REST framework predicts stock trends by considering stock-specific and related-stock events.
problem Predicting stock trends using event information from news, social media, and discussion boards.
method REST framework addresses two main shortcomings of existing event-driven methods: stock-specific event influence and related-stock event influence.
result REST framework achieves higher investment returns compared to baselines.
Geography effect is investigated for the Chinese stock market including the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, based on the daily data of individual stocks. The Shanghai city and the Guangdong province can be identified in the stock geographical sector. By investigating a geographical correlation on a geographical pa…
EarnMore uses masked stock representations to train RL agents for customizable stock pools efficiently.
problem Training RL agents for customizable stock pools (CSPs) is computationally expensive and unstable.
method EarnMore introduces a mechanism to mask out stocks outside the target pool, learns meaningful stock representations, and uses a re-weighting mechanism to focus on favorable stocks.
result EarnMore significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in profit metrics with over 40% improvement.
New deep learning method predicts stock rankings better than existing models.
problem Predicting stock trends and prices with deep learning models.
method Tailored deep learning for stock ranking, capturing temporal and relational stock data.
result RSR method outperforms existing solutions, achieving high return ratios on NYSE and NASDAQ.
A simple and elegant arrangement of stock components of a portfolio (market index-DJIA) in a recent paper [1], has led to the construction of crossing of stocks diagram. The crossing stocks method revealed hidden remarkable algebraic and geometrical aspects of stock market. The present paper continues to uncover new ma…
Improved S&P stock prediction by integrating related stocks' data.
problem Lack of comprehensive data in stock prediction models.
method Enriched stock data with related stocks, tested five similarity functions, and used co-integration similarity for best results.
result Prediction model on similar stocks had significantly better accuracy and profit.
It seems to be very unlikely that all relevant information in the stock market could be fully encoded in a geometrical shape. Still,the present paper will reveal the geometry behind the stock market transactions. The prices of market index (DJIA) stock components are arranged in ascending order from the smallest one in…
Graham's formula simplifies stock valuation for growth stocks.
problem Valuing growth stocks using a simple yet effective formula.
method Presenting a practical methodology to calculate and compare growth stocks.
result Demonstrates a scoring system to compare growth stocks.
We investigate the strength and the direction of information transfer in the U.S. stock market between the composite stock price index of stock market and prices of individual stocks using the transfer entropy. Through the directionality of the information transfer, we find that individual stocks are influenced by the …
Paper uses HGNN to predict stock types from relationships and temporal data.
problem Predicting stock types from complex market data.
method Integrates stock relationships and temporal data using HGNN.
result Effective prediction of stock types with HGNN model.
Study reveals the 2020 U.S. stock crash was endogenous, not caused by COVID.
problem Understanding the cause of the 2020 U.S. stock market crash.
method Applied log-periodic power law singularity (LPPLS) methodology to analyze four major U.S. stock market indexes.
result The 2020 U.S. stock market crash was endogenous, stemming from systemic instability, not COVID.
Green stocks show less factor exposure heterogeneity compared to brown stocks.
problem Exploring differences in factor exposure between green and brown stocks.
method Examined S&P 500 firms grouped by greenhouse gas emissions, analyzing factor exposure over 2014-2020.
result Green stocks have less factor exposure heterogeneity than brown stocks, except for the value factor.
We investigated the topological properties of stock networks through a comparison of the original stock network with the estimated stock network from the correlation matrix created by the random matrix theory (RMT). We used individual stocks traded on the market indices of Korea, Japan, Canada, the USA, Italy, and the …
A new framework forecasts stock trends by mining shared information from concepts.
problem Forecasting stock trends using static concept information limits accuracy.
method Proposes a graph-based framework that mines concept-oriented shared information from both predefined and hidden concepts.
result Improves stock trend forecasting performance through dynamic concept relevance and hidden concept information.
We propose improved methods to identify stock groups using the correlation matrix of stock price changes. By filtering out the marketwide effect and the random noise, we construct the correlation matrix of stock groups in which nontrivial high correlations between stocks are found. Using the filtered correlation matrix…
GRU-PFG model extracts inter-stock correlations from stock factors using graph neural networks.
problem Limited effectiveness of models relying solely on stock factors for capturing stock correlations.
method Project stock factors into a graph and use graph neural networks to extract inter-stock correlations.
result Achieves better prediction results than models relying solely on stock factors and comparable to second category models.
Study finds stock search trends correlate with developing economies' stock indices.
problem Predicting stock indices closing from web search trends.
method Collected and analyzed stock-specific internet search trends and corresponding index close values.
result Global search trends correlate more with developing economies, less with south Asian exchanges.
Hybrid model predicts stock prices using online forum sentiments and popularity.
problem Predicting stock prices accurately considering investor sentiment.
method XLNET for sentiment analysis, BiLSTM-highway model integration, combining post popularity.
result Hybrid model outperforms traditional methods in stock price prediction.
Deep learning model forecasts stock prices for portfolio optimization.
problem Precise stock price prediction and portfolio optimization.
method LSTM network for web-scraped historical data, automated stock price forecasting.
result Model demonstrates profitability of sectors for investors.
In this paper, we study the determinants of expected returns on the listed penny stocks from two perspectives. Traditionally financial economics literature has been devoted to study the macro and micro determinants of expected returns on stocks (Subrahmanyam, 2010). Very few research has been carried out on penny stock…
Deep learning predicts stock prices using CNN and NALUs.
problem Predicting future stock prices accurately.
method Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for feature extraction and Neural Arithmetic Logic Units (NALUs) for arithmetic operations.
result Improved accuracy in predicting stock prices.
Study shows stock prices influence news more than the other way around.
problem Understanding the interdependency between stock market and financial news.
method Time series analysis using five classification models.
result Stock prices have a greater impact on news contents than the other way around.
Transformer model predicts stock prices in Bangladesh's stock market.
problem Predicting volatile stock prices in the Bangladesh stock market.
method Transformer model applied to time series data for stock price prediction.
result Transformer model shows promising results in predicting stock price movements.
Study finds stock markets follow nonextensive statistical mechanics.
problem Understanding nonextensivity in stock market volatilities.
method Analysis of 34 major stock market indices over 10 years.
result Stock markets exhibit nonextensive behavior, distinguishing between developed and developing countries.
Deep Q-Network predicts global stock market returns from chart images.
problem Predicting global stock market returns using chart images.
method Deep Q-Network with CNN approximator, trained on US stock market, tested on 31 countries.
result Artificial intelligence can predict stock prices in small markets.
The stock market has been known to form homogeneous stock groups with a higher correlation among different stocks according to common economic factors that influence individual stocks. We investigate the role of common economic factors in the market in the formation of stock networks, using the arbitrage pricing model …
Game-theoretic model captures investor interactions for stock price forecasting.
problem Complex market dynamics driving stock price movements.
method Game-theoretic modeling of heterogeneous investor interactions in a dynamic graph structure.
result Our method outperforms state-of-the-art stock price forecasting methods.
Meta-learning predicts stock trading volumes by learning from each stock's unique patterns.
problem Predicting trading volumes for different stocks using a universal model.
method Dual-process meta-learning framework that learns common patterns with a meta-learner and specific patterns with stock-dependent parameters.
result Improves performance of various baseline models in volume predictions.
Artificial Neural Networks predict stock returns, finding larger stocks less predictable.
problem Evaluating the validity of the Efficient Market Hypothesis.
method Backpropagation Artificial Neural Network analysis of Brazilian stock market.
result Predictability of stock returns is related to market capitalization, with larger stocks less predictable.
A surprising image of the stock market arises if the price time series of all Dow Jones Industrial Average stock components are represented in one chart at once. The chart evolves into a braid representation of the stock market by taking into account only the crossing of stocks and fixing a convention defining overcros…
The high-frequency cross-correlation existing between pairs of stocks traded in a financial market are investigated in a set of 100 stocks traded in US equity markets. A hierarchical organization of the investigated stocks is obtained by determining a metric distance between stocks and by investigating the properties o…
The paper explains stock predictability by integrating rational finance without behavioral finance assumptions.
problem The predictability of stock returns observed in the stock market.
method Developed a statistical model within rational finance to incorporate stock predictability into the Black-Scholes formula.
result Empirical analysis shows asymmetric predictability by spot and option traders, and potential stock return predictors.
A machine learning approach for dynamic stock recommendation outperforms traditional strategies.
problem Lack of time for analysts to check all S&P 500 stocks and the need for a reliable stock selection strategy.
method Selecting representative stock indicators, using five machine learning methods, and choosing the model with the lowest Mean Square Error to rank stocks.
result The proposed scheme outperforms the long-only strategy on the S&P 500 index in terms of Sharpe ratio and cumulative returns.
Predict stock movement by considering cross effects among stocks.
problem Challenges in predicting stock price movement due to cross effects among stocks.
method Multi-GCGRU framework combining GCN and GRU, encoding cross effects from financial domain knowledge and data-driven relationships.
result Our model outperforms other baselines in predicting stock movement.
Improved stock prediction using news features and RNN.
problem Predicting stock prices with high accuracy.
method Extracted news features, optimized seed words, calculated positive polar, constructed news features, proposed RNN model.
result Our method improves stock prediction accuracy by over 5%.
Paper proposes a novel stock forecasting method combining attention and EMD.
problem Challenges in forecasting stock movement due to noise and lack of stock market information.
method Uses attention mechanism to consider both stock market and individual stock information, and EMD for noise reduction.
result Proposed method significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines.
Empirical evidence is given for a significant difference in the collective trend of the share prices during the stock index rising and falling periods. Data on the Dow Jones Industrial Average and its stock components are studied between 1991 and 2008. Pearson-type correlations are computed between the stocks and avera…
This paper predicts stock prices using LLMs and news embeddings.
problem Predicting stock prices with high accuracy and relevance.
method Integrates LLMs with stock name embeddings and attention mechanisms for news filtering.
result Reduces MAE by 7.11% compared to baseline.
Stock selection improved with a novel neural model capturing continuous stock dynamics.
problem Lack of continuous stock dynamics prediction and implicit cross-domain dependencies.
method StockODE, a latent variable model with NRODEs and hierarchical hypergraph for continuous stock volatility and inter-domain dependencies.
result Significantly outperforms baselines, improving Sharpe Ratio by up to 18.57%.
Graph-based approach predicts stock trends using dynamic multi-relational graphs.
problem Predicting future stock movements in complex, time-evolving stock relationships.
method Dynamic multi-relational stock graphs, stochastic diffusion process, parallel retention.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in stock trend forecasting.
Study finds power-law tails in order imbalance distributions of Chinese stocks.
problem Analyzing the distribution of order imbalance in Chinese stock markets.
method Examined order imbalance based on order number and size, analyzed distributions at different time scales.
result Order imbalance distributions exhibit power-law tails with varying tail indices across stocks.
The paper finds the normal distribution unsuitable for modeling daily stock returns and suggests using the Laplace distribution instead.
problem The difficulty in modeling the distribution of daily stock returns, especially for extreme outliers.
method Investigation of daily stock returns of major indices using both normal and Laplace distributions.
result The normal distribution is not a good model for stock returns, even over long periods of data.
The trade of a fixed stock can be regarded as the basic process that measures its momentary price. The stock price is exactly known only at the time of sale when the stock is between traders, that is, only in the case when the owner is unknown. We show that the stock price can be better described by a function indicati…
This paper uses cointegration to identify profitable pair-trading strategies for Indian stocks.
problem Finding profitable pair-trading opportunities in Indian stock market.
method Cointegration analysis to identify co-movement stocks, forming pairs, evaluating portfolios.
result Pairs from auto and realty sectors generally yielded the highest returns, while IT sector pairs had negative returns.
This paper surveys NLP techniques for predicting stock market movements.
problem Predicting stock market movements with volatility, seasonality, and time dependence.
method Survey of recent literature in NLP and ML for stock market prediction.
result Illustrates recent trends in stock market prediction research.
Network analysis improves stock return forecasting.
problem Improving stock return forecasting using network properties.
method Network analysis of stock return correlations, using individual and global properties of stocks.
result 50% improvement in R2 score for long-term stock returns forecasting, 3% for short-term.
We follow the main stocks belonging to the New York Stock Exchange and to Nasdaq from 2003 to 2012, through years of normality and of crisis, and study the dynamics of networks built on two measures expressing relations between those stocks: correlation, which is symmetric and measures how similar two stocks behave, an…
Study models stock price recovery during COVID-19, distinguishing V and L-shape recoveries.
problem Analyzing stock price recovery during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Developed a stock price model based on net-fund-flow and financial antifragility.
result Quality stocks with higher financial antifragility show V-shape recovery, while those with lower antifragility show L-shape recovery.