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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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53107160213 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Token Probability

Dynamic Vocabulary Pruning stabilizes LLM training by removing low-probability tokens.

problem Training Large Language Models (LLMs) with Reinforcement Learning (RL) causes numerical divergence between inference and training.
method Dynamic Vocabulary Pruning (DVP) constrains the RL objective to a safe vocabulary that excludes low-probability tokens.
result DVP stabilizes training by reducing systematic bias introduced by the extreme tail of the token distribution.

This paper examines how different decoding algorithms for LLMs align with various goals.

problem Consistency of decoding algorithms with different goals in LLMs.
method Analysis of greedy, lookahead, random sampling, and temperature-scaled random sampling algorithms.
result Random sampling is consistent with the true probability distribution, but other goals require optimal algorithms for specific probability distributions.

Transformers can predict new tokens based on any number of context tokens, approximating continuous mappings with fixed resources.

problem Handling an arbitrarily large number of context tokens in transformers.
method Mathematical analysis of transformer's expressivity using Wasserstein distance and continuous mappings.
result Deep transformers are universal and can approximate continuous in-context mappings to arbitrary precision, uniformly over compact token domains.

Study compares Web3 tokens to traditional assets, finding similar statistical properties.

problem Understanding statistical properties of Web3 tokens compared to traditional financial assets.
method Statistical analysis of various Web3 tokens across multiple time scales, comparing with traditional financial assets.
result Most Web3 tokens exhibit similar stylized facts to traditional financial assets, including heavy tails and volatility clustering.

New insights show stochastic initialization prevents token clustering in deep Transformers.

problem Understanding token dynamics in deep stochastic Transformers.
method Analysis of deep Transformers with random initialization noise, proving convergence to an interacting-particle system on the sphere.
result Initialization noise prevents token clustering, leading to antipodal formations.

Decoding strategies often exclude human-like tokens, creating a detectable gap in generated text.

problem Decoding strategies exclude contextually appropriate but statistically rare tokens, creating a detectable gap in generated text.
method Analysis of 1.8 million texts across 8 language models, 5 decoding strategies, and 53 hyperparameter configurations.
result 8-18% of human-selected tokens fall outside typical truncation boundaries, indicating a detectable gap.

Mathematical framework for language models processes text and predicts next tokens.

problem Understanding and optimizing the performance of large language models.
method Describes encoding, prediction models, learning from data, and deployment of LLMs.
result Demonstrates remarkable empirical successes and provides a platform for further research.

Two new estimators reduce costs and improve accuracy for EHR outcome prediction.

problem Sparse estimate distributions, high computational cost, and high sampling variance in EHR outcome prediction.
method Proposed SCOPE and REACH estimators that leverage next-token probability distributions.
result SCOPE and REACH match Monte Carlo accuracy with token reductions of 2.5-3.4 times and variance guarantees.

Given a state-of-the-art deep neural network text classifier, we show the existence of a universal and very small perturbation vector (in the embedding space) that causes natural text to be misclassified with high probability. Unlike images on which a single fixed-size adversarial perturbation can be found, text is of …

2019-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient descent biases linear models in next-token prediction towards data entropy.

problem Optimization bias in next-token prediction models.
method Analysis of gradient descent on linear models with sparse conditional distributions.
result Gradient descent selects parameters that equate token logits differences to log-odds in the data subspace.

Generating logical form equivalents of human language is a fresh way to employ neural architectures where long short-term memory effectively captures dependencies in both encoder and decoder units. The logical form of the sequence usually preserves information from the natural language side in the form of similar token…

2018-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural text generation is a key tool in natural language applications, but it is well known there are major problems at its core. In particular, standard likelihood training and decoding leads to dull and repetitive outputs. While some post-hoc fixes have been proposed, in particular top-kk and nucleus sampling, they …

2019-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Prefix consistency improves model reliability by weighting answers based on their reproducibility.

problem Improving the reliability of large language models' reasoning traces.
method Use prefix consistency to weight candidate answers based on their reproducibility during regeneration.
result Prefix consistency is the best correctness predictor, reaching Standard MV plateau accuracy with up to 21x fewer tokens.

Neural sequence generation is typically performed token-by-token and left-to-right. Whenever a token is generated only previously produced tokens are taken into consideration. In contrast, for problems such as sequence classification, bidirectional attention, which takes both past and future tokens into consideration, …

2019-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on price fluctuations in NFT market, showing heavy-tailed distributions and long-range memory.

problem Characterizing price fluctuations in NFT market.
method Analysis of capitalization, floor price, transactions, inter-transaction times, and volume value of NFTs.
result NFT market exhibits heavy-tailed probability distribution functions, well described by stretched exponentials, with long-range memory.

Transformers preserve support and can approximate any continuous map.

problem Understanding the mathematical properties of transformers.
method Characterizing maps between measures that can be represented as transformers and proving their properties.
result Transformers preserve support and have uniformly continuous Fréchet derivatives.

This paper shows ARMs and EBMs are equivalent, revealing ARM lookahead capabilities.

problem Understanding the lookahead capabilities of next-token prediction models.
method Unified view of ARMs and EBMs, establishing a bijection and deriving equivalence.
result ARMs and EBMs are equivalent, revealing ARM lookahead capabilities.

The study shows how to accurately estimate embedding vectors in high dimensions.

problem How to accurately estimate embedding vectors in high-dimensional spaces.
method A simple probability model and a variant of low-rank approximate message passing (AMP) method.
result The AMP approach enables precise predictions of the accuracy of the estimation in certain high-dimensional limits.

This research improves capital efficiency and impermanent loss in cryptocurrency markets using multi-token trading pools.

problem Poor impermanent loss and capital efficiency in automated market makers.
method Analysis and construction of a multi-token token proactive market maker (MPMM).
result MPMM shows better impermanent loss and capital efficiency than comparable market makers.

This study examines whether tokenized assets improve liquidity and finds significant differences across categories.

problem Improving liquidity for real-world assets through tokenization.
method Examined tokenized real-world assets using Ethereum-based data, measuring liquidity through turnover, active addresses, and active-month indicator.
result Gold-backed tokens show more persistent on-chain activity than Treasury and private-credit-related products, but asset value alone does not reliably predict liquidity.

Paper introduces a method to assess liquidity risk in meme tokens using entity-linked address analysis.

problem High market volatility and vulnerability to manipulation in meme tokens.
method Multi-dimensional approach integrating fund flow analysis, behavioral similarity, and anomalous transaction detection.
result Significant disparities between apparent and actual liquidity in meme token markets.

DOS improves language model generation by considering inter-token dependencies.

problem Lack of sequence-level information and inter-token dependencies in existing decoding strategies.
method Dependency-Oriented Sampler (DOS) that uses attention matrices to approximate inter-token dependencies.
result DOS consistently achieves superior performance on code generation and mathematical reasoning tasks.

Proving that next-token prediction makes language models generate coherent long documents.

problem Understanding why language models generate coherent documents despite focusing on next-token prediction.
method Proving the power of next-token prediction in learning longer-range structure using Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN).
result Optimizing next-token prediction in RNNs yields a model that closely approximates the training distribution, even for long-range coherence.

Investigates statistical properties of perturb-softmax and perturb-argmax distributions.

problem Underexplored statistical properties of Gumbel-Softmax and Gumbel-Argmax distributions.
method Investigates convexity and differentiability to determine completeness and minimality of these distributions.
result Identifies parameters that admit complete and minimal representation of probability distributions.

QA-Token improves tokenization for noisy data, boosting model performance.

problem Tokenization ignores data quality, limiting model effectiveness on noisy corpora.
method QA-Token combines signal quality with vocabulary construction through bilevel optimization and reinforcement learning.
result QA-Token achieves state-of-the-art performance on genomic and financial datasets.

Minimal token perturbations reveal how Transformer models process information.

problem Understanding information propagation in Transformer models for interpretability.
method Study of minimal token perturbations on embedding space.
result Rare tokens cause larger shifts, and input information mixes deeper.

LLM-as-a-service prices vary arbitrarily due to tokenization multiplicity.

problem Arbitrary price variation in LLM-as-a-service due to multiple tokenizations of the same output.
method Introduce canonical generation to restrict LLMs to unique tokenizations and develop an efficient sampling algorithm.
result Our sampling algorithm for canonical generation solves tokenization multiplicity and maintains comparable performance and runtime to standard sampling.

Self-attention networks localize when eigenspectrum variance is small.

problem Self-attention mechanisms can lead to rank and entropy collapses, reducing model expressivity and trainability.
method Characterized attention localization using query-key eigenspectrum variance.
result Small eigenspectrum variance prevents both rank and entropy collapses, improving model performance.

The paper analyzes risk spillovers between AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.

problem Risk spillovers among AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.
method R2 decomposition method
result AI ETFs and clean energy act as risk transmitters, while AI tokens and green assets act as receivers.

Study reveals risks of investing in new crypto-tokens in decentralized exchanges.

problem Risks associated with investing in newly created tokens in decentralized exchanges.
method Analysis of financial impact, market dynamics, profitability, and liquidity manipulations.
result Significant market liquidity trapped in honeypots, reducing market efficiency and misleading investors.

Tokenized RWAs face liquidity issues despite promising markets.

problem Low trading volumes and limited investor participation in tokenized assets.
method Empirical analysis of tokenized real estate, private credit, and treasury funds.
result Most tokenized assets exhibit low transfer activity and limited secondary trading.

Fan tokens surged before World Cup matches, but declined during them, revealing cognitive biases.

problem Analyzing the impact of FIFA World Cup matches on fan tokens.
method Event study and intraday analysis of blockchain-based fan tokens.
result Fan tokens experienced a surge in returns six months before the World Cup, followed by a decline during the matches, revealing asymmetries in performance.