Predicts academic risk in college students using interpretable machine learning.
problem Predicting academic risk from high-dimensional, unbalanced student data.
method Binary classification task using LightGBM model and Shapley value.
result 8 predictors for academic risk identified, including quality of academic partners and dormitory study atmosphere.
Paper presents deep learning and ML for automated student performance estimation.
problem Evaluation of students' performance during the pandemic.
method In-depth analysis of deep learning and machine learning approaches.
result Better performance across different prediction tasks with fully data-driven approach.
Study uses ML and causal analysis to predict student performance factors.
problem Understanding socio-academic and economic factors affecting student performance.
method Employed machine learning techniques and causal analysis on 1,050 student profiles.
result Ridge Regression achieved robust predictions with MAE of 0.12 and MSE of 0.024.
Paper discusses how financial institutions' model risk management can benefit academic research.
problem Improving academic research process and mitigating limitations.
method Adopting financial institutions' model risk management practices.
result Lessons from financial institutions can enhance academic research reliability.
Study evaluates the impact of academic support center's face-to-face assistance on student performance.
problem Underestimation of Academic Support Center's true impact due to group bias.
method Applied causal inference theory and T-learner to evaluate conditional average treatment effect (CATE) of F2F personal assistance.
result Developed a new CATE function that depends on the number of F2F sessions, predicting improved CATE performance.
The study uses Hidden Markov Models to analyze student enrollment patterns and academic performance.
problem Limited understanding of how enrollment patterns affect academic performance.
method Applied Hidden Markov Models to categorize enrollment strategies and compare academic outcomes.
result Mixed enrollment strategies lead to better academic performance, especially during part-time semesters.
System identifies high impact research from academic papers.
problem Identifying high impact research amidst a growing volume of papers.
method Combines visual and text classifiers on a large dataset of PDFs and citation counts.
result Improved accuracy in predicting high impact research.
Study predicts academic achievement using students' support networks.
problem Predicting academic achievement in college students.
method Decision tree and random forest algorithms applied to Ties data.
result Different types of support are important for different demographics and genders.
KT models struggle with student concept drift, but BKT remains the most stable.
problem Impact of student concept drift on KT models.
method Applied four KT models to five academic years of data.
result KT models generally degrade in performance with concept drift, BKT remains stable.
Machine learning methods tend to outperform traditional statistical models at prediction. In the prediction of academic achievement, ML models have not shown substantial improvement over logistic regression. So far, these results have almost entirely focused on college achievement, due to the availability of administra…
A new method for name disambiguation in academic networks using multi-view attention and recurrent neural networks.
problem Disambiguating authors with the same name in large-scale academic networks.
method Multi-view Attention-based Pairwise Recurrent Neural Network (MA-PairRNN) that divides papers into blocks based on author attributes and merges blocks of the same author.
result MA-PairRNN significantly improves name disambiguation performance on real-world datasets.
Study on academic finance evolution over 30 years.
problem Understanding changes in academic finance research over time.
method Analysis of 32 finance journals from 1992 to 2021 using Structural Topic Model.
result Most journals have become more generalist over time, covering more topics.
Tool to estimate research impact for low-resource institutions.
problem Costly databases limit access for third-world institutions.
method Machine Learning for data analysis and panel regression.
result Approximation of SCOPUS Impact Factor for free.
Reasoning models outperform LLMs on CFA exams.
problem Previous research showed LLMs failing CFA exams; reasoning models show promise.
method Evaluated state-of-the-art reasoning models on CFA exams using pass/fail criteria.
result Most reasoning models pass all three CFA levels; Gemini 3.0 Pro achieves highest scores.
The failure of landing a job for college students could cause serious social consequences such as drunkenness and suicide. In addition to academic performance, unconscious biases can become one key obstacle for hunting jobs for graduating students. Thus, it is necessary to understand these unconscious biases so that we…
Efficiently trains BERT on academic GPUs in 12 days.
problem Training large-scale BERT models is expensive and time-consuming.
method Optimizes training on multiple GPUs and nodes, reducing costs.
result Trains BERT on academic GPUs in 12 days, not requiring expensive hardware.
Kaggle competitions offer valuable insights for business forecasting.
problem Lack of attention to Kaggle competitions in academic forecasting studies.
method Review of results from six Kaggle competitions featuring real-life business forecasting tasks.
result Global ensemble models outperform local single models in Kaggle competitions.
Social media enhances or diminishes scientific status, depending on usage.
problem Impact of social media on scientific stratification and mobility.
method Logistic Attribution Analysis combining statistical and machine learning methods.
result Social media promotes stratification and mobility, but beyond a threshold, it negatively impacts status.
This is a brief survey of the research performed by Grandata Labs in collaboration with numerous academic groups around the world on the topic of human mobility. A driving theme in these projects is to use and improve Data Science techniques to understand mobility, as it can be observed through the lens of mobile phone…
Paper introduces a new algorithm to detect LLM-generated text.
problem Detecting LLM-generated text to prevent misinformation.
method Adaptively learns the distance between original and rewritten text.
result Empirically, the new algorithm outperforms existing methods in most scenarios.
We develop an algorithm that can detect pneumonia from chest X-rays at a level exceeding practicing radiologists. Our algorithm, CheXNet, is a 121-layer convolutional neural network trained on ChestX-ray14, currently the largest publicly available chest X-ray dataset, containing over 100,000 frontal-view X-ray images w…
We develop dependent hierarchical normalized random measures and apply them to dynamic topic modeling. The dependency arises via superposition, subsampling and point transition on the underlying Poisson processes of these measures. The measures used include normalised generalised Gamma processes that demonstrate power …
As recent literature has demonstrated how classifiers often carry unintended biases toward some subgroups, deploying machine learned models to users demands careful consideration of the social consequences. How should we address this problem in a real-world system? How should we balance core performance and fairness me…
AI predicts dyslexia and dysgraphia in children.
problem Early detection and assessment of dyslexia and dysgraphia.
method Machine learning on datasets of children's handwriting and audio recordings.
result Preliminary model shows high performance in classifying dyslexic and dysgraphic children.
Variable Annuity (VA) products expose insurance companies to considerable risk because of the guarantees they provide to buyers of these products. Managing and hedging these risks requires insurers to find the value of key risk metrics for a large portfolio of VA products. In practice, many companies rely on nested Mon…
Over the last 23 years, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has required over 34,000 companies to file over 165,000 annual reports. These reports, the so-called "Form 10-Ks," contain a characterization of a company's financial performance and its risks, including the regulatory environment in which a company op…
The Wallenius distribution is a generalisation of the Hypergeometric distribution where weights are assigned to balls of different colours. This naturally defines a model for ranking categories which can be used for classification purposes. Since, in general, the resulting likelihood is not analytically available, we a…
Estimates citation impact to recommend best publication venue.
problem Choosing optimal publication venue for academic papers.
method Treatment effect estimation and bias correction method.
result Effective recommendation of publication venues based on citation potential.
Study evaluates digital transformation impact on financial performance using LLMs.
problem Measuring and understanding the impact of digital transformation on financial performance.
method Constructed DT indicators from company reports; analyzed effects of different digital technologies.
result Digital transformation improves financial performance, but varies by technology.
Randomized control methods improve asset pricing and performance analysis.
problem Challenges in drawing inferences from traditional random portfolios in performance evaluation.
method Geometric random walks and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to construct flexible control groups.
result Captured premia associated with size, value, quality, and momentum in a constrained setting.
Bitcoin price prediction models fail to outperform a simple 'today's price' baseline, especially at longer horizons.
problem Lack of robust models that consistently outperform a naive price predictor at various horizons.
method Surveyed peer-reviewed papers, categorized by evaluation methodology, contrasted with social media discourse, and proposed methodological standards.
result No peer-reviewed study has shown robust superiority over the naive baseline across multiple market regimes at short-to-medium horizons.
Machine learning algorithms designed to characterize, monitor, and intervene on human health (ML4H) are expected to perform safely and reliably when operating at scale, potentially outside strict human supervision. This requirement warrants a stricter attention to issues of reproducibility than other fields of machine …
Shifu2 discovers advisor-advisee relationships in collaboration networks.
problem Discovering hidden advisor-advisee relationships in scientific collaboration networks.
method Network Representation Learning (NRL) model, considering both network structure and node/edge semantics.
result Improved stability and effectiveness compared to state-of-the-art methods.
This report was originally written as an industry white paper on Hedge Funds. This paper gives an overview to Hedge Funds, with a focus on risk management issues. We define and explain the general characteristics of Hedge Funds, their main investment strategies and the risk models employed. We address the problems in H…
The DoD needs a robust process to evaluate AI/ML model performance and robustness.
problem AI/ML models are brittle and nonrobust, posing risks in national security.
method Reviews AI/ML development process and best practices for evaluation.
result Recommendations for DoD evaluators to ensure robust AI/ML capabilities.
One of the important measures of quality of education is the performance of students in the academic settings. Nowadays, abundant data is stored in educational institutions about students which can help to discover insight on how students are learning and how to improve their performance ahead of time using data mining…
This reviews the econophysics activities in Belgium from my admittedly biased point of view. Unknown historical notes or facts are presented for the first time explaining the aims, whence evolution of the research papers and friendly connections with colleagues. Comments on endeavors are also provided. The lack of offi…
Computer generated academic papers have been used to expose a lack of thorough human review at several computer science conferences. We assess the problem of classifying such documents. After identifying and evaluating several quantifiable features of academic papers, we apply methods from machine learning to build a b…
This paper uses information theory to improve risk modeling in big data.
problem Insufficient application of information theory in actuarial science.
method Explores information theory to uncover performance limits of insurance big data systems.
result Guidance for risk modeling and actuarial pricing systems.
Enhances insurance loss models using InsurTech data and machine learning.
problem Traditional insurance loss models lack predictive accuracy due to limited data sources.
method Combining proprietary claims data with InsurTech data and applying machine learning techniques.
result Improved predictive accuracy of the loss model through machine learning.
Autonomous driving is getting a lot of attention in the last decade and will be the hot topic at least until the first successful certification of a car with Level 5 autonomy. There are many public datasets in the academic community. However, they are far away from what a robust industrial production system needs. Ther…
Peer-reviewed research and mined data predict stock returns similarly.
problem Predicting stock returns using research quality.
method Cross-sectional analysis of 29,000 accounting ratios with t-statistics > 2.0.
result Post-sample performance is largely independent of whether the predictor is peer-reviewed or mined.
The professional services sector is at a turning point, with some industries showing growth opportunities.
problem Identifying growth opportunities in the professional services sector after decades of growth.
method A simple framework applied to the US economic context to diagnose growth opportunities.
result The professional services sector is expected to stall at a national level, but some industries still offer growth opportunities.
Replicated and validated Rank-N-Contrast for robust regression.
problem Deep regression models struggle with continuous sample orders.
method Contrastive learning of continuous representations by ranking samples.
result Improved performance and robustness of RNC framework.
Improved graph matching using covariates for network data integration.
problem Matching networks without unique identifiers.
method Two novel covariate-assisted seeded graph matching methods.
result Improved alignment accuracy through covariate information.
Paper uses PSM to improve fake news detection generalizability.
problem Confounding variables in fake news features.
method Propensity Score Matching (PSM) to select features.
result Generalizability of fake news detection methods improved significantly.
Lecture notes introduce differential geometry using sheaves and differential operators.
problem Exploring differential geometry concepts.
method Using sheaves, differential operators, and horizontal subbundles.
result Presented an approach to fundamental differential geometry structures.
The paper proposes to analyze a data set of Finnish ranks of academic publication channels with Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). The purpose is to introduce and test recently proposed ELM-based mislabel detection approach with a rich set of features characterizing a publication channel. We will compare the architecture,…