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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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247494741988 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Worst-Case Performance

Proposes a new framework for balancing average- and worst-case performance in machine learning.

problem Robustness issues in machine learning, especially in safety-critical domains.
method Probabilistic robustness framework that balances average- and worst-case performance.
result Effective algorithm balances average- and worst-case performance with lower computational cost.

Study evaluates approaches to improve worst-case model performance across patient subpopulations.

problem Improving model accuracy for specific patient subpopulations.
method Comparison of distributionally robust optimization (DRO) and standard learning procedures.
result Standard learning procedures generally outperform DRO approaches for improving model performance across subpopulations.

The study assesses ML model robustness under worst-case subpopulations.

problem ML model performance degradation under non-training population.
method Two-stage estimation procedure for evaluating worst-case robustness over subpopulations.
result The method certifies model robustness and prevents unreliable deployments.

New framework identifies worst-case shifts for predictive resource allocation models.

problem Identifying harmful shifts in predictive models for resource allocation.
method Hierarchical model structure and submodular optimization for worst-case loss.
result Empirical evidence shows divergent worst-case shifts identified by different metrics.

Proposes a method to ensure low losses across all subpopulations in large datasets.

problem Standard practice of minimizing average loss fails to guarantee low losses across all subpopulations in heterogeneous datasets.
method Convex procedure that controls worst-case performance over all subpopulations of a given size with finite-sample convergence guarantees.
result Empirically, the worst-case procedure learns models that do well against unseen subpopulations.

Robust hypothesis testing designs a test for worst-case distributions using kernel methods.

problem Design a robust test for hypothesis testing under uncertainty sets.
method Data-driven uncertainty sets constructed using kernel mean embeddings and maximum mean discrepancy (MMD). Bayesian and Neyman-Pearson settings investigated.
result Proposed robust kernel tests are exponentially consistent and asymptotically optimal.

This paper analyzes how randomizing rewards in MBRL can improve performance without being overly optimistic.

problem The gap between theoretical worst-case regret analysis and empirical performance in MBRL.
method Reward randomization in model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) with kernelized linear regulator (KNR) model.
result Reward randomization guarantees partial optimism and near-optimal worst-case regret.

New expressive losses improve adversarial robustness without sacrificing accuracy.

problem Training networks for robustness at the expense of accuracy.
method Formalizing expressivity, using convex combinations of adversarial attacks and IBP bounds.
result Trivial expressive losses yield state-of-the-art results in various settings.

Options are generally learned by using an inaccurate environment model (or simulator), which contains uncertain model parameters. While there are several methods to learn options that are robust against the uncertainty of model parameters, these methods only consider either the worst case or the average (ordinary) case…

2019-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Follow-the-Leader (FTL) is an intuitive sequential prediction strategy that guarantees constant regret in the stochastic setting, but has terrible performance for worst-case data. Other hedging strategies have better worst-case guarantees but may perform much worse than FTL if the data are not maximally adversarial. We…

2013-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Method identifies shifts leading to large model performance differences.

problem Detecting shifts in distribution that affect model performance.
method Parametric changes in causal mechanisms define robustness sets; worst-case optimization problem approximated as non-convex quadratic.
result Second-order approximation of worst-case loss for small shifts, leading to efficient algorithms.

New algorithms optimize spectral risk measures, improving interpolation between average and worst-case performance.

problem Optimizing spectral risk measures for learning systems.
method Developed stochastic algorithms to optimize spectral risk measures by characterizing their subdifferential and addressing challenges like biasedness of subgradient estimates and non-smoothness.
result Our approach outperforms out-of-the-box stochastic subgradient and dual averaging methods in optimizing spectral risk measures.

Improved algorithms for stochastic linear bandits using tighter confidence sequences.

problem Stochastic linear bandits with improved worst-case regret guarantees.
method Novel tail bound for adaptive martingale mixtures to construct tighter confidence sequences.
result Linear bandit algorithm achieves competitive worst-case regret.

Worst-Case Sensitivity measures model sensitivity to uncertainty set size.

problem Model sensitivity to uncertainty set size in Distributionally Robust Optimization.
method Introducing Worst-Case Sensitivity as a measure of model sensitivity, and deriving closed-form expressions for various uncertainty sets.
result DRO solutions can be sensitive to the family and size of the uncertainty set, and worst-case sensitivity reflects these properties.

Efficient learning of minimax risk classifiers in high dimensions.

problem Efficient learning of classifiers in high-dimensional data.
method Iterative algorithm leveraging constraint generation methods for minimax risk classifiers.
result The algorithm provides efficient learning and feature selection in high-dimensional scenarios.

Bandits with Knapsacks (BwK) is a general model for multi-armed bandits under supply/budget constraints. While worst-case regret bounds for BwK are well-understood, we present three results that go beyond the worst-case perspective. First, we provide upper and lower bounds which amount to a full characterization for lo…

2020-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper improves worst-case regret bounds for RLSVI in reinforcement learning.

problem Minimizing regret in reinforcement learning with randomized value functions.
method Introduces a clipping variant of Thompson Sampling for RLSVI.
result Achieves a ildeO(H2SAT) ilde{\mathrm{O}}(H^2S\sqrt{AT}) worst-case regret bound.

2D Total Variation Denoising (TVD) is a widely used technique for image denoising. It is also an important nonparametric regression method for estimating functions with heterogenous smoothness. Recent results have shown the TVD estimator to be nearly minimax rate optimal for the class of functions with bounded variatio…

2019-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes bond portfolios to avoid worst-case losses.

problem Finding the worst-case value of a bond portfolio over a range of yield curves and spreads.
method Solves a convex-concave saddle point optimization problem to find the worst-case value and construct a robust portfolio.
result Constructs a bond portfolio that includes the worst-case value, ensuring robustness against market uncertainties.

Most methods for decision-theoretic online learning are based on the Hedge algorithm, which takes a parameter called the learning rate. In most previous analyses the learning rate was carefully tuned to obtain optimal worst-case performance, leading to suboptimal performance on easy instances, for example when there ex…

2011-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper calculates worst-case target semi-variances for uncertain losses.

problem Managing risk when loss distribution is uncertain and only partial information is known.
method Derives worst-case target semi-variances for symmetric or non-negative losses under uncertainty sets representing investor's undesirable scenarios.
result Closed-form expressions for worst-case target semi-variances are derived.

Area under ROC curve (AUC) is a widely used performance measure for classification models. We propose two new distributionally robust AUC maximization models (DR-AUC) that rely on the Kantorovich metric and approximate the AUC with the hinge loss function. We consider the two cases with respectively fixed and variable …

2020-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework improves worst-case generalization bounds for stochastic optimization.

problem Challenges in providing generalization guarantees for stochastic optimization algorithms.
method Introduces random set stability and empirically relevant complexity measures to avoid intractable mutual information terms.
result Bounded worst-case generalization error in terms of random set stability and empirically relevant complexity measures.

Study approximates worst-case stock trading under uncertainty, quantifying sensitivity.

problem Maximizing worst-case cost of stock gains and losses under uncertainty.
method Approximates worst-case problem by baseline problem as uncertainty vanishes.
result Value of worst-case problem equals baseline value plus correction term.

SRO optimizes decisions against worst-case sampler induced by generative models.

problem Operational uncertainty shifts from explicit probability law to sampler induced by learned generators.
method SRO optimizes decisions against the worst-case sampler induced by perturbing the learned generator.
result Empirical worst-case objective provides high-probability upper certificate for true population objective.

The problem of data uncertainty has motivated the incorporation of robust optimization in various arenas, beyond the Markowitz portfolio optimization. This work presents the extension of the robust optimization framework for the minimization of downside risk measures, such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-a…

2019-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework for worst-case generation using Wasserstein space optimization.

problem Evaluating robustness and stress-testing systems under distribution shifts.
method Min-max optimization over continuous probability distributions in Wasserstein space.
result Global convergence guarantees for the proposed Gradient Descent Ascent scheme.

AdMRL improves meta-reinforcement learning by minimizing worst-case sub-optimality gap.

problem Meta-reinforcement learning's sensitivity to task distribution shift.
method Model-based adversarial approach with minimax objective and alternating optimization.
result Efficacy in worst-case performance, generalization to out-of-distribution tasks, and sample efficiency.

DRCS selects a subset of data to minimize worst-case test error under covariate shift.

problem Selecting a subset of data that performs well across different deployment scenarios when data distributions differ.
method DRCS derives an upper bound for the worst-case test error assuming covariate shift and selects instances to minimize this bound.
result DRCS achieves distributionally robust training instance selection.

This paper concerns the problem of learning control policies for an unknown linear dynamical system to minimize a quadratic cost function. We present a method, based on convex optimization, that accomplishes this task robustly: i.e., we minimize the worst-case cost, accounting for system uncertainty given the observed …

2019-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves communication efficiency in RIS-assisted downlink communication.

problem Improving performance of RIS-aided downlink communication over heterogeneous designs.
method Distributed learning with distributionally robust optimization.
result Our algorithm achieves 50% fewer communication rounds for similar worst-case performance.