Dynamic tracking error framework shows similar performance but varying volatility across different constraints.
problem Differences in governance parameters between Total Portfolio Approach and Strategic Asset Allocation.
method Portfolio simulations using U.S. equity and bond data from 2000 to 2026, spanning 2004 to 2026.
result Realized tracking error volatility varies 12-fold across different constraints, with costs highest during crises.
The paper analyzes constrained optimal portfolios in high dimensions using novel statistical learning techniques.
problem Forming optimal portfolios with constraints in high-dimensional asset spaces.
method CROWN method integrating factor models with nodewise regression for estimation in large dimensions.
result Demonstrates estimation consistency and convergence rates for constrained portfolio weights, risk, and Sharpe Ratio.
Partial (replication) index tracking is a popular passive investment strategy. It aims to replicate the performance of a given index by constructing a tracking portfolio which contains some constituents of the index. The tracking error optimisation is quadratic and NP-hard when taking the L0 constraint into account so …
Bayesian approach for constructing and rebalancing sparse index-tracking portfolios.
problem Sparse tracking of a reference index with uncertainty quantification.
method Sparse linear regression with Laplace prior, empirical-Bayes calibration, Langevin-type MCMC, threshold-based rules.
result Posterior uncertainty on tracking error, portfolio composition, and rebalancing moves.
The paper optimizes asset selection for index trackers and enhanced trackers with varying cardinality constraints.
problem Optimizing asset selection for index trackers and enhanced trackers with cardinality constraints.
method Divided into two steps: asset pre-selection and asset weight estimation. Used eight pre-selection procedures with different combinations of selection methods and regression types.
result Out-of-sample tracking errors are roughly proportional to 1/sqrt(cardinality). OLS is more effective than LAD, BE marginally more effective than FS, and (n) marginally more effective than (c).
THRML uses energy-based models for index tracking, reducing portfolio tracking error and improving returns.
problem NP-hard combinatorial optimization in portfolio optimization under cardinality constraints.
method THRML reformulates index tracking as probabilistic inference on an Ising Hamiltonian, using GPU-accelerated block Gibbs sampling.
result THRML achieves 4.31 percent annualized tracking error compared to 5.66-6.30 percent for baselines, with 128.63 percent total return.
Quantum computing tackles non-convex portfolio optimization with cardinality constraints.
problem Non-convex portfolio optimization problems in asset management.
method Application of quantum annealing with non-linear cardinality constraints.
result Quantum portfolio optimization yields smaller, more profitable portfolios.
Optimizes decisions in time-varying distributions using online stochastic methods and Wasserstein distance.
problem Optimizing decisions in time-varying distributions using Wasserstein distance.
method Online proximal-gradient method, exact penalty method, constraint-tightening approach.
result Dynamic regret bounds for tracking and estimation error.
We study the tracking of a trajectory for a nonholonomic system by recasting the problem as a constrained optimal control problem. The cost function is chosen to minimize the error in positions and velocities between the trajectory of a nonholonomic system and the desired reference trajectory, both evolving on the dist…
This paper presents a new approach for training artificial neural networks using techniques for solving the constraint satisfaction problem (CSP). The quotient gradient system (QGS) is a trajectory-based method for solving the CSP. This study converts the training set of a neural network into a CSP and uses the QGS to …
Momentum SGD fails to track nonstationary optima due to drift amplification.
problem Tracking nonstationary optima in stochastic optimization.
method Theoretical analysis of SGD and momentum variants under strong convexity and smoothness.
result Momentum incurs a drift-amplification penalty that diverges as the momentum parameter approaches 1, leading to systematic lag.
VRSGT algorithm reduces orthogonality constraints in decentralized optimization.
problem Decentralized optimization with orthogonality constraints.
method VRSGT algorithm with variance reduction and orthogonal techniques.
result VRSGT achieves convergence rate of O(1 / k) for orthogonality constraints.
New algorithm tackles optimization with distributed constraints.
problem Optimization problems with generalized orthogonality constraints in a decentralized setting.
method Introduced a novel algorithm that tracks gradients and Jacobians simultaneously.
result Global convergence with an iteration complexity established.
Study optimal consumption with relaxed benchmarks and drawdown constraints.
problem Optimal consumption under relaxed benchmark tracking and consumption drawdown constraint.
method Transformed stochastic control problem into regular control problem with state-control constraints, then solved using dual transform and optimal consumption behavior.
result Closed-form solution for optimal investment and consumption in feedback form.
New approach uses Gaussian processes to learn and track complex systems with guaranteed accuracy.
problem Inaccurate first principle models for complex systems due to data complexity.
method Bayesian prediction error bound for Gaussian process regression, derived from kernel-based data density.
result Achieves vanishing tracking error with increasing data density, providing time-varying accuracy guarantees.
High-probability bound for distributed stochastic approximation tracking error.
problem Analyzing the convergence of distributed stochastic approximation schemes.
method Analysis using ODE approach to stochastic approximation.
result High probability bound for tracking error between iterates and limiting differential equation.
Study efficient rebalancing strategies for portfolio tracking error.
problem Optimizing portfolio rebalancing under high-frequency asset price models.
method Discrete-time rebalancing strategies derived from continuous model.
result Asymptotically efficient sequence of simple strategies.
Proposes an efficient method for sparse index tracking with ℓ0-norm constraints.
problem Constructing a sparse portfolio to track a financial index.
method Formulates a new problem using ℓ0-norm constraints, develops an efficient algorithm based on primal-dual splitting. result Demonstrates effectiveness through experiments on S&P500 and Russell3000 datasets.
This paper optimizes portfolio selection by penalizing tracking error, improving Sharpe ratio.
problem Optimizing portfolio allocation with a penalty for deviation from a reference portfolio.
method Formulated as a McKean-Vlasov control problem, provides explicit solutions and asymptotic expansions.
result The penalized portfolio strategy outperforms standard mean-variance and reference portfolios in most cases.
The efficiency of a modern economy depends on what we call the Value-Tracking Hypothesis: that market prices of key assets broadly track some underlying value. This can be expected if a sufficient weight of market participants are valuation-based traders, buying and selling an asset when its price is, respectively, bel…
New RL method improves financial index tracking accuracy.
problem Optimizing financial index tracking with dynamic market information.
method Discrete-time dynamic model, Banach fixed point iteration, deep reinforcement learning.
result Proposed RL method outperforms benchmarks in tracking accuracy.
Passive investing can incur hidden costs due to market timing inefficiencies.
problem Hidden costs in passive investing due to market timing inefficiencies.
method Analysis of passive investing strategies, including gradual share acquisition and post-announcement trading.
result Post-announcement trading can earn significant profits, often exceeding 1%.
Hybrid quantum-classical method optimizes financial index tracking.
problem Optimizing asset weights for financial index replication.
method Hybrid quantum-classical optimization with pruning algorithm.
result Improved performance through quantum and classical optimization.
Perfect tracking control for real-world Euler-Lagrange systems is challenging due to uncertainties in the system model and external disturbances. The magnitude of the tracking error can be reduced either by increasing the feedback gains or improving the model of the system. The latter is clearly preferable as it allows…
Paper solves tracking control for (x,u)-flat systems using classical states.
problem Tracking control for (x,u)-flat systems. method Quasi-static feedback of classical states.
result Achieves linear, decoupled and asymptotically stable tracking error dynamics.
Index tracking is a popular form of asset management. Typically, a quadratic function is used to define the tracking error of a portfolio and the look back approach is applied to solve the index tracking problem. We argue that a forward looking approach is more suitable, whereby the tracking error is expressed as expec…
This paper identifies and analyzes biases in risk-adjusted index weighting methods, affecting social welfare and market fairness.
problem Biases in risk-adjusted index weighting methods lead to tracking errors and fraud in indices and ETFs.
method Characterizes and analyzes the biases and adverse effects of risk-adjusted index weighting methods.
result These biases reduce social welfare and can enable harmful arbitrage activities.
New methods for efficient exploration under unknown linear constraints in bandits.
problem Optimizing decisions under unknown linear constraints in bandit problems.
method Lagrangian relaxation, computationally efficient extensions of existing methods, constraint-adaptive stopping rule.
result LAGEX achieves asymptotically optimal sample complexity, LATS shows asymptotic optimality up to novel constants.
Two novel procedures track quantiles efficiently using an oracle.
problem Setting step size and tuning parameters for incremental quantile estimators.
method Estimate MSE, decompose into variance and bias, use oracle to select best estimator.
result Efficient quantile tracking with error close to theoretical optimum.
DD algorithm tracks test error from train error without validation data.
problem Systematic generalization gap between train and test errors in modern model training.
method Decoupled descent (DD) algorithm that cancels data reuse biases via approximate message passing.
result DD algorithm rigorously demonstrates zero-cost validation and 100% data utilization.
A spiral unibike track emerges from a mathematical construction.
problem Finding a unibike curve with a spiral shape.
method Starting with a polar square root curve, iteratively applying a differential equation to create a spiral unibike track.
result A spiral unibike curve is found with a precision error less than 10^-7.
Paper introduces EnDKF for more accurate pose tracking.
problem Accurate pose tracking with directional uncertainty.
method EnDKF integrates unit-quaternion attitude representation for better directional uncertainty capture.
result Significant reduction in error compared to traditional methods.
Investigates how ESG mandates affect portfolio efficiency and risk premia.
problem The inefficiency of portfolios under ESG mandates and the associated risk premia.
method Analyzes equilibrium conditions with ESG constraints and mean-variance investors.
result Negative ESG premium arises due to ESG constraint, not risk factor.
Optimizes sliding window approach for tracking Gaussian densities.
problem Improving tracking performance of Gaussian density estimation.
method Theoretical analysis of sliding window Gaussian Kernel Density Estimators.
result Empirical evidence shows improved tracking performance with optimal weight sequence.
We address the problem of partial index tracking, replicating a benchmark index using a small number of assets. Accurate tracking with a sparse portfolio is extensively studied as a classic finance problem. However in practice, a tracking portfolio must also be diverse in order to minimise risk -- a requirement which h…
Online Multi-Object Tracking (MOT) from videos is a challenging computer vision task which has been extensively studied for decades. Most of the existing MOT algorithms are based on the Tracking-by-Detection (TBD) paradigm combined with popular machine learning approaches which largely reduce the human effort to tune a…
This paper reviews and analyzes various modeling approaches for financial index tracking.
problem Efficient replication of market index performance in financial markets.
method Categorization into three frameworks: optimization, statistical, and machine learning; empirical study on S&P 500 dataset.
result Optimization-based models deliver the most precise index tracking, statistical-based models achieve the strongest return-risk balance, and data-driven models provide competitive performance.
Markowitz (1952, 1959) laid down the ground-breaking work on the mean-variance analysis. Under his framework, the theoretical optimal allocation vector can be very different from the estimated one for large portfolios due to the intrinsic difficulty of estimating a vast covariance matrix and return vector. This can res…
The paper analyzes Adam and SGD in nonstationary optimization, revealing tradeoffs between noise and drift.
problem Analyzing Adam and SGD in nonstationary optimization problems.
method Theoretical analysis of Adam and SGD under non-stationary stochastic objectives, separating two regimes.
result Characterizes the tradeoff between noise and drift in Adam and SGD, revealing when adaptive step-sizing is beneficial or harmful.
Method improves volatility targeting for index construction.
problem High turnover, leverage spikes, and sensitivity to estimation error in existing volatility-targeting strategies.
method Proportional-control approach for setting index weights that corrects tracking error through feedback.
result The proportional-control approach achieves the target volatility more effectively than open-loop alternatives.
Deep learning predicts market sensitivities for cost-effective index tracking.
problem Costly and impractical replication of index funds.
method Learning to predict market sensitivities using deep learning models.
result Significant reduction in prediction errors compared to historical methods.
The paper extends Merton's problem by adding benchmark tracking, finding optimal strategies.
problem Maximizing consumption utility with a trade-off against benchmark performance.
method Developed a convex duality theorem and derived optimal strategies for specific cases.
result Found optimal portfolio and consumption strategies for CRRA utility and geometric Brownian motion benchmarks.
The paper solves a control problem using reflections to track a benchmark process.
problem Optimal consumption with a benchmark process that grows over time.
method Introduced two auxiliary state processes with reflections to transform the problem into a more tractable form.
result Established the existence of a unique classical solution to the dual PDE.
Optimal portfolio tracking with dynamic capital injection into a ratcheting benchmark.
problem Optimizing a portfolio's performance by dynamically adding capital to a non-decreasing benchmark.
method Formulated as an unconstrained control problem with a running maximum cost, transformed into an auxiliary problem with a nonlinear HJB equation, solved using probabilistic representation and stochastic flow analysis.
result Established the existence of a unique classical solution to the HJB equation, providing feedback optimal portfolio strategies.
We study the competition of two strategic agents for liquidity in the benchmark portfolio tracking setup of Bank, Soner, Voß (2017). Specifically, both agents track their own stochastic running trading targets while interacting through common aggregated temporary and permanent price impact à la Almgren and Chriss (2001…
Decentralized solutions to finite-sum minimization are of significant importance in many signal processing, control, and machine learning applications. In such settings, the data is distributed over a network of arbitrarily-connected nodes and raw data sharing is prohibitive often due to communication or privacy constr…
We discuss multi-task online learning when a decision maker has to deal simultaneously with M tasks. The tasks are related, which is modeled by imposing that the M-tuple of actions taken by the decision maker needs to satisfy certain constraints. We give natural examples of such restrictions and then discuss a general …
SOOTT framework optimizes target tracking with robust and learning-augmented algorithms.
problem Optimizing target tracking in dynamic environments with adversarial perturbations.
method Integrates robust and learning-augmented algorithms for online decision-making.
result CoRT learning-augmented algorithm strictly improves over robust BEST when predictions are accurate.