A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This paper compares LSTM, GRU, and Transformer models for stock price prediction.
Study detects endogenous bubbles in meme stocks using CI.
Study uses machine learning to predict stock prices, finds Kalman filter works well for low-volatility stocks.
This paper studies how social media posts, especially by executives, affect stock prices.
Study evaluates stock price forecasting models during the pandemic.
GPT-4 improves stock price prediction from microblogging sentiments.
Study shows Twitter sentiments predict stock price fluctuations.
Deep neural network learns meaningful factors to predict stock returns.
Synchronized stochastic gradient descent (SGD) optimizers with data parallelism are widely used in training large-scale deep neural networks. Although using larger mini-batch sizes can improve the system scalability by reducing the communication-to-computation ratio, it may hurt the generalization ability of the models…
Recent work has shown how to train Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) rapidly on large image datasets, then transfer the knowledge gained from these models to a variety of tasks. Following [Radford 2017], in this work, we demonstrate similar scalability and transfer for Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) for Natural La…
Training deep neural networks with Stochastic Gradient Descent, or its variants, requires careful choice of both learning rate and batch size. While smaller batch sizes generally converge in fewer training epochs, larger batch sizes offer more parallelism and hence better computational efficiency. We have developed a n…
We study the problem of estimating a temporally varying coefficient and varying structure (VCVS) graphical model underlying nonstationary time series data, such as social states of interacting individuals or microarray expression profiles of gene networks, as opposed to i.i.d. data from an invariant model widely consid…
This paper suggests claim history will be deprecated in future auto insurance rates.
WaveCycleGAN has recently been proposed to bridge the gap between natural and synthesized speech waveforms in statistical parametric speech synthesis and provides fast inference with a moving average model rather than an autoregressive model and high-quality speech synthesis with the adversarial training. However, the …
This paper describes a method based on a sequence-to-sequence learning (Seq2Seq) with attention and context preservation mechanism for voice conversion (VC) tasks. Seq2Seq has been outstanding at numerous tasks involving sequence modeling such as speech synthesis and recognition, machine translation, and image captioni…
The parameter server architecture is prevalently used for distributed deep learning. Each worker machine in a parameter server system trains the complete model, which leads to a hefty amount of network data transfer between workers and servers. We empirically observe that the data transfer has a non-negligible impact o…
Bitcoin's price direction is better predicted without additional drivers during high volatility.
Toxicity prediction of chemical compounds is a grand challenge. Lately, it achieved significant progress in accuracy but using a huge set of features, implementing a complex blackbox technique such as a deep neural network, and exploiting enormous computational resources. In this paper, we strongly argue for the models…
REST framework predicts stock trends by considering stock-specific and related-stock events.
Compact DNNs increase memory footprint and reduce energy efficiency.
Geography effect is investigated for the Chinese stock market including the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, based on the daily data of individual stocks. The Shanghai city and the Guangdong province can be identified in the stock geographical sector. By investigating a geographical correlation on a geographical pa…
EarnMore uses masked stock representations to train RL agents for customizable stock pools efficiently.
A simple and elegant arrangement of stock components of a portfolio (market index-DJIA) in a recent paper [1], has led to the construction of crossing of stocks diagram. The crossing stocks method revealed hidden remarkable algebraic and geometrical aspects of stock market. The present paper continues to uncover new ma…
Graham's formula simplifies stock valuation for growth stocks.
It seems to be very unlikely that all relevant information in the stock market could be fully encoded in a geometrical shape. Still,the present paper will reveal the geometry behind the stock market transactions. The prices of market index (DJIA) stock components are arranged in ascending order from the smallest one in…
We investigate the strength and the direction of information transfer in the U.S. stock market between the composite stock price index of stock market and prices of individual stocks using the transfer entropy. Through the directionality of the information transfer, we find that individual stocks are influenced by the …
Paper uses HGNN to predict stock types from relationships and temporal data.
Study reveals the 2020 U.S. stock crash was endogenous, not caused by COVID.
Green stocks show less factor exposure heterogeneity compared to brown stocks.
We investigated the topological properties of stock networks through a comparison of the original stock network with the estimated stock network from the correlation matrix created by the random matrix theory (RMT). We used individual stocks traded on the market indices of Korea, Japan, Canada, the USA, Italy, and the …
A new framework forecasts stock trends by mining shared information from concepts.
Stock prediction aims to predict the future trends of a stock in order to help investors to make good investment decisions. Traditional solutions for stock prediction are based on time-series models. With the recent success of deep neural networks in modeling sequential data, deep learning has become a promising choice…
We propose improved methods to identify stock groups using the correlation matrix of stock price changes. By filtering out the marketwide effect and the random noise, we construct the correlation matrix of stock groups in which nontrivial high correlations between stocks are found. Using the filtered correlation matrix…
GRU-PFG model extracts inter-stock correlations from stock factors using graph neural networks.
Due to the dynamic nature of biological systems, biological networks underlying temporal process such as the development of {\it Drosophila melanogaster} can exhibit significant topological changes to facilitate dynamic regulatory functions. Thus it is essential to develop methodologies that capture the temporal evolut…
Hybrid model predicts stock prices using online forum sentiments and popularity.
Deep learning model forecasts stock prices for portfolio optimization.
In this paper, we study the determinants of expected returns on the listed penny stocks from two perspectives. Traditionally financial economics literature has been devoted to study the macro and micro determinants of expected returns on stocks (Subrahmanyam, 2010). Very few research has been carried out on penny stock…
Transformer model predicts stock prices in Bangladesh's stock market.
The stock market has been known to form homogeneous stock groups with a higher correlation among different stocks according to common economic factors that influence individual stocks. We investigate the role of common economic factors in the market in the formation of stock networks, using the arbitrage pricing model …
Game-theoretic model captures investor interactions for stock price forecasting.
Meta-learning predicts stock trading volumes by learning from each stock's unique patterns.
Stock prediction is a topic undergoing intense study for many years. Finance experts and mathematicians have been working on a way to predict the future stock price so as to decide to buy the stock or sell it to make profit. Stock experts or economists, usually analyze on the previous stock values using technical indic…
The high-frequency cross-correlation existing between pairs of stocks traded in a financial market are investigated in a set of 100 stocks traded in US equity markets. A hierarchical organization of the investigated stocks is obtained by determining a metric distance between stocks and by investigating the properties o…
A surprising image of the stock market arises if the price time series of all Dow Jones Industrial Average stock components are represented in one chart at once. The chart evolves into a braid representation of the stock market by taking into account only the crossing of stocks and fixing a convention defining overcros…
Stock prices are driven by various factors. In particular, many individual investors who have relatively little financial knowledge rely heavily on the information from news stories when making investment decisions in the stock market. However, these stories may not reflect future stock prices because of the subjectivi…
A machine learning approach for dynamic stock recommendation outperforms traditional strategies.
Predict stock movement by considering cross effects among stocks.