New method distinguishes data noise from GP uncertainty.
arXiv research
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A new error bound improves safety in Bayesian optimization.
The paper creates nonparametric confidence bands for band-limited functions.
There has been growing recent interest in probabilistic interpretations of kernel-based methods as well as learning in Banach spaces. The absence of a useful Lebesgue measure on an infinite-dimensional reproducing kernel Hilbert space is a serious obstacle for such stochastic models. We propose an estimation model for …
This is an introduction to Wiener measure and the Feynman-Kac formula on general Riemannian manifolds for Riemannian geometers with little or no background in stochastics. We explain the construction of Wiener measure based on the heat kernel in full detail and we prove the Feynman-Kac formula for Schrödinger operators…
Constructs non-asymptotic confidence regions for unknown functions in RKHS.
In this survey article, we review the relation between heat kernels and path integrals. In particular, we review recent results on the approximation of the Wiener measure on compact manifold by measures on (finite-dimensional) spaces of piece-wise geodesics.
The paper improves nonparametric confidence bands for band-limited functions.
Wiener-Granger causality is a widely used framework of causal analysis for temporally resolved events. We introduce a new measure of Wiener-Granger causality based on kernelization of partial canonical correlation analysis with specific advantages in the context of large high-dimensional data. The introduced measure is…
Let are independent Wiener processes. be the additive Wiener field define as the sum of . For any trend in $\kHC$ (the reproducing kernel Hilbert Space of ), we derive upper and lower bounds for the boundary non-crossing proba…
In this work, we propose a new policy iteration algorithm for pricing Bermudan options when the payoff process cannot be written as a function of a lifted Markov process. Our approach is based on a modification of the well-known Longstaff Schwartz algorithm, in which we basically replace the standard least square regre…
We show that the jumps correlation matrix of a multivariate Hawkes process is related to the Hawkes kernel matrix through a system of Wiener-Hopf integral equations. A Wiener-Hopf argument allows one to prove that this system (in which the kernel matrix is the unknown) possesses a unique causal solution and consequentl…
In the setting proposed by Hughston & Rafailidis (2005) we consider general interest rate models in the case of a Brownian market information filtration . Let be a square-integrable -measurable random variable, and assume the non-degeneracy condition that for all $t<\in…
The paper proves a convergence theorem for Wiener measures on holonomy groups.
We introduce a class of non-commutative Heisenberg like infinite dimensional Lie groups based on an abstract Wiener space. The Ricci curvature tensor for these groups is computed and shown to be bounded. Brownian motion and the corresponding heat kernel measures, are also studied. We show that these he…
Model reduction methods aim to describe complex dynamic phenomena using only relevant dynamical variables, decreasing computational cost, and potentially highlighting key dynamical mechanisms. In the absence of special dynamical features such as scale separation or symmetries, the time evolution of these variables typi…
This monograph develops the theory of covariant Schrödinger semigroups acting on sections of vector bundles over noncompact Riemannian manifolds from scratch. Contents: I. Sobolev spaces on vector bundles II. Smooth heat kernels on vector bundles III. Basis differential operators in Riemannian manifolds IV. Some specif…
We prove several versions of Driver's integration by parts formula for the horizontal Wiener measure on a totally geodesic Riemannian foliation and prove that the horizontal Wiener measure has a quasi-invariance property with respect to flows generated by suitable tangent processes.
We introduce a class of non-commutative, complex, infinite-dimensional Heisenberg like Lie groups based on an abstract Wiener space. The holomorphic functions which are also square integrable with respect to a heat kernel measure on these groups are studied. In particular, we establish a unitary equivalence between…
Neural networks solve SPDEs using Wiener chaos expansion.
The paper models asset prices using Wiener chaos expansions for efficient calibration to implied volatility surfaces.
New methods for -transform inversion and Wiener-Hopf factorization.
This paper gives a rigorous interpretation of a Feynman path integral on a Riemannian manifold M with non-positive sectional curvature. A Riemannian metric is given on the space of piecewise geodesic paths adapted to the partition of , whence a finite-dimensional approximation of Wiener …
The paper examines Wiener process for LID estimation methods.
In an abstract Wiener space setting, we constract a rigorous mathematical model of the one-loop approximation of the perturbative Chern-Simons integral, and derive its explicit asymptotic expansion for stochastic Wilson lines.
Cubature on Wiener space [Lyons, T.; Victoir, N.; Proc. R. Soc. Lond. A 8 January 2004 vol. 460 no. 2041 169-198] provides a powerful alternative to Monte Carlo simulation for the integration of certain functionals on Wiener space. More specifically, and in the language of mathematical finance, cubature allows for fast…
Gaussian processes (GPs) are versatile tools that have been successfully employed to solve nonlinear estimation problems in machine learning, but that are rarely used in signal processing. In this tutorial, we present GPs for regression as a natural nonlinear extension to optimal Wiener filtering. After establishing th…
Paper studies distributed kernel regression with imperfect kernels, achieving optimal rates.
We analyzed optimism in linear and kernel regression models.
pGMM kernel outperforms ordinary ridge regression and RBF kernel ridge regression without tuning.
The paper explores Wiener-Granger causality and its computational enhancements.
This paper proposes a new method to optimize portfolio allocation with transaction costs using Wiener chaos expansion.
Study on kernel regression risk in high dimensions using Pinsker bound.
We study the stability properties of nonlinear multi-task regression in reproducing Hilbert spaces with operator-valued kernels. Such kernels, a.k.a. multi-task kernels, are appropriate for learning prob- lems with nonscalar outputs like multi-task learning and structured out- put prediction. We show that multi-task ke…
Efficiently performs robust and sparse kernel regression.
New linear denoiser outperforms standard Wiener filter in noisy data.
Paper develops a new method for distribution regression with indefinite kernels.
Paper proves convergence rates for Gaussian kernel ridge regression.
Improved kernel ridge regression for large datasets using weighted random binning.
Study on reducing dimensionality in high-dimensional regression with kernel methods and stability analysis.
In this paper, we specify what functions induce the bounded composition operators on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) associated with an analytic positive definite function defined on . We prove that only affine transforms can do so in a pretty large class of RKHS. Our result covers not only the …
Kernel regression is a popular non-parametric fitting technique. It aims at learning a function which estimates the targets for test inputs as precise as possible. Generally, the function value for a test input is estimated by a weighted average of the surrounding training examples. The weights are typically computed b…
Counterexample shows Ito integrand needn't be locally square integrable.
Derives kernel PCA with Nyström method for scalability.
Nonlinear kernel regression models are often used in statistics and machine learning because they are more accurate than linear models. Variable selection for kernel regression models is a challenge partly because, unlike the linear regression setting, there is no clear concept of an effect size for regression coeffici…
Paper proposes a method for early stopping in regression using reproducing kernels.
Algorithm finds best Dirac mass approximation of target measure.
Enhances kernel regression with network data for better predictions.