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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,042 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Traffic Prediction

TM-CNN predicts lane-level traffic speeds considering volume impact.

problem Aggregated lane-level traffic speed prediction and volume impact.
method Two-stream multi-channel CNN, data conversion, two-stream deep neural network, loss function.
result TM-CNN outperforms existing models in multi-lane traffic speed prediction.

Model predicts traffic speed using urban incidents.

problem Accurately predicting traffic speed in urban areas.
method Deep Incident-Aware Graph Convolutional Network (DIGC-Net).
result Model outperforms competing benchmarks in traffic speed prediction.

Model predicts traffic incident duration and identifies key features.

problem Predict traffic incident duration and identify critical features.
method Multi-task learning framework with sparsity optimization and ADMM algorithm.
result Model predicts incident duration and identifies key features effectively.

The paper compares LSTM and ARIMA for predicting and classifying network traffic.

problem Predicting and classifying network traffic in cellular networks.
method Employed LSTM and ARIMA for time series prediction and classification.
result LSTM outperforms ARIMA in general, especially with longer training series and optimal feature selection.

MSCT predicts post-crash traffic speed using causal inference.

problem Time-varying confounding bias in post-crash traffic prediction.
method Marginal Structural Causal Transformer (MSCT) incorporating Marginal Structural Models and balanced loss function.
result MSCT outperforms state-of-the-art models in multi-step-ahead prediction.

Predicts user traffic for better resource management in cellular networks.

problem Lack of research on traffic prediction in cellular networks at the user level.
method Statistical, rule-based, and deep machine learning methods.
result Deep machine learning outperforms linear statistical learning after a threshold number of previous observations.

DistPre predicts traffic speeds efficiently for large networks.

problem Fine-grained, accurate speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Customizes LSTM models on a cluster, sharing trained models between detectors.
result Efficient and accurate fine-grained traffic-speed prediction.

Study uncovers uncertainty in traffic prediction models across cities.

problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models for traffic prediction.
method Investigated uncertainty quantification methods for image-based traffic prediction.
result Meaningful uncertainty estimates can be recovered for traffic prediction.

Study estimates and predicts dynamic traffic OD flows for improved DTA models.

problem Estimating and predicting time-varying OD trip tables for dynamic traffic assignment.
method Bi-level optimisation for OD flow estimation and time series prediction for OD demand.
result High capability of proposed OD demand estimation method to reduce DTA model error.

CONTINA provides adaptive confidence intervals for traffic demand prediction.

problem Uncertainty in future traffic demand predictions and the need for valid confidence intervals.
method Adaptive confidence interval method that adjusts based on deployment errors.
result Valid confidence intervals with shorter lengths and theoretical coverage guarantee.

Bayesian model improves traffic prediction with uncertainty estimates.

problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in deep-learning traffic models.
method Proposes a Bayesian recurrent neural network with spectral normalization.
result Spectral normalization improves uncertainty estimates and generalizability.

In its simplest form, the traffic flow prediction problem is restricted to predicting a single time-step into the future. Multi-step traffic flow prediction extends this set-up to the case where predicting multiple time-steps into the future based on some finite history is of interest. This problem is significantly mor…

2018-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a dynamic model for urban traffic volume prediction.

problem Urban traffic volume prediction for better traffic management and driver planning.
method Combines bidirectional LSTM, attention mechanism, and external features.
result Improves prediction precision by 3-7 percent on NYC-Taxi and NYC-Bike datasets.

Improved LSTM and ARIMA model for traffic flow forecasting.

problem Poor stability, high data requirements, and adaptability issues in existing traffic flow prediction methods.
method Combination prediction method based on improved LSTM and ARIMA models.
result The SDLSTM-ARIMA model achieves higher accuracy in traffic flow prediction.

Predicts traffic flow using reinforcement learning and sensor data.

problem Accurately predict expanding and evolving long-term streaming traffic networks.
method Formulates the problem as a continuous reinforcement learning task, where the agent predicts future traffic based on sensor data.
result The approach improves accuracy in predicting traffic flow by updating the agent's state representation over time.

Improved traffic forecasting model handles missing data.

problem Short-term traffic forecasting with missing values.
method Proposed SBU-LSTM architecture with bidirectional and unidirectional LSTM.
result Superior performance in accuracy and robustness for network-wide traffic prediction.

Proposes a feature transformation for spatio-temporal traffic models to improve performance and transferability.

problem Limited transferability of deep learning models for traffic flow prediction across different locations.
method Integrates Newell's traffic flow estimators to capture broader dynamics and incorporates spatial dependencies.
result Improves model performance in predicting traffic flows over different horizons.

Paper uses machine learning to optimize UAV deployment for traffic offloading.

problem Optimizing UAV deployment for efficient traffic offloading from ground BSs.
method LSTM for traffic prediction, KEG algorithm for service area determination, multi-access techniques comparison.
result RSMA reduces up to 24% total power consumption compared to conventional methods.

This paper proposes a real-time signal plan recommendation system for traffic incidents.

problem Limited effectiveness of traffic incident management due to late response and workload.
method Decomposes recommendation task into real-time traffic prediction and plan association, learning from historical data and metric learning.
result Precision score of 96.75% and recall of 87.5% on testing plan, with 22.5 minutes lead time ahead of Waze alerts.

Study investigates deep learning for scalable long-term traffic predictions in large transport networks.

problem Scalable long-term traffic predictions in large transport networks.
method Investigated deep learning models for link-based predictions, including clustering and graph convolutional approaches.
result Deep learning models can be useful for long-term large-scale traffic prediction, but simpler predictors are satisfactory for short-term forecasting.

DALC customizes LSTM models for detectors in large-scale traffic networks.

problem Fine-grained traffic prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Formulated as a finite Markov decision process, introduced ALC algorithm for automatic customization, and developed DALC for distributed customization.
result DALC provides higher prediction accuracy than Apache Spark MLlib approaches.

FedGRU uses federated learning to predict traffic flow accurately while preserving user privacy.

problem Developing accurate traffic flow prediction while protecting user privacy.
method Federated Learning, Secure Parameter Aggregation, Joint Announcement Protocol, Ensemble Clustering.
result FedGRU achieves 90.96% higher prediction accuracy than advanced deep learning models.

Study improves traffic prediction intervals for minor roads.

problem Uncertainty in traffic data for underrepresented minor roads.
method Quantile Random Forest with PCA for interval prediction.
result Achieved 88.22% interval coverage and Winkler Score of 7,468.47.

Predicts morning traffic congestion using social media data from the previous evening.

problem Challenges in predicting early morning traffic dynamics.
method Mining Twitter messages to understand evening/midnight work and rest patterns.
result People's tweeting patterns before the morning commute are associated with traffic congestion.

Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …

2018-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a neural network to improve traffic flow forecasting.

problem Forecasting future traffic flow distribution in an area.
method Position-aware convolutional neural network integrating data features and position information.
result Our approach outperforms previous methods even with fewer data sources.

Study develops a machine learning-based ramp metering model to improve freeway efficiency.

problem Improving ramp metering to maintain freeway efficiency under various traffic conditions.
method Machine learning approach using historical data to predict and manage traffic flow.
result The novel model outperforms a baseline traffic-responsive ramp metering algorithm.

A novel spatio-temporal graph neural network with a learnable Tweedie head improves vessel traffic flow prediction in sparse maritime data.

problem Accurate vessel traffic flow prediction in sparse maritime data.
method A model-agnostic learnable Tweedie head attached to ST-GNN backbones.
result The proposed head consistently improves RMSE across multiple ST-GNN backbones, especially on non-zero events.

Model predicts severity of traffic accidents using spatial and temporal features.

problem Estimating severity of traffic accidents in aggregated and disaggregated data.
method Gradient Boosting models and Gaussian Processes for inference and feature importance.
result Complexity of road networks and other situational features significantly impact accident severity.

H-STGCN predicts traffic using navigation data and improves accuracy.

problem Limited accuracy in traffic forecasting due to lack of contextual information.
method Proposes H-STGCN, a hybrid spatio-temporal graph convolutional network.
result H-STGCN outperforms state-of-the-art methods in various metrics, especially for non-recurring congestion.

PSTN improves traffic condition forecasting with deep neural networks.

problem Challenges in accurately forecasting traffic conditions due to complex spatiotemporal correlations.
method Proposes PSTN with three modules: graph convolutional network, temporal convolutional network, and gated recurrent unit framework.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks in short-term traffic conditions forecasting.