Two new scoring methods improve anomaly detection in Isolation Forest.
problem Anomaly and outlier detection in data.
method Generalized score function and volume-based scoring for individual trees.
result Significant improvement in anomaly detection on 34 datasets.
To be effective, state of the art machine learning technology needs large amounts of annotated data. There are numerous compelling applications in healthcare that can benefit from high performance automated decision support systems provided by deep learning technology, but they lack the comprehensive data resources req…
In this paper, we define a reduced distance function based at a point at the singular time T<∞ of a Ricci flow. We also show the monotonicity of the corresponding reduced volume based at time T, with equality iff the Ricci flow is a gradient shrinking soliton. Our curvature bound assumption is more general than …
Active Learning (AL) is a learning task that requires learners interactively query the labels of the sampled unlabeled instances to minimize the training outputs with human supervisions. In theoretical study, learners approximate the version space which covers all possible classification hypothesis into a bounded conve…
In 2011 Enders, Müller and Topping showed that any blow up sequence of a Type I Ricci flow near a singular point converges to a non-trivial gradient Ricci soliton, leading them to conclude that for such flows all reasonable definitions of singular points agree with each other. We prove the analogous result for the harm…
Intense volatility in financial markets affect humans worldwide. Therefore, relatively accurate prediction of volatility is critical. We suggest that massive data sources resulting from human interaction with the Internet may offer a new perspective on the behavior of market participants in periods of large market move…
The paper proposes a new order slicing strategy to reduce market impact in large-volume trading.
problem Significant market impact and slippage in large-volume trading.
method Volatility-volume-based order slicing strategy using Exponential Weighted Moving Average and Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations.
result Improves trade execution efficiency and reduces market impact.
Research predicts money market volume based on capital market and bank rates ratio.
problem Understanding the influence of capital market and bank rates on money market instruments.
method Correlation matrix and time series model to predict money market volume.
result Predictive model for money market instrument volume based on historical data.
Study shows survivorship bias inflates returns in India's small-cap index.
problem Survivorship bias in emerging market small-cap indices.
method Reconstructing historical index composition through market capitalization ranking and comparing equal-weight portfolios of current constituents versus all historical members.
result Survivor-only backtesting overstates returns by 4.94 percentage points and Sharpe ratios by 0.097.
We investigate the behavior of limit order books on the meso-scale motivated by order execution scheduling algorithms. To do so we carry out empirical analysis of the order flows from market and limit order submissions, aggregated from tick-by-tick data via volume-based bucketing, as well as various LOB depth and shape…
Study on cryptocurrency trading patterns using multifractal analysis.
problem Lack of systematic study on temporal structure of cryptocurrency trading.
method Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of price returns, trades, and volume.
result All analyzed quantities exhibit multifractal structure, both univariate and bivariate.
A limit order book provides information on available limit order prices and their volumes. Based on these quantities, we give an empirical result on the relationship between the bid-ask liquidity balance and trade sign and we show that liquidity balance on best bid/best ask is quite informative for predicting the futur…
Study proposes a new financial market representation for machine learning.
problem Complex analysis of financial time series for machine learning.
method Volume-price-based statistical approach.
result Proposed method outperforms price levels-based method on liquid markets.
Generative models' evaluation scores can be misleading, leading to inflated grades.
problem Misleading evaluation scores for generative models.
method Analyzed and compared various scores for evaluating synthetic vs. ground-truth data.
result The Eden score avoids grade inflation and better aligns with human perception.
Improves score estimation for noised targets using known clean scores.
problem Poor score estimation at low noise levels in Denoising Score Matching.
method Introduces Target Score Identity and Target Score Matching loss.
result Score estimates are more accurate at low noise levels.
This work improves likelihood of score-based diffusion ODEs using high-order denoising score matching.
problem The gap between maximum likelihood and score matching objectives for score-based diffusion ODEs.
method High-order denoising score matching to maximize likelihood.
result Score-based diffusion ODEs achieve better likelihood on synthetic and CIFAR-10 data.
Study compares multivariate scoring rules for distribution forecasts.
problem Evaluating the discrimination ability of multivariate scoring rules.
method Simulation study comparing energy and variogram scores using historical data.
result Variogram score with p=0.5 outperforms other scores.
A new method improves data generation quality by correcting score mismatches.
problem Score mismatch issue in conditional score-based data generation methods.
method Denoising Likelihood Score Matching (DLSM) loss for classifier training.
result The proposed method outperforms previous methods on Cifar-10 and Cifar-100 benchmarks.
New scoring rules improve probabilistic classification model evaluation.
problem Traditional scoring rules misalign with the preference for correct classifications.
method Introduces Penalized Brier Score (PBS) and Penalized Logarithmic Loss (PLL) to modify proper scoring rules.
result PBS and PLL better identify optimal checkpoints and early stopping points, leading to superior F1 scores.
Extends denoising and score estimation to energy models via Tweedie's formula.
problem Linking denoising and score estimation for a wider range of distributions.
method Derives a fundamental identity connecting energy score derivatives and scores.
result Establishes a new identity for energy scores analogous to Tweedie's formula.
Mixed-SCORE+ improves community detection in weak signal networks.
problem Detecting communities in weak signal networks.
method Proposes Mixed-SCORE+ combining properties of Mixed-SCORE and SCORE+.
result Significantly improves detection error rates on Polblogs and weak signal networks.
Examining ESG scoring method for reliability.
problem Reliability of ESG scoring methodology.
method Analyzing Refinitiv's ESG scoring process.
result Methodology needs improvement for trustworthiness.
New scoring rules for multivariate distributions and level sets.
problem Evaluating forecast accuracy for multivariate distributions and level sets.
method Theoretical framework for scoring rules, decomposition of multivariate scoring functions, numerical algorithm for computation.
result New scoring functions for multivariate distributions and level sets, including density and cumulative distribution level sets.
Classifies intrinsically linked tournaments by their score sequences.
problem Classifying intrinsically linked tournaments using their score sequences.
method Examining the score sequences of tournaments and identifying linkless sequences.
result The vast majority of score sequences for 8-vertex tournaments are linkless.
Score matching is a popular method for estimating unnormalized statistical models. However, it has been so far limited to simple, shallow models or low-dimensional data, due to the difficulty of computing the Hessian of log-density functions. We show this difficulty can be mitigated by projecting the scores onto random…
Improved score matching methods for estimating score functions and Hessians without high dimensionality.
problem Estimating score functions and Hessians efficiently in high-dimensional data.
method Implicit score matching and denoising score matching, leveraging Gagliardo-Nirenberg inequalities.
result Achieves convergence rates similar to denoising score matching and estimates Hessians without dimensionality issues.
The statistical leverage scores of a complex matrix A∈Cn×d record the degree of alignment between col(A) and the coordinate axes in Cn. These score are used in random sampling algorithms for solving certain numerical linear algebra problems. In this paper we present a max-plus algebr…
Optimal score function estimation via empirical risk minimization
problem Estimating the score function of a probability measure on the flat torus from a sample
method Constraining the hypothesis space to a Sobolev ball
result Minimax estimation rates are achieved
New ESGM scores include a 'Missing' pillar to account for unpublished ESG data.
problem Unpublished ESG data affects the reliability of ESG scores.
method Formulated a new 'Missing' pillar and introduced ESGM scores.
result ESGM scores improve risk assessment and avoid exclusion of assets.
The NL score optimizes speaker recognition tasks.
problem Improving speaker recognition accuracy.
method Established the theory of optimal scores based on normalized likelihood.
result NL score is equivalent to PLDA likelihood ratio under certain conditions.
Regularizes attention scores in vision transformers using bootstrapping.
problem Noisy and diffused attention maps in ViT limit interpretability.
method Statistical learning techniques, bootstrapping of attention scores.
result Improves shrinkage and sparsity of attention scores.
Null-Calibrated Conformal Selection via Target-Membership Scores
problem Identifying test candidates whose unknown responses fall in a target region while controlling the false discovery rate
method Membership-score-based conformal selection
result Finite-sample valid null p-values
A framework for sensitivity measures using scoring functions.
problem Constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable functional.
method Score-based sensitivities constructed via consistent scoring functions.
result Demonstrated intuitive and desirable properties of score-based sensitivities.
Score matching is a recently developed parameter learning method that is particularly effective to complicated high dimensional density models with intractable partition functions. In this paper, we study two issues that have not been completely resolved for score matching. First, we provide a formal link between maxim…
The paper establishes bounds for score-matching in causal discovery and generative modeling.
problem Estimating causal relationships from data.
method Training a deep neural network to estimate the score function and applying it to causal discovery.
result Bounds on the error rate of causal discovery methods using score-matching.
This paper proposes a two-stage scoring approach to help lenders decide their fund allocations in the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market. The existing scoring approaches focus on only either probability of default (PD) prediction, known as credit scoring, or profitability prediction, known as profit scoring, to identify…
In political redistricting, the compactness of a district is used as a quantitative proxy for its fairness. Several well-established, yet competing, notions of geographic compactness are commonly used to evaluate the shapes of regions, including the Polsby-Popper score, the convex hull score, and the Reock score, and t…
Paper bridges score estimation to parameter and density estimation in DDPMs.
problem Efficiently estimating scores for generative models.
method Introduces a framework linking score estimation to parameter and density estimation.
result Denoising score-matching in DDPMs is asymptotically efficient for parameter estimation.
In statistical analysis, measuring a score of predictive performance is an important task. In many scientific fields, appropriate scores were tailored to tackle the problems at hand. A proper score is a popular tool to obtain statistically consistent forecasts. Furthermore, a mathematical characterization of the proper…
Survival regression method improves log-likelihood scores.
problem Improper scoring rules in survival regression models.
method SurvivalMonotonic-net (SuMo-net) with monotonic neural networks.
result SuMo-net achieves state-of-the-art log-likelihood scores.
The paper investigates the convergence of Vendi scores under finite samples and introduces a truncated version for better performance.
problem The Vendi score's convergence is hindered by computational limitations when using large sample sizes.
method The authors introduce the t-truncated Vendi score to address this issue by truncating the eigenspectrum of the kernel matrix.
result The t-truncated Vendi score converges to its asymptotic limit with a smaller number of samples, improving upon the standard Vendi score.
This paper introduces and develops a novel variable importance score function in the context of ensemble learning and demonstrates its appeal both theoretically and empirically. Our proposed score function is simple and more straightforward than its counterpart proposed in the context of random forest, and by avoiding …
Study compares different scoring rules for machine-learned weather forecasts, finding scale-awareness improves forecast realism.
problem Improving the accuracy of machine-learned probabilistic weather forecasts.
method Comparison of scoring rules (CRPS, fair global energy score, graph energy score) and analysis of their impact on forecast field spectra.
result Scale-awareness improves forecast realism, particularly in the tropics.
Score-fPINN tackles high-dimensional FPL equations using fractional score functions.
problem High-dimensional Fokker-Planck-Lévy equations with non-Brownian processes.
method Fractional score function and Physics-informed neural networks (PINN) to solve CoD and numerical overflow.
result Effective solution to high-dimensional FPL equations without fractional Laplacian.
Credit scores misclassify borrowers, especially minorities, leading to inequitable access.
problem Misclassification of borrowers by credit scores, particularly minorities.
method Benchmarked a widely used credit score against a machine learning model.
result Machine learning model improves predictive accuracy for low-quality data, leading to more equitable access.
Paper introduces Isotonic Mechanism for better item scoring.
problem Noisy reviewer scores; owner prefers not to disclose true scores.
method Uses owner's ranking of items and raw scores to adjust and improve accuracy.
result Adjusted scores are significantly more accurate than raw scores.
Directly estimates Fisher score for likelihood maximization.
problem Intractable likelihood functions with model simulations.
method Gradient-based optimization using local score matching and linear parameterization.
result Efficient approximation of Fisher score improves likelihood maximization.
Neural score matching improves high-dimensional causal inference by using neural networks for balancing scores.
problem Impracticality of traditional matching methods in high-dimensional datasets due to the curse of dimensionality.
method Develops neural networks to create non-trivial, multivariate balancing scores for high-dimensional causal inference.
result Neural score matching outperforms other methods in treatment effect estimation and reducing imbalance on high-dimensional datasets.