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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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14294357 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for accident propagation

New method estimates traffic congestion delays using statistical causality.

problem Accurate estimation of traffic congestion delays during accidents.
method Proposes a novel time delay estimation method using lag-specific transfer entropy (TE) and Markov bootstrap techniques.
result Validated the method's efficacy using simulated and real data.

Automatic understanding of domain specific texts in order to extract useful relationships for later use is a non-trivial task. One such relationship would be between railroad accidents' causes and their correspondent descriptions in reports. From 2001 to 2016 rail accidents in the U.S. cost more than $4.6B. Railroads i…

2018-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Zero-shot understanding of accidents from surveillance videos using vision-language models

problem Accident understanding from surveillance videos
method Three-stage pipeline with vision-language similarity, metadata-driven multi-prompt reasoning, and entropy-gated pairwise adjudicator
result Substantial improvement in harmonic-mean score over baseline

Study improves prediction of UK road accidents' severity using AI.

problem Improving prediction of UK road traffic accident severity.
method Combination of machine learning, econometric, and statistical methods on historical data.
result XGBoost model with RMSE of 0.176 and MAE of 0.087 outperforms naive forecasting.

Study on AI-driven modeling for high burnup accident-tolerant fuels in SMRs.

problem Design and optimization of high burnup accident-tolerant fuels for SMRs.
method Artificial intelligence and multi-scale modeling (neutronics, thermal hydraulics, fuel performance).
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of AI in modeling and optimizing SMR fuels.

We present an approach to estimate the severity of traffic related accidents in aggregated (area-level) and disaggregated (point level) data. Exploring spatial features, we measure complexity of road networks using several area level variables. Also using temporal and other situational features from open data for New Y…

2019-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Every time drivers take to the road, and with each mile that they drive, exposes themselves and others to the risk of an accident. Insurance premiums are only weakly linked to mileage, however, and have lump-sum characteristics largely. The result is too much driving, and too many accidents. In this paper, we introduce…

2019-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper are presented methods of impact analysis on informatics system security accidents, qualitative and quantitative methods, starting with risk and informational system security definitions. It is presented the relationship between the risks of exploiting vulnerabilities of security system, security level of …

2013-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

While recent developments in autonomous vehicle (AV) technology highlight substantial progress, we lack tools for rigorous and scalable testing. Real-world testing, the de facto\textit{de facto} evaluation environment, places the public in danger, and, due to the rare nature of accidents, will require billions of miles in or…

2018-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Synthesizes machine learning applications in reliability and safety.

problem Navigating the fragmented literature on ML for reliability and safety.
method Overview of ML categories, review of applications, discussion of Deep Learning.
result Machine learning can provide novel insights and improve accident prevention.

A method detects vehicles far from tunnel CCTV using AI.

problem Tunnel CCTV's height limits detection of far-away vehicles.
method Object detection algorithm with inverse perspective transform.
result Deep learning model trained on warped images detects vehicles more accurately.

IVMs help identify dangerous traffic conditions in real-time.

problem Real-time crash risk analysis in urban traffic systems.
method Import Vector Machines (IVMs) applied to historical crash and traffic data.
result IVMs successfully identify dangerous traffic conditions with computational advantage.

A geometric analysis of the time series of returns has been performed in the past and it implied that the most of the systematic information of the market is contained in a space of small dimension. Here we have explored subspaces of this space to find out the relative performance of portfolios formed from the companie…

2011-08-20abs ↗pdf ↗

A susceptibility propagation that is constructed by combining a belief propagation and a linear response method is used for approximate computation for Markov random fields. Herein, we formulate a new, improved susceptibility propagation by using the concept of a diagonal matching method that is based on mean-field app…

2017-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

A new framework combines multiple loss reserving models for better predictive performance.

problem Combining multiple loss reserving models to improve predictive performance.
method Systematic framework that considers full distributional properties and features of reserving data.
result Optimized ensemble outperforms traditional methods and captures relevant quantiles.

Proposes a convex model for mixed logit to handle individual heterogeneity.

problem Non-convex optimization in mixed logit models for individual heterogeneity.
method Sparse and low-rank decomposition for convex formulation.
result Convex formulation avoids simulation-based approximation and unstable model interpretation.

Variational inference is a powerful concept that underlies many iterative approximation algorithms; expectation propagation, mean-field methods and belief propagations were all central themes at the school that can be perceived from this unifying framework. The lectures of Manfred Opper introduce the archetypal example…

2014-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes an alternating back-propagation algorithm for learning the generator network model. The model is a non-linear generalization of factor analysis. In this model, the mapping from the continuous latent factors to the observed signal is parametrized by a convolutional neural network. The alternating bac…

2016-06-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified model combines feature and label propagation for semi-supervised classification.

problem Combining feature and label propagation for effective semi-supervised classification.
method Unified Message Passing Model (UniMP) using Graph Transformer and masked label prediction.
result Obtains new state-of-the-art results in Open Graph Benchmark (OGB).

The Variational Autoencoder (VAE) is a powerful architecture capable of representation learning and generative modeling. When it comes to learning interpretable (disentangled) representations, VAE and its variants show unparalleled performance. However, the reasons for this are unclear, since a very particular alignmen…

2018-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This thesis investigates belief propagation's performance in graphical models with loops.

problem Belief propagation's performance and convergence guarantees in models with loops are uncertain.
method Investigates how model parameters affect belief propagation's performance, convergence, and approximation quality.
result Model parameters influence the number of fixed points, convergence properties, and approximation quality of belief propagation.

LNPE enhances local connections in embeddings using extended neighbor propagation.

problem Improving local connections and interactions in nonlinear dimensionality reduction.
method Inspired by GCN, LNPE extends 1-hop neighbors to n-hop neighbors in LLE.
result LNPE produces more faithful and robust embeddings with better topological and geometrical properties.