Locational Marginal Pricing aims to free UK power markets.
problem Unfree and regulated power markets.
method Implementing Locational Marginal Pricing.
result Increased economic freedom, reduced prices, decreased losses, incentivized investment.
In this paper we propose a quadratic programming model that can be used for calculating the term structure of electricity prices while explicitly modeling startup costs of power plants. In contrast to other approaches presented in the literature, we incorporate the startup costs in a mathematically rigorous manner with…
In this paper we propose a tractable quadratic programming formulation for calculating the equilibrium term structure of electricity prices. We rely on a theoretical model described in [21], but extend it so that it reflects actually traded electricity contracts, transaction costs and liquidity considerations. Our nume…
In this paper, we investigate the capability of the universal Kriging (UK) model for single-objective global optimization applied within an efficient global optimization (EGO) framework. We implemented this combined UK-EGO framework and studied four variants of the UK methods, that is, a UK with a first-order polynomia…
UK hosts 62.89% of all HYIPs, many registered as 'limited company'.
problem Understanding the prevalence and characteristics of HYIPs in the UK.
method Examined HYIPs' registration in UK, analyzed social media and payment processors, used Cox proportional regression analysis.
result HYIPs with valid UK addresses tend to have longer lifespans.
This paper studies business cycle patterns in UK sectoral output. It analyzes the distinction between white noise processes and their non-white noise counterparts in the frequency domain and further examines the associated features and patterns for the process where white noise conditions are violated. The characterist…
UK universities pension scheme valuation study shows high dependence on gilt yields.
problem High dependence of UK universities pension scheme on UK government bond yields.
method Analysis of USS valuations from 2014 to 2023, examination of self-sufficiency conditions, and evaluation of metrics.
result Second self-sufficiency condition amplifies gilt yield dependence, leading to inflated liabilities and excessive prudence.
Study improves prediction of UK road accidents' severity using AI.
problem Improving prediction of UK road traffic accident severity.
method Combination of machine learning, econometric, and statistical methods on historical data.
result XGBoost model with RMSE of 0.176 and MAE of 0.087 outperforms naive forecasting.
New method interprets deep embeddings for diabetes patient clustering.
problem Interpreting deep embeddings for disease progression.
method Patient clustering approach using deep embeddings.
result Clinically meaningful insights into diabetes progression patterns.
Study develops a dynamic risk model for COVID-19 mortality using UK Biobank data.
problem Developing tools to monitor high-risk patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Data-driven random forest classification model using baseline characteristics and symptoms.
result Model predicts COVID-19 mortality with excellent performance (AUC: 0.91), identifying novel predictors.
This paper proposes non-stationary factor models for financial stress in the UK.
problem Managing financial vulnerabilities in the UK's complex financial system.
method Creation of non-stationary factor models to capture financial stress.
result Non-stationary factor models can better capture financial stress, especially tail events.
Study evaluates UK CDC schemes, finding intergenerational cross-subsidies in flat-accrual schemes and dynamic-accrual schemes can reduce but not eliminate them.
problem Intergenerational cross-subsidies in UK CDC schemes, particularly in flat-accrual schemes.
method Comparison of flat-accrual and dynamic-accrual CDC schemes, analysis of performance and level of cross-subsidies.
result Dynamic-accrual schemes can reduce but not eliminate intergenerational cross-subsidies, while flat-accrual schemes often have significant cross-subsidies.
In an analysis of the US, the UK, and the German stock market we find a change in the behavior based on the stock's beta values. Before 2006 risky trades were concentrated on stocks in the IT and technology sector. Afterwards risky trading takes place for stocks from the financial sector. We show that an agent-based mo…
UK's rapid vaccine rollout linked to reduced COVID-19 mortality.
problem Assessing the impact of accelerated vaccine rollout on public health outcomes.
method Flexible probabilistic models combining interrupted time series analysis and synthetic control methods with multi-output Gaussian processes.
result Substantial reduction in COVID-19 mortality with little effect on transmission rates.
Stochastic encoding improves gender classification of brain networks from UK Biobank data.
problem Complexity and bias in interpreting deep learning models of brain connectivity.
method Stochastic encoding in ensemble of CNNs, multivariate balancing algorithm.
result AUROC of 0.8459, with resting-state data more accurate than task data.
Key to the imposition of appropriate minimum capital requirements on a daily basis requires accurate volatility estimation. Here, measures are presented based on discrete estimation of aggregated high frequency UK futures realisations underpinned by a continuous time framework. Squared and absolute returns are incorpor…
Research quantifies financial exclusion risks in UK, focusing on cash infrastructure and socio-economic factors.
problem Localised financial exclusion in the UK as cash infrastructure declines.
method Developed a composite indicator using various input variables.
result Financial exclusion is more prevalent in deprived communities and affluent areas.
Study identifies two borrowing patterns in UK payday loan users.
problem Financial vulnerability of payday loan users.
method Two-state hidden Markov model (HMM) using Open Banking data.
result 36.4% of borrowers experience high-intensity exposure for 12 weeks or more.
Study tests UK FTSE-listed companies' financial data for Benford's Law conformity.
problem Ensuring the fairness of public revenue collection and reducing tax avoidance risks.
method Utilised pre-tax income and total assets data from 567 FTSE companies, tested for Benford's Laws conformity using χ2 and MAD tests. result MAD test rejects Benford's Laws conformity, suggesting potential issues with reported financial data.
Study evaluates valuation models for UK companies using case studies.
problem Determining how accounting numbers affect business value.
method Comprehensive review of three valuation models: FCFVM, REVM, AEGM.
result Accounting numbers through valuation models can affect business value.
Accurate volatility modelling is paramount for optimal risk management practices. One stylized feature of financial volatility that impacts the modelling process is long memory explored in this paper for alternative risk measures, observed absolute and squared returns for high frequency intraday UK futures. Volatility …
We present a grid diagram analogue of Carter, Rieger and Saito's smooth movie theorem. Specifically, we give definitions for grid movies, grid movie isotopies and present a definition of grid planar isotopy as a particular subset of the grid diagram moves: stabilization, destabilization and commutation. We show that gr…
Machine learning improves economic forecasting during the pandemic.
problem Forecasting economic downturns during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Use of machine learning methods to capture nonlinearity in macroeconomic data.
result Some nonlinear ML methods can extrapolate and improve forecasting accuracy.
We present a new Monte-Carlo methodology to forecast the crude oil production of Norway and the U.K. based on a two-step process, (i) the nonlinear extrapolation of the current/past performances of individual oil fields and (ii) a stochastic model of the frequency of future oil field discoveries. Compared with the stan…
The paper introduces triple grid diagrams to construct Lagrangian surfaces in complex projective space.
problem Constructing Lagrangian surfaces in complex projective space.
method Defining and analyzing triple grid diagrams to determine Lagrangian caps and surfaces.
result Triple grid diagrams can determine closed Lagrangian surfaces in CP2 under certain conditions. Half grid diagrams prove every link can be represented by a special type of grid diagram.
problem Representing links using grid diagrams and related invariants.
method Defining half grid diagrams and constructing canonical pairs, proving equivalence to Jones' construction, relating to classical link invariants.
result Established a new method to relate the oriented Thompson index to classical link invariants and provided bounds for knot invariants.
Electronic health records (EHR) are increasingly being used for constructing disease risk prediction models. Feature engineering in EHR data however is challenging due to their highly dimensional and heterogeneous nature. Low-dimensional representations of EHR data can potentially mitigate these challenges. In this pap…
Grid homology confirms the Upsilon invariant in knot theory.
problem Verifying the equivalence of Upsilon invariants in knot theory.
method Reconstructed Upsilon invariant using grid homology and proved equivalence.
result Upsilon invariants in knot Floer and grid homology are equivalent.
GridPyM handles grid diagrams for knot theory.
problem Handling grid diagrams for knot theory.
method Generates and simplifies grids, models local transformations.
result Models local transformations between grid diagrams.
Grid homology theory for spatial graphs extends skein sequence.
problem No specific problem stated; focuses on extending a sequence.
method Defined grid homology theory for spatial graphs and extended skein sequence.
result Skein exact sequence extended to grid homology for spatial graphs.
Extends knot invariant to filtered grid complexes.
problem Knot invariants and grid complexes.
method Combining Ozsváth-Szabó-Stipsicz crossing-change maps with Alishahi-Eftekhary l(K) invariant.
result Combinatorial formulation of knot invariant.
New method finds grid diagrams for many fibered knots.
problem Detecting fibered knots using grid diagrams.
method Developed an efficient method to identify grid diagrams with unique maximal Alexander grading states.
result Found suitable grid diagrams for 5385 of 5397 fibered prime knots with crossing number ≤ 13.
Grid homology properties for MOY graphs studied.
problem Defining and studying properties of grid homology for MOY graphs.
method Defined grid homology from Harvey and O'Donnol's work. Studied properties using oriented skein relation, edge contraction, and parallel edge unification.
result Properties of grid homology for MOY graphs were studied and defined.
Grid homology invariant proved for lens space links.
problem Proving combinatorial invariance of grid homology for lens space links.
method Combining combinatorial methods with sign assignments to prove invariance.
result Grid homology is a link invariant for lens space links.
New trading strategy beats traditional grid in crypto markets.
problem Low expected return of traditional grid trading strategy.
method Dynamic Grid Trading (DGT) strategy that adapts to market conditions.
result DGT strategy outperforms traditional grid and buy-and-hold strategies.
New method constructs moduli spaces of Lagrangian surfaces in CP^2 from grid diagrams.
problem Constructing explicit examples of triple grid diagrams for Lagrangian surfaces in CP^2.
method Elegant geometric construction reducing to linear algebra.
result Explicit construction of moduli space of triple grid diagrams.
Develops equivariant grid homology for strongly invertible knots.
problem Invariants of strongly invertible knots.
method Equivariant grid diagrams and mapping cones.
result Equivariant unknotting numbers and genus bounds.
Grid homology shows knot unknotting lower bound.
problem Knot unknotting number determination
method Grid homology analysis
result Torsion homology classes order bounds unknotting number
Computes homology of an obstruction chain complex in grid homology.
problem Computing the homology of an obstruction chain complex in grid homology.
method Defined and computed the homology of the obstruction chain complex of the full grid.
result Results about the existence of sign assignments in grid homology.
We indicate a C-Fuchsian counter-example to the result with the above title announced at http://www.maths.dur.ac.uk/events/Meetings/LMS/2011/GAL11/program.pdf and prove a stronger statement.
SKI accelerates GP inference with sparse grids to handle higher dimensions.
problem SKI scales poorly in high dimensions due to dense grid size.
method Sparse grids within SKI framework, novel matrix-vector multiplication algorithm.
result SKI can be scaled to higher dimensions while maintaining accuracy.
This paper examines quantile dependence between international stock markets and evaluates its use for improving volatility forecasting. First, we analyze quantile dependence and directional predictability between the US stock market and stock markets in the UK, Germany, France and Japan. We use the cross-quantilogram, …
The paper studies grid homology for spatial graphs and proves a Künneth formula for connected sums.
problem Understanding grid homology for spatial graphs with various types of edges.
method Developed grid homology for spatial graphs with cut edges and applied it to prove a Künneth formula for connected sums.
result A Künneth formula for knot Floer homology of connected sums is proven using grid homology.
Paper uses UKS to improve BLE RSSI for proximity inference in mobile phone apps.
problem Improper BLE RSSI for accurate proximity inference during pandemics.
method Single-dimensional Unscented Kalman Smoother (UKS) with Gaussian process observation transforms.
result UKS outperforms traditional methods in predicting infection risk from BLE RSSI.
Hexagon grid patterns emerge from conformal isometry in grid cell neural networks.
problem Understanding the algebraic, geometric, and topological properties of grid cells.
method Investigating recurrent neural network models of grid cells, focusing on Lie group and Lie algebra representations, conformal isometry, and hexagon periodic patterns.
result Conformal isometry leads to hexagon periodic patterns in grid cell responses and accurate path integration.
Minimal grid diagrams for 12-crossing prime knots identified.
problem Identifying minimal grid diagrams for prime knots.
method Listed minimal grid diagrams for 12-crossing prime knots.
result Provided a list of minimal grid diagrams for 12-crossing prime knots.
It will be shown that according to theorems of K. Menger, every neuron grid if identified with a curve is able to preserve the adopted qualitative structure of a data space. Furthermore, if this identification is made, the neuron grid structure can always be mapped to a subset of a universal neuron grid which is constr…
The paper analyzes how grid cells perform path integration and learns hexagon grid patterns.
problem Understanding how grid cells perform path integration calculations.
method Theoretical analysis of a general representation model of path integration by grid cells, identifying group representation and isotropic scaling conditions.
result The learned model of hexagon grid patterns is capable of accurate long distance path integration.