Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

52104155207 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Transparent Decisions

Integrating causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models for decision support.

problem Providing causal insights and decision support through machine learning models.
method Proposing an approach that integrates causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models.
result The proposed approach achieves competitive performance in prediction and what-if analysis while offering transparency on the system structure, causal relationships among variables, and functional forms connecting them.

Hybrid model uses LLM to build transparent Bayesian networks for trading decisions.

problem Rigorous and transparent reasoning required in financial trading, especially for options strategies.
method Combines LLM strengths with Bayesian Networks, using LLM to construct context-specific networks and select relevant data.
result Empirically, the hybrid system outperforms market benchmarks with superior risk-adjusted performance.

We investigate a long-debated question, which is how to create predictive models of recidivism that are sufficiently accurate, transparent, and interpretable to use for decision-making. This question is complicated as these models are used to support different decisions, from sentencing, to determining release on proba…

2015-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework enhances AI explainability by aligning with human cognitive models.

problem Lack of explainability in AI models hinders trust and accountability.
method Integrates explainability techniques with Malle's five category model of behavior explanation.
result Demonstrates practical relevance in credit risk assessment and regulatory analysis.

Paper tackles transparency and auditability of machine learning in credit scoring.

problem Missed potential in using modern machine learning for credit scoring due to lack of transparency.
method Develops a framework for making black box machine learning models transparent, auditable, and explainable.
result Comparable interpretability can be achieved with machine learning while maintaining predictive power.

We are witnessing an increasing use of data-driven predictive models to inform decisions. As decisions have implications for individuals and society, there is increasing pressure on decision makers to be transparent about their decision policies. At the same time, individuals may use knowledge, gained by transparency, …

2019-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

FST.ai 2.0 improves Taekwondo decision-making with AI, reducing review time and increasing trust.

problem Fair, transparent, and explainable decision-making in Taekwondo.
method Pose-based action recognition, epistemic uncertainty modeling, interactive dashboards.
result 85% reduction in decision review time, 93% referee trust in AI-assisted decisions.

New model CRS combines transparency and high performance for classification.

problem Need models with transparent structure and high classification performance.
method Concept Rule Sets (CRS) with Multilayer Logical Perceptron (MLLP) and Random Binarization (RB).
result CRS outperforms state-of-the-art approaches and has low complexity.

CONFETTI improves interpretability of deep learning models for MTS by providing counterfactual explanations.

problem Lack of transparency in deep learning models for multivariate time series classification.
method CONFETTI is a novel multi-objective counterfactual explanation method that balances prediction confidence, proximity, and sparsity.
result CONFETTI outperforms state-of-the-art methods in various metrics, improving interpretability and decision support.

Develops a transparent surrogate model for complex data.

problem Balancing accuracy and transparency in complex decision-making models.
method Partial dependence effects for feature engineering, smart segmentation, and GLM fitting.
result The maidrr GLM closely approximates a black box model and outperforms benchmarks.

Interpretable AI model boosts investment confidence and profitability.

problem Challenges in financial forecasting and interpretability in decision-making models.
method SHAP-based explainability technique for interpretable AI models.
result Notable enhancement in investor's portfolio value.

Wavelet Attribution Method (WAM) improves feature attribution for deep models.

problem Inability of pixel-based heatmaps to capture data structure and variability in feature attribution.
method Wavelet domain for feature attribution, leveraging spatial and scale-localized properties of wavelet coefficients.
result WAM provides quantitatively superior explanations across audio, image, and volume modalities.

BICauseTree improves causal effect estimation by identifying clusters and balancing treatment allocation.

problem Improving interpretability and transparency in causal effect models from observational data.
method Hierarchical bias-driven stratification using decision trees with a customized objective function.
result BICauseTree provides interpretable causal effect estimation and is comparable to existing methods.

TRUST improves tree models' accuracy while maintaining interpretability.

problem Piecewise-constant regression trees lack in predictive accuracy compared to black-box models.
method Combines Random Forest accuracy with interpretability of shallow trees and sparsity of linear models, using LLMs for explanations.
result TRUST outperforms other interpretable models in predictive accuracy and matches Random Forest's accuracy.

Develops transparent global models consistent with local explanations.

problem Creating globally interpretable models that align with local explanations from black-box models.
method Custom boolean features from sparse local contrastive explanations are used to train a globally transparent model.
result Custom transparent models have higher local consistency compared to other strategies.

Paper shows how to quantify uncertainty in medical ML models.

problem Uncertainty in opaque ML models can lead to safety risks in medical applications.
method Introduces Uncertainty Wrapper to quantify uncertainty transparently.
result Demonstrates practical utility of Uncertainty Wrapper in flow cytometry.

Due to the capability of deep learning to perform well in high dimensional problems, deep reinforcement learning agents perform well in challenging tasks such as Atari 2600 games. However, clearly explaining why a certain action is taken by the agent can be as important as the decision itself. Deep reinforcement learni…

2019-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The concept of explainability is envisioned to satisfy society's demands for transparency on machine learning decisions. The concept is simple: like humans, algorithms should explain the rationale behind their decisions so that their fairness can be assessed. While this approach is promising in a local context (e.g. to…

2019-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Decision tree algorithms have been among the most popular algorithms for interpretable (transparent) machine learning since the early 1980's. The problem that has plagued decision tree algorithms since their inception is their lack of optimality, or lack of guarantees of closeness to optimality: decision tree algorithm…

2019-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops a framework for learning interpretable representations of sequential decision behavior.

problem Obtaining a transparent description of existing behavior.
method Inverse decision modeling framework, formalizing both forward and inverse problems.
result Learning interpretable representations of behavior, including suboptimal actions, biased beliefs, and imperfect knowledge.

ClauseLens uses reinforcement learning to price reinsurance treaties transparently and auditably.

problem Opaque and difficult-to-audit reinsurance treaty pricing practices.
method ClauseLens models treaty pricing as a Risk-Aware Constrained Markov Decision Process (RA-CMDP), incorporating legal clauses and generating interpretable explanations.
result ClauseLens reduces solvency violations and improves tail-risk performance, achieving 88.2% accuracy in clause-grounded explanations.

Expert-guided model improves seismic compliance monitoring.

problem Classifying seismic data with missingness and expert knowledge.
method Expert-guided class-conditional model with interpretable goodness-of-fit features.
result Interpretable classifier outperforms standard machine learning, especially with small training data.

MRC improves credit assignment in multi-agent LLM systems, achieving high returns and transparency.

problem Lack of principled credit assignment in multi-agent LLM decision systems, vulnerability to regime shifts, and limited transparency.
method Market Regime Council (MRC) computes exact Shapley credits, uses exponentially weighted performance histories, Bayesian adaptive mixture, and regime-dependent multipliers.
result MRC achieves a Sharpe ratio of 1.51 and a cumulative return of 440.1% over 1,037 trading days, ranking first on CR, SR, and IR.

KaCGM models provide transparent causal inference from tabular data.

problem Limited auditability in deep causal models for tabular data.
method KaCGM uses Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks to parameterize structural equations, enabling direct inspection and visualization of causal mechanisms.
result KaCGM achieves competitive performance and interpretable causal effects in real-world applications.

Interactive explanations improve machine learning transparency.

problem Transparency of machine learning predictions for diverse stakeholders.
method Personalized counterfactual explanations and follow-up questions.
result Improved understanding of black-box systems through interactive explanations.

Deep neural networks (DNNs) may outperform human brains in complex tasks, but the lack of transparency in their decision-making processes makes us question whether we could fully trust DNNs with high stakes problems. As DNNs' operations rely on a massive number of both parallel and sequential linear/nonlinear computati…

2019-09-29abs ↗pdf ↗

HabitatAgent offers a multi-agent system for transparent housing consultation.

problem Opaque reasoning and brittle multi-constraint handling in housing recommendation systems.
method HabitatAgent is a multi-agent architecture with specialized roles for memory, retrieval, generation, and validation.
result HabitatAgent achieves 95% accuracy in real user consultation scenarios, significantly outperforming a strong baseline.

FinML-Chain integrates blockchain data for financial machine learning.

problem Challenges in financial machine learning, including missing data, lack of transparency, and incompatible data sources.
method Blockchain technology integrated with machine learning techniques to address financial market challenges.
result Framework generates datasets for analyzing economic mechanisms, advancing financial research.

Study investigates how AI can create and detect deceptive explanations, finding they can fool humans but ML can detect them.

problem The risk of deceptive AI explanations increasing trust issues and economic risks.
method Investigates creation and detection of deceptive explanations using AI models and machine learning methods.
result Deceptive explanations can fool humans, but ML can detect them with high accuracy.

Recent advances in deep learning have achieved impressive gains in classification accuracy on a variety of types of data, including images and text. Despite these gains, however, concerns have been raised about the calibration, robustness, and interpretability of these models. In this paper we propose a simple way to m…

2018-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces a new classification tool named Silas, which is built to provide a more transparent and dependable data analytics service. A focus of Silas is on providing a formal foundation of decision trees in order to support logical analysis and verification of learned prediction models. This paper describes…

2019-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

DECE visualizes machine learning decisions with counterfactual explanations.

problem Making machine learning models transparent and explainable.
method Interactive visualization system supporting counterfactual explanations at instance- and subgroup-levels.
result DECE enables users to explore and understand machine learning model decisions.