Study of historic stock returns distributions, highlighting asymmetry and outliers.
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Efforts to reduce the numerical precision of computations in deep learning training have yielded systems that aggressively quantize weights and activations, yet employ wide high-precision accumulators for partial sums in inner-product operations to preserve the quality of convergence. The absence of any framework to an…
Accumulated stock returns exhibit tempered skew t-distribution.
Paper tackles Byzantine resilience in distributed multi-task learning.
Analyzes multi-day stock returns, showing linear volatility and mean dependence.
A new correction term improves sample efficiency in deep reinforcement learning.
Motivated by Kyprianou and Zhou (2009), Wang and Hu (2012), Avram et al. (2017), Li et al. (2017) and Wang and Zhou (2018), we consider in this paper the problem of maximizing the expected accumulated discounted tax payments of an insurance company, whose reserve process (before taxes are deducted) evolves as a spectra…
Existing approaches to online convex optimization (OCO) make sequential one-slot-ahead decisions, which lead to (possibly adversarial) losses that drive subsequent decision iterates. Their performance is evaluated by the so-called regret that measures the difference of losses between the online solution and the best ye…
Tricks improve retail product image classification accuracy.
In this paper, we propose a Distributed Accumulated Newton Conjugate gradiEnt (DANCE) method in which sample size is gradually increasing to quickly obtain a solution whose empirical loss is under satisfactory statistical accuracy. Our proposed method is multistage in which the solution of a stage serves as a warm star…
A new method for pricing derivatives using self-exciting dynamics and finite-difference transforms.
The paper studies entropy calibration in language models and finds that miscalibration improves slowly with scale.
Investigates conditions for risk or utility functionals to be sensitive to large losses.
Unfolding paths in Outer space accumulate on a simplex, not converge.
Investors optimize liquid staking decisions in LSP and AMM protocols.
We develop a class of non-life reserving models using a stable-1/2 random bridge to simulate the accumulation of paid claims, allowing for an essentially arbitrary choice of a priori distribution for the ultimate loss. Taking an information-based approach to the reserving problem, we derive the process of the condition…
New data accumulation prevents model collapse in generative models.
Wealth inequality is an important matter for economic theory and policy. Ongoing debates have been discussing recent rise in wealth inequality in connection with recent development of active financial markets around the world. Existing literature on wealth distribution connects the origins of wealth inequality with a v…
Study compares deep learning stock trading strategies in adverse market conditions.
The financial crisis of 2008, which started with an initially well-defined epicenter focused on mortgage backed securities (MBS), has been cascading into a global economic recession, whose increasing severity and uncertain duration has led and is continuing to lead to massive losses and damage for billions of people. H…
This paper describes a new online convex optimization method which incorporates a family of candidate dynamical models and establishes novel tracking regret bounds that scale with the comparator's deviation from the best dynamical model in this family. Previous online optimization methods are designed to have a total a…
Optimizes neural networks' last layer with closed-form solutions.
Algorithm for online decision making with unknown dynamics and aggregate feedback.
Optimal exit strategies of CPT gamblers in unfair gambles
In this paper, finite type domains with hyperbolic orbit accumulation points are studied. We prove, in case of , it has to be a (global) pseudoconvex domain, after an assumption of boundary regularity. Moreover, one of the applications will realize the classification of domains within this class, precisel…
Full-batch GD achieves generalization close to any stationary point with fewer assumptions.
This paper presents a numerical model to solve the problem of cash accumulation strategies for products with an unknown future price, like assets. Stock prices are modeled by a discretized Wiener Process, and by the means of ordinary integrals this Wiener Process will be exactly matched at a preset terminal time. Three…
Several statistical and machine learning methods are proposed to estimate the type and intensity of physical load and accumulated fatigue . They are based on the statistical analysis of accumulated and moving window data subsets with construction of a kurtosis-skewness diagram. This approach was applied to the data gat…
Study examines how balancing methods affect model behavior in imbalanced classification problems.
We present an adaptive online gradient descent algorithm to solve online convex optimization problems with long-term constraints , which are constraints that need to be satisfied when accumulated over a finite number of rounds T , but can be violated in intermediate rounds. For some user-defined trade-off parameter …
Improved statistical computation through efficient matrix sampling.
We consider a financial contract that delivers a single cash flow given by the terminal value of a cumulative gains process. The problem of modelling and pricing such an asset and associated derivatives is important, for example, in the determination of optimal insurance claims reserve policies, and in the pricing of r…
Deep neural networks have enabled progress in a wide variety of applications. Growing the size of the neural network typically results in improved accuracy. As model sizes grow, the memory and compute requirements for training these models also increases. We introduce a technique to train deep neural networks using hal…
Unified framework models neural decision-making, improving accuracy.
This paper presents a model of capital accumulation for a large number of heterogenous producer-consumers in an exchange space in which interactions depend on agents' positions. Each agent is described by his production, consumption, stock of capital, as well as the position he occupies in this abstract space. Each age…
Decentralized algorithm for online optimization with long-term constraints.
The paper enhances preference learning by incorporating response time data.
WrapNet optimizes inference for low-resolution neural networks by using 8-bit additions.
Improves likelihood-free inference by using a new sampling approach to avoid biased data collection.
For any nonorientable closed surface, we determine the minimal dilatation among pseudo-Anosov mapping classes arising from Penner's construction. We deduce that the sequence of minimal Penner dilatations has exactly two accumulation points, in contrast to the case of orientable surfaces where there is only one accumula…
In many large-scale machine learning applications, data are accumulated with time, and thus, an appropriate model should be able to update in an online paradigm. Moreover, as the whole data volume is unknown when constructing the model, it is desired to scan each data item only once with a storage independent with the …
New framework learns labels at both bag and graph levels.
Multi-label classification studies the task where each example belongs to multiple labels simultaneously. As a representative method, Ranking Support Vector Machine (Rank-SVM) aims to minimize the Ranking Loss and can also mitigate the negative influence of the class-imbalance issue. However, due to its stacking-style …
Paper excludes the lowest energy level as an accumulation point for harmonic maps into analytic manifolds.
The aim of the present article is to offer a strictly mathematical, statistical treatment of the current account balances in EU and in the Eurozone. Based on Eurostat data, an overview of the total and annual balances is first made for different collections among the EU countries. Then, using the Mathematica technical …
We consider a family of manifolds with a class of degenerating warped product metrics , with compact, homogeneous degree one, and . We study the Laplace operator acting on differential -forms and give sharp accumulation rates for eigenvalues n…
In this paper we consider sparse approximation problems, that is, general minimization problems with the -"norm" of a vector being a part of constraints or objective function. In particular, we first study the first-order optimality conditions for these problems. We then propose penalty decomposition (PD) me…
In the real world, agents often have to operate in situations with incomplete information, limited sensing capabilities, and inherently stochastic environments, making individual observations incomplete and unreliable. Moreover, in many situations it is preferable to delay a decision rather than run the risk of making …