This paper concentrates on the time series momentum or contrarian effects in the Chinese stock market. We evaluate the performance of the time series momentum strategy applied to major stock indices in mainland China and explore the relation between the performance of time series momentum strategies and some firm-speci…
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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,742 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “Time-series momentum”
Unified model learns from both time-series and cross-sectional momentum features.
problem Separate time-series and cross-sectional momentum strategies do not consider concurrent relationships.
method Spatio-Temporal Momentum strategies using neural networks to combine both types of momentum.
result Simple neural network with single fully connected layer generates trading signals for all assets.
DeepUnifiedMom uses deep learning to create better momentum portfolios.
problem Lack of unified momentum portfolios across different time frames.
method Multi-task learning with multi-gate mixture of experts.
result DeepUnifiedMom outperforms benchmark models in diverse asset classes.
Dynamic econometric models improve trading signals in momentum strategies.
problem Static momentum strategies are inefficient; dynamic models enhance accuracy.
method Dynamic binary classifier model to learn time-varying momentum importance.
result Dynamic classifier outperforms traditional naive time series momentum strategy.
While time series momentum is a well-studied phenomenon in finance, common strategies require the explicit definition of both a trend estimator and a position sizing rule. In this paper, we introduce Deep Momentum Networks -- a hybrid approach which injects deep learning based trading rules into the volatility scaling …
Intelligent Momentum Transformer outperforms traditional trading strategies.
problem Improving time-series momentum and mean-reversion trading strategies.
method Attention-based deep-learning architecture (Momentum Transformer) combining attention and LSTM.
result Momentum Transformer outperforms benchmarks and adapts to new market regimes.
Simple model uses time series momentum to outperform benchmarks in equity and bond markets.
problem Finding systematic excess returns in various markets.
method Time series momentum applied to multiple investable indices without complex parameter estimation.
result Significant outperformance in equity and bond markets, nearly doubling returns.
Deep neural network learns portfolio construction and volatility forecasting.
problem Diversified risk-adjusted time-series momentum portfolios need robust volatility estimation.
method Multi-Task Learning in a deep neural network architecture.
result Deep learning approach outperforms existing TSMOM strategies.
Enhanced trend-following strategy using network momentum for commodity futures.
problem Improving systematic trend-following in commodity futures markets.
method Combines univariate and cross-sectional trend indicators, including network momentum.
result Statistically significant improvements in portfolio performance metrics.
MiM-StocR combines momentum indicators and adaptive ranking loss for better stock recommendation.
problem Lack of simultaneous short-term trend and ranking prediction in stock recommendation models.
method Integrates momentum indicators and proposes Adaptive-k ApproxNDCG for ranking optimization.
result MiM-StocR outperforms state-of-the-art MTL baselines in stock recommendation.
Enhanced Momentum Transformer outperforms traditional trading strategies.
problem Improving trading performance in equities with evolving market conditions.
method Building a Momentum Transformer using an attention mechanism combined with LSTM, capturing long-term dependencies and transaction costs.
result Average returns of 4.14% and Sharpe ratio of 1.12, similar to original results but with higher volatility.
Optimizing Returns Using the Hurst Exponent and Q Learning on Momentum and Mean Reversion Strategiesq-fin.ST
Optimizes trading returns using Hurst exponent and Q-learning.
problem Maximizing returns from momentum and mean reversion strategies.
method Classifies assets using Hurst exponent and uses Q-learning to improve trading algorithms.
result Trading with Hurst exponent can achieve higher returns but at higher risk.
Introduces VSMD to improve generative diffusion processes without high costs.
problem High training costs and scalability issues in generative diffusion processes.
method Introduces variational Schrödinger momentum diffusion (VSMD) with adaptively transport-optimized variational scores and critical-damping transform.
result Efficiently generates anisotropic shapes while maintaining transport efficacy, outperforming alternatives.
SFAG generates realistic financial data that passes trading tests.
problem Financial generative models often produce unrealistic and unstable trading outcomes.
method Introduces SFAG, a GAN variant that aligns stylized facts and optimizes with adversarial loss.
result SFAG generates synthetic data that preserves stylized facts and supports robust trading strategies.
Slow Momentum with Fast Reversion: A Trading Strategy Using Deep Learning and Changepoint Detectionstat.ML
Improved trading strategy using deep learning and changepoint detection for market changes.
problem Traditional momentum strategies struggle with rapid market changes, especially after trend reversals.
method Inserted an online changepoint detection module into a Deep Momentum Network (DMN) pipeline.
result Improvement in Sharpe ratio by one-third over 1995-2020 period, especially beneficial in nonstationary periods.
The study of record statistics of correlated series is gaining momentum. In this work, we study the records statistics of the time series of select stock market data and the geometric random walk, primarily through simulations. We show that the distribution of the age of records is a power law with the exponent lyi…
The multi dimensional string objects are introduced as a new alternative for an application of string models for time series forecasting in trading on financial markets. The objects are represented by open string with 2-endpoints and D2-brane, which are continuous enhancement of 1-endpoint open string model. We show ho…
NoxTrader predicts stock returns using LSTM for profitable trading.
problem Predicting profitable stock returns for quantitative trading.
method LSTM model for time-series analysis of stock data.
result Improved investment return from -60% to 325%.
In this article, we discuss various implementation of L1 filtering in order to detect some properties of noisy signals. This filter consists of using a L1 penalty condition in order to obtain the filtered signal composed by a set of straight trends or steps. This penalty condition, which determines the number of breaks…
Deep RL strategies outperform classical models in trading.
problem Designing profitable trading strategies for futures contracts.
method Deep Reinforcement Learning with volatility scaling.
result Deep RL algorithms outperformed classical models with positive profits.
The study finds that factor momentum is significant only at short lags compared to stock momentum.
problem Investigating the relationship between factor momentum and stock momentum.
method Replicated earlier findings and conducted a spanning test controlling for stock momentum and factor exposure.
result Factor momentum is significant only at short lags after controlling for stock momentum and factor exposure.
X-Trend quickly adapts to new financial regimes, increasing Sharpe ratio by 18.9%.
problem Adapting to rapidly changing financial market conditions.
method Few-shot learning and cross-attention mechanism.
result X-Trend increases Sharpe ratio by 18.9% over a neural forecaster and 10-fold over a conventional strategy.
We test the price momentum effect in the Korean stock markets under the momentum universe shrinkage to subuniverses of the KOSPI 200. Performance of the momentum strategy is not homogeneous with respect to change of the momentum universe. It is found that some submarkets generate the higher momentum returns than other …
Introduces homotopy momentum sections on multisymplectic manifolds.
problem No specific problem stated; focuses on introducing a new concept.
method Introduces a new concept of homotopy momentum sections on multisymplectic manifolds.
result Shows that a gauged nonlinear sigma model with Wess-Zumino term has homotopy momentum section structure.
Customer Momentumq-fin.PR
Customer momentum is a positive relationship between a firm's returns and past returns of its customers.
problem Understanding the relationship between a firm's returns and its customers' past returns.
method Examined customer momentum using a long-short equally-weighted decile portfolio and Fama-French factor models.
result Customer momentum generates significant monthly returns and is statistically significant.
This paper examines momentum spillover across multiple asset classes using only pricing data.
problem Challenges in studying momentum spillover across diverse asset classes due to lack of common characteristics.
method Utilised a linear and interpretable graph learning model to reveal momentum spillover network.
result Network momentum strategy yields a Sharpe ratio of 1.5 and an annual return of 22%.
The paper analyzes how hyperparameters affect SGD with momentum's convergence rate.
problem The role of hyperparameters in SGD with momentum's convergence rate.
method Theoretical analysis using a hyperparameters-dependent stochastic differential equation (hp-dependent SDE).
result The optimal linear rate of convergence depends on both the learning rate and the momentum coefficient.
This paper presents generalized momentum mappings for covariant Hamiltonian field theories. The new momentum mappings arise from a generalization of symplectic geometry to , the bundle of vertically adapted linear frames over the bundle of field configurations . Specifically, the generalized field momentum obs…
We give a detailed discussion about existence and uniqueness of Lu's momentum map. More precisely, we introduce the infinitesimal momentum map, and we study its properties. This allows us to describe the theory of reconstruction of the momentum map from the infinitesimal one. We provide the conditions for the uniquenes…
Momentum ResNets improve ResNets' memory efficiency.
problem Memory inefficiency in deep residual neural networks (ResNets).
method Adding a momentum term to the forward rule of ResNets to make them invertible.
result Momentum ResNets can learn any linear mapping up to a multiplicative factor, improving memory efficiency.
The paper analyzes how momentum affects convergence in stochastic gradient methods.
problem Lack of clear understanding of momentum's impact on convergence and performance.
method Unified analysis of several popular algorithms using the QHM formulation.
result Provides practical guidelines for setting learning rate and momentum parameters.
We introduce various quantitative and mathematical definitions for price momentum of financial instruments. The price momentum is quantified with velocity and mass concepts originated from the momentum in physics. By using the physical momentum of price as a selection criterion, the weekly contrarian strategies are imp…
I prove that if markets are weak-form efficient, meaning current prices fully reflect all information available in past prices, then P = NP, meaning every computational problem whose solution can be verified in polynomial time can also be solved in polynomial time. I also prove the converse by showing how we can "progr…
Adapting momentum from optimization to reinforcement learning.
problem Improving the convergence and stability of reinforcement learning algorithms.
method Introducing Momentum Value Iteration (MoVI) by incorporating an average of consecutive state-action value functions, inspired by the concept of momentum in optimization.
result MoVI improves the convergence and stability of reinforcement learning algorithms, as demonstrated by experiments on Atari games.
Application of Langevin Dynamics to Advance the Quantum Natural Gradient Optimization Algorithmquant-ph
New algorithm Momentum-QNG improves optimization of quantum circuits.
problem Optimizing variational quantum circuits to avoid local minima.
method Applied Langevin dynamics to QNG, introducing momentum term.
result Momentum-QNG outperforms basic QNG and other optimizers.
We demonstrate the possibility of what we call sparse learning: accelerated training of deep neural networks that maintain sparse weights throughout training while achieving dense performance levels. We accomplish this by developing sparse momentum, an algorithm which uses exponentially smoothed gradients (momentum) to…
Momentum speeds up evolutionary processes in machine learning.
problem Accelerating convergence in evolutionary dynamics.
method Combining momentum from machine learning with evolutionary dynamics using information divergences as Lyapunov functions.
result Momentum accelerates convergence of evolutionary dynamics, including the replicator equation and Euclidean gradient descent.
Contact manifolds' momentum polytopes are convex.
problem Understanding the structure of contact manifolds.
method Using isomorphism to toric varieties.
result Momentum polytopes of contact manifolds are convex.
SMG combines shuffling and momentum for non-convex optimization.
problem Non-convex finite-sum optimization problems.
method Shuffling Gradient-based method with momentum.
result Established state-of-the-art convergence rates for SMG.
New method shows stochastic momentum can converge quickly on optimization problems.
problem Improving convergence of stochastic optimization methods.
method Stochastic heavy ball momentum with minibatching.
result Stochastic heavy ball momentum retains fast linear rate on quadratic problems.
The paper analyzes dynamics of momentum in high dimensions with sparse updates.
problem Theoretical analysis of momentum dynamics in high-dimensional sparse settings.
method Theoretical analysis of two models: least squares with sparse inputs and logistic regression with a rare class.
result Characterization of high-dimensional limits of momentum dynamics and phase structure.
Optimization algorithms with momentum, e.g., (ADAM), have been widely used for building deep learning models due to the faster convergence rates compared with stochastic gradient descent (SGD). Momentum helps accelerate SGD in the relevant directions in parameter updating, which can minify the oscillations of parameter…
One has not any conventional energy-momentum conservation law in Lagrangian field theory, but relations involving different stress-energy-momentum tensors associated with different connections. It is not obvious how to choose the true energy-momentum tensor. This problem is solved in the framework of the multimomentum …
Constructibility of momentum maps and linear variation for singular symplectic reduced spacesmath.SG
The paper extends a theorem about momentum maps to singular symplectic spaces.
problem Extending a theorem about momentum maps to singular symplectic spaces.
method Using integral affine stratification and equivariant locally trivial fibrations, the paper extends the linear variation theorem to singular values of the momentum map.
result Cohomology classes of symplectic forms on reduced spaces vary linearly within strata.
This paper analyzes momentum Q-learning with finite-sample guarantees.
problem Improving Q-learning performance with momentum schemes.
method Proposes MomentumQ algorithm integrating Nesterov and Polyak's momentum schemes, analyzes convergence for function approximations.
result Establishes finite-sample convergence rates for MomentumQ, demonstrating better performance than vanilla Q-learning.
Momentum improves deep learning generalization by stabilizing noise and learning features.
problem Improving generalization in deep learning models.
method Empirical and theoretical analysis of gradient descent with momentum (GD+M) vs. gradient descent (GD) in binary classification tasks.
result GD+M outperforms GD in generalization, especially in datasets with shared features and varying margins.
Generalizes momentum map to Courant algebroid for constrained mechanics.
problem Generalizing momentum map to new geometric structures.
method Generalized momentum section on Lie algebroid to Courant algebroid, constructed cohomological formulations.
result Identified momentum section in constrained Hamiltonian mechanics with Courant algebroid symmetry.
Momentum SGD fails to track nonstationary optima due to drift amplification.
problem Tracking nonstationary optima in stochastic optimization.
method Theoretical analysis of SGD and momentum variants under strong convexity and smoothness.
result Momentum incurs a drift-amplification penalty that diverges as the momentum parameter approaches 1, leading to systematic lag.