Decision trees improve intraday trading strategies for NIFTY50 stocks.
problem Creating optimal trading rules for individual stocks.
method Using decision trees to generate unique trading rules for each stock based on technical indicators.
result Decision tree strategies outperform simple buy-and-hold for many stocks.
The Chain-of-Decision approach improves forecasting of financial professionals' trading decisions.
problem Challenges in forecasting professionals' behaviors, especially in trading decisions.
method Integrates an opinion-generator-in-the-loop to provide subjective analysis based on news items.
result Promising improvements in the proposed tasks' performance.
Hybrid model uses LLM to build transparent Bayesian networks for trading decisions.
problem Rigorous and transparent reasoning required in financial trading, especially for options strategies.
method Combines LLM strengths with Bayesian Networks, using LLM to construct context-specific networks and select relevant data.
result Empirically, the hybrid system outperforms market benchmarks with superior risk-adjusted performance.
Study improves trading decisions by predicting profit and loss outcomes.
problem Inconsistent profitability of machine learning forecasts in financial markets.
method Developed a novel algorithm for forecasting profit and loss outcomes, integrating with market trend predictions.
result Significantly improved performance of trading strategies, including traditional and algorithmic trading.
ATLAS uses LLMs to adaptively trade by optimizing prompts and coordinating agents.
problem Adapting LLMs for real-time financial decision-making in noisy markets.
method ATLAS integrates structured market data, uses Adaptive-OPRO for prompt optimization, and employs multi-agent coordination.
result Adaptive-OPRO consistently outperforms fixed prompts in financial trading.
Enhanced financial trading system using multi-agent LLMs with layered memory.
problem Inefficient prioritization of tasks in LLMs due to their memory processing.
method Introducing a multi-agent framework with layered memories and inter-agent debate.
result Superior automated trading accuracy and decision robustness.
DRL automates stock market trading with a 2.68 Sharpe Ratio.
problem Automating profitable trades in the stock market.
method Formulated as a POMDP, solved with TD3 algorithm.
result 2.68 Sharpe Ratio on unseen data.
Agentic LLMs improve trading by estimating market risk.
problem Lack of principled model-building step in agentic frameworks for finance.
method Developed an agentic system using LLMs to discover stochastic differential equations for financial time series.
result Model-informed trading strategies outperform standard LLM-based agents, improving Sharpe ratios.
Trading-R1 uses LLMs for financial trading, improving risk-adjusted returns.
problem Lack of interpretability and trust in AI for finance.
method Supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning with a curriculum.
result Improved risk-adjusted returns and lower drawdowns compared to other models.
AI models assess psychological risks in currency trading.
problem Identifying psychological risks in currency traders.
method Developed a decision tree model to identify patterns in historical data.
result Enhanced decision-making through real-time alerts.
Generative AI reduces herd behavior in trading, but can also lead to optimal herding.
problem Impact of generative AI on financial stability and herd behavior.
method Laboratory experiments with large language models replicating human trading behavior.
result AI agents make more rational decisions than humans, reducing herd behavior but also potentially leading to optimal herding.
Deep RL applied for Indian stock trading strategies.
problem Designing profitable trading strategies for Indian stock markets.
method Applied deep reinforcement learning to ten Indian stock datasets.
result Models' performance compared and evaluated.
FinMem enhances LLM trading agents with layered memory and character design.
problem Developing purpose-driven LLM agents for financial decision-making.
method Integrates layered memory and character design modules into an LLM framework.
result Significantly enhanced trading performance in financial markets.
A new DRL model for intraday trading incorporating positional context.
problem Neglecting positional context in existing DRL intraday trading strategies.
method Introducing positional features into the state space of a DRL model.
result Significant improvement in profitability and risk-adjusted metrics.
Develops an LLM-based agent for superior cryptocurrency trading.
problem Lack of LLMs in cryptocurrency trading due to its unique data types.
method Combines on-chain and off-chain data analysis with a reflective mechanism.
result Demonstrates superior performance in maximizing returns compared to traditional strategies.
XVA is a material component of a trade valuation and hence it must impact the decision to exercise options within a given netting set. This is true for both unsecured trades and secured / cleared trades where KVA and MVA play a material role even if CVA and FVA do not. However, this effect has frequently been ignored i…
Pre-trained LLM adapted with LoRA improves offline RL for quantitative trading.
problem Challenges in offline RL for quantitative trading due to complex temporal dependencies and overfitting.
method Integrates pre-trained GPT-2 weights and LoRA for efficient fine-tuning of a Decision Transformer.
result Outperforms existing offline RL methods in certain trading scenarios.
Dynamic probabilistic forecasts guide optimal decisions in uncertain processes.
problem Optimal decision making in processes influenced by uncertain random factors.
method Stochastic models for probabilistic forecast evolution, calibrated from ensemble forecasts.
result Optimal decision strategies determined using dynamic probabilistic forecasts.
We demonstrate an application of risk-sensitive reinforcement learning to optimizing execution in limit order book markets. We represent taking order execution decisions based on limit order book knowledge by a Markov Decision Process; and train a trading agent in a market simulator, which emulates multi-agent interact…
The paper optimizes forecasting for risk-adjusted decisions under trading frictions.
problem Optimizing forecasting accuracy for investment decisions in the presence of transaction costs.
method Develops a utility-weighted calibration criterion to minimize decision loss net of costs.
result Utility-weighted calibration reduces decision loss by over 30% and improves Sharpe ratio.
Safe autonomous decisions made with machine learning predictions using Conformal Decision Theory.
problem Safe decisions from imperfect machine learning predictions.
method Conformal Decision Theory framework for producing safe decisions.
result Safe decisions with provable statistical guarantees of low risk.
Batch Thompson Sampling reduces exploration-exploitation trade-off in online decision making.
problem Balancing exploration and exploitation in online decision making.
method Introducing a batch Thompson Sampling framework for stochastic multi-arm bandit and linear contextual bandit problems.
result Achieves asymptotic regret bound with O(logT) batch queries, significantly reducing interactions. MacroHFT uses memory and context-aware reinforcement learning to improve HFT performance.
problem Overfitting and biased decisions in HFT due to rapid market changes.
method Memory Augmented Context-aware Reinforcement Learning (MacroHFT) that trains multiple sub-agents and a hyper-agent.
result MacroHFT achieves state-of-the-art performance on minute-level trading tasks.
The algorithmic trading comes from digitalisation of the processing of trading assets on financial markets. Since 1980 the computerization of the stock market offers real time processing of financial information. This technological revolution has offered processes and mathematic methods to identify best return on trans…
Survey of AI in finance covering models, strategies, and knowledge systems.
problem Challenges in applying AI to financial markets, especially in high-frequency trading.
method Systematic analysis of financial AI across predictive models, decision frameworks, and knowledge augmentation systems.
result Critical trade-offs and gaps between theoretical advances and practical implementation in financial AI.
FinVision uses LLM agents to predict stock markets by processing various financial data types.
problem Challenges in integrating diverse financial data for accurate stock market prediction.
method Multi-agent framework with LLMs specialized in different financial data types and a reflection module.
result The reflection module enhances decision-making capabilities for financial trading.
A new framework AlphaMix combines multiple trading experts to improve stock investment decisions.
problem Inconsistent financial predictions and lack of model uncertainty in investment decisions.
method Reformulate quantitative investment as a multi-task learning problem, and propose AlphaMix framework.
result AlphaMix significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in financial criteria.
Paper optimizes energy trading on DA markets using RL.
problem Volatility and randomness in renewable energy sources.
method Markov Decision Process, reinforcement learning, evolutionary algorithm.
result RL-based strategy generates highest market profits.
Improved stock trading model using feature selection and ensemble learning.
problem Challenges in making profit in the US stock market.
method Feature selection from 148 to 30, dynamic selection of top 25 features, ensemble learning with four classifiers.
result Best model generated 54.35% profit over 18 months.
EXAMM evolves RNNs for stock return prediction and portfolio trading.
problem Predicting stock returns for optimal portfolio trading.
method Evolutionary Neural Architecture Search (EXAMM) for evolving RNNs.
result Evolving RNNs outperform traditional benchmarks in stock trading.
QTMRL uses RL with multi-indicators to improve trading adaptability.
problem Traditional trading models fail in volatile markets due to rigid assumptions.
method Combines multi-indicators with RL for adaptive portfolio management.
result QTMRL outperforms baselines in profitability and risk control.
A general framework is suggested to describe human decision making in a certain class of experiments performed in a trading laboratory. We are in particular interested in discerning between two different moods, or states of the investors, corresponding to investors using fundamental investment strategies, technical ana…
TRIBE model uses LLMs to simulate human trading behavior in bond markets.
problem Complexities in decentralized bond market transactions.
method Agent-based model augmented with LLMs to simulate human-like decision-making.
result Slight trade aversion in LLMs can lead to complete market collapse.
The study analyzes how probabilistic forecasts improve battery trading strategies in electricity markets.
problem Improvements in statistical forecast quality do not directly translate to economic value in battery trading strategies.
method The study frames battery optimization as a stochastic program based on fully probabilistic forecasts and examines decision quality under different uncertainty models.
result The study identifies two critical flaws in quantile-based trading strategies and provides theoretical justification and empirical evidence.
LiveTradeBench evaluates LLMs in live trading environments.
problem Static benchmarks fail to assess real-world trading ability.
method Live data streaming, portfolio management abstraction, multi-market evaluation.
result LLMs show distinct portfolio styles and adapt to live signals.
Paper combines RL with classifiers to improve financial trading strategies.
problem Enhancing risk-return trade-offs in trading strategies.
method Combining Reinforcement Learning (RL) models with traditional classifiers like SVM, Decision Trees, and Logistic Regression.
result Ensemble methods often outperform base models in risk-adjusted returns.
This paper applies quantum probability theory to model asset returns, avoiding assumptions about quantum effects.
problem Modeling asset returns with classical probability theory.
method Derives a Schrödinger-like trading equation using quantum probability, linking it to traders' decisions and market behaviors.
result Quantum probability can describe multimodal distributions of asset returns without assuming quantum effects.
FinAgent tackles financial trading with multimodal data and advanced AI.
problem Challenges in handling multimodal financial data and limited generalizability.
method Multimodal foundational agent with tool augmentation, dual-level reflection, and diversified memory retrieval.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in financial trading tasks.
This paper surveys RL methods for quantitative trading.
problem Challenges in sequential decision making for financial markets.
method Taxonomy of RL-based QT models and state of the art summary.
result RL can solve complex QT tasks.
FinLlama uses a fine-tuned Llama 2 model for financial sentiment analysis.
problem Accurate financial sentiment analysis for better trading decisions.
method Fine-tuning Llama 2 7B model on financial sentiment data, using a generator-classifier scheme.
result FinLlama provides nuanced insights into financial news articles, enhancing portfolio management.
The paper tackles uncertainty in multi-objective decision-making.
problem Learning Pareto-efficient decisions with statistical confidence in uncertain outcomes.
method Adapting Pareto-efficient decisions to uncertainty, using conformal prediction.
result Statistical guarantees for efficient decisions in uncertain contexts.
AlphaForgeBench evaluates LLMs as quantitative researchers, not trading agents, to address instability in financial decision-making.
problem Behavioral instability of LLMs in sequential decision-making under financial uncertainty.
method Proposes AlphaForgeBench, a framework that requires LLMs to generate executable alpha factors and compose factor-based trading strategies.
result Eliminates execution-induced instability and provides a rigorous benchmark for evaluating financial reasoning.
Optimizes trading strategy considering alpha decay and transaction costs.
problem Maximizing reward in a multi-period portfolio with transaction costs and alpha decay.
method Formulated as an infinite horizon Markov Decision Process, solved using a modified value iteration algorithm with convergence proof and asymptotic analysis.
result Characterized optimal trading policy that maximizes average expected reward.
Non-parametric bootstrap improves robust portfolio and trading strategy optimization.
problem Mitigating uncertainty in expected returns and covariances in financial decision-making.
method Non-parametric bootstrap framework for robust optimization without distributional assumptions.
result Improved out-of-sample performance with smoother, more stable results.
Neural nets analyze crypto markets for multi-timeframe trading.
problem High-frequency trading in cryptocurrency markets.
method Multi-timeframe trend analysis and high-frequency direction prediction networks.
result Positive risk-adjusted returns through machine learning.
Paper proves using historical trading info improves trading strategies.
problem Improving trading strategies through historical data.
method Develops a new strategy using self-generated historical trading information.
result A new strategy consistently outperforms existing ones.
This review analyzes RL in finance, highlighting its advantages and challenges.
problem Complex financial decision-making problems where traditional methods fail.
method Systematic review of 167 articles from 2017-2025, focusing on market making, portfolio optimization, and algorithmic trading.
result RL offers advantages over traditional methods, particularly in market making, but challenges remain.
HedgeAgents boosts financial trading with balanced strategies.
problem Inefficient trading strategies under rapid market changes.
method Integrates LLMs with multi-agent system for robust decision-making.
result 70% annualized return and 400% total return over 3 years.