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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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6111722 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for abnormal fluctuations

New model predicts financial market abnormalities using stock index uncertainties.

problem Forecasting abnormal financial fluctuations in the market.
method Quantitative analysis of mean and volatility uncertainties, constructing early warning indicators.
result Established a new abnormal fluctuations warning model.

Investment disputes increase stock volatility, especially for companies with negative outcomes.

problem Investment disputes affect stock market volatility and investor uncertainty.
method Analysis of abnormal share fluctuations and various explanatory variables.
result Investment disputes lead to increased stock volatility, particularly for companies with negative outcomes.

This study analyzes how the Indian stock market reacts to budget announcements using fractal methods.

problem Understanding the impact of Union Budget announcements on the Indian stock market.
method Utilizes fractal interpolation function and fractal dimensional analysis to study the NIFTY50 index over -15 to +15 days post-budget day.
result The budget announcements significantly affect the Indian stock market, as evidenced by average abnormal return and cumulative abnormal return.

Study finds abnormal paths on specific Lie groups using algebraic structures.

problem Identifying abnormal extremals on Lie groups with quasimetrics.
method Analyzing Lie algebras and seminorms to determine abnormal extremals.
result Established criterion for strong abnormality of extremals.

Study on abnormal curves in sub-Riemannian manifolds, proving length-minimizing properties.

problem Characterizing abnormal geodesics in sub-Riemannian manifolds.
method Analyzing curves that annihilate Lie brackets and proving minimization properties.
result Strictly abnormal geodesics can cease to be locally length-minimizing.

The paper bounds abnormal and Goh-abnormal sets for metabelian Lie groups with polarizations.

problem Bounding abnormal and Goh-abnormal sets for metabelian Lie groups.
method Analyzing rank 2 polarizations and sub-Riemannian structures on metabelian Lie groups.
result Metabelian Lie groups with polarizations satisfy the minimizing Sard property.

We prove the smoothness of abnormal minimizers of subriemannian manifolds of step 3 with a nilpotent basis. We prove that rank 2 Carnot groups of step 4 admit no strictly abnormal minimizers. For any subriemannian manifolds of step less than 7, we show all abnormal minimizers have no corner type singularities, which pa…

2012-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We address the problem of abnormal event detection from trajectory data. In this paper, a new adversarial approach is proposed for building a deep neural network binary classifier, trained in an unsupervised fashion, that can distinguish normal from abnormal trajectory-based events without the need for setting manual d…

2019-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Media tone around earnings announcements predicts stock returns.

problem Determining if media tone around earnings announcements provides useful information for stock prices.
method Conducted an event study on media tone around earnings announcements for nonfinancial S&P 500 firms.
result Media tone around earnings announcements predicts abnormal stock returns.

This study examines abnormal geodesics in 2D-Zermelo navigation problems, revealing their role in separating time minimal and maximal curves.

problem The role of abnormal geodesics in planar Zermelo navigation problems with strong current.
method Geometric time optimal control approach, focusing on the heading angle of the ship.
result Abnormal geodesics separate time minimal and maximal curves, and are both small-time minimizing and maximizing.

In this paper, we focus on the development of a method that detects abnormal trajectories of road users at traffic intersections. The main difficulty with this is the fact that there are very few abnormal data and the normal ones are insufficient for the training of any kinds of machine learning model. To tackle these …

2018-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study classifies stock price jumps as exogenous or endogenous using news data.

problem Differentiating between exogenous and endogenous price jumps.
method Synchronized news data with order book data to analyze stock price movements.
result Exogenous jumps are abrupt and follow a decaying power-law, while endogenous jumps are progressively accelerating.

We show that strictly abnormal geodesics arise in graded nilpotent Lie groups. We construct such a group, for which some Carnot geodesics are strictly abnormal; in fact, they are not normal in any subgroup. In the step-2 case we also prove that these geodesics are always smooth. Our main technique is based on the equat…

1995-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

In machine learning, novelty detection is the task of identifying novel unseen data. During training, only samples from the normal class are available. Test samples are classified as normal or abnormal by assignment of a novelty score. Here we propose novelty detection methods based on training variational autoencoders…

2018-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

In Carnot-Caratheodory or sub-Riemannian geometry, one of the major open problems is whether the conclusions of Sard's theorem holds for the endpoint map, a canonical map from an infinite-dimensional path space to the underlying finite-dimensional manifold. The set of critical values for the endpoint map is also known …

2015-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The FCA improved insider trading regulation after 2012, reducing abnormal returns.

problem Regulation of insider trading before and after the UK Financial Services Act 2012.
method Event study methodology using abnormal returns analysis.
result Abnormal returns were reduced after the FCA took over from the FSA.

We study trade-based manipulation of stock prices from the perspective of complex trading networks constructed by using detailed information of trades. A stock trading network consists of nodes and directed links, where every trader is a node and a link is formed from one trader to the other if the former sells shares …

2012-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient boosting detects insider purchases predicting abnormal returns in microcap stocks.

problem Predicting abnormal returns in U.S. microcap stocks using insider purchase signals.
method Gradient boosting classifier trained on insider identity, transaction history, and market conditions.
result Gradient boosting classifier achieves AUC of 0.70 on out-of-sample data, with precision and recall of 0.38 and 0.69 respectively.

Generalizes pseudo-product structures with abnormal extremals.

problem Finiteness of symmetry algebras for non-degenerate pseudo-product structures.
method Modified universal prolongation of graded nilpotent Lie algebras and generalized finiteness criterion.
result Distributions with singularly transitive properties have finite-dimensional symmetries.

The diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment of patients with musculoskeletal (MSK) disorders require radiology imaging (using computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging(MRI), and ultrasound) and their precise analysis by expert radiologists. Radiology scans can also help assessment of metabolic health, aging, and diab…

2020-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Due to the inherent uncertainty of data, the problem of predicting partial ranking from pairwise comparison data with ties has attracted increasing interest in recent years. However, in real-world scenarios, different individuals often hold distinct preferences. It might be misleading to merely look at a global partial…

2019-10-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Valid inference method for DTW distance for abnormal time-series detection.

problem Statistical inference on DTW distance under uncertain conditions.
method Conditional selective inference framework to derive valid p-values.
result First method to provide valid p-values for DTW distance.

In this article we prove that the codimension of the abnormal set of the endpoint map for certain classes of Carnot groups of step 2 is at least three. Our result applies to all step 2 Carnot groups of dimension up to 7 and is a generalisation of a previous analogous result for step 2 free nilpotent groups.

2017-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a tool to identify abnormal blood smear results based on CBC tests.

problem Manual review of blood smears by technologists is time-consuming and inconsistent.
method Cost-sensitive Lasso-penalized additive logistic regression combined with stability selection.
result The tool correctly identifies true cutoff values for abnormal smear results.

Lung segmentation from abnormal CXRs using data imputation.

problem Segmenting lungs from CXRs with high opacity caused by respiratory ailments.
method Modified CNN-based segmentation network with deep generative model for data imputation.
result The model can segment lungs from abnormal CXRs, extending to cases with extreme abnormalities.

Proves Sard conjecture for specific distributions, controlling divergence of vector fields.

problem Proving the Sard conjecture for certain types of distributions.
method Constructs a singular distribution capturing essential abnormal lifts, proving the conjecture for rank 3 distributions in dimension 4 and generic corank 1 distributions.
result Proves the Sard conjecture for generic co-rank one distributions.