A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Power spectrum densities for the number of tick quotes per minute (market activity) on three currency markets (USD/JPY, EUR/USD, and JPY/EUR) for periods from January 1999 to December 2000 are analyzed. We find some peaks on the power spectrum densities at a few minutes. We develop the double-threshold agent model and …
Method scales up ML science by measuring multiple molecules at once.
Improved k-NN active learning with local smoothness assumption.
Deep Convolutional Sparse Coding (D-CSC) is a framework reminiscent of deep convolutional neural networks (DCNNs), but by omitting the learning of the dictionaries one can more transparently analyse the role of the activation function and its ability to recover activation paths through the layers. Papyan, Romano, and E…
There is a large body of work on convergence rates either in passive or active learning. Here we outline some of the results that have been obtained, more specifically in a nonparametric setting under assumptions about the smoothness and the margin noise. We also discuss the relative merits of these underlying assumpti…
We extend neural networks with fractional and mixed activation functions for better function approximation.
We propose a model of fractal point process driven by the nonlinear stochastic differential equation. The model is adjusted to the empirical data of trading activity in financial markets. This reproduces the probability distribution function and power spectral density of trading activity observed in the stock markets. …
We model messaging activities as a hierarchical doubly stochastic point process with three main levels, and develop an iterative algorithm for inferring actors' relative latent positions from a stream of messaging activity data. Each of the message-exchanging actors is modeled as a process in a latent space. The actors…
Neural network accuracy improves with denser training samples.
CMDRNN predicts user location using WiFi fingerprints with deep learning.
We introduce the stochastic multiplicative point process modelling trading activity of financial markets. Such a model system exhibits power-law spectral density S(f) ~ 1/f**beta, scaled as power of frequency for various values of beta between 0.5 and 2. Furthermore, we analyze the relation between the power-law autoco…
Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the same long range memory properties. Here we present a stochastic differential eq…
ActiveCQ improves causal quantity estimation with active learning and Gaussian Processes.
New active learning algorithm adapts to data without strict assumptions.
Improved OOD detection using label smoothing and k-NN density estimates.
Estimates causal effects using neural autoregressive density estimators.
Understanding how spatial configurations of economic activity emerge is important when formulating spatial planning and economic policy. A simple model was proposed by Simon, who assumed that firms grow at a rate proportional to their size, and that new divisions of firms with certain probabilities relocate to other fi…
Stochastic subgradient descent avoids critical points in definable functions.
Adaptive quadrature improves Bayesian inference through active learning.
Real-time pruning during training reduces network size and training time.
Anomalies are intuitively easy for human experts to understand, but they are hard to define mathematically. Therefore, in order to have performance guarantees in unsupervised anomaly detection, priors need to be assumed on what the anomalies are. By contrast, active learning provides the necessary priors through approp…
WiGS improves active learning for regression by dynamically selecting informative samples.
We consider stochastic point processes generating time series exhibiting power laws of spectrum and distribution density (Phys. Rev. E 71, 051105 (2005)) and apply them for modeling the trading activity in the financial markets and for the frequencies of word occurrences in the language.
Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) have found many applications in density estimation and data clustering. However, the model does not adapt well to curved and strongly nonlinear data. Recently there appeared an improvement called AcaGMM (Active curve axis Gaussian Mixture Model), which fits Gaussians along curves using an …
We introduce a new and improved characterization of the label complexity of disagreement-based active learning, in which the leading quantity is the version space compression set size. This quantity is defined as the size of the smallest subset of the training data that induces the same version space. We show various a…
LDDNN learns physical dynamics from data without exact solutions.
We consider Bayesian inference problems with computationally intensive likelihood functions. We propose a Gaussian process (GP) based method to approximate the joint distribution of the unknown parameters and the data. In particular, we write the joint density approximately as a product of an approximate posterior dens…
Flow-based generative models parameterize probability distributions through an invertible transformation and can be trained by maximum likelihood. Invertible residual networks provide a flexible family of transformations where only Lipschitz conditions rather than strict architectural constraints are needed for enforci…
The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation between time-series samples from two retrospective segments. Our method uses the rela…
This study optimizes covariate density and propensity score for efficient ATE estimation.
Research shows deep generative models' likelihoods are unreliable for anomaly detection.
Observing prices of European put and call options, we calibrate exponential Lévy models nonparametrically. We discuss the efficient implementation of the spectral estimation procedures for Lévy models of finite jump activity as well as for self-decomposable Lévy models. Based on finite sample variances, confidence inte…
Survey of Monte Carlo methods for noisy, costly densities in reinforcement learning and ABC.
Recovering edge activities from node activity data in temporal networks.
The classical Universal Approximation Theorem holds for neural networks of arbitrary width and bounded depth. Here we consider the natural `dual' scenario for networks of bounded width and arbitrary depth. Precisely, let be the number of inputs neurons, be the number of output neurons, and let be any nonaff…
Signals consisting of a sequence of pulses show that inherent origin of the 1/f noise is a Brownian fluctuation of the average interevent time between subsequent pulses of the pulse sequence. In this paper we generalize the model of interevent time to reproduce a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spec…
Unlike images or videos data which can be easily labeled by human being, sensor data annotation is a time-consuming process. However, traditional methods of human activity recognition require a large amount of such strictly labeled data for training classifiers. In this paper, we present an attention-based convolutiona…
A new framework for flexible neural network receptive fields.
This paper provides a neural approach to represent option implied information.
A new method selects a representative subsample for efficient kernel density estimation.
We introduce the functional mean-shift algorithm, an iterative algorithm for estimating the local modes of a surrogate density from functional data. We show that the algorithm can be used for cluster analysis of functional data. We propose a test based on the bootstrap for the significance of the estimated local modes …
Active Learning (AL) is increasingly important in a broad range of applications. Two main AL principles to obtain accurate classification with few labeled data are refinement of the current decision boundary and exploration of poorly sampled regions. In this paper we derive a novel AL scheme that balances these two pri…
Understanding urban growth is one with understanding how society evolves to satisfy the needs of its individuals in sharing a common space and adapting to the territory. We propose here a quantitative analysis of the historical development of a large urban area by investigating the spatial distribution and the age of c…
Proposes a method to estimate time-dependent probability density functions using binary classifiers.
A general Boltzmann machine with continuous visible and discrete integer valued hidden states is introduced. Under mild assumptions about the connection matrices, the probability density function of the visible units can be solved for analytically, yielding a novel parametric density function involving a ratio of Riema…
FourNet approximates financial transition densities using Fourier transforms.
We present a nonlinear stochastic differential equation (SDE) which mimics the probability density function (PDF) of the return and the power spectrum of the absolute return in financial markets. Absolute return as a measure of market volatility is considered in the proposed model as a long-range memory stochastic vari…
We propose Information-Theoretic Active Learning (ITAL), a novel batch-mode active learning method for binary classification, and apply it for acquiring meaningful user feedback in the context of content-based image retrieval. Instead of combining different heuristics such as uncertainty, diversity, or density, our met…