Traffic speed prediction is a critically important component of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Recently, with the rapid development of deep learning and transportation data science, a growing body of new traffic speed prediction models have been designed, which achieved high accuracy and large-scale predicti…
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48 results for “Traffic prediction”
Accurate traffic speed prediction is an important and challenging topic for transportation planning. Previous studies on traffic speed prediction predominately used spatio-temporal and context features for prediction. However, they have not made good use of the impact of urban traffic incidents. In this work, we aim to…
MSCT predicts post-crash traffic speed using causal inference.
problem Time-varying confounding bias in post-crash traffic prediction.
method Marginal Structural Causal Transformer (MSCT) incorporating Marginal Structural Models and balanced loss function.
result MSCT outperforms state-of-the-art models in multi-step-ahead prediction.
DistPre predicts traffic speeds efficiently for large networks.
problem Fine-grained, accurate speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Customizes LSTM models on a cluster, sharing trained models between detectors.
result Efficient and accurate fine-grained traffic-speed prediction.
Study uncovers uncertainty in traffic prediction models across cities.
problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models for traffic prediction.
method Investigated uncertainty quantification methods for image-based traffic prediction.
result Meaningful uncertainty estimates can be recovered for traffic prediction.
Critical incident stages identification and reasonable prediction of traffic incident duration are essential in traffic incident management. In this paper, we propose a traffic incident duration prediction model that simultaneously predicts the impact of the traffic incidents and identifies the critical groups of tempo…
Traffic actors' future motion predicted using a hybrid graph model.
problem Predicting long-term behaviors of traffic actors in complex scenes.
method A hybrid graph model with nodes for actors and traffic elements, and edges for interaction types.
result TrafficGraphNet achieves state-of-the-art trajectory prediction accuracy.
Traffic prediction plays a vital role in efficient planning and usage of network resources in wireless networks. While traffic prediction in wired networks is an established field, there is a lack of research on the analysis of traffic in cellular networks, especially in a content-blind manner at the user level. Here, …
CONTINA provides adaptive confidence intervals for traffic demand prediction.
problem Uncertainty in future traffic demand predictions and the need for valid confidence intervals.
method Adaptive confidence interval method that adjusts based on deployment errors.
result Valid confidence intervals with shorter lengths and theoretical coverage guarantee.
Bayesian model improves traffic prediction with uncertainty estimates.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in deep-learning traffic models.
method Proposes a Bayesian recurrent neural network with spectral normalization.
result Spectral normalization improves uncertainty estimates and generalizability.
In its simplest form, the traffic flow prediction problem is restricted to predicting a single time-step into the future. Multi-step traffic flow prediction extends this set-up to the case where predicting multiple time-steps into the future based on some finite history is of interest. This problem is significantly mor…
Prediction of user traffic in cellular networks has attracted profound attention for improving resource utilization. In this paper, we study the problem of network traffic traffic prediction and classification by employing standard machine learning and statistical learning time series prediction methods, including long…
An Effective Dynamic Spatio-temporal Framework with Multi-Source Information for Traffic Predictioncs.LG
Proposes a dynamic model for urban traffic volume prediction.
problem Urban traffic volume prediction for better traffic management and driver planning.
method Combines bidirectional LSTM, attention mechanism, and external features.
result Improves prediction precision by 3-7 percent on NYC-Taxi and NYC-Bike datasets.
Proposes a neural network for estimating traffic density uncertainty.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in deep learning traffic prediction models.
method Quantile Graph Wavenet, a Spatio-Temporal neural network trained to estimate density.
result Produces uncertainty estimates efficiently without sampling.
Predicts traffic flow using reinforcement learning and sensor data.
problem Accurately predict expanding and evolving long-term streaming traffic networks.
method Formulates the problem as a continuous reinforcement learning task, where the agent predicts future traffic based on sensor data.
result The approach improves accuracy in predicting traffic flow by updating the agent's state representation over time.
Traffic flow forecasting is hot spot research of intelligent traffic system construction. The existing traffic flow prediction methods have problems such as poor stability, high data requirements, or poor adaptability. In this paper, we define the traffic data time singularity ratio in the dropout module and propose a …
Study predicts traffic congestion based on population mobility data.
problem Predicting traffic congestion in multimodal transport networks.
method Machine learning methods applied to population mobility data.
result Likely prediction of congestion based on population movements.
Neural networks predict traffic flow in smart cities.
problem Forecasting stochastic and nonlinear traffic flow.
method Various recurrent neural networks trained on intersection data.
result Vector output model with gated recurrent units performed best.
QTIP improves traffic prediction in sudden disruptions.
problem Traffic models fail during sudden disruptions.
method Simulation-based framework for real-time adaptation.
result QTIP improves traffic prediction in critical minutes of incidents.
Improved traffic forecasting model handles missing data.
problem Short-term traffic forecasting with missing values.
method Proposed SBU-LSTM architecture with bidirectional and unidirectional LSTM.
result Superior performance in accuracy and robustness for network-wide traffic prediction.
As a crucial component in intelligent transportation systems, traffic flow prediction has recently attracted widespread research interest in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) with the increasing availability of massive traffic mobility data. Its key challenge lies in how to integrate diverse factors (such as te…
Proposes a feature transformation for spatio-temporal traffic models to improve performance and transferability.
problem Limited transferability of deep learning models for traffic flow prediction across different locations.
method Integrates Newell's traffic flow estimators to capture broader dynamics and incorporates spatial dependencies.
result Improves model performance in predicting traffic flows over different horizons.
Paper uses machine learning to optimize UAV deployment for traffic offloading.
problem Optimizing UAV deployment for efficient traffic offloading from ground BSs.
method LSTM for traffic prediction, KEG algorithm for service area determination, multi-access techniques comparison.
result RSMA reduces up to 24% total power consumption compared to conventional methods.
Hybrid model improves traffic flow prediction accuracy.
problem Predicting traffic flow with high accuracy in short-term future.
method A hybrid model combining hidden Markov model and LSTM.
result Significant performance gains over conventional methods.
This paper proposes a real-time signal plan recommendation system for traffic incidents.
problem Limited effectiveness of traffic incident management due to late response and workload.
method Decomposes recommendation task into real-time traffic prediction and plan association, learning from historical data and metric learning.
result Precision score of 96.75% and recall of 87.5% on testing plan, with 22.5 minutes lead time ahead of Waze alerts.
Congestion prediction represents a major priority for traffic management centres around the world to ensure timely incident response handling. The increasing amounts of generated traffic data have been used to train machine learning predictors for traffic, however this is a challenging task due to inter-dependencies of…
BusTr predicts bus travel times from real-time traffic forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of bus travel time predictions.
method Neural sequence model trained on real-time traffic forecasts.
result BusTr outperforms DeepTTE by 30% in Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).
FedGRU uses federated learning to predict traffic flow accurately while preserving user privacy.
problem Developing accurate traffic flow prediction while protecting user privacy.
method Federated Learning, Secure Parameter Aggregation, Joint Announcement Protocol, Ensemble Clustering.
result FedGRU achieves 90.96% higher prediction accuracy than advanced deep learning models.
By interpreting a traffic scene as a graph of interacting vehicles, we gain a flexible abstract representation which allows us to apply Graph Neural Network (GNN) models for traffic prediction. These naturally take interaction between traffic participants into account while being computationally efficient and providing…
Study improves traffic prediction intervals for minor roads.
problem Uncertainty in traffic data for underrepresented minor roads.
method Quantile Random Forest with PCA for interval prediction.
result Achieved 88.22% interval coverage and Winkler Score of 7,468.47.
Predicts morning traffic congestion using social media data from the previous evening.
problem Challenges in predicting early morning traffic dynamics.
method Mining Twitter messages to understand evening/midnight work and rest patterns.
result People's tweeting patterns before the morning commute are associated with traffic congestion.
Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …
Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecastingcs.LG
Timely accurate traffic forecast is crucial for urban traffic control and guidance. Due to the high nonlinearity and complexity of traffic flow, traditional methods cannot satisfy the requirements of mid-and-long term prediction tasks and often neglect spatial and temporal dependencies. In this paper, we propose a nove…
Study develops a machine learning-based ramp metering model to improve freeway efficiency.
problem Improving ramp metering to maintain freeway efficiency under various traffic conditions.
method Machine learning approach using historical data to predict and manage traffic flow.
result The novel model outperforms a baseline traffic-responsive ramp metering algorithm.
DeepSIP predicts network failures' impact using CNN from syslog and traffic data.
problem Predicting service impact from network failures.
method Temporal multimodal CNN for predicting time to recovery and traffic loss.
result DeepSIP reduced prediction error by approximately 50%.
The expected low market penetration of connected vehicles (CVs) in the near future could be a constraint in estimating traffic flow parameters, such as average travel speed of a roadway segment and average space headway between vehicles from the CV broadcasted data. This estimated traffic flow parameters from low penet…
A novel spatio-temporal graph neural network with a learnable Tweedie head improves vessel traffic flow prediction in sparse maritime data.
problem Accurate vessel traffic flow prediction in sparse maritime data.
method A model-agnostic learnable Tweedie head attached to ST-GNN backbones.
result The proposed head consistently improves RMSE across multiple ST-GNN backbones, especially on non-zero events.
The study focuses on estimating and predicting time-varying origin to destination (OD) trip tables for a dynamic traffic assignment (DTA) model. A bi-level optimisation problem is formulated and solved to estimate OD flows from pre-existent demand matrix and historical traffic flow counts. The estimated demand is then …
H-STGCN predicts traffic using navigation data and improves accuracy.
problem Limited accuracy in traffic forecasting due to lack of contextual information.
method Proposes H-STGCN, a hybrid spatio-temporal graph convolutional network.
result H-STGCN outperforms state-of-the-art methods in various metrics, especially for non-recurring congestion.
Multistep traffic forecasting on road networks is a crucial task in successful intelligent transportation system applications. To capture the complex non-stationary temporal dynamics and spatial dependency in multistep traffic-condition prediction, we propose a novel deep learning framework named attention graph convol…
This paper proposes a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based method that learns traffic as images and predicts large-scale, network-wide traffic speed with a high accuracy. Spatiotemporal traffic dynamics are converted to images describing the time and space relations of traffic flow via a two-dimensional time-space …
PSTN improves traffic condition forecasting with deep neural networks.
problem Challenges in accurately forecasting traffic conditions due to complex spatiotemporal correlations.
method Proposes PSTN with three modules: graph convolutional network, temporal convolutional network, and gated recurrent unit framework.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks in short-term traffic conditions forecasting.
Computational efficiency is an important consideration for deploying machine learning models for time series prediction in an online setting. Machine learning algorithms adjust model parameters automatically based on the data, but often require users to set additional parameters, known as hyperparameters. Hyperparamete…
Stacked LSTM networks improve traffic volume forecasting.
problem Accurate traffic volume prediction for better planning.
method Applying stacked Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for time series forecasting.
result Stacked LSTM networks enhance the accuracy of traffic volume predictions.
Real-time traffic flow prediction can not only provide travelers with reliable traffic information so that it can save people's time, but also assist the traffic management agency to manage traffic system. It can greatly improve the efficiency of the transportation system. Traditional traffic flow prediction approaches…
The transport literature is dense regarding short-term traffic predictions, up to the scale of 1 hour, yet less dense for long-term traffic predictions. The transport literature is also sparse when it comes to city-scale traffic predictions, mainly because of low data availability. In this work, we report an effort to …
Deep learning model predicts traffic flows across entire network for multiple steps ahead.
problem Accurately forecasting future traffic flows across all network links.
method Spatial-Temporal Sequence to Sequence (STSeq2Seq) model combining seq2seq and graph convolution.
result STSeq2Seq achieves state-of-the-art performance in traffic forecasting.
Study uses vehicle trajectory data to predict traffic incidents on highways.
problem Early detection of traffic incidents to reduce secondary crashes.
method Machine learning algorithms (Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boost, Artificial Neural Network) applied to vehicle trajectory data.
result Random Forest model performs best for incident prediction.