Paper shows faster core identification in matching markets.
problem Core Identification Problem in one-sided matching markets.
method Randomized SVD on preference-derived Markov matrix.
result CIP solved in O(Ln) time, matching lower bound.
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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48 results for “Top Trading Cycles”
Completed volumes match with combinatorial classes of the double ramification cycle.
problem Computing Masur-Veech volumes for quadratic differentials.
method Describing components of the double ramification cycle and their excess intersection classes, leading to a recursion for completed volumes.
result Completed volumes agree with top intersection of tautological classes on the double ramification cycle.
Paper introduces Cycles Protocol to integrate trade credit into market clearing.
problem Liquidity embedded in trade credit outside formal settlement infrastructures.
method Distributed, multilateral clearing mechanism based on double-entry accounting.
result Cycles Protocol maximizes balance sheet compression without redistributing counterparty risk.
Enhanced LSTM predicts equity trends, outperforming traditional methods.
problem Nonstationary and nonlinear market regimes challenge trend forecasting.
method LSTM-based framework for forecasting equity trend differences.
result LSTM framework outperforms traditional methods in terms of overall PNL.
Constructs an explicit cycle in arithmetic group cohomology.
problem Cohomology of SL at virtual cohomological dimension.
method Geometric rigidity of Voronoi tessellations and abstract framework for polyhedral tessellations.
result Explicit canonical cycle in top-dimensional homology of Voronoi complex.
Paper analyzes trade-offs in top-k classification accuracies and proposes a new loss function.
problem CE loss does not always optimize top-k prediction, especially with complex data.
method Introduces a novel top-k transition loss to improve top-k accuracy.
result Our loss function improves top-k accuracy, especially for k > 10.
The paper studies the structure of a specific homology group related to mapping class groups.
problem Understanding the structure of a specific homology group of the Johnson kernel.
method Constructing and analyzing abelian cycles to describe the module structure.
result Described the structure of the subgroup of the homology group generated by simplest abelian cycles and found relations between them.
Endogenous business cycles explain higher comovement across countries.
problem Standard models struggle to explain high comovement in business cycles across countries.
method Developed a demand-driven reduced-form model with strategic complementarities and international trade linkages.
result Combining endogenous business cycles with exogenous shocks matches empirical comovement levels.
Proposes a new method for completing swap cycles in decentralized exchanges.
problem Completing swap cycles in decentralized exchanges efficiently and without slippage.
method Introduces an asset matrix formulation to verify and complete CoW cycles using graph traversal and imbalance correction.
result Demonstrates efficient discovery and insertion of synthetic orders for atomic cycle closure.
The paper optimizes investment strategies with constraints for life-cycle models.
problem Maximizing consumption, death benefit, and wealth under trading constraints.
method Deep pricing kernel approach to solve constrained portfolio optimization.
result Individuals reduce consumption, insurance demand, and wealth due to constraints.
Geometric phases describe how in a continuous-time dynamical system the displacement of a variable (called phase variable) can be related to other variables (shape variables) undergoing a cyclic motion, according to an area rule. The aim of this paper is to show that geometric phases can exist also for discrete-time sy…
Unified framework for deferring queries to top-k experts, improving accuracy-cost trade-offs.
problem Limitation of existing L2D frameworks to single-expert deferral.
method Top- Learning-to-Defer framework, including adaptive Top- variant.
result Superior accuracy-cost trade-offs with multi-expert deferral.
TradeMech nets trades without changing counterparty relationships.
problem Netting trades without altering counterparty exposure in complex financial networks.
method Transforms contracts into chains and cycles, nets designated object multilaterally, and replaces contracts with new multiparty agreements.
result Maximal multilateral netting of a designated object while preserving each agent's profit and counterparty risk.
We examine the dynamics of the bid and ask queues of a limit order book and their relationship with the intensity of trade arrivals. In particular, we study the probability of price movements and trade arrivals as a function of the quote imbalance at the top of the limit order book. We propose a stochastic model in an …
Study on second homology group of genus 3 hyperelliptic Torelli group.
problem Understanding the structure of second homology group of genus 3 hyperelliptic Torelli group.
method Analyzing abelian cycles associated with disjoint separating curves and their algebraic properties.
result Simple abelian cycles are linearly independent in the second homology group.
Trade uncertainty impact on stock-bond correlations: Insights from conditional correlation modelsq-fin.ST
The study shows how trade uncertainty affects stock-bond correlations over time.
problem Impact of trade policy uncertainty on stock-bond correlations.
method Daily data analysis using GARCH-based models (CCC, STCC, DCC) with TPU and political dummy variables.
result Time-varying correlation models better capture the dynamics of stock-bond correlations than constant models.
The paper reveals a spinning top geometry in real-world games.
problem Understanding the structure of real-world games.
method Developed a spinning top geometric model and used Nash clustering.
result Real-world games exhibit a spinning top structure with transitive and non-transitive dimensions.
The paper analyzes profitable bidding strategies for BESS in day-ahead and intraday markets.
problem Optimizing profitability of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) in day-ahead and intraday markets.
method Employing the rolling intrinsic approach to model continuous intraday markets, accounting for bid-ask spreads and liquidity constraints.
result Multi-market bidding strategies outperform single-market participation, and relaxing daily cycling constraints can unlock additional value.
Panoptic trades options without oracles on Ethereum.
problem Trading options without relying on oracles.
method Perpetual, trustless, instant-settlement protocol on Ethereum.
result Trustless, permissionless trading of options on Uniswap v3.
Improved stock trading model using feature selection and ensemble learning.
problem Challenges in making profit in the US stock market.
method Feature selection from 148 to 30, dynamic selection of top 25 features, ensemble learning with four classifiers.
result Best model generated 54.35% profit over 18 months.
Pseudotropical curvesmath.AG
We propose a generalization of tropical curves by dropping the rationality and integrality requirements while preserving the balancing condition. An interpretation of such curves as critical points of a certain quadratic functional allows us to settle the existence and uniqueness problem. The machinery of dual polygons…
We introduce and study a non-equilibrium continuous-time dynamical model of the price of a single asset traded by a population of heterogeneous interacting agents in the presence of uncertainty and regulatory constraints. The model takes into account (i) the price formation delay between decision and investment by the …
The paper applies thermodynamics to financial markets to prove no-arbitrage constraints.
problem No arbitrage in financial markets under price impact.
method Stochastic thermodynamics applied to financial trading cycles.
result Proves any round-trip trading strategy yields non-positive expected profit.
Square-Root Price Impact Is Necessary for Endogenous Manipulation Cycles in Learning-Agent Marketsq-fin.CP
Agent-based market shows herding cycles with square-root price impact.
problem Understanding herding cycles in agent-based markets.
method Agent-based model with 20,000 retail traders interacting with a single institutional agent.
result Agent discovers multi-cycle predatory strategy with 8-11 complete cycles over 2000 trading days.
Tackling climate change is at the top of many agendas. In this context, emission trading schemes are considered as promising tools. The regulatory framework for an emission trading scheme introduces a market for emission allowances and creates a need for risk management by appropriate financial contracts. In this work,…
Analytic cycles, Bott-Chern forms, and singular sets for the Yang-Mills flow on Kaehler manifoldsmath.DG
It is shown that the singular set for the Yang-Mills flow on unstable holomorphic vector bundles over compact Kaehler manifolds is completely determined by the Harder-Narasimhan-Seshadri filtration of the initial holomorphic bundle. We assign a multiplicity to irreducible top dimensional components of the singular set …
Unified model for prediction and deferral selects top-k entities efficiently.
problem Efficiently selecting top-k entities for deferral in machine learning.
method One-stage Top- Learning-to-Defer framework with a convex surrogate.
result Unified model achieves superior accuracy-cost trade-offs.
Paper uses LLMs for sector allocation, showing better returns.
problem Automated trading sector allocation inefficiencies.
method Systematic analysis of macroeconomic data and sentiment.
result LLM-based sector allocation outperforms traditional strategies.
Contagion in Bitcoin networksq-fin.TR
We construct the Google matrices of bitcoin transactions for all year quarters during the period of January 11, 2009 till April 10, 2013. During the last quarters the network size contains about 6 million users (nodes) with about 150 million transactions. From PageRank and CheiRank probabilities, analogous to trade imp…
AI models failed to profitably predict cryptocurrency extrema on Binance Spot.
problem Tackling the profitability of candle-based machine learning models for short-term cryptocurrency trading.
method Scripted fixed-seed model runs and deterministic simulators with human supervision.
result Strongest evidence found negative, with models underperforming buy-and-hold strategies.
Study on top- classification with new loss functions and algorithms.
problem Improving multi-class classification accuracy and cardinality trade-off.
method Introducing cardinality-aware loss functions and deriving their consistency bounds.
result New cardinality-aware algorithms for top- classification.
We study the topology of the tropical moduli space parametrizing stable tropical curves of genus g with n marked points in which the bounded edges have total length 1, and prove that it is highly connected. Using the identification of this space with the dual complex of the boundary in the moduli space of stable algebr…
Dynamic model considers private asset markets' complexities.
problem Understanding and optimizing private asset allocation.
method State-of-the-art dynamic model with machine learning.
result Optimal investment policies quantified over fund life.
Top-H decoding improves text generation by balancing creativity and coherence.
problem Balancing creativity and coherence in text generation.
method Entropy-constrained minimum divergence problem, NP-hard ECMM problem, top-H decoding.
result Top-H decoding outperforms min-p sampling by up to 25.63% on creative writing benchmarks.
NFT Wash Trading Detectionq-fin.GN
AnChain.AI detects NFT wash trading with 0.14% of transactions flagged.
problem NFT market manipulation through wash trading.
method Algorithm flags transactions within 30 days of repurchase.
result 0.14% of NFT transactions are involved in wash trading.
This paper analyzes DRL strategies in finance, revealing unique trading patterns and performance differences.
problem Limited research on DRL behavior in finance applications.
method Analysis of trading behaviors and purchase diversity of DRL algorithms (A2C, PPO, SAC, DDPG, TD3).
result DRL algorithms exhibit distinct trading patterns and performance differences, with A2C outperforming others in terms of cumulative rewards.
The paper analyzes CycleGAN's error components for unpaired data generation.
problem Analyzing approximation and estimation errors in CycleGAN for unpaired data.
method Decomposes risk into approximation and estimation errors, analyzing each separately and considering their trade-offs.
result Theoretical insights into CycleGAN's performance through error analysis.
A new loss function boosts AI's stock trading performance.
problem Improving AI's ability to predict stock prices and make profitable trades.
method Introducing a return-weighted loss function for deep learning models.
result Best models achieve high annual returns and Sharpe Ratios.
Ensemble learning is a powerful paradigm that has been usedin the top state-of-the-art machine learning methods like Random Forestsand XGBoost. Inspired by the success of such methods, we have devel-oped a new Genetic Programming method called Ensemble GP. The evo-lutionary cycle of Ensemble GP follows the same steps a…
Study reveals trade dynamics in dry bulk shipping networks, highlighting their randomness and periodic changes.
problem Understanding the randomness and periodic changes in dry bulk shipping networks.
method Analysis of micro-level trade flow data from 2015 to 2023, focusing on grain, coal, and iron ore networks.
result Dry bulk shipping networks exhibit small-world phenomena and periodic life cycles, influenced by importing ports and global events.
Using the United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database [http://comtrade.un.org/db/] we construct the Google matrix of the world trade network and analyze its properties for various trade commodities for all countries and all available years from 1962 to 2009. The trade flows on this network are classified with th…
This study shows how trade policy uncertainty affects stock-T bill correlations.
problem The impact of trade policy uncertainty on stock-T bill relationships.
method Extended Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) framework incorporating exogenous variables.
result Trade policy uncertainty significantly alters stock-T bill correlations, especially under specific political conditions.
Paper introduces algorithms for private decision tree learning.
problem Private decision tree learning in distributed settings.
method Proposes DP-TopDown, NoisyCounts, and LocalRNM.
result First utility guarantees for private decision tree learning.
Develops a new flexible grid trading model using ANN and SSO.
problem Improving automated trading strategies in financial markets.
method Combines SSO algorithm with ANN for optimizing trading parameters.
result Provides a robust and efficient trading model with better returns.
Unified theory explains housing cycle across metros, showing credit expansion impacts.
problem Puzzling correlations between income and mortgage growth across ZIP codes and metros.
method Unified credit expansion theory, double differences, instrumental variables.
result Credit expansion drives housing cycle, affecting boom, bust, and recovery phases.
Algorithm detects and estimates correlated signals in spiked matrices.
problem Detect and estimate correlated signals in spiked matrices.
method Proposes an efficient algorithm based on counting edge-decorated cycles.
result Algorithm succeeds under certain signal-to-noise ratio conditions.
Deep learning predicts uncertainty to optimize Eurodollar futures trading.
problem Optimizing investment size in high-frequency Eurodollar futures trading.
method Deep learning models to estimate prediction uncertainty, scaling investment size.
result Clear outperformance with Sharpe ratio metric compared to alternative strategies.
YC Bench forecasts startup success in Y Combinator batches with a short-term metric.
problem Difficult forecasting of startup success due to sparse meaningful outcomes and slow evaluation cycles.
method Developed a live benchmark using publicly available traction signals and web visibility metrics.
result Revealed 6 out of 11 top performers at YC Demo Day with a simple proxy for prior brand recognition.