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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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8162432 · Jul 202019922001200920172026
48 results for UK road traffic accidents

Study improves prediction of UK road accidents' severity using AI.

problem Improving prediction of UK road traffic accident severity.
method Combination of machine learning, econometric, and statistical methods on historical data.
result XGBoost model with RMSE of 0.176 and MAE of 0.087 outperforms naive forecasting.

Deep learning detects traffic accidents in real time using spatiotemporal data.

problem Detecting traffic accidents to improve safety and reduce delays.
method Used LSTM and GRUs on spatiotemporal sequential data with SMOTE oversampling.
result GRU model performs slightly better than LSTM in detecting traffic accidents.

New method estimates traffic congestion delays using statistical causality.

problem Accurate estimation of traffic congestion delays during accidents.
method Proposes a novel time delay estimation method using lag-specific transfer entropy (TE) and Markov bootstrap techniques.
result Validated the method's efficacy using simulated and real data.

We present an approach to estimate the severity of traffic related accidents in aggregated (area-level) and disaggregated (point level) data. Exploring spatial features, we measure complexity of road networks using several area level variables. Also using temporal and other situational features from open data for New Y…

2019-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses neural networks to predict travel times for public transportation.

problem Inaccurate travel time predictions due to road traffic irregularities.
method Developed two neural network models (MLP and LSTM) using OD travel time matrix.
result Both models can make near-accurate predictions, but LSTM is more susceptible to noise.

We consider the traffic data reconstruction problem. Suppose we have the traffic data of an entire city that are incomplete because some road data are unobserved. The problem is to reconstruct the unobserved parts of the data. In this paper, we propose a new method to reconstruct incomplete traffic data collected from …

2013-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Model traffic congestion events using multi-modal data and attention-based neural networks.

problem Capture non-homogeneous temporal and directional spatial dependencies in traffic congestion events.
method Attention-based neural networks for point processes, adapted tail-up model for spatial statistics.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art methods on synthetic and real data.

Study improves traffic prediction intervals for minor roads.

problem Uncertainty in traffic data for underrepresented minor roads.
method Quantile Random Forest with PCA for interval prediction.
result Achieved 88.22% interval coverage and Winkler Score of 7,468.47.

IG-RL learns adaptive traffic signals for any network, outperforming existing methods.

problem Adaptive traffic signal control for large networks with combinatorial state and action spaces.
method Graph-Convolutional Networks for decentralized, flexible control.
result IG-RL generalizes to new networks and traffic conditions without additional training.

Model predicts road traffic using high-dimensional time-series with L1-penalization.

problem Predicting high-dimensional road traffic data with limited observations.
method Vector autoregressive model with L1-penalization for high-dimensional regression.
result The approach identifies the most important road sections and is competitive in prediction.

Appropriate traffic regulations, e.g. planned road closure, are important in congested events. Crowd simulators have been used to find appropriate regulations by simulating multiple scenarios with different regulations. However, this approach requires multiple simulation runs, which are time-consuming. In this paper, w…

2018-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

MuJAM learns traffic signal control policies that generalize to unseen intersections and traffic conditions.

problem Lack of transferability in reinforcement learning methods for traffic signal control.
method Model-based graph reinforcement learning with explicit coordination and generalization to both cyclic and acyclic constraints.
result MuJAM outperforms existing methods in zero-shot and larger transfer settings.

IVMs help identify dangerous traffic conditions in real-time.

problem Real-time crash risk analysis in urban traffic systems.
method Import Vector Machines (IVMs) applied to historical crash and traffic data.
result IVMs successfully identify dangerous traffic conditions with computational advantage.

MRA-BGCN improves traffic forecasting accuracy through complex graph interactions.

problem Challenging traffic forecasting due to spatial-temporal dependency and uncertainty.
method Proposes MRA-BGCN, a deep learning model that uses bicomponent graph convolution and multi-range attention.
result MRA-BGCN achieves state-of-the-art results on real-world traffic datasets.

A3T-GCN improves traffic forecasting by capturing spatial and temporal dependencies.

problem Accurate real-time traffic forecasting in complex road networks.
method Attention Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (A3T-GCN) integrating recurrent units and graph convolutional network.
result Improved prediction accuracy through attention mechanism and global temporal information.

Study uses vehicle trajectory data to predict traffic incidents on highways.

problem Early detection of traffic incidents to reduce secondary crashes.
method Machine learning algorithms (Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boost, Artificial Neural Network) applied to vehicle trajectory data.
result Random Forest model performs best for incident prediction.

Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …

2018-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Urban traffic systems worldwide are suffering from severe traffic safety problems. Traffic safety is affected by many complex factors, and heavily related to all drivers' behaviors involved in traffic system. Drivers with aggressive driving behaviors increase the risk of traffic accidents. In order to manage the safety…

2018-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces a new insurance pricing model based on driving mileage.

problem Weak link between insurance premiums and mileage, leading to overdriving and accidents.
method Developed a Pay-As-You-Drive insurance pricing model using a counting process and non-homogeneous Poisson distribution.
result The model provides theoretical results for better insurance pricing based on driving behavior.

Automated road infrastructure mapping using connected vehicle data and deep learning.

problem Manual identification of intersections is laborious and time-consuming.
method Geohashing, YOLOv5 algorithm for classification of road segments and intersections.
result Overall classification accuracy of 95%, with high F1 scores for straight roads and intersections.

QCOMBO optimizes traffic signals across large networks using a combination of independent and centralized RL.

problem Optimizing global traffic conditions over large road networks using single-agent reinforcement learning is challenging.
method QCOMBO integrates independent and centralized learning to optimize traffic signals, using a consistency regularization loss to ensure scalability.
result QCOMBO outperforms state-of-the-art MARL algorithms in diverse road topologies and traffic flow conditions.

We provide a model to understand how adverse weather conditions modify traffic flow dynamic. We first prove that the microscopic Free Flow Speed of the vehicles is changed and then provide a rule to model this change. For this, we consider a thresholded linear model, corresponding to an application of a MARS model to r…

2012-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗