights fairness issues in travel behavior prediction models.
problem Ethical challenges in travel behavior analysis using machine learning.
method Operationalized computational fairness by equality of opportunity; compared DNN and DCM; introduced absolute correlation regularization.
result Both DNN and DCM predict disparities across social groups, with DNN outperforming DCM in prediction disparities.
Financial derivatives based on road travel times for hedging and pricing.
problem Market risk in crypto and banking sectors.
method Modeling travel time data with CARMA models and applying risk-neutral pricing.
result Derivatives pricing based on travel time and its volatility.
Study develops a new model for predicting individual mobility based on activity patterns.
problem Existing mobility prediction methods overlook underlying activity patterns.
method Activity-based hidden Markov model (IOHMM) using transit smart card data.
result Proposed model achieves similar prediction performance to LSTM but also provides behavioral insights.
Recover simple irreversible Finsler geometry from travel time data
problem Stable recovery of a simple irreversible Finsler geometry
method Use a Gromov-Hausdorff distance adapted to irreversible metric spaces
result Unique and Lipschitz-stable recovery
Billiard trajectories in curved spaces have predictable travel times.
problem Understanding travel times in billiard trajectories on curved surfaces.
method Analyzing geodesic flows and sectional curvature to prove time-preserving conjugacy.
result Billiard trajectories with almost identical obstacles have identical shapes.
Same travelling times imply identical obstacles in Riemannian manifolds.
problem Determining if two sets of obstacles are identical based on travel times.
method Analyzing curvature conditions and geodesic intersections.
result Disjoint convex obstacles with identical travel times are identical.
In building intelligent transportation systems such as taxi or rideshare services, accurate prediction of travel time and distance is crucial for customer experience and resource management. Using the NYC taxi dataset, which contains taxi trips data collected from GPS-enabled taxis [23], this paper investigates the use…
Study shows stability of travel time data reconstruction from closed subsets.
problem Reconstruction of length spaces from travel time data on a closed subset.
method Lipschitz stability proof for certain types of length spaces.
result Reconstruction of length spaces is Lipschitz stable from travel time data on a closed subset.
TripDecoder recovers metro routes and travel times from smart card data.
problem Recover unknown routes and travel times in metro systems.
method Decouples two inference tasks: travel time and route preference.
result TripDecoder improves accuracy and efficiency compared to competitors.
STAD improves travel time estimation by learning from real traffic data.
problem Travel time estimation using GPS traces is inaccurate and requires offline optimization.
method STAD uses machine learning and real-time trip data to adjust travel time estimates.
result STAD reduces median absolute errors by 14% in Doha and New York City, and 29% in Porto.
Study travel time tomography for transversely isotropic media using modified pseudodifferential calculus.
problem Travel time tomography problem for transversely isotropic media.
method Modified scattering pseudodifferential calculus to solve the tomography problem.
result Construction and use of modified pseudodifferential calculus to solve the tomography problem.
Model predicts travel time under rare conditions using a vector-space model.
problem Predicting travel time under rare temporal conditions (e.g., holidays, school vacations) is challenging due to limited historical data and other temporal changes.
method Presented a vector-space model for encoding rare temporal conditions, allowing coherent representation learning across different conditions.
result Increased performance for travel time prediction over different baselines when using the vector-space encoding for representing the temporal setting.
Enhanced travel time prediction using deep neural networks and road network information.
problem Improving travel time estimation using deep learning models.
method Proposes incorporating road network information into deep learning models for travel time prediction.
result Improved travel time prediction, especially with limited training data.
Recent years have witnessed an increased focus on interpretability and the use of machine learning to inform policy analysis and decision making. This paper applies machine learning to examine travel behavior and, in particular, on modeling changes in travel modes when individuals are presented with a novel (on-demand)…
ProbETA models travel time correlations between trips for better navigation.
problem Trip correlations not captured by existing methods.
method Deep hierarchical joint probabilistic model with learnable link representations.
result ProbETA outperforms state-of-the-art methods with 12.60% MAPE reduction.
Study shows curves converge to traveling waves under specific conditions.
problem Global stability of traveling waves for area-preserving curvature flow.
method Area-preserving curvature flow with contact angle condition.
result Moving curves converge to traveling waves starting from embedded convex curves.
Boosting algorithms improve delivery time prediction in postal services.
problem Challenges in long-term travel time prediction for postal services.
method Investigated linear regression models, tree-based ensembles (random forest, bagging, boosting), and compared their performance.
result Boosting algorithms, especially light gradient boosting and catboost, outperform other methods in accuracy and runtime efficiency.
Two novel models predict bus travel times with uncertainty, improving connection assurance.
problem Improving bus connection assurance by handling travel time uncertainty.
method Two novel approaches: Deep Quantile Regression (DQR) and Bayesian Recurrent Neural Networks (BRNN).
result DQR model performs best for 80%, 90%, and 95% prediction intervals, with small underestimation.
DeepIST uses CNNs to estimate travel time from path images.
problem Accurately estimating travel time for a path in urban transportation systems.
method Proposes DeepIST, a neural network framework that converts paths into generalized images and uses PathCNN and 1D CNN to capture spatial and temporal patterns.
result DeepIST significantly outperforms existing models in travel time estimation.
Study on travel time formulas in a lake with wind flow.
problem Travel time in a lake with wind flow.
method Geometric approach using Finsler metrics.
result Formulas for distances and travel times derived.
Dynamic linear models improve travel time prediction for congested freeways.
problem Accurate travel time prediction for congested freeways.
method Dynamic linear models (DLMs) with time-varying parameters.
result Significant improvements in travel time prediction accuracy, especially for short-term predictions.
Bayesian model identifies three types of travelers adapting to feedback.
problem Capturing adaptive, feedback-driven travel behavior in heterogeneous individuals.
method Latent Class Reinforcement Learning (LCRL) model with Variational Bayes estimation.
result Three distinct traveler classes identified: context-dependent, persistent exploitative, and exploratory.
Accurate and reliable travel time predictions in public transport networks are essential for delivering an attractive service that is able to compete with other modes of transport in urban areas. The traditional application of this information, where arrival and departure predictions are displayed on digital boards, is…
New model predicts travel demand uncertainty with high accuracy.
problem Uncertainty and sparsity in sparse travel demand prediction.
method Spatial-Temporal Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Graph Neural Network (STZINB-GNN).
result STZINB-GNN outperforms benchmarks in predicting travel demand uncertainty.
We address two shortcomings in online travel time estimation methods for congested urban traffic. The first shortcoming is related to the determination of the number of mixture modes, which can change dynamically, within day and from day to day. The second shortcoming is the wide-spread use of Gaussian probability dens…
Simultaneously estimates travel times and route choice model parameters.
problem Interdependent estimation of arc travel times and route choice model parameters.
method Maximum likelihood estimation for any differentiable route choice model.
result Strong performance in real-world data, even compared to arc travel time estimation methods.
A new clustering framework optimizes customer search data for personalized travel recommendations.
problem Personalized travel recommendations based on customer search data.
method Multi-objective optimization-based clustering ensemble framework.
result Optimizes diversity in clustering ensemble search space and automatically determines the number of clusters.
Project promoters, forecasters, and managers sometimes object to two things in measuring inaccuracy in travel demand forecasting: (1) using the forecast made at the time of making the decision to build as the basis for measuring inaccuracy and (2) using traffic during the first year of operations as the basis for measu…
Logit models are usually applied when studying individual travel behavior, i.e., to predict travel mode choice and to gain behavioral insights on traveler preferences. Recently, some studies have applied machine learning to model travel mode choice and reported higher out-of-sample predictive accuracy than traditional …
Prob-GNN quantifies travel demand uncertainty with deep learning.
problem Uncertainty in travel demand prediction.
method Probabilistic Graph Neural Networks (Prob-GNN) framework.
result Probabilistic assumptions significantly impact uncertainty prediction.
The aim of this paper is to construct and analyze solutions to a class of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations with range bounds on the optimal response variable. Using the Riccati transformation we derive and analyze a fully nonlinear parabolic partial differential equation for the optimal response function. We construct…