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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for academic risk

Paper discusses how financial institutions' model risk management can benefit academic research.

problem Improving academic research process and mitigating limitations.
method Adopting financial institutions' model risk management practices.
result Lessons from financial institutions can enhance academic research reliability.

Predicts academic risk in college students using interpretable machine learning.

problem Predicting academic risk from high-dimensional, unbalanced student data.
method Binary classification task using LightGBM model and Shapley value.
result 8 predictors for academic risk identified, including quality of academic partners and dormitory study atmosphere.

This report was originally written as an industry white paper on Hedge Funds. This paper gives an overview to Hedge Funds, with a focus on risk management issues. We define and explain the general characteristics of Hedge Funds, their main investment strategies and the risk models employed. We address the problems in H…

2009-04-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances insurance loss models using InsurTech data and machine learning.

problem Traditional insurance loss models lack predictive accuracy due to limited data sources.
method Combining proprietary claims data with InsurTech data and applying machine learning techniques.
result Improved predictive accuracy of the loss model through machine learning.

This paper was presented and written for two seminars: a national UK University Risk Conference and a Risk Management industry workshop. The target audience is therefore a cross section of Academics and industry professionals. The current ongoing global credit crunch has highlighted the importance of risk measurement i…

2009-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The issue of model risk in default modeling has been known since inception of the Academic literature in the field. However, a rigorous treatment requires a description of all the possible models, and a measure of the distance between a single model and the alternatives, consistent with the applications. This is the pu…

2019-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Geospatial framework assesses climate risks for California's banking and exposed sectors.

problem Evaluating climate risks on banking and exposed sectors in California.
method Integrates hazard mapping, exposure analysis, and scenario-based financial risk assessment.
result Framework supports portfolio monitoring and institutional readiness under new standards.

Study predicts academic achievement using students' support networks.

problem Predicting academic achievement in college students.
method Decision tree and random forest algorithms applied to Ties data.
result Different types of support are important for different demographics and genders.

Simplified approach to portfolio risk management and hedging in practice.

problem Challenges in applying academic portfolio risk management and hedging in real-world business settings.
method A straightforward approach using convex optimization and quadratic programming.
result Demonstrates how to solve portfolio risk management and hedging problems with CVXOPT.

Optimized certainty equivalents (OCEs) is a family of risk measures widely used by both practitioners and academics. This is mostly due to its tractability and the fact that it encompasses important examples, including entropic risk measures and average value at risk. In this work we consider stochastic optimal control…

2020-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a Bonus-Malus model for cyber risk insurance to incentivize cybersecurity.

problem Lack of effective insurance strategies to incentivize cybersecurity.
method Proposes a Bonus-Malus model and a mathematical model with a numerical algorithm.
result Demonstrates how a Bonus-Malus system resolves moral hazard and benefits the insurer.

This paper critiques the Standardized Measurement Approach (SMA) for operational risk and recommends maintaining Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA).

problem Weaknesses and failures of the Standardized Measurement Approach (SMA) in operational risk.
method Critical review and analysis of SMA and AMA approaches.
result SMA is unstable, insensitive to risk, and implicitly related to systemic risk in the banking sector.

Financial markets have developed a lot of strategies to control risks induced by market fluctuations. Mathematics has emerged as the leading discipline to address fundamental questions in finance as asset pricing model and hedging strategies. History began with the paradigm of zero-risk introduced by Black & Scholes st…

2003-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) are popular risk measures from academic, industrial and regulatory perspectives. The problem of minimizing CVaR is theoretically known to be of Neyman-Pearson type binary solution. We add a constraint on expected return to investigate the Mean-CVaR portfolio sele…

2013-08-10abs ↗pdf ↗

RiskLabs uses LLMs to predict financial risks from multimodal data.

problem Financial risk prediction using AI techniques.
method Integrates multimodal financial data (textual, vocal, time series, news) into LLMs for prediction.
result Empirical results show effectiveness in forecasting market volatility and variance.

This is a brief survey of the research performed by Grandata Labs in collaboration with numerous academic groups around the world on the topic of human mobility. A driving theme in these projects is to use and improve Data Science techniques to understand mobility, as it can be observed through the lens of mobile phone…

2018-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Private credit markets have expanded significantly, offering unique lending technology to private equity firms.

problem Understanding the growth and characteristics of private credit markets.
method Systematic survey of academic literature, development of integrated theoretical framework, empirical evidence.
result Private credit markets offer a distinct lending technology with higher spreads over syndicated loans.

Study uses ML and causal analysis to predict student performance factors.

problem Understanding socio-academic and economic factors affecting student performance.
method Employed machine learning techniques and causal analysis on 1,050 student profiles.
result Ridge Regression achieved robust predictions with MAE of 0.12 and MSE of 0.024.

A new method prioritizes project risks using Monte Carlo Simulation.

problem Determining the relative importance of project risks.
method Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) for quantitative prioritization.
result Differentiates critical risks based on their impact on project duration and cost.

Over the last 23 years, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has required over 34,000 companies to file over 165,000 annual reports. These reports, the so-called "Form 10-Ks," contain a characterization of a company's financial performance and its risks, including the regulatory environment in which a company op…

2016-12-29abs ↗pdf ↗

This study identifies financial risk paths in digital-transformed enterprises.

problem Identifying financial risks in digital-transformed enterprises.
method DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC method.
result Political and economic environment affects enterprise's financial structure.

Proposes a framework to adjust quotes for informational risk in markets with informed traders and price-revealing quotes.

problem Informational risk in markets with informed traders and price-revealing quotes.
method Proposes a tractable framework to adjust quotes considering adverse selection and price reading.
result Market makers can adjust their quotes to better manage informational risk.

We tackle the problem of algorithmic fairness, where the goal is to avoid the unfairly influence of sensitive information, in the general context of regression with possible continuous sensitive attributes. We extend the framework of fair empirical risk minimization to this general scenario, covering in this way the wh…

2019-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Study evaluates the impact of academic support center's face-to-face assistance on student performance.

problem Underestimation of Academic Support Center's true impact due to group bias.
method Applied causal inference theory and T-learner to evaluate conditional average treatment effect (CATE) of F2F personal assistance.
result Developed a new CATE function that depends on the number of F2F sessions, predicting improved CATE performance.

In this paper we propose an overview of the recent academic literature devoted to the applications of Hawkes processes in finance. Hawkes processes constitute a particular class of multivariate point processes that has become very popular in empirical high frequency finance this last decade. After a reminder of the mai…

2015-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This research proposes methods to model and assess liability liquidity risk in asset management.

problem Lack of standardized models for liability liquidity risk in asset management.
method Statistical models, zero-inflated models, aggregate and individual-based approaches, and factor models.
result Developed mathematical and statistical approaches to estimate and assess redemption shocks.

Research proposes a model to estimate transaction costs and assess asset liquidity risk.

problem Lack of standardized models for asset liquidity risk in asset management.
method Develops a market impact model and a two-regime model based on power-law property.
result Defines liquidity measures and applies model to stocks and bonds.

KT models struggle with student concept drift, but BKT remains the most stable.

problem Impact of student concept drift on KT models.
method Applied four KT models to five academic years of data.
result KT models generally degrade in performance with concept drift, BKT remains stable.

LibAUC optimizes X-risks for AI tasks like CID, LTR, and CLR.

problem Optimizing risk functions in AI for tasks like classification, ranking, and representation learning.
method Developed a new mini-batch pipeline for deep X-risk optimization (DXO) algorithms.
result Achieved great success in solving CID, LTR, and CLR tasks with faster convergence and scalable performance.

Social media enhances or diminishes scientific status, depending on usage.

problem Impact of social media on scientific stratification and mobility.
method Logistic Attribution Analysis combining statistical and machine learning methods.
result Social media promotes stratification and mobility, but beyond a threshold, it negatively impacts status.

L2GMOM learns financial networks and optimizes momentum strategies.

problem Expensive databases and financial expertise limit network construction accessibility.
method End-to-end machine learning framework (L2GMOM) that learns networks and optimizes trading signals.
result Significant improvement in portfolio profitability and risk control with Sharpe ratio of 1.74.