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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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11223243 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for UK Grid

In this paper we propose a tractable quadratic programming formulation for calculating the equilibrium term structure of electricity prices. We rely on a theoretical model described in [21], but extend it so that it reflects actually traded electricity contracts, transaction costs and liquidity considerations. Our nume…

2014-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we investigate the capability of the universal Kriging (UK) model for single-objective global optimization applied within an efficient global optimization (EGO) framework. We implemented this combined UK-EGO framework and studied four variants of the UK methods, that is, a UK with a first-order polynomia…

2018-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

UK hosts 62.89% of all HYIPs, many registered as 'limited company'.

problem Understanding the prevalence and characteristics of HYIPs in the UK.
method Examined HYIPs' registration in UK, analyzed social media and payment processors, used Cox proportional regression analysis.
result HYIPs with valid UK addresses tend to have longer lifespans.

This paper studies business cycle patterns in UK sectoral output. It analyzes the distinction between white noise processes and their non-white noise counterparts in the frequency domain and further examines the associated features and patterns for the process where white noise conditions are violated. The characterist…

2010-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

UK universities pension scheme valuation study shows high dependence on gilt yields.

problem High dependence of UK universities pension scheme on UK government bond yields.
method Analysis of USS valuations from 2014 to 2023, examination of self-sufficiency conditions, and evaluation of metrics.
result Second self-sufficiency condition amplifies gilt yield dependence, leading to inflated liabilities and excessive prudence.

Study improves prediction of UK road accidents' severity using AI.

problem Improving prediction of UK road traffic accident severity.
method Combination of machine learning, econometric, and statistical methods on historical data.
result XGBoost model with RMSE of 0.176 and MAE of 0.087 outperforms naive forecasting.

Study develops a dynamic risk model for COVID-19 mortality using UK Biobank data.

problem Developing tools to monitor high-risk patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Data-driven random forest classification model using baseline characteristics and symptoms.
result Model predicts COVID-19 mortality with excellent performance (AUC: 0.91), identifying novel predictors.

This paper proposes non-stationary factor models for financial stress in the UK.

problem Managing financial vulnerabilities in the UK's complex financial system.
method Creation of non-stationary factor models to capture financial stress.
result Non-stationary factor models can better capture financial stress, especially tail events.

Study evaluates UK CDC schemes, finding intergenerational cross-subsidies in flat-accrual schemes and dynamic-accrual schemes can reduce but not eliminate them.

problem Intergenerational cross-subsidies in UK CDC schemes, particularly in flat-accrual schemes.
method Comparison of flat-accrual and dynamic-accrual CDC schemes, analysis of performance and level of cross-subsidies.
result Dynamic-accrual schemes can reduce but not eliminate intergenerational cross-subsidies, while flat-accrual schemes often have significant cross-subsidies.

In an analysis of the US, the UK, and the German stock market we find a change in the behavior based on the stock's beta values. Before 2006 risky trades were concentrated on stocks in the IT and technology sector. Afterwards risky trading takes place for stocks from the financial sector. We show that an agent-based mo…

2015-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

UK's rapid vaccine rollout linked to reduced COVID-19 mortality.

problem Assessing the impact of accelerated vaccine rollout on public health outcomes.
method Flexible probabilistic models combining interrupted time series analysis and synthetic control methods with multi-output Gaussian processes.
result Substantial reduction in COVID-19 mortality with little effect on transmission rates.

Stochastic encoding improves gender classification of brain networks from UK Biobank data.

problem Complexity and bias in interpreting deep learning models of brain connectivity.
method Stochastic encoding in ensemble of CNNs, multivariate balancing algorithm.
result AUROC of 0.8459, with resting-state data more accurate than task data.

Key to the imposition of appropriate minimum capital requirements on a daily basis requires accurate volatility estimation. Here, measures are presented based on discrete estimation of aggregated high frequency UK futures realisations underpinned by a continuous time framework. Squared and absolute returns are incorpor…

2011-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Research quantifies financial exclusion risks in UK, focusing on cash infrastructure and socio-economic factors.

problem Localised financial exclusion in the UK as cash infrastructure declines.
method Developed a composite indicator using various input variables.
result Financial exclusion is more prevalent in deprived communities and affluent areas.

Study tests UK FTSE-listed companies' financial data for Benford's Law conformity.

problem Ensuring the fairness of public revenue collection and reducing tax avoidance risks.
method Utilised pre-tax income and total assets data from 567 FTSE companies, tested for Benford's Laws conformity using χ2\chi^2 and MAD tests.
result MAD test rejects Benford's Laws conformity, suggesting potential issues with reported financial data.

Accurate volatility modelling is paramount for optimal risk management practices. One stylized feature of financial volatility that impacts the modelling process is long memory explored in this paper for alternative risk measures, observed absolute and squared returns for high frequency intraday UK futures. Volatility …

2011-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a grid diagram analogue of Carter, Rieger and Saito's smooth movie theorem. Specifically, we give definitions for grid movies, grid movie isotopies and present a definition of grid planar isotopy as a particular subset of the grid diagram moves: stabilization, destabilization and commutation. We show that gr…

2013-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces triple grid diagrams to construct Lagrangian surfaces in complex projective space.

problem Constructing Lagrangian surfaces in complex projective space.
method Defining and analyzing triple grid diagrams to determine Lagrangian caps and surfaces.
result Triple grid diagrams can determine closed Lagrangian surfaces in CP2\mathbb{CP}^2 under certain conditions.

Half grid diagrams prove every link can be represented by a special type of grid diagram.

problem Representing links using grid diagrams and related invariants.
method Defining half grid diagrams and constructing canonical pairs, proving equivalence to Jones' construction, relating to classical link invariants.
result Established a new method to relate the oriented Thompson index to classical link invariants and provided bounds for knot invariants.

Grid homology properties for MOY graphs studied.

problem Defining and studying properties of grid homology for MOY graphs.
method Defined grid homology from Harvey and O'Donnol's work. Studied properties using oriented skein relation, edge contraction, and parallel edge unification.
result Properties of grid homology for MOY graphs were studied and defined.

New method constructs moduli spaces of Lagrangian surfaces in CP^2 from grid diagrams.

problem Constructing explicit examples of triple grid diagrams for Lagrangian surfaces in CP^2.
method Elegant geometric construction reducing to linear algebra.
result Explicit construction of moduli space of triple grid diagrams.

The paper studies grid homology for spatial graphs and proves a Künneth formula for connected sums.

problem Understanding grid homology for spatial graphs with various types of edges.
method Developed grid homology for spatial graphs with cut edges and applied it to prove a Künneth formula for connected sums.
result A Künneth formula for knot Floer homology of connected sums is proven using grid homology.

Paper uses UKS to improve BLE RSSI for proximity inference in mobile phone apps.

problem Improper BLE RSSI for accurate proximity inference during pandemics.
method Single-dimensional Unscented Kalman Smoother (UKS) with Gaussian process observation transforms.
result UKS outperforms traditional methods in predicting infection risk from BLE RSSI.

Hexagon grid patterns emerge from conformal isometry in grid cell neural networks.

problem Understanding the algebraic, geometric, and topological properties of grid cells.
method Investigating recurrent neural network models of grid cells, focusing on Lie group and Lie algebra representations, conformal isometry, and hexagon periodic patterns.
result Conformal isometry leads to hexagon periodic patterns in grid cell responses and accurate path integration.

The paper analyzes how grid cells perform path integration and learns hexagon grid patterns.

problem Understanding how grid cells perform path integration calculations.
method Theoretical analysis of a general representation model of path integration by grid cells, identifying group representation and isotropic scaling conditions.
result The learned model of hexagon grid patterns is capable of accurate long distance path integration.