The paper develops a theory for speculative decoding acceptance criteria.
problem Speculative decoding's acceptance criteria and their rejection regions.
method Characterization of rejection regions as lower level sets of the target distribution, derivation of exact and margin-based certificates.
result Relaxed and tree-based acceptance criteria substantially enlarge the region of certified acceptance.
New criteria for Heegaard splittings ensure strong irreducibility and finite Goeritz groups.
problem Determining strong irreducibility and finite Goeritz groups of Heegaard splittings.
method Two diagrammatic criteria for Heegaard splittings, accepting arbitrary disk systems.
result Criteria ensure strong irreducibility and finite Goeritz groups for Heegaard splittings.
Benchmarking deep time series models for equity portfolios
problem Selecting the best deep time series model for equity portfolios
method Using a CRSP benchmark and multi-criteria acceptability analysis
result No architecture dominates the benchmark, with TransEnc-8 having the highest rank-1 acceptability
The principle of peer review is central to the evaluation of research, by ensuring that only high-quality items are funded or published. But peer review has also received criticism, as the selection of reviewers may introduce biases in the system. In 2014, the organizers of the ``Neural Information Processing Systems\r…
This work compares data reduction criteria for online Gaussian Processes.
problem The computational complexity of Gaussian Processes limits their applicability to small datasets and streaming scenarios.
method Unified comparison of several data reduction criteria, analyzing computational complexity and reduction behavior.
result Practical guidelines for choosing a suitable data reduction criterion for online Gaussian Processes.
We study capital requirements for bounded financial positions defined as the minimum amount of capital to invest in a chosen eligible asset targeting a pre-specified acceptability test. We allow for general acceptance sets and general eligible assets, including defaultable bonds. Since the payoff of these assets is not…
The paper studies optimal investment using acceptability indices to maximize portfolio performance.
problem Optimal investment problem using coherent acceptability indices.
method Numerical algorithm approximating the original problem, dynamic coherent risk measures, set-valued Bellman's principle.
result Acceptability maximization problem reduces to a one-period problem under certain conditions.
This paper examines fairness and arbitrariness in bias mitigation methods.
problem Understanding how different bias mitigation strategies affect individual predictions and whether they introduce arbitrariness.
method FRAME framework to evaluate bias mitigation through five dimensions: Impact Size, Change Direction, Decision Rates, Affected Subpopulations, and Neglected Subpopulations.
result Significant differences in the behaviors of debiasing methods were exhibited, highlighting the limitations of current fairness criteria and the inherent arbitrariness in the debiasing process.
Proposes a new stability measure for model fitting on similar feature data sets.
problem Model fitting on data sets with similar features is challenging.
method Tuning hyperparameters in a multi-criteria fashion with predictive accuracy and feature selection stability.
result Our approach achieves similar or better predictive performance than single-criteria and stability selection approaches.
New star-shaped acceptability indexes generalize existing methods.
problem Generalizing existing acceptability measures.
method Characterizing acceptability indexes through star-shaped risk measures and sets.
result Introducing concrete examples linked to various financial measures.
New methods for fairness in regression using probabilistic classification.
problem Estimating fairness in continuous regression problems.
method Tractable approximations of fairness criteria using conditional probabilities from distinct classifiers.
result Model agnostic, tractable approximations of fairness criteria.
Studies acceptable bundles on a partially punctured polydisk.
problem Understanding acceptable bundles in Simpson--Mochizuki theory.
method Expository study with new arguments.
result New arguments differ from Mochizuki's.
Study on acceptable bundles on a punctured disk.
problem Understanding acceptable bundles in Simpson--Mochizuki theory.
method Detailed study and introduction of a new invariant.
result Arguments differ from Simpson and Mochizuki's.
New clustering methods for binary data using combinatorial optimization.
problem Clustering binary data efficiently and effectively.
method Five new combinatorial optimization heuristics (SA, TA, TS, GA, ACO) applied to binary data.
result Simulated annealing performs exceptionally well compared to classical methods.
Due to the extremely volatile nature of financial markets, it is commonly accepted that stock price prediction is a task full of challenge. However in order to make profits or understand the essence of equity market, numerous market participants or researchers try to forecast stock price using various statistical, econ…
Simple conditions for comonotonic additive risk measures from acceptance sets.
problem Conditions for comonotonic additive risk measures from acceptance sets.
method Conditions on acceptance sets for induced comonotonic additive risk measures.
result Acceptance sets induce comonotonic additive risk measures if and only if the acceptance sets and their complements are stable under convex combinations of comonotonic random variables.
In this paper we present a theoretical framework for studying coherent acceptability indices in a dynamic setup. We study dynamic coherent acceptability indices and dynamic coherent risk measures, and we establish a duality between them. We derive a representation theorem for dynamic coherent risk measures in terms of …
The evaluation of machine learning algorithms in biomedical fields for applications involving sequential data lacks standardization. Common quantitative scalar evaluation metrics such as sensitivity and specificity can often be misleading depending on the requirements of the application. Evaluation metrics must ultimat…
Cactus improves auto-regressive decoding speed without sacrificing quality.
problem Accelerating auto-regressive decoding while maintaining output quality.
method Formalizes speculative sampling as constrained optimization and proposes Cactus for controlled divergence from the verifier distribution.
result Empirically validated effectiveness across various benchmarks.
Review and compare sorting model selection methods for preference disaggregation.
problem Selecting a representative sorting model from multiple compatible models.
method Reviewed and proposed new procedures for selecting sorting models, including robust assignment rule.
result Identified most efficient procedures in terms of classification accuracy and robustness.
New method combines neural networks with Monte Carlo for complex system reliability.
problem Estimating small failure probabilities in complex systems.
method Subset Simulation with Hamiltonian Neural Networks.
result High acceptance rates and computational efficiency in low-probability regions.
Proposes new deviation measures using Minkowski gauges.
problem Lack of suitable acceptance sets for deviation measures.
method Derives deviation measures through Minkowski gauges of acceptable sets.
result Any positive homogeneous deviation measure can be accommodated in the framework.
Improves algorithmic recourse to guide towards both acceptance and improvement.
problem Algorithmic recourse recommendations may not lead to improvement.
method Improvement-Focused Causal Recourse (ICR) requires recommendations to guide towards improvement and leverages causal knowledge to design accurate decision systems.
result ICR guides towards both acceptance and improvement given correct causal knowledge.
Paper predicts embryo implantation probability from IVF time-lapse imaging.
problem Manual embryo selection in IVF has low success rates.
method Data-driven system trained on time-lapse imaging videos.
result Algorithm improves positive and negative predictive values.
Estimates boundaries for acceptable bilateral gamma risk in financial markets.
problem Determining the compensation needed for risky future cash flows to be considered acceptable.
method Statistical inference from market prices and derivatives, using prospect theory.
result Upper and lower boundaries for bilateral gamma risk are estimated and tested against market data.
New index for evaluating cash flow processes over a fixed horizon.
problem Evaluating performance of cash flow processes over a fixed investment horizon.
method Extended acceptability indices to càdlàg processes, providing a new index based on Average Value-at-Risk and running minimum.
result Suggested index represents a RAROC-type model for performance evaluation.
Study reveals bias in machine learning conference reviews.
problem Bias in machine learning conference review process.
method Comprehensive analysis of ICLR papers from 2017-2020.
result Strong institutional bias in accept/reject decisions.
Introduces Star-Shaped deviation measures for risk analysis.
problem Risk measurement and analysis in finance.
method Characterizes Star-Shaped deviation measures through acceptance sets and convex deviation measures.
result Exposes the relationship between Star-Shaped risk measures and deviation measures.
We consider a trader who wants to direct his portfolio towards a set of acceptable wealths given by a convex risk measure. We propose a black-box algorithm, whose inputs are the joint law of stock prices and the convex risk measure, and whose outputs are the numerical values of initial capital requirement and the funct…
Model uses Preisach hysteresis to predict gig worker acceptance, reducing costs and improving fill rates.
problem Predicting and optimizing gig worker acceptance in labor markets.
method Preisach hysteresis model applied to neural network and XGBoost classifier for binary transaction outcomes.
result Model reduces total wage bill by 21.3% and increases expected fill rate by 9.7 pp.
Study financial contracts pricing in markets with nonproportional costs and constraints.
problem Financial contract pricing in markets with nonproportional transaction costs and portfolio constraints.
method Direct and dual characterization of market-consistent prices with acceptable risk thresholds.
result Extension of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing to include good deals and scalable good deals.
Optimizes a portfolio for an investor preferring accepted securities over a reference security.
problem Investor preference for a set of securities over a reference security with constraints.
method Mean-variance optimization with Sharpe Ratio performance measurement.
result Derives an optimal portfolio that maximizes returns while minimizing risk.
We establish dual representations for systemic risk measures based on acceptance sets in a general setting. We deal with systemic risk measures of both "first allocate, then aggregate" and "first aggregate, then allocate" type. In both cases, we provide a detailed analysis of the corresponding systemic acceptance sets …
INNs improve acceptance rates in electron spectra analysis.
problem Analyzing electron spectra from near-critical laser-plasmas.
method Invertible Neural Networks (INNs) for forward and inverse modeling.
result INNs significantly increase acceptance rates up to a factor of 10.
New models improve machine learning accuracy and transparency in finance.
problem Black-box machine learning models lack interpretability in regulated industries.
method Introducing generalized groves of neural additive models with clear feature categories and interactions.
result Generalized groves of neural additive models achieve high accuracy with predominantly linear and sparse nonlinear components.
The theory of acceptance sets and their associated risk measures plays a key role in the design of capital adequacy tests. The objective of this paper is to investigate, in the context of bounded financial positions, the class of surplus-invariant acceptance sets. These are characterized by the fact that acceptability …
The most commonly accepted model for investors' preferences is expected utility theory. More recently, other theories have emerged and pose new challenges to mathematics. The present paper treats preferences of cumulative prospect theory (CPT), where an "S-shaped" utility function is considered (i.e. convex up to a cer…
Research examines motivations and factors influencing retailers' payment method choices.
problem Understanding motivations and factors affecting retailers' payment method choices.
method Qualitative and quantitative analysis of various factors including regulatory constraints, merchant service providers, and demographic variables.
result Lower interchange fees and regulatory constraints make card payment adoption financially feasible for merchants.
Monetary risk measures are usually interpreted as the smallest amount of external capital that must be added to a financial position to make it acceptable. We propose a new concept: intrinsic risk measures and argue that this approach provides a direct path from unacceptable positions towards the acceptance set. Intrin…
Generation of pseudorandom numbers from different probability distributions has been studied extensively in the Monte Carlo simulation literature. Two standard generation techniques are the acceptance-rejection and inverse transformation methods. An alternative approach to Monte Carlo simulation is the quasi-Monte Carl…
Paper extends ranking metrics theory for financial positions.
problem Developing a new class of functionals for evaluating financial positions.
method Axiomatic framework based on monotonicity and cash-quasiconcavity.
result Linking ranking metrics to families of acceptance sets and risk measures.
Paper extends ranking metrics theory for financial positions.
problem Developing a new class of performance evaluation methods.
method Axiomatic framework based on monotonicity and cash-quasiconcavity.
result Linking ranking metrics to families of acceptance sets and risk measures.
Abstracts index for ML4H workshop at NeurIPS 2019.
problem No specific problem stated; index of accepted abstracts.
method Not specified; index of accepted abstracts.
result No specific result stated.
Newtonian dynamical systems which accept the normal shift on an arbitrary Riemannian manifold are considered. For them the determinating equations making the weak normality condition are derived. The expansion for the algebra of tensor fields is constructed.
Proposes a method to estimate acceptance regions for many classes, including new ones.
problem Lack of methods to handle new classes in set-valued classification.
method Generalized Prediction Set (GPS) approach to estimate acceptance regions.
result Achieves a good balance between accuracy, efficiency, and anomaly detection.
The risk of financial positions is measured by the minimum amount of capital to raise and invest in eligible portfolios of traded assets in order to meet a prescribed acceptability constraint. We investigate nondegeneracy, finiteness and continuity properties of these risk measures with respect to multiple eligible ass…
Improved sampling for Bayesian neural networks reduces vanishing acceptance rates and increases predictive accuracy.
problem Sampling inefficiency in Bayesian neural networks, especially with deep architectures and large datasets.
method Approximate blocked Gibbs sampling to partition and sample subgroups of parameters.
result Increased predictive accuracy and quantification of predictive uncertainty in classification tasks.
Variational inference using the reparameterization trick has enabled large-scale approximate Bayesian inference in complex probabilistic models, leveraging stochastic optimization to sidestep intractable expectations. The reparameterization trick is applicable when we can simulate a random variable by applying a differ…